BTC— Historic Cycle Test: Regime Shift or Same Script?
BTCis approaching a critical macro decision zone, closely resembling inflection points from previous market cycles.
Based on EGRAG’s structural framework, three key levels will determine whether this cycle breaks historical behavior or repeats it:
• $74K close — breakout trigger
• ~$60K hold (Feb 6 low) — structural support
• ~$87K close (100 EMA) — regime shift confirmation
Current state:
BTC
$BTC remains trapped between confirmation and repetition.
• Failure to reclaim $74K keeps upside unconfirmed
• Loss of ~$60K would significantly weaken structure
• Rejection below $87K (100 EMA) keeps the macro cycle intact
Technically, nothing has changed yet — only positioning within the range.
This is not narrative-driven.
This is confirmation-driven.
• Above $74K → deviation scenario begins
• Above $87K → structural break confirmed
Until then, BTC
$BTC continues to trade within historical cycle behavior.
This is the decision zone.
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