📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & MARKET SENTIMENT INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATED 25/07/2026
The latest statistics show that the correlation between the FGI and Win Rate remains weak and continues to be negative (r ≈ -0.289). This further supports the view that the FGI is not suitable for predicting price direction or determining entry points. However, it still has practical value for quantifying order risk.
Overall trading performance tends to decline as market sentiment moves into extreme optimism. Therefore, the FGI is better used as an early risk-warning indicator rather than a signal for increasing profit expectations.
Below is a summary of Win Rate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and the number of recorded days (n) across each sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R = 1:1.47 • n = 25
🤤 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R = 1:1.22 • n = 215
😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R = 1:1.21 • n = 150
😨 Fear (20–40): WR 47.0% • R:R = 1:1.13 • n = 248
😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R = 1:0.91 • n = 115
The percentage of days with performance above the overall average of 46.73% in each sentiment zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%
🤤 Greed: 36.3%
😐 Neutral: 38.0%
😨 Fear: 53.2%
😱 Extreme Fear: 67.8%
➤ Short-term traders can use the FGI as a reference for adjusting expected profit targets when entering trades:
📈 When the FGI is high, traders should increase their expected profit target to maintain a sufficiently large R:R and compensate for the lower win rate.
📉 When the FGI is low, traders may reduce their expected profit target to accelerate capital turnover and realize profits more easily.
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