PCE came in at ~3.1%, roughly in line. $BTC holding ~80k for now, but don't expect a straight dump yet. More likely? Chop at highs, digest, then pick a direction.
Two scenarios I'm watching:
1. Push to 81.8k, maybe even 82.7k if bulls show up, then roll over
2. Test 81.8k, get rejected in the 81k-81.8k zone, retrace to 79.5k, attempt 82.7k, THEN the real drop
Strategy: Buy dips, sell rips.
If $BTC pulls back to 80k-79.5k, I'm layering longs + adding spot. If we pump to 82.7k, I'm hunting shorts targeting 79k-78k, scaling out in tranches.
Not blindly entering at levels—waiting for price action confirmation at key zones.
Already flipped short to long earlier, sitting on decent profit. Letting it ride to see if this bounce hits targets.
Fed policy matters: Next 2 months of data + global liquidity flow will decide everything. Sticky inflation = higher for longer = market repricing pain. But if GDP stays strong + capital keeps flowing in, we could still see $BTC push toward 100k on resilience narrative.
TL;DR: Short-term bullish bounce, mid-term still bearish. Watching 81.8k-82.7k zone for shorts. Watching 80k-79.5k for longs. No blind bets. Wait for setups, execute on confirmation.
Two scenarios I'm watching:
1. Push to 81.8k, maybe even 82.7k if bulls show up, then roll over
2. Test 81.8k, get rejected in the 81k-81.8k zone, retrace to 79.5k, attempt 82.7k, THEN the real drop
Strategy: Buy dips, sell rips.
If $BTC pulls back to 80k-79.5k, I'm layering longs + adding spot. If we pump to 82.7k, I'm hunting shorts targeting 79k-78k, scaling out in tranches.
Not blindly entering at levels—waiting for price action confirmation at key zones.
Already flipped short to long earlier, sitting on decent profit. Letting it ride to see if this bounce hits targets.
Fed policy matters: Next 2 months of data + global liquidity flow will decide everything. Sticky inflation = higher for longer = market repricing pain. But if GDP stays strong + capital keeps flowing in, we could still see $BTC push toward 100k on resilience narrative.
TL;DR: Short-term bullish bounce, mid-term still bearish. Watching 81.8k-82.7k zone for shorts. Watching 80k-79.5k for longs. No blind bets. Wait for setups, execute on confirmation.
