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Changes in U.S. 2-Year #Treasury Yield
The U.S. 2-year Treasury yield is a short-term economic indicator.
In simple terms, when the interest rate is low, it indicates that there’s a strong flow of money in the market. Conversely, when the interest rate is high, it suggests that the market’s money flow has significantly slowed.
From May 2020 to September 2021, for 1 year and 6 months, the yield stayed below 0.5%.
While the actual rate was even lower, this was the situation for the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield.
A year later, the U.S. 2-year yield rose above 5%, reaching what appears to be a peak.
Many people hope for a decrease in interest rates, but since the 2-year Treasury is like a living entity, it experiences cycles of rises and falls. It’s hard to predict how much it will decrease, but I don’t expect the same patterns as before. Over the next 1-2 years, I anticipate it may stabilize around 1.5% to 2%.
Perhaps another opportunity will come with time… I’ll be waiting for it.