đ TRADING PERFORMANCE & MARKET SENTIMENT (FGI) REPORT â UPDATED OCTOBER 10, 2026
The latest statistics show that the correlation between the Fear & Greed Index (FGI) and Win Rate (WR) remains weak and negative, at r â -0.312. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for identifying trade entries, but it can still provide value in risk assessment. Trading performance generally tends to weaken as market sentiment reaches extreme greed, making FGI more useful as an early risk warning indicator than as a signal for increasing profit expectations.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum break-even risk-to-reward ratio (R), and the number of recorded days (n) across different sentiment zones:
đ€ Extreme Greed (â„80): WR 40.5% âą R=1:1.47 âą n=25
đ Greed (60â80): WR 44.2% âą R=1:1.26 âą n=261
đ Neutral (40â60): WR 45.1% âą R=1:1.22 âą n=158
đ° Fear (20â40): WR 47.1% âą R=1:1.12 âą n=271
đ± Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% âą R=1:0.91 âą n=115
Percentage of days with trading performance above the overall average Win Rate of 46.35% in each sentiment zone:
đ€ Extreme Greed: 8.0%
đ Greed: 33.7%
đ Neutral: 38.0%
đ° Fear: 55.7%
đ± Extreme Fear: 69.6%
†Short-term traders can use FGI as a reference for adjusting their profit targets when entering trades:
đ When FGI is high, traders may consider setting higher profit targets to maintain a sufficiently favorable R ratio, helping compensate for the increased risk associated with declining win rates.
đ When FGI is low, traders may consider lowering profit targets to improve capital turnover and make profit realization more achievable.
#TradingPsychology $PEPE
The latest statistics show that the correlation between the Fear & Greed Index (FGI) and Win Rate (WR) remains weak and negative, at r â -0.312. This suggests that FGI is not suitable as a standalone tool for identifying trade entries, but it can still provide value in risk assessment. Trading performance generally tends to weaken as market sentiment reaches extreme greed, making FGI more useful as an early risk warning indicator than as a signal for increasing profit expectations.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum break-even risk-to-reward ratio (R), and the number of recorded days (n) across different sentiment zones:
đ€ Extreme Greed (â„80): WR 40.5% âą R=1:1.47 âą n=25
đ Greed (60â80): WR 44.2% âą R=1:1.26 âą n=261
đ Neutral (40â60): WR 45.1% âą R=1:1.22 âą n=158
đ° Fear (20â40): WR 47.1% âą R=1:1.12 âą n=271
đ± Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% âą R=1:0.91 âą n=115
Percentage of days with trading performance above the overall average Win Rate of 46.35% in each sentiment zone:
đ€ Extreme Greed: 8.0%
đ Greed: 33.7%
đ Neutral: 38.0%
đ° Fear: 55.7%
đ± Extreme Fear: 69.6%
†Short-term traders can use FGI as a reference for adjusting their profit targets when entering trades:
đ When FGI is high, traders may consider setting higher profit targets to maintain a sufficiently favorable R ratio, helping compensate for the increased risk associated with declining win rates.
đ When FGI is low, traders may consider lowering profit targets to improve capital turnover and make profit realization more achievable.
#TradingPsychology $PEPE