Binance Square
CryptoZeno
5.2k Publicaciones

CryptoZeno

Verified Creator on #BinanceSquare #CoinMarketCap and #CryptoQuant | On Chain Research and Market Insights with Smart Trading Signals
Holder de MarsCoin
Holder de MarsCoin
Trader frecuente
5.3 año(s)
57 Siguiendo
8.3K+ Seguidores
32.0K+ Me gusta
Publicaciones
PINNED
·
--
Verificado
A Burned Deposit Says More Than A Passed Proposal One governance rule in $BABY caught my attention for a different reason. A proposal that fails to reach quorum gets its deposit back. A proposal rejected with NoWithVeto loses the entire deposit. Even cancelling an active proposal burns 50% of the deposited amount. That design separates inactivity from harmful behaviour. Failing to convince the community is treated differently from submitting something considered damaging enough to trigger a veto. Those outcomes may look similar on the surface both proposals fail but the protocol assigns them very different economic consequences. I find that more interesting than the voting thresholds themselves. Many governance systems focus on making proposals easier to submit. #baby also asks a different question: what should be expensive? The answer isn't disagreement. It's wasting governance attention. @babylonlabs_io therefore isn't only securing consensus on-chain. It also creates economic consequences for governance quality long before a proposal ever changes the protocol.
A Burned Deposit Says More Than A Passed Proposal

One governance rule in $BABY caught my attention for a different reason. A proposal that fails to reach quorum gets its deposit back. A proposal rejected with NoWithVeto loses the entire deposit. Even cancelling an active proposal burns 50% of the deposited amount.

That design separates inactivity from harmful behaviour.
Failing to convince the community is treated differently from submitting something considered damaging enough to trigger a veto. Those outcomes may look similar on the surface both proposals fail but the protocol assigns them very different economic consequences.

I find that more interesting than the voting thresholds themselves.
Many governance systems focus on making proposals easier to submit. #baby also asks a different question: what should be expensive? The answer isn't disagreement. It's wasting governance attention.

@BabylonLabs_io therefore isn't only securing consensus on-chain. It also creates economic consequences for governance quality long before a proposal ever changes the protocol.
PINNED
Artículo
The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big MovesI’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do. In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses. This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about. Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is. Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions. The Two Trading Styles Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend) One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts. Let’s consider this through a visual example. Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher). Momentum assumes the level will break. You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken. Mean reversion assumes the level will hold. You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling. Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies. There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned. The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy). Lesson 1 Summary There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money. Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout. You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out. That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment. The Rowing Analogy Imagine you’re rowing a boat. You either row against or with the current. One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort. Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did. Trading is the same. Your strategy is your boat. Your optimal trade environment is the current. Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current). Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level? What you WANT: A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement. What you DON’T want: A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum. The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further. Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly. → Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles. Real Trade Example: Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like? Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it. What you WANT: Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum. What you DON’T want: Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?) Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic. This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact. Real Trade Example: Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅ Lastly, Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum). What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend. What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision. Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation. Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average). ✍️Quick Actionable Step: To add the 30SMMA on your charts: Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30" Real Trade Example: Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅ Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅ 🎓Lesson 2 Summary Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Now you know what momentum is. You also know the optimal conditions for it. Next, you need to know where to execute these trades. Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently. I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article. Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals. Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article. Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing. Why 1-minute chart? You learn faster. More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology. I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article. Real Trade Example: Step 3: Three Filters Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2: Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)? If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions. 🎓Lesson 3 Summary Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions. Now you need precise execution. Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup. This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution. Step 4: Entry Trigger We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing. Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing. Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward. → Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you. Real Trade Example: Step 5: Stop Loss A swing low is: the lowest wick in a pullback. Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout. Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down. Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop) Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio. Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it. Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach. Real Trade Example: 🎓Lesson 4 summary Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way. Immediate Next Steps✍️: Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria 🎓 Final Summary Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment. Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge. Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely. Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade. Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way. 🎓What Changes From Here The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out. You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through. You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets. #CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy

The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big Moves

I’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do.
In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses.
This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about.
Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies
Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is.
Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions.
The Two Trading Styles
Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend)
One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts.
Let’s consider this through a visual example.
Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher).
Momentum assumes the level will break.
You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken.
Mean reversion assumes the level will hold.
You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling.
Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies.
There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned.
The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy).
Lesson 1 Summary
There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money.
Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout.
You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out.
That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment.
The Rowing Analogy
Imagine you’re rowing a boat.
You either row against or with the current.
One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort.
Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did.
Trading is the same.
Your strategy is your boat.
Your optimal trade environment is the current.
Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current).
Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level?
What you WANT:
A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement.
What you DON’T want:
A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum.
The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further.
Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly.
→ Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles.
Real Trade Example:
Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like?
Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it.
What you WANT:
Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum.
What you DON’T want:
Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?)
Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic.
This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact.
Real Trade Example:
Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅
Lastly,
Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers
This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum).
What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend.
What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision.
Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation.
Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average).
✍️Quick Actionable Step:
To add the 30SMMA on your charts:
Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30"
Real Trade Example:
Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅
Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅
🎓Lesson 2 Summary
Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Now you know what momentum is.
You also know the optimal conditions for it.
Next, you need to know where to execute these trades.
Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels
Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently.
I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article.
Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals.
Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article.
Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart
Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing.
Why 1-minute chart?
You learn faster.
More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology.
I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article.
Real Trade Example:
Step 3: Three Filters
Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2:
Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)?
If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions.
🎓Lesson 3 Summary
Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly
Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit
You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions.
Now you need precise execution.
Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup.
This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution.
Step 4: Entry Trigger
We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing.
Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing.
Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward.
→ Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you.
Real Trade Example:
Step 5: Stop Loss
A swing low is:
the lowest wick in a pullback.
Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout.
Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility
Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down.
Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop)
Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction
If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio.
Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it.
Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach.
Real Trade Example:
🎓Lesson 4 summary
Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way.
Immediate Next Steps✍️:
Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria
🎓 Final Summary
Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion
Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment.
Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge.
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely.
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade.
Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit
Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way.
🎓What Changes From Here
The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out.
You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through.
You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets.
#CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy
$BTC At the start of July, I mentioned that we might see a month with mostly upside, considering that July has historically been the strongest month throughout several past bear markets and that June had already been a very weak month. That scenario has now largely played out. In two days, it's monthly open again, and what happens during the first few days of August will definitely be very interesting. If we see the typical monthly open pump and sweep the previous high at $67.3K, we might see some more downside in the weeks that follow. Should price, on the other hand, push lower right from the start of the month, things might change quickly. Over the past 11 months, this has only happened three times, and every single time it was followed by a correction of at least 20%. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC At the start of July, I mentioned that we might see a month with mostly upside, considering that July has historically been the strongest month throughout several past bear markets and that June had already been a very weak month.

That scenario has now largely played out.

In two days, it's monthly open again, and what happens during the first few days of August will definitely be very interesting.

If we see the typical monthly open pump and sweep the previous high at $67.3K, we might see some more downside in the weeks that follow.

Should price, on the other hand, push lower right from the start of the month, things might change quickly.

Over the past 11 months, this has only happened three times, and every single time it was followed by a correction of at least 20%.
Every level I mentioned came through one by one. $BANK dropped over 80% in 2 days causing a wave of long liquidations. {future}(BANKUSDT) $0.32 - 585K✅ $0.20 - 589K✅ $0.12 - 1.22M✅ $0.092 - 1.43M✅ $0.083 - 774K✅ $0.074 - 774K✅ What could happen now? All the major liq clusters have been hit. From here I'd say there's some accumulation between $0.028 and $0.046, not massive but worth noting. If the downtrend continues those levels are likely next. Onchain there are also significant inflows to Bitget's hot wallet specifically.
Every level I mentioned came through one by one. $BANK dropped over 80% in 2 days causing a wave of long liquidations.

$0.32 - 585K✅
$0.20 - 589K✅
$0.12 - 1.22M✅
$0.092 - 1.43M✅
$0.083 - 774K✅
$0.074 - 774K✅

What could happen now?

All the major liq clusters have been hit. From here I'd say there's some accumulation between $0.028 and $0.046, not massive but worth noting.

If the downtrend continues those levels are likely next.

Onchain there are also significant inflows to Bitget's hot wallet specifically.
CryptoZeno
·
--
Keeps dropping through the liq heatmap levels one by one. $BANK


In my last post about BANK I mentioned the liq clusters. The general altcoin selloff has accelerated the drop to these levels.

$0.32 - $585K✅
$0.20 - $589K✅
$0.12 - $1.22M✅
$0.092 - $1.43M🟡
$0.083 - $774K🟡
$0.074 - $774K🟡

Volume is still elevated but has dropped 50% in 24 hours.
If the drop deepens we could see it slide toward $0.074.
$BTC We are rejecting from the top of the Falling Wedge on the LTF. If we continue rejecting there, we will see continuation back down towards the 62k-61k region. What I'm looking for going into the Monthly Close is a move to the downside to establish our Wave 2. The first move after a month opens is usually the bait before continuation higher, so it would make more sense to push lower into the Monthly Close, take out the liquidity, and mark Wave 2 before pushing up towards the Wave 3 region. Now it's important that we hold the Golden Pocket (0.5-0.618 Fib region) on the revisit for this Wave 3 scenario to remain intact. Theoretically, the Wave Count will remain valid as long as Wave 2 stays above the low of Wave 1. But the 60k region is a key support zone itself, which should be respected for continuation to the upside from a structural perspective. Now, if we push towards the upside first and start rejecting from the 67k-68k region, I will look for a Swing Short simply because it's going to be a similar scenario to what we saw at 97k and 82k previously. If we see bears holding up strongly around the 60k region after rejecting 67k-68k, then it will open the room for a push all the way down to the current lows and the 54k region. I'm personally Bullish and expecting 70k+ in August, but the confirmations are yet to come, so there's nothing to be excited about just yet. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC We are rejecting from the top of the Falling Wedge on the LTF. If we continue rejecting there, we will see continuation back down towards the 62k-61k region. What I'm looking for going into the Monthly Close is a move to the downside to establish our Wave 2.

The first move after a month opens is usually the bait before continuation higher, so it would make more sense to push lower into the Monthly Close, take out the liquidity, and mark Wave 2 before pushing up towards the Wave 3 region.

Now it's important that we hold the Golden Pocket (0.5-0.618 Fib region) on the revisit for this Wave 3 scenario to remain intact.

Theoretically, the Wave Count will remain valid as long as Wave 2 stays above the low of Wave 1. But the 60k region is a key support zone itself, which should be respected for continuation to the upside from a structural perspective.

Now, if we push towards the upside first and start rejecting from the 67k-68k region, I will look for a Swing Short simply because it's going to be a similar scenario to what we saw at 97k and 82k previously.

If we see bears holding up strongly around the 60k region after rejecting 67k-68k, then it will open the room for a push all the way down to the current lows and the 54k region.

I'm personally Bullish and expecting 70k+ in August, but the confirmations are yet to come, so there's nothing to be excited about just yet.
Being called a conspiracy theorist doesn't hit the same in 2026 The government officially confirmed UAPs are real, released the footage, and put whistleblowers in front of Congress under oath The COVID lab leak theory went from a bannable offence to the FBI and Department of Energy's leading explanation The same platforms that censored it later admitted they were pressured into it EcoHealth, the group funneling US money into Wuhan research, got officially suspended and debarred Epstein's client list, the flight logs, the surveillance programs, half of it stopped being "theory" and started being evidence Turns out the line between crazy and early was a lot thinner than they told us
Being called a conspiracy theorist doesn't hit the same in 2026

The government officially confirmed UAPs are real, released the footage, and put whistleblowers in front of Congress under oath

The COVID lab leak theory went from a bannable offence to the FBI and Department of Energy's leading explanation

The same platforms that censored it later admitted they were pressured into it

EcoHealth, the group funneling US money into Wuhan research, got officially suspended and debarred

Epstein's client list, the flight logs, the surveillance programs, half of it stopped being "theory" and started being evidence

Turns out the line between crazy and early was a lot thinner than they told us
$BTC is Gaining Strength Spot CVD, Open Interest and Liquidation at 66k all suggest upside potential is greater. If trendline resistance is broken its go time. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC is Gaining Strength

Spot CVD, Open Interest and Liquidation at 66k all suggest upside potential is greater.

If trendline resistance is broken its go time.
$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) → macro: I think we're in the process of forming a bottom. → medium time frame: good as long as this range low holds; I'm looking at $70k → short term: bulls need to reclaim the mid-range for continuation.
$BTC

→ macro: I think we're in the process of forming a bottom.

→ medium time frame: good as long as this range low holds; I'm looking at $70k

→ short term: bulls need to reclaim the mid-range for continuation.
With the impact of onchain outflows, $BANK dropped fast over 2 days. {future}(BANKUSDT) I had outlined the levels it could target in the post below when this kind of trend started forming. Lost over 80% of its value and almost every target got hit. $0.32 - 585K✅ $0.20 - 589K✅ $0.12 - 1.22M✅ $0.092 - 1.43M✅ $0.083 - 774K✅ $0.074 - 774K🟡 Funding rate is on the 4-hour cycle at extreme negative levels. Holding a short at this stage might still be profitable but the funding effect could eat into your gains.
With the impact of onchain outflows, $BANK dropped fast over 2 days.

I had outlined the levels it could target in the post below when this kind of trend started forming.

Lost over 80% of its value and almost every target got hit.

$0.32 - 585K✅
$0.20 - 589K✅
$0.12 - 1.22M✅
$0.092 - 1.43M✅
$0.083 - 774K✅
$0.074 - 774K🟡

Funding rate is on the 4-hour cycle at extreme negative levels. Holding a short at this stage might still be profitable but the funding effect could eat into your gains.
31M $BANK moved from Bitget's cold wallet to the hot wallet in the last 24 hours (~$4.5M). {future}(BANKUSDT)
31M $BANK moved from Bitget's cold wallet to the hot wallet in the last 24 hours (~$4.5M).
CryptoZeno
·
--
Keeps dropping through the liq heatmap levels one by one. $BANK


In my last post about BANK I mentioned the liq clusters. The general altcoin selloff has accelerated the drop to these levels.

$0.32 - $585K✅
$0.20 - $589K✅
$0.12 - $1.22M✅
$0.092 - $1.43M🟡
$0.083 - $774K🟡
$0.074 - $774K🟡

Volume is still elevated but has dropped 50% in 24 hours.
If the drop deepens we could see it slide toward $0.074.
Keeps dropping through the liq heatmap levels one by one. $BANK {future}(BANKUSDT) In my last post about BANK I mentioned the liq clusters. The general altcoin selloff has accelerated the drop to these levels. $0.32 - $585K✅ $0.20 - $589K✅ $0.12 - $1.22M✅ $0.092 - $1.43M🟡 $0.083 - $774K🟡 $0.074 - $774K🟡 Volume is still elevated but has dropped 50% in 24 hours. If the drop deepens we could see it slide toward $0.074.
Keeps dropping through the liq heatmap levels one by one. $BANK

In my last post about BANK I mentioned the liq clusters. The general altcoin selloff has accelerated the drop to these levels.

$0.32 - $585K✅
$0.20 - $589K✅
$0.12 - $1.22M✅
$0.092 - $1.43M🟡
$0.083 - $774K🟡
$0.074 - $774K🟡

Volume is still elevated but has dropped 50% in 24 hours.
If the drop deepens we could see it slide toward $0.074.
$BTC We are approaching the Monthly Close with a significant amount of liquidity resting on both sides. Usually, when we see these kinds of conditions, price ends up sweeping both sides. What I'm observing right now is this falling wedge forming on the 12H. If we reject the upper trendline around 64.8k, it could trigger the next leg down into the 62.2k-61.2k region. If that scenario plays out, I think it's highly likely we reverse after the Monthly Open and target the liquidity sitting above, around the 67.4k region. This is the favorable scenario I'm observing based on the current structure. However, if we break above the wedge instead, then the 67.4k liquidity is likely to be taken first. Either way, the play here is simple: wait and observe which side gets taken out going into the Monthly Close and the start of the new month, then look to target the resting liquidity on the opposite side. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC We are approaching the Monthly Close with a significant amount of liquidity resting on both sides. Usually, when we see these kinds of conditions, price ends up sweeping both sides.

What I'm observing right now is this falling wedge forming on the 12H. If we reject the upper trendline around 64.8k, it could trigger the next leg down into the 62.2k-61.2k region.

If that scenario plays out, I think it's highly likely we reverse after the Monthly Open and target the liquidity sitting above, around the 67.4k region.

This is the favorable scenario I'm observing based on the current structure. However, if we break above the wedge instead, then the 67.4k liquidity is likely to be taken first.

Either way, the play here is simple: wait and observe which side gets taken out going into the Monthly Close and the start of the new month, then look to target the resting liquidity on the opposite side.
Parcialmente cierto
160M + 150M $LAB just moved from team wallet to a fresh wallet ($42M). Distribution being made to side wallets. {future}(LABUSDT)
160M + 150M $LAB just moved from team wallet to a fresh wallet ($42M).

Distribution being made to side wallets.
$BTC LTF Head & Shoulders Possible breakdown soon if right shoulder is formed. Expecting mid 63k range again if this plays out. Just be careful trading today, folks. FED Meeting in ~5 hours. Best practice is to wait until AFTER to trade... {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC LTF Head & Shoulders

Possible breakdown soon if right shoulder is formed.

Expecting mid 63k range again if this plays out.

Just be careful trading today, folks.
FED Meeting in ~5 hours.
Best practice is to wait until AFTER to trade...
Rally continues. $COTI {future}(COTIUSDT) Hit the levels I mentioned. Volume still very high. Let's see if it can write a new story.
Rally continues. $COTI

Hit the levels I mentioned. Volume still very high.

Let's see if it can write a new story.
CryptoZeno
·
--
Heavy leverage on a small cap: $COTI

COTI moved hard in the last 24 hours. The first level I shared yesterday at $0.0132 got hit, and $0.0154 is still on the table. If the trend holds over the coming hours, that level is reachable too.

Quick numbers:

>Futures volume 24h: ~$636M
>Spot volume: ~$46M
>Market cap: ~$35M
>Open interest: ~$32M

Futures volume is running at roughly 18x the market cap and OI is almost equal to the entire mcap. For a token this size that is a serious amount of leverage and speculation.

Funding on Binance is hourly and sitting around -0.15%. Shorts keep paying longs, so the pressure is still there.

These ratios matter. When futures activity overshadows the mcap like this, moves come fast, but reversals can be just as sharp. Worth keeping a close eye on whether volume and OI can hold up.
$BTC And there i said it. Swept our level and reclaimed back pumped $1400 points since then. Idea was shared even before the sweep. Still my yellow zones are valid. Those who longed the sweep can start booking profits. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC And there i said it.

Swept our level and reclaimed back pumped $1400 points since then.

Idea was shared even before the sweep.

Still my yellow zones are valid. Those who longed the sweep can start booking profits.
If $ETH breaks through the current sell wall, it could rise to around $2045. It will re-enter the $2000 level. {future}(ETHUSDT)
If $ETH breaks through the current sell wall, it could rise to around $2045.

It will re-enter the $2000 level.
Ethereum Strength Returns, But Confirmation Still Depends on Capital Rotation The ETH/BTC pair is beginning to stabilize after months of underperformance, and several on-chain indicators suggest the downside momentum has faded. The ETH/BTC MVRV ratio has rebounded from historically discounted territory while turning back above its long-term average. Similar recoveries in previous cycles often marked the transition from relative capitulation toward periods where Ethereum gradually regained strength against Bitcoin, although sustained outperformance has always required continued capital inflows rather than valuation alone. Exchange flow dynamics reinforce this improving backdrop. The ETH/BTC Exchange Inflows Ratio has declined significantly from the elevated levels seen during previous distribution phases, indicating weaker relative selling pressure from Ethereum holders. Lower exchange inflows generally reduce immediate supply available for sale, creating a healthier environment for ETH/BTC recovery if broader market liquidity remains supportive. Market participation is also evolving. Weekly spot trading volume shows Bitcoin still attracting the larger share of activity, yet the ETH/BTC trading volume ratio has stopped making new lows and is stabilizing after its recent correction. This suggests capital rotation is becoming more balanced instead of overwhelmingly favoring Bitcoin. Historically, sustained improvements in this ratio often precede stronger relative performance from Ethereum as institutional and retail participation broadens beyond Bitcoin. The current picture does not yet resemble a full altcoin leadership phase, but it does indicate that Ethereum is rebuilding its relative position from a stronger on-chain foundation. A continued rise in MVRV, restrained exchange selling pressure, and expanding spot participation would provide the combination needed for ETH/BTC to extend its recovery. Until those conditions strengthen together, the data supports cautious optimism rather than declaring a definitive shift in market leadership.
Ethereum Strength Returns, But Confirmation Still Depends on Capital Rotation

The ETH/BTC pair is beginning to stabilize after months of underperformance, and several on-chain indicators suggest the downside momentum has faded. The ETH/BTC MVRV ratio has rebounded from historically discounted territory while turning back above its long-term average. Similar recoveries in previous cycles often marked the transition from relative capitulation toward periods where Ethereum gradually regained strength against Bitcoin, although sustained outperformance has always required continued capital inflows rather than valuation alone.

Exchange flow dynamics reinforce this improving backdrop. The ETH/BTC Exchange Inflows Ratio has declined significantly from the elevated levels seen during previous distribution phases, indicating weaker relative selling pressure from Ethereum holders. Lower exchange inflows generally reduce immediate supply available for sale, creating a healthier environment for ETH/BTC recovery if broader market liquidity remains supportive.

Market participation is also evolving. Weekly spot trading volume shows Bitcoin still attracting the larger share of activity, yet the ETH/BTC trading volume ratio has stopped making new lows and is stabilizing after its recent correction. This suggests capital rotation is becoming more balanced instead of overwhelmingly favoring Bitcoin. Historically, sustained improvements in this ratio often precede stronger relative performance from Ethereum as institutional and retail participation broadens beyond Bitcoin.

The current picture does not yet resemble a full altcoin leadership phase, but it does indicate that Ethereum is rebuilding its relative position from a stronger on-chain foundation. A continued rise in MVRV, restrained exchange selling pressure, and expanding spot participation would provide the combination needed for ETH/BTC to extend its recovery. Until those conditions strengthen together, the data supports cautious optimism rather than declaring a definitive shift in market leadership.
Verificado
18% Isn't Reserved For Products. It's Reserved For Building Them. One detail inside $BABY tokenomics feels easier to ignore than it should. The allocation for Ecosystem Building and the allocation for R&D + Operations are both 18% of the initial supply. They are separate categories, even though many protocols would simply merge them into one treasury. That split says something about how @babylonlabs_io is thinking beyond token distribution. One pool is designed to attract external builders through grants, bounties and ecosystem expansion. The other exists to keep improving the protocol itself. Those two objectives sound similar until funding pressure appears. A network that spends everything on growth eventually stops improving. A network that spends everything on engineering eventually struggles to attract developers. Keeping both budgets independent creates an interesting constraint. Every new integration has to compete for ecosystem resources instead of silently consuming protocol development funds. I don't know whether that allocation will prove optimal over the long run. I do think it reveals something important: Babylon didn't only design an infrastructure stack. It also designed separate capital flows for maintaining it and expanding it. #baby
18% Isn't Reserved For Products. It's Reserved For Building Them.

One detail inside $BABY tokenomics feels easier to ignore than it should.

The allocation for Ecosystem Building and the allocation for R&D + Operations are both 18% of the initial supply. They are separate categories, even though many protocols would simply merge them into one treasury.

That split says something about how @BabylonLabs_io is thinking beyond token distribution.

One pool is designed to attract external builders through grants, bounties and ecosystem expansion. The other exists to keep improving the protocol itself. Those two objectives sound similar until funding pressure appears. A network that spends everything on growth eventually stops improving. A network that spends everything on engineering eventually struggles to attract developers.

Keeping both budgets independent creates an interesting constraint. Every new integration has to compete for ecosystem resources instead of silently consuming protocol development funds.

I don't know whether that allocation will prove optimal over the long run.

I do think it reveals something important: Babylon didn't only design an infrastructure stack. It also designed separate capital flows for maintaining it and expanding it. #baby
Inicia sesión para explorar más contenidos
Únete a usuarios globales de criptomonedas en Binance Square
⚡️ Obtén información útil y actualizada sobre criptos.
💬 Avalado por el mayor exchange de criptomonedas en el mundo.
👍 Descubre perspectivas reales de creadores verificados.
Email/número de teléfono
Mapa del sitio
Preferencias de cookies
Términos y condiciones de la plataforma