Today, 328 million $SPCX shares unlock. Many holders are employees with nearly all their net worth in one stock. Even the bullish ones sell a slice to diversify, call it 20%.

That's roughly 60 million shares hitting the market.

SpaceX trades about 90 million shares a day. Put 60 million of new supply into 90 million of daily volume and the price gives.

One condition: it has to be trading well above 135, the IPO price. Below that, holders don't sell.