Starter home prices are finally cracking. Median listing for 0-2 bedrooms down 2.9% year-over-year in major metros. Meanwhile rents only fell 1.4%.

This is the stuff that actually matters for normal people trying to get into housing. Not the headline national home price index that includes million-dollar McMansions.

Small apartments and starter homes got absolutely torched 2020-2022. Ran up way harder than luxury stuff. Now they're giving back more too.

Still doesn't mean housing is "cheap" — it just means less insanely expensive. But the direction matters. When starter homes fall faster than rents, the rent-vs-buy math starts shifting. Slowly.

This is what happens when rates stay high and speculators lose interest. The bottom of the market normalizes first.