• Cathie Wood rejected Jason Calacanis's dead cat bounce call on X on September 19.

Bitcoin fell roughly 30% over the past year, per a chart Calacanis shared September 18.

• ARK Invest sold about $40 million of its ARKB spot Bitcoin ETF on September 14.

Cathie Wood Pushes Back on the ‘Dead Cat’ Call

Cathie Wood, ARK Invest’s chief executive and one of Bitcoin’s earliest institutional backers, rejected on September 19 the suggestion that the asset’s recent rebound is a mere dead cat bounce, a term for a temporary rally inside a larger downtrend. Replying on X to venture capitalist Jason Calacanis, who a day earlier shared a chart showing Bitcoin down roughly 30% over the past twelve months, Wood wrote that Bitcoin “is not a dead cat” and “has many lives ahead.” The post quickly circulated as one of the week’s most-watched Bitcoin rebuttals. Her response linked to the newest episode of ARK’s Bitcoin Brainstorm podcast, released September 17, which featured the firm’s digital assets research head Lorenzo Valente and Bitcoin Park founder Rod Roudi. The conversation centered on the convergence between fast-advancing artificial intelligence and Bitcoin — a theme our desk explored this week as open-weight models crossed 56% of Vercel AI Gateway tokens. The podcast paid particular attention to open-weight AI models, whose trained parameters are published so anyone can download, run and modify them on their own hardware. Wood argued that combining specialist expertise with these tools lets defenders probe the Bitcoin system for vulnerabilities at least as effectively as attackers can weaponize the same models — a dynamic she expects to reinforce the network’s proof-of-work security rather than undermine it. She admitted that watching large holders shift funds amid quantum-computing fears had unsettled her as an investor, but said ARK’s internal research has since eased those concerns. Her argument was structural rather than price-driven: with no bank or intermediary standing between transacting parties, she sees the network as better insulated from counterparty risk than traditional finance, whatever direction prices take next.

Calacanis’s Critique and a $40M ARKB Sale

Calacanis’s original critique, posted September 18, went beyond the chart. Seventeen years after Bitcoin’s launch, he argued, the asset still has not established itself as a widely used payment medium and remains cumbersome for ordinary people to hold and spend. Institutional participation, in his telling, drained the rebellious ethos that later hardened into Bitcoin maximalism, transforming a symbol of defiance into a dull store of value for the HODL crowd — and he concluded that without a concrete everyday use case, broad adoption will stay out of reach. That skepticism rhymes with exchange-level signals: Bybit CEO Ben Zhou has estimated that retail participation in Bitcoin is down 30% from its peak. Wood has skin in the game: ARK has disclosed it was the first publicly listed asset manager to invest in Bitcoin, back in 2015 when the price sat below $500. Her counter-case extends into the macro arena. She projected that AI-driven productivity gains could lift economic growth to 7-8% while simultaneously producing deflation, and warned that rising short-term rates would deliver unanticipated shocks to private credit funds and banks, raising the prospect of counterparty failures across traditional finance. In such an environment, she argued, Bitcoin’s decentralized settlement layer, in which no intermediary can default, retains utility even under falling prices — upending the standard framing of the asset purely as an inflation hedge. Yet the firm’s actual positioning tells a more cautious story. ARK sold roughly $40 million of the ARK 21Shares spot Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) on September 14, one day before the US Senate’s cloture vote on the Clarity Act. The sale underscores the gap between Wood’s long-term conviction and ARK’s short-term risk management, a divergence visible across issuer flows this month even as Fidelity’s FBTC recently led a $433 million single-day inflow.

$81.7K Ceiling With Mixed Momentum

As of the latest COINOTAG reading, Bitcoin trades near $81,121, down 0.21% over 24 hours. COINOTAG’s proprietary 42-indicator composite S/R scoring engine rates the $81,733 resistance at 80/100 on the confluence of Bollinger, Keltner and Donchian upper bands; nearest support $78,391 scores 74/100, anchored by EMA 20, Ichimoku Kijun and a Fibonacci retracement. Momentum is split — RSI sits at 64.38 while the MACD signal reads bearish inside a broader uptrend. Derivatives positioning is calm: funding at 0.0044%, open interest of $16.76 billion and a long/short account ratio of 1.09, with the Fear & Greed Index at 71 (Greed). A decisive close above $81,733 would favor the bullish scenario; losing $78,391 invalidates it and exposes $79,890 first, then the $75,885 shelf.