ppi

Twenty-four hours after the PPI shock, the market has entered a phase of “liquidity digestion.” With no new high-impact macro data today, current price action is the real stress test for our thesis.
Based on FIG’s reporting, Fragoso Investment Group is Long $BTC at the time of publication. Positions may change at any time.
Data Analysis and Divergence Flash:
The DXY (97.78) has failed to rebound despite the absence of news, confirming that yesterday’s break below 98.00 was not an isolated event, but a structural shift in sentiment. The US10Y (4.274) shows slight upward pressure versus yesterday, but remains significantly below the post-CPI panic levels (4.40%+).
The Persistent Lie: The media will try to frame any minor pullback in Gold or BTC as “profit-taking driven by fears of a hawkish Fed.” That is false.
The Forensic Reality: We are looking at a mean reversion phase. After yesterday’s explosive rally, assets are searching for efficiency. The fact that the DXY continues printing lows within its 48-hour range (97.64) while Gold holds above $4,800 is a sign of strength, not weakness.
Bias: Consolidated Bullish / Floor Confirmation
GOLD (XAUUSD): Structural Support Test
Technical analysis: The current price of $4,817.5 represents a healthy pullback after testing the 48-hour ceiling at $4,871.5. Watch the floor of the 48-hour range: $4,699.91. Gold has raised its psychological floor by more than $100 in record time.
Technical reason: As long as the DXY does not recover the 98.50 level, Gold’s structure remains one of rising highs. The current decline is a technical gap fill designed to pick up institutional buyers who were left behind during the PPI jump.
BITCOIN (BTC): Volatility Compression
Bitcoin is showing extreme resilience. Its distance from the ATH (-41.32%) compared with Gold’s (-13.93%) suggests that BTC has much more proportional recovery fuel if the dollar keeps bleeding. Liquidity is concentrating around $73,500; as long as that level holds, the bias remains aggressively bullish.
The narrative of “runaway inflation” has been replaced by fear of a “debt-driven slowdown,” which keeps capital flowing out of cash (DXY) and into safe-haven and growth assets.
Data anchored to April 15, 2026. The DXY remains weak (97.78), validating yesterday’s breakdown. The US10Y is showing a mild technical correction (4.274). Gold and BTC are carrying out textbook technical pullbacks into their new support zones after the PPI release, while keeping their short- and medium-term bullish structures intact.

#Fed #BTC #PPI #DXY

In a surprising economic update, the latest U.S. Core Producer Price Index (PPI) has come in at 3.8%, notably below the market expectation of 4.1%. This data signals a potential cooling in inflationary pressures at the producer level — a key indicator closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and global markets.
📊 What is Core PPI?
Core PPI measures the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers, excluding volatile items such as food and energy. It provides a clearer view of underlying inflation trends and is often considered a leading indicator for consumer inflation.
📉 Why This Matters
A lower-than-expected Core PPI suggests that inflation may be slowing down faster than anticipated. This could influence the U.S. Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates, possibly reducing the urgency for aggressive rate hikes.
💡 Market Impact
Crypto Market: Lower inflation often boosts investor confidence in risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
Stock Market: Tech and growth stocks may benefit as lower inflation supports lower interest rate expectations.
US Dollar: A softer inflation reading could weaken the dollar, making global assets more attractive.
🌍 Global Perspective
Since the U.S. economy plays a central role globally, any shift in inflation trends can ripple across international markets — including emerging economies and crypto ecosystems. #Inflation #PPI #CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Ethereum
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