🚨 FED HIKE: BULLISH OR BEARISH FOR MARKETS?
The market is getting nervous.
August core CPI came in at 0.3% MoM, hotter than expected, pushing the probability of a 25bp Fed rate hike this week toward 90%+.
So, what happens next?
I expect the Fed to hike 25bp, but the bigger story won’t be the hike itself — it will be Powell’s guidance on what comes next.
📉 BTC: Short-term pressure is likely if the Fed sounds hawkish. Higher yields and a stronger dollar usually hurt risk assets. But if this is presented as a one-off adjustment, BTC could recover quickly.
💻 Tech stocks: Higher rates increase pressure on growth valuations, so tech could see another volatile session.
Gold: Higher yields and a stronger dollar are bearish, but geopolitical risk and inflation concerns could keep buyers active.
My base case: one hike + pause, not an immediate aggressive hiking cycle.
The real market trigger isn't the 25bp…
It’s what the Fed says about the NEXT hike.
Are you bullish or bearish? 👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#FedRateWatch
The market is getting nervous.
August core CPI came in at 0.3% MoM, hotter than expected, pushing the probability of a 25bp Fed rate hike this week toward 90%+.
So, what happens next?
I expect the Fed to hike 25bp, but the bigger story won’t be the hike itself — it will be Powell’s guidance on what comes next.
📉 BTC: Short-term pressure is likely if the Fed sounds hawkish. Higher yields and a stronger dollar usually hurt risk assets. But if this is presented as a one-off adjustment, BTC could recover quickly.
💻 Tech stocks: Higher rates increase pressure on growth valuations, so tech could see another volatile session.
Gold: Higher yields and a stronger dollar are bearish, but geopolitical risk and inflation concerns could keep buyers active.
My base case: one hike + pause, not an immediate aggressive hiking cycle.
The real market trigger isn't the 25bp…
It’s what the Fed says about the NEXT hike.
Are you bullish or bearish? 👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#FedRateWatch