#LUNC✅ Could LUNC Ever Reach $0.01? Analyzing the Possibilities
After the significant crash of LUNA (now LUNC), it’s worth considering whether LUNC could ever reach $0.01 again. While its previous all-time high was around $119, a price like $100 is virtually impossible due to its current market dynamics. However, $0.01 remains a more realistic, though still challenging target.
To assess this, let’s look at the factors that make reaching $0.01 a difficult, yet possible, goal for LUNC:
🔴 1. Unlimited Supply and Market Data:
LUNC has a massive supply, with a circulating supply of 5.44 trillion and a total supply of 6.5 trillion. This large supply makes it difficult for the price to rise significantly.
Currently, LUNC’s market cap is about $352.85 million, with a fully diluted valuation of $421.36 million.
Calculation for $0.01 Price:
To reach $0.01, the required market cap would be:
Required Market Cap = 0.01 × 5,444,147,968,898 = $54.44 billion
For this to happen, the market cap would need to increase by approximately 155.5 times, which highlights the difficulty of achieving this price.
🔄 2. The Burning Process – Can It Help?
Although the minting and burning functions are officially disabled on the original Terra chain (Terra Classic), as stated on the official site terra.money, "The original Cosmos chain will still run, with market swaps (mint/burn function) disabled", the community has continued burning LUNC tokens through independent efforts.
As of March 2025, about 406.26 billion LUNC have been burned since May 2022, with 153 million LUNC burned just in the last week, according to trackers like luncmetrics.com. However, with a supply of over 6 trillion LUNC, it’s clear that reaching $0.01 will take time. Without an active burn function, reducing the supply to drive a significant price increase will be a slow process.
🚀 3. The Impact of Holding and Demand on LUNC Price – What Needs to Happen?
Holding large amounts of LUNC, even across multiple holders, can influence the market dynamics. If large amounts of LUNC are held and taken off the market (reducing circulating supply), this can potentially put upward pressure on the price, as less LUNC is available for trading.
However, it’s important to note that holding alone is not enough to guarantee a price increase. While reduced supply may help, demand is equally important for driving price growth. Without increased demand, the price may not see significant movement, even if a large portion of LUNC is being held.
Therefore, a price rise, such as reaching $0.01, requires more than just the reduction in circulating supply through holding or burning — it requires market adoption and a substantial increase in demand.
⚠️ 3. The New LUNA and Market Focus:
The launch of LUNA 2.0 shifted focus away from LUNC, further limiting its chance to recover and increase in value. LUNA 2.0 is now the main token of the project, making it harder for LUNC to regain attention and market confidence.
💡 Key Takeaways:
1️⃣ $0.01 is technically possible, but it requires a significant reduction in supply and new strategies to manage the tokenomics.
2️⃣ The burning process is essential to reducing the token supply and increasing its value, but it would require immense effort and time to make a significant impact.
3️⃣ The focus has shifted to LUNA 2.0, making it harder for LUNC to recover.
4️⃣ Holding large amounts of LUNC can influence price by reducing circulating supply, but demand must increase to drive sustained price growth.
📝 Bottom Line:
While LUNC may see price increases, reaching $0.01 will require a major shift in its tokenomics and market dynamics. Though possible, achieving this price will take significant effort and time. The influence of token hoarding and demand-driven market movements will also play a key role in whether or not LUNC can sustain growth over time.
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