Two signals are pulling $SOL in opposite directions.

The bearish one: spot SOL ETFs lost $71.5M in the week of Oct 26–30, the biggest weekly outflow since launch, and had $0 net flows on Nov 2–4.

The bullish one: October set a record of 3.3B non-vote transactions, Alpenglow has been live since Oct 21, and Schroders just tokenized an emerging-market debt strategy on Solana via Centrifuge.

Price: ~$95.80 (+4.0% in 24h), rebounding from the Nov 4 low of $89.77.

Key levels

• Resistance: $98 (200-day EMA), $100.70, $103

• Support: $93, $90, $88

Derivatives: open interest $5.8B (+2.7%), funding positive, ~75% of accounts long, so longs are crowded.

My scenarios

🟢 Close > $98 → $100–103

⚪ $88–100 range (CoinEdition sees $88–98 this week)

🔴 Close < $90 → $80

Which signal wins: ETFs or on-chain? Comment below.

Data as of Nov 5, 12:35 UTC. Not financial advice.

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