Ether Guru 1
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Ether Guru 1
Where experience meets discipline. Crypto isn’t luck — it’s mindset 💭
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$BTC 🗓️ THE NEXT FOUR MONTHS COULD DEFINE THE ENTIRE SETUP
My current 2026 scenario is built around five distinct phases, rather than one straight-line move.
AUGUST
A push toward $70K could create a strong short-term rally — but the key question would be whether price can actually hold above that zone.
SEPTEMBER
If momentum fades near the highs, distribution could develop and expose the market to a move below $57K.
OCTOBER
The deeper downside scenario sits around $40K–$45K, where a major liquidity test could potentially develop.
NOVEMBER
If selling pressure exhausts, several weeks of consolidation could begin as the market searches for a sustainable higher low.
DECEMBER
A recovery toward $100K would represent a major reversal from the projected October lows.
From $42K → $100K would require roughly 138% upside.
The entire roadmap is a scenario, not a prediction with guaranteed timing.
What matters most is whether each phase confirms or invalidates the next one.
The market doesn’t need to follow the calendar.
Price action will decide.
My current 2026 scenario is built around five distinct phases, rather than one straight-line move.
AUGUST
A push toward $70K could create a strong short-term rally — but the key question would be whether price can actually hold above that zone.
SEPTEMBER
If momentum fades near the highs, distribution could develop and expose the market to a move below $57K.
OCTOBER
The deeper downside scenario sits around $40K–$45K, where a major liquidity test could potentially develop.
NOVEMBER
If selling pressure exhausts, several weeks of consolidation could begin as the market searches for a sustainable higher low.
DECEMBER
A recovery toward $100K would represent a major reversal from the projected October lows.
From $42K → $100K would require roughly 138% upside.
The entire roadmap is a scenario, not a prediction with guaranteed timing.
What matters most is whether each phase confirms or invalidates the next one.
The market doesn’t need to follow the calendar.
Price action will decide.
$BTC Bitcoin ha vuelto a cerrar por debajo de un indicador importante de tendencia a largo plazo.
En 2026, BTC ya ha cotizado por debajo de su media móvil de 200 semanas, con el nivel alrededor de $61.8K en junio.
La analogía de 2022 es interesante, pero el mercado pasó meses por debajo de la 200WMA antes de que llegara el fondo del ciclo.
Un escenario bajista actual plantea un posible fondo del ciclo alrededor de $40K–$46K más adelante en 2026.
Por lo tanto, un fondo de octubre en $45K es un escenario, no una hoja de ruta confirmada.
La reacción de la 200WMA puede importar más que la fecha del calendario.
En 2026, BTC ya ha cotizado por debajo de su media móvil de 200 semanas, con el nivel alrededor de $61.8K en junio.
La analogía de 2022 es interesante, pero el mercado pasó meses por debajo de la 200WMA antes de que llegara el fondo del ciclo.
Un escenario bajista actual plantea un posible fondo del ciclo alrededor de $40K–$46K más adelante en 2026.
Por lo tanto, un fondo de octubre en $45K es un escenario, no una hoja de ruta confirmada.
La reacción de la 200WMA puede importar más que la fecha del calendario.
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$BTC ⚠️ THE NEXT PHASE COULD BE DECIDED BY A FEW KEY LEVELS
The current recovery may still prove to be a temporary rebound rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
My 2–3 month scenario:
$64K → $70K → $57K → $48K → $42K → $87K
The important levels are separated by very different market conditions.
A move toward $70K would represent roughly 9% upside from $64K.
A decline from $70K to $42K would then represent roughly 40% downside.
From $42K to $87K, the recovery would require roughly 107% upside.
My timeline remains a scenario, not a certainty:
Late August → $57K test
October–November → potential $43K zone
End of 2026 → potential recovery toward $87K
The key confirmation will come from how price behaves around each level.
A sustained breakout changes the bearish structure.
A rejection followed by lower lows keeps the downside scenario alive.
The current recovery may still prove to be a temporary rebound rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
My 2–3 month scenario:
$64K → $70K → $57K → $48K → $42K → $87K
The important levels are separated by very different market conditions.
A move toward $70K would represent roughly 9% upside from $64K.
A decline from $70K to $42K would then represent roughly 40% downside.
From $42K to $87K, the recovery would require roughly 107% upside.
My timeline remains a scenario, not a certainty:
Late August → $57K test
October–November → potential $43K zone
End of 2026 → potential recovery toward $87K
The key confirmation will come from how price behaves around each level.
A sustained breakout changes the bearish structure.
A rejection followed by lower lows keeps the downside scenario alive.
$ETH 🚨 ETHEREUM ESTÁ PROBANDO UN PATRÓN QUE HA FALLADO TRES VECES
Ethereum ha formado una estructura bajista similar por cuarta vez.
Las tres apariciones anteriores fueron seguidas por movimientos de fuerte caída.
Eso le da al escenario actual relevancia histórica — pero no certeza.
Un patrón de gráfico puede repetirse varias veces y aun así producir un resultado completamente distinto en la siguiente aparición.
La señal clave ahora es la confirmación.
Si ETH pierde un soporte cercano mientras el impulso y el volumen se deterioran, el escenario bajista gana credibilidad.
Si los compradores defienden el soporte y el precio rompe por encima de la estructura, el patrón histórico empieza a perder relevancia.
Esa distinción importa porque los mercados rara vez se repiten con precisión perfecta.
Los tres escenarios anteriores terminaron a la baja.
El cuarto se está formando ahora.
Esta vez, la reacción en el soporte determinará si el patrón sobrevive.
Ethereum ha formado una estructura bajista similar por cuarta vez.
Las tres apariciones anteriores fueron seguidas por movimientos de fuerte caída.
Eso le da al escenario actual relevancia histórica — pero no certeza.
Un patrón de gráfico puede repetirse varias veces y aun así producir un resultado completamente distinto en la siguiente aparición.
La señal clave ahora es la confirmación.
Si ETH pierde un soporte cercano mientras el impulso y el volumen se deterioran, el escenario bajista gana credibilidad.
Si los compradores defienden el soporte y el precio rompe por encima de la estructura, el patrón histórico empieza a perder relevancia.
Esa distinción importa porque los mercados rara vez se repiten con precisión perfecta.
Los tres escenarios anteriores terminaron a la baja.
El cuarto se está formando ahora.
Esta vez, la reacción en el soporte determinará si el patrón sobrevive.
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$BTC 🚨 $60K IS BECOMING BITCOIN’S DEFINING LEVEL
Bitcoin is trading near $62,935, leaving BTC only about $2,935 above $60K.
That puts one of the most important support tests of the current cycle within roughly 4.7% of price.
The historical comparison comes from 2022.
During that bear market, Bitcoin repeatedly interacted with the previous cycle’s 2017 all-time-high region near $20K before eventually establishing its low around $15.5K.
Now traders are watching whether the previous cycle’s upper price region can play a similar structural role.
The difference between an intraday break and a monthly close below support is important.
Bitcoin can briefly trade beneath a major level, recover quickly and leave the larger structure intact.
A sustained monthly loss of $60K would carry considerably more technical weight.
My two scenarios are straightforward:
$60K holds → the case for a broader bottom strengthens.
$60K fails decisively → another downside phase becomes increasingly possible.
This does not make $60K a guaranteed floor.
And 2022 does not have to repeat exactly.
But with BTC less than $3,000 away, the market is approaching a level that could provide much clearer evidence about whether this correction is ending — or still has another chapter left.
Bitcoin is trading near $62,935, leaving BTC only about $2,935 above $60K.
That puts one of the most important support tests of the current cycle within roughly 4.7% of price.
The historical comparison comes from 2022.
During that bear market, Bitcoin repeatedly interacted with the previous cycle’s 2017 all-time-high region near $20K before eventually establishing its low around $15.5K.
Now traders are watching whether the previous cycle’s upper price region can play a similar structural role.
The difference between an intraday break and a monthly close below support is important.
Bitcoin can briefly trade beneath a major level, recover quickly and leave the larger structure intact.
A sustained monthly loss of $60K would carry considerably more technical weight.
My two scenarios are straightforward:
$60K holds → the case for a broader bottom strengthens.
$60K fails decisively → another downside phase becomes increasingly possible.
This does not make $60K a guaranteed floor.
And 2022 does not have to repeat exactly.
But with BTC less than $3,000 away, the market is approaching a level that could provide much clearer evidence about whether this correction is ending — or still has another chapter left.
$BTC 🚨 $64,500 MAY NOT BE THE LEVEL THAT DEFINES THIS CYCLE
Bitcoin está rondando los $64,500, pero mi hoja de ruta más amplia aún deja margen para otro reinicio importante.
La zona que estoy vigilando está mucho más abajo: alrededor de $40,000.
Una caída de $64.5K a $40K significaría aproximadamente otro 38% de caída.
Eso suena extremo; precisamente por eso la confirmación importa más que la predicción.
Si se desarrolla una capitulación más profunda, $40K–$50K podría convertirse en el área donde el posicionamiento a largo plazo empiece a verse muy diferente a la situación de hoy.
Desde ahí, mi tesis general del ciclo se inclina hacia la recuperación.
$75K devolvería a BTC a un territorio más sólido.
Un movimiento por encima de $100K cambiaría el sentimiento de forma drástica, mientras que $135K volvería a poner en foco la región de precios máximos anterior.
Más allá de eso, en mi escenario de largo plazo, $180K se mantiene como un posible objetivo de nuevo descubrimiento de precio.
Todo el recorrido se vería más o menos así:
$64.5K → $40K–$50K → $75K → $100K → $135K → $180K
Pero esto es una hoja de ruta, no una secuencia garantizada.
Bitcoin podría tocar fondo más alto, pasar meses consolidando o invalidar por completo el escenario bajista antes de llegar a $40K.
Por eso estoy observando el comportamiento del precio en lugar de tratar un solo número como inevitable.
El cambio más grande llegará cuando las ventas fuertes dejen de producir nuevos mínimos.
Ahí es donde un mercado bajista puede comenzar en silencio a convertirse en la base del siguiente ciclo.
Bitcoin está rondando los $64,500, pero mi hoja de ruta más amplia aún deja margen para otro reinicio importante.
La zona que estoy vigilando está mucho más abajo: alrededor de $40,000.
Una caída de $64.5K a $40K significaría aproximadamente otro 38% de caída.
Eso suena extremo; precisamente por eso la confirmación importa más que la predicción.
Si se desarrolla una capitulación más profunda, $40K–$50K podría convertirse en el área donde el posicionamiento a largo plazo empiece a verse muy diferente a la situación de hoy.
Desde ahí, mi tesis general del ciclo se inclina hacia la recuperación.
$75K devolvería a BTC a un territorio más sólido.
Un movimiento por encima de $100K cambiaría el sentimiento de forma drástica, mientras que $135K volvería a poner en foco la región de precios máximos anterior.
Más allá de eso, en mi escenario de largo plazo, $180K se mantiene como un posible objetivo de nuevo descubrimiento de precio.
Todo el recorrido se vería más o menos así:
$64.5K → $40K–$50K → $75K → $100K → $135K → $180K
Pero esto es una hoja de ruta, no una secuencia garantizada.
Bitcoin podría tocar fondo más alto, pasar meses consolidando o invalidar por completo el escenario bajista antes de llegar a $40K.
Por eso estoy observando el comportamiento del precio en lugar de tratar un solo número como inevitable.
El cambio más grande llegará cuando las ventas fuertes dejen de producir nuevos mínimos.
Ahí es donde un mercado bajista puede comenzar en silencio a convertirse en la base del siguiente ciclo.
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$BTC THE LAST LEG COULD BE THE HARDEST ONE 🚨
Bitcoin has already fallen roughly 49% from its all-time high, but that alone doesn’t confirm the bear market is finished.
The next level I’m watching is $60K–$61K.
As long as that area holds, Bitcoin still has room to stabilize.
A decisive loss would put the mid-$50Ks back into focus.
Below that sits the area that interests me most:
$50K–$55K.
There is a reason this range matters.
Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average and realized price are long-term reference points often used to measure where market price sits relative to its broader trend and aggregate holder cost basis.
If those measures converge around the same region as price, $50K–$55K could become an important test rather than just another number on the chart.
My sequence from here:
→ $60K–$61K: support test
→ Mid-$50Ks: next area if support fails
→ $50K–$55K: potential bottoming range
→ October–December 2026: window I’m watching for a broader cycle low
Previous Bitcoin cycles show that major lows often arrive after sentiment has already been damaged for months.
That doesn’t guarantee the same outcome this time.
The four-year cycle, moving averages, realized price and institutional projections are useful reference points — none can identify an exact bottom in advance.
So I’m not calling $50K guaranteed.
I’m watching how Bitcoin behaves if it gets there.
The final decline, if it comes, may look like the worst part of the bear market.
It could also be the part where the next cycle starts taking shape.
Bitcoin has already fallen roughly 49% from its all-time high, but that alone doesn’t confirm the bear market is finished.
The next level I’m watching is $60K–$61K.
As long as that area holds, Bitcoin still has room to stabilize.
A decisive loss would put the mid-$50Ks back into focus.
Below that sits the area that interests me most:
$50K–$55K.
There is a reason this range matters.
Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average and realized price are long-term reference points often used to measure where market price sits relative to its broader trend and aggregate holder cost basis.
If those measures converge around the same region as price, $50K–$55K could become an important test rather than just another number on the chart.
My sequence from here:
→ $60K–$61K: support test
→ Mid-$50Ks: next area if support fails
→ $50K–$55K: potential bottoming range
→ October–December 2026: window I’m watching for a broader cycle low
Previous Bitcoin cycles show that major lows often arrive after sentiment has already been damaged for months.
That doesn’t guarantee the same outcome this time.
The four-year cycle, moving averages, realized price and institutional projections are useful reference points — none can identify an exact bottom in advance.
So I’m not calling $50K guaranteed.
I’m watching how Bitcoin behaves if it gets there.
The final decline, if it comes, may look like the worst part of the bear market.
It could also be the part where the next cycle starts taking shape.
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$BTC THE $50K ZONE COULD DEFINE THE NEXT CYCLE 🚨
Bitcoin may be approaching the final bottoming range of this bear-market cycle.
I’m watching the $50K area over the next 2–3 months.
Not because $50K is guaranteed to be the exact bottom.
Because that region could offer a completely different long-term risk/reward setup if the final capitulation arrives.
My broader roadmap:
→ $50K area: potential accumulation zone
→ Q4 2027–Q1 2028: projected new all-time high window
→ 2028: larger price-discovery phase
→ Q2–Q3 2029: projected final cycle peak
My long-term target sits around $190K.
From a $50K entry, that would represent roughly a 3.8x move if the roadmap plays out.
The difficult part won’t be buying after Bitcoin has already recovered.
It will be buying when the market still looks broken and confidence is near its lowest.
That is why I’m not chasing every bounce before the setup reaches my zone.
$50K is where I start getting interested.
$190K is where I’m watching the next cycle mature.
The dates and targets are a market thesis — price structure will decide whether they survive.
Bitcoin may be approaching the final bottoming range of this bear-market cycle.
I’m watching the $50K area over the next 2–3 months.
Not because $50K is guaranteed to be the exact bottom.
Because that region could offer a completely different long-term risk/reward setup if the final capitulation arrives.
My broader roadmap:
→ $50K area: potential accumulation zone
→ Q4 2027–Q1 2028: projected new all-time high window
→ 2028: larger price-discovery phase
→ Q2–Q3 2029: projected final cycle peak
My long-term target sits around $190K.
From a $50K entry, that would represent roughly a 3.8x move if the roadmap plays out.
The difficult part won’t be buying after Bitcoin has already recovered.
It will be buying when the market still looks broken and confidence is near its lowest.
That is why I’m not chasing every bounce before the setup reaches my zone.
$50K is where I start getting interested.
$190K is where I’m watching the next cycle mature.
The dates and targets are a market thesis — price structure will decide whether they survive.
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$BTC 🚨 THE FINAL PHASE MAY BE CLOSER THAN IT LOOKS
I sold my Bitcoin around $115K because the market structure was changing while sentiment was still euphoric.
At the time, almost nobody wanted to hear the bearish case.
Price was near the highs.
Confidence was everywhere.
Every pullback was treated like another buying opportunity.
Then the structure started deteriorating.
→ Lower highs replaced expansion
→ Volume weakened on recovery attempts
→ Buyers struggled to sustain momentum
→ Months of downside followed
Now the psychology has flipped completely.
The optimism that dominated the 2025 top has turned into exhaustion and despair.
That matters because major Bitcoin bottoms historically haven’t formed when everyone feels comfortable buying.
Look back at 2018.
The final stage arrived after months of losses had already destroyed confidence.
Then came one last violent flush.
Bitcoin eventually found its cycle low.
2022 produced similar psychology.
The market had already suffered enormous damage before the final capitulation pushed sentiment toward another extreme.
That is why I’m not treating today’s fear as automatically bearish.
But I’m also not rushing into spot yet.
The largest part of the decline may already be behind us.
The final bottoming process could still have one more move left.
My approach from here is simple:
No chasing rebounds.
No buying just because sentiment looks terrible.
No assuming the first bounce marks the bottom.
I want price to reach the zone where capitulation, liquidity and market structure finally align.
That could take several more weeks.
And the final move may be the one that convinces remaining holders that Bitcoin has much further to fall.
That is exactly why it matters.
The best opportunities of previous bear markets appeared when holding Bitcoin felt hardest — not when the recovery was already obvious.
I’m watching for that moment again.
I sold my Bitcoin around $115K because the market structure was changing while sentiment was still euphoric.
At the time, almost nobody wanted to hear the bearish case.
Price was near the highs.
Confidence was everywhere.
Every pullback was treated like another buying opportunity.
Then the structure started deteriorating.
→ Lower highs replaced expansion
→ Volume weakened on recovery attempts
→ Buyers struggled to sustain momentum
→ Months of downside followed
Now the psychology has flipped completely.
The optimism that dominated the 2025 top has turned into exhaustion and despair.
That matters because major Bitcoin bottoms historically haven’t formed when everyone feels comfortable buying.
Look back at 2018.
The final stage arrived after months of losses had already destroyed confidence.
Then came one last violent flush.
Bitcoin eventually found its cycle low.
2022 produced similar psychology.
The market had already suffered enormous damage before the final capitulation pushed sentiment toward another extreme.
That is why I’m not treating today’s fear as automatically bearish.
But I’m also not rushing into spot yet.
The largest part of the decline may already be behind us.
The final bottoming process could still have one more move left.
My approach from here is simple:
No chasing rebounds.
No buying just because sentiment looks terrible.
No assuming the first bounce marks the bottom.
I want price to reach the zone where capitulation, liquidity and market structure finally align.
That could take several more weeks.
And the final move may be the one that convinces remaining holders that Bitcoin has much further to fall.
That is exactly why it matters.
The best opportunities of previous bear markets appeared when holding Bitcoin felt hardest — not when the recovery was already obvious.
I’m watching for that moment again.
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$BTC THE REAL TEST MAY STILL BE AHEAD 🚨
Bitcoin has slipped below $63K again.
The current roadmap expects the weakness to continue toward $58K before any meaningful rebound.
Then comes the dangerous part:
$58K → $68K → $40K → $70K → $108K
A recovery toward $68K would look bullish on the surface.
Under this setup, that move becomes the bull trap rather than the beginning of a new rally.
The projected final flush sits between $38K and $45K.
September–October: $38K–$45K bottom zone
December: recovery and potential break above $60K
Early 2027: $108K long-term target
The entire thesis depends on Bitcoin failing to sustain the expected rebound near $68K.
If that rejection happens, the roadmap leaves room for one final capitulation before the larger recovery.
If Bitcoin instead establishes strength above that structure, the bearish sequence would need to be reassessed.
The $68K area is the line that could decide which roadmap survives.
Bitcoin has slipped below $63K again.
The current roadmap expects the weakness to continue toward $58K before any meaningful rebound.
Then comes the dangerous part:
$58K → $68K → $40K → $70K → $108K
A recovery toward $68K would look bullish on the surface.
Under this setup, that move becomes the bull trap rather than the beginning of a new rally.
The projected final flush sits between $38K and $45K.
September–October: $38K–$45K bottom zone
December: recovery and potential break above $60K
Early 2027: $108K long-term target
The entire thesis depends on Bitcoin failing to sustain the expected rebound near $68K.
If that rejection happens, the roadmap leaves room for one final capitulation before the larger recovery.
If Bitcoin instead establishes strength above that structure, the bearish sequence would need to be reassessed.
The $68K area is the line that could decide which roadmap survives.
$BTC UN ÚLTIMO FALSO DESBORDAMIENTO ANTES DEL GIRO 🚨
El roadmap actual deja margen para un último vaciado de Bitcoin antes de que se forme una recuperación más amplia.
$64K → $70K → $43K → $49K → $85K → $160K
Primero viene un posible impulso hacia $70K durante julio–agosto.
Luego, la tesis cambia bruscamente a la baja.
La zona proyectada de capitulación se ubica alrededor de $39K–$49K para octubre–noviembre.
Desde ahí, el roadmap espera una recuperación hacia $80K–$85K para mediados de 2027.
El objetivo de más largo plazo alcanza $160K para principios de 2028.
Todo el escenario depende de que el selloff final esperado realmente se desarrolle.
Si cambia la estructura del mercado, también cambia el roadmap.
Esta es una ruta de precios especulativa — no una secuencia garantizada de movimientos.
El roadmap actual deja margen para un último vaciado de Bitcoin antes de que se forme una recuperación más amplia.
$64K → $70K → $43K → $49K → $85K → $160K
Primero viene un posible impulso hacia $70K durante julio–agosto.
Luego, la tesis cambia bruscamente a la baja.
La zona proyectada de capitulación se ubica alrededor de $39K–$49K para octubre–noviembre.
Desde ahí, el roadmap espera una recuperación hacia $80K–$85K para mediados de 2027.
El objetivo de más largo plazo alcanza $160K para principios de 2028.
Todo el escenario depende de que el selloff final esperado realmente se desarrolle.
Si cambia la estructura del mercado, también cambia el roadmap.
Esta es una ruta de precios especulativa — no una secuencia garantizada de movimientos.
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$BTC THE CHART IS RUNNING OUT OF ROOM 🚨
The current ascending channel is approaching its final stage.
If the structure continues to play out, one more sharp decline could complete the cycle.
The projected downside range sits between $42K and $50K.
That zone is based on this chart interpretation, not a guaranteed outcome.
A confirmed breakdown would strengthen the bearish case.
A successful hold could invalidate the entire setup.
The next decisive move may determine whether this cycle has one final shakeout left or has already found its floor.
The current ascending channel is approaching its final stage.
If the structure continues to play out, one more sharp decline could complete the cycle.
The projected downside range sits between $42K and $50K.
That zone is based on this chart interpretation, not a guaranteed outcome.
A confirmed breakdown would strengthen the bearish case.
A successful hold could invalidate the entire setup.
The next decisive move may determine whether this cycle has one final shakeout left or has already found its floor.
¡EL CICLO HISTÓRICO DEL BTC BITCOIN VUELVE A ESTAR EN EL CENTRO DE ATENCIÓN 🚨
Un analista de mercados afirma que un patrón de largo plazo se ha mantenido constante en ciclos anteriores de Bitcoin.
2018
Máximo histórico: $19K
Caída: 84.1%
2022
Máximo histórico: $69K
Caída: 77.4%
2026
Máximo histórico: $126K
Ciclo actual: Aún en desarrollo
Según el analista, el pico más reciente del mercado llegó en línea con este ciclo histórico.
Con base en ese modelo, el próximo gran mínimo de Bitcoin podría formarse más adelante en 2026.
La proyección refleja la interpretación de un analista sobre ciclos pasados del mercado y no ha sido confirmada como un resultado futuro.
Un analista de mercados afirma que un patrón de largo plazo se ha mantenido constante en ciclos anteriores de Bitcoin.
2018
Máximo histórico: $19K
Caída: 84.1%
2022
Máximo histórico: $69K
Caída: 77.4%
2026
Máximo histórico: $126K
Ciclo actual: Aún en desarrollo
Según el analista, el pico más reciente del mercado llegó en línea con este ciclo histórico.
Con base en ese modelo, el próximo gran mínimo de Bitcoin podría formarse más adelante en 2026.
La proyección refleja la interpretación de un analista sobre ciclos pasados del mercado y no ha sido confirmada como un resultado futuro.
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$BTC 🚨 A CONTRARIAN BITCOIN ROADMAP IS DRAWING ATTENTION
Some traders believe Bitcoin's consolidation around $63K-$65K is not accidental.
Their view is that the current range is the final stage before a larger correction.
The first downside target is near $58K.
A move toward $53K is expected within days under this outlook.
The projected cycle low sits around $41K by August.
From there, the roadmap shifts to a recovery toward $55K.
The longer-term target extends to $145K if the broader cycle resumes.
Projected Path:
→ $64K
→ $58K
→ $41K
→ $55K
→ $145K
The analyst also points to previous calls on major S&P 500 selloffs and past Bitcoin market turning points as the basis for this outlook.
As with any market forecast, this scenario reflects one analytical view rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Some traders believe Bitcoin's consolidation around $63K-$65K is not accidental.
Their view is that the current range is the final stage before a larger correction.
The first downside target is near $58K.
A move toward $53K is expected within days under this outlook.
The projected cycle low sits around $41K by August.
From there, the roadmap shifts to a recovery toward $55K.
The longer-term target extends to $145K if the broader cycle resumes.
Projected Path:
→ $64K
→ $58K
→ $41K
→ $55K
→ $145K
The analyst also points to previous calls on major S&P 500 selloffs and past Bitcoin market turning points as the basis for this outlook.
As with any market forecast, this scenario reflects one analytical view rather than a guaranteed outcome.
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$BTC BITCOIN'S NEXT FEW MONTHS COULD DEFINE THE ENTIRE CYCLE
The current market structure is approaching a critical phase.
Key support and resistance levels will determine the next major move.
Volatility is expected to remain elevated.
Liquidity sweeps are likely before any sustained trend develops.
Momentum shifts will matter more than short-term headlines.
Patience may become the strongest edge in this market.
The coming months could separate emotional trading from disciplined positioning.
The roadmap is in place.
Now the market decides.
The current market structure is approaching a critical phase.
Key support and resistance levels will determine the next major move.
Volatility is expected to remain elevated.
Liquidity sweeps are likely before any sustained trend develops.
Momentum shifts will matter more than short-term headlines.
Patience may become the strongest edge in this market.
The coming months could separate emotional trading from disciplined positioning.
The roadmap is in place.
Now the market decides.
$BTC BITCOIN PARECE ESTAR REPITIENDO UN PATRÓN TÉCNICO FAMILIAR
El último intento de recuperar la Media Móvil de 200 días fue seguido por una caída de casi el 30%.
Algunos traders creen que la estructura actual está empezando a parecerse a esa misma secuencia.
Uno de los escenarios que se comentan es un movimiento hacia el Gap de Valor Justo ($70,000) (FVG) antes de que se apague el impulso.
Si esa visión se cumple, podría venir una corrección más profunda.
Bajo ese escenario, la región de $50,000 se convertiría en un nivel a vigilar, en lugar de un resultado imposible.
Por ahora, la acción del precio alrededor de zonas clave de liquidez determinará si esta configuración se desarrolla o fracasa.
El último intento de recuperar la Media Móvil de 200 días fue seguido por una caída de casi el 30%.
Algunos traders creen que la estructura actual está empezando a parecerse a esa misma secuencia.
Uno de los escenarios que se comentan es un movimiento hacia el Gap de Valor Justo ($70,000) (FVG) antes de que se apague el impulso.
Si esa visión se cumple, podría venir una corrección más profunda.
Bajo ese escenario, la región de $50,000 se convertiría en un nivel a vigilar, en lugar de un resultado imposible.
Por ahora, la acción del precio alrededor de zonas clave de liquidez determinará si esta configuración se desarrolla o fracasa.
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$BTC A bearish outlook is beginning to attract attention across the market.
The view suggests the current correction may not be over yet, but another rally could happen before the next major decline.
Market roadmap:
1. Local pullback toward $64K — Completed.
2. Recovery into the $70K Fair Value Gap.
3. Around 10–14 days of consolidation and distribution.
4. A break below the $58K support area.
5. A decline toward $48K.
6. Final support could develop between $39K and $45K.
Under this scenario, large-cap altcoins may still gain 10%–30% during the recovery phase.
This remains one technical outlook based on market structure and should not be viewed as a guaranteed prediction.
The view suggests the current correction may not be over yet, but another rally could happen before the next major decline.
Market roadmap:
1. Local pullback toward $64K — Completed.
2. Recovery into the $70K Fair Value Gap.
3. Around 10–14 days of consolidation and distribution.
4. A break below the $58K support area.
5. A decline toward $48K.
6. Final support could develop between $39K and $45K.
Under this scenario, large-cap altcoins may still gain 10%–30% during the recovery phase.
This remains one technical outlook based on market structure and should not be viewed as a guaranteed prediction.
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$BTC 🚨 BITCOIN'S NEXT MAJOR MOVE COULD DEFINE THE CYCLE
Current market structure suggests another high-volatility phase may be ahead.
One projected roadmap looks like this:
→ $66K–69K
→ $40K
→ $87K
→ $110K
This is a market projection, not a guaranteed outcome.
Stay disciplined. The biggest moves often come when expectations change.
Current market structure suggests another high-volatility phase may be ahead.
One projected roadmap looks like this:
→ $66K–69K
→ $40K
→ $87K
→ $110K
This is a market projection, not a guaranteed outcome.
Stay disciplined. The biggest moves often come when expectations change.
$ETH 🔥 HA EMERGIDO UNA GRAN ACUMULACIÓN DE ETHEREUM
Una gran billetera de criptomonedas ha adquirido aproximadamente $94 millones en ETH hasta el momento este mes.
Las transacciones de este tamaño a menudo atraen atención porque pueden reflejar una creciente convicción por parte de participantes del mercado con alto capital.
Aunque una sola compra de una ballena no garantiza la dirección futura del precio, la acumulación continua a gran escala se monitorea de cerca como una señal de la confianza subyacente del mercado.
Vigila la actividad en la cadena: puede revelar cambios importantes antes de que aparezcan en el precio.
Una gran billetera de criptomonedas ha adquirido aproximadamente $94 millones en ETH hasta el momento este mes.
Las transacciones de este tamaño a menudo atraen atención porque pueden reflejar una creciente convicción por parte de participantes del mercado con alto capital.
Aunque una sola compra de una ballena no garantiza la dirección futura del precio, la acumulación continua a gran escala se monitorea de cerca como una señal de la confianza subyacente del mercado.
Vigila la actividad en la cadena: puede revelar cambios importantes antes de que aparezcan en el precio.
$BTC 🚨 BITCOIN SE ESTÁ APROXIMANDO A UN NIVEL TÉCNICO CRÍTICO
Durante más de una década, Bitcoin ha cotizado dentro de una tendencia alcista de largo plazo que ha contenido cada gran mercado bajista.
Los ciclos anteriores siguieron un patrón conocido:
• 2018: Pico cerca de $19K, seguido de una capitulación antes de que se formara el mínimo del mercado.
• 2022: Pico cerca de $69K, seguido de una corrección profunda que finalmente estableció el mínimo del ciclo.
• Ciclo Actual: Después de alcanzar alrededor de $126K, algunos analistas creen que aún podría desarrollarse una fase de alta volatilidad antes de que se consolide la próxima tendencia de largo plazo.
Si Bitcoin pierde esta estructura de largo plazo, el miedo podría aumentar en todo el mercado.
Históricamente, los periodos de pesimismo máximo a menudo han coincidido con fases importantes de acumulación, aunque ningún resultado está garantizado.
Los próximos meses podrían convertirse en uno de los periodos más importantes de este ciclo para los inversores a largo plazo.
Mantente informado: los grandes cambios de mercado a menudo ocurren cuando el sentimiento cambia con mayor rapidez.
Durante más de una década, Bitcoin ha cotizado dentro de una tendencia alcista de largo plazo que ha contenido cada gran mercado bajista.
Los ciclos anteriores siguieron un patrón conocido:
• 2018: Pico cerca de $19K, seguido de una capitulación antes de que se formara el mínimo del mercado.
• 2022: Pico cerca de $69K, seguido de una corrección profunda que finalmente estableció el mínimo del ciclo.
• Ciclo Actual: Después de alcanzar alrededor de $126K, algunos analistas creen que aún podría desarrollarse una fase de alta volatilidad antes de que se consolide la próxima tendencia de largo plazo.
Si Bitcoin pierde esta estructura de largo plazo, el miedo podría aumentar en todo el mercado.
Históricamente, los periodos de pesimismo máximo a menudo han coincidido con fases importantes de acumulación, aunque ningún resultado está garantizado.
Los próximos meses podrían convertirse en uno de los periodos más importantes de este ciclo para los inversores a largo plazo.
Mantente informado: los grandes cambios de mercado a menudo ocurren cuando el sentimiento cambia con mayor rapidez.
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