Why do some breakouts hold while 70% fail? It comes down to order-book confirmation.

Our algo just closed a winning trade on $BTW (+4.9%). Here's what it actually saw: a volume spike paired with a tightening bid-ask spread — a pattern that historically suggests genuine accumulation rather than a liquidity trap. The bot entered on the retest of the breakout level and exited at the dynamic resistance band.

Current rolling window: 65% win rate (395/604 closed trades). But here's the honest part — our walk-forward expectancy sits around 53%, and we've weathered a brutal 73% max drawdown. We log every single trade, including the losses, verifiable by ticker and timestamp. No cherry-picked screenshots.

What's your biggest weakness when trading low-cap breakouts — early entries or late exits?

Full open track record in bio.

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$BTW