Crypto_FIYA

Only 3 times in Bitcoin’s history have short-term holders capitulated at levels this extreme. In those cases, the market was close to a major bottom before $BTC eventually went parabolic. Capitulation can be painful, but historically, it has often been where the real opportunities begin. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

🔥 JUST IN: LG is teaming up with NVIDIA $NVDA to develop a next-generation bipedal humanoid robot powered by Isaac GR00T, with a public debut targeted for Q1 next year. Humanoid robotics continues to move closer to the mainstream. 🤖 #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

🚨 JUST IN: Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich says the company moved 5,014 $BTC between its custodial addresses as part of a routine operation. He clarified that no Bitcoin was sold and Metaplanet still holds 43,000 $BTC . #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

$SOL is still holding above the August low around $70.50, keeping the upside scenario in play. If that level continues to hold, SOL could potentially push toward the $89.40–$94 range, even under the more conservative outlook. #Altcoin Season# #SolanaETF

🔥 LATEST: BlackRock has reportedly cut the minimum size for in-kind $BTC -to-IBIT exchanges from $25M to just $1M, according to Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas. That’s a pretty significant reduction in the threshold. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

If $57K could be the final floor of this $BTC cycle. Bitcoin doesn’t need another explosive cycle multiple to reach well above $200K. The previous cycle delivered roughly 8.08x. If the next cycle retains only 40–50% of that multiple as returns continue to compress: • Base case: 3.23x → ~$184K • Bull case: 4.04x → ~$230K • Supercycle: 4.85x → ~$276K The model is simple: Next top ≈ cycle bottom × previous multiple × diminishing factor At a $57K bottom, that gives roughly $184K–$230K, with $276K as the more euphoric extension. It’s only a projection, but if Bitcoin’s diminishing-return pattern continues, this could be a reasonable range for the next cycle peak. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

🇺🇸 ETF flows on Aug. 7 were positive for $BTC and $ETH , while SOL and XRP saw no net flows. BTC: +101.7M ETH: +49.6M SOL: $0 XRP: $0 A decent day of inflows for BTC and ETH, with the rest remaining flat. #BTC Price Analysis# #Ethereum

It's interesting to see $BTC spot CVD now leading perpetual CVD. Spot CVD has already broken above its previous high, while perpetual CVD is still below its own. That difference helps explain why recent pullbacks haven't triggered the same wave of liquidation cascades seen in past range breakdowns. This doesn't guarantee the lows are safe. If spot demand starts weakening, BTC could still move lower. However, as long as spot buying remains strong, any retest of the range lows is more likely to be absorbed than in previous sell-offs. With less leverage driving the market, there's also less leverage that can unwind and accelerate downside moves. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

$SOL has reached an important support zone, where the chances of a broader recovery are starting to improve. The bigger-picture trend is still bearish for now, but the short-term price structure is showing signs of strengthening. #Altcoin Season# #Solana

🇺🇸 ETF FLOWS: Spot Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs all recorded net inflows on Aug. 4. • $BTC : +211.49M • $ETH : +53.75M • SOL: +1M #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

Retail activity in $BTC is approaching its highest level of this bear market. The problem isn't a lack of buyers. Retail continues to buy the dips, while larger participants keep selling. Retail Volume Delta is around +686.5M, but mid-sized CVD sits at -8.8B and institutional-sized CVD at -12B. That imbalance explains why Bitcoin has struggled to sustain a recovery despite strong retail demand. Retail has absorbed a significant amount of supply, but it hasn't been enough to offset the selling from bigger players. The risk is that if BTC keeps falling, retail could eventually capitulate. Ironically, that may be the point where larger participants begin accumulating again. Historically, that shift, when retail weakens and institutional selling slows, has often marked the formation of a major Bitcoin bottom. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

🔥 BULLISH: $BTC has gained 9.82% so far in July, bouncing back after consecutive red months in May and June. Can the bulls keep the momentum going into August? #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

🇺🇸 ETF FLOWS: Spot Bitcoin, $SOL , and $XRP ETFs recorded net inflows on July 29, while spot Ethereum ETFs ended the day with net outflows. • BTC: +32.11M • ETH: -18.65M • SOL: +19.06M • XRP: +584.71K #Solana #Ripple

$BTC 's MVRV currently sits at 1.21. For comparison, previous bear market bottoms saw MVRV fall to: • 2018: 0.69 • 2022: 0.75 MVRV measures Bitcoin's market value against its realized value, giving a sense of how far price has moved above or below the network's average cost basis. Compared to past cycle lows, today's reading is still around 60% higher than 2022 and 75% higher than 2018. As volatility continues to compress and market cycles mature, it's possible this cycle forms a higher MVRV low. Even so, if we judge purely by historical benchmarks, Bitcoin has yet to reach the same level of capitulation seen at the bottoms of the last two bear markets. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

$BTC rally could eventually run into the same problem we've seen throughout this bear market. The biggest concern is that the underlying structure hasn't changed. Spot trading volume has dropped to a new cycle low, while perpetual futures volume continues to climb alongside price. We've seen this divergence develop during previous bear market rallies, and each time it was followed by a sharp pullback as leveraged positions began to unwind. The reason is straightforward: if spot demand isn't strong enough, it struggles to absorb selling pressure once leverage starts coming off the table. Whether Bitcoin tops around $67K or extends toward $70K doesn't change the broader picture much. Until spot demand starts supporting the move, the rally remains vulnerable to a deeper correction. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

$BTC Crypto has been gradually shifting to the next cycle but still many traders are making up the final low phase. $UNI has been catching my attention lately, and it feels like there's more behind the move than just price action. Trading volume has jumped to around $180M over the past 24 hours, up 46% from the previous day. Proposals to activate Uniswap v4 protocol fees and extend v2/v3 fees to Robinhood Chain have already passed, strengthening the connection between protocol activity and future UNI burns. Beyond that, Uniswap continues to hold its position as one of the leading DeFi protocols, backed by deep liquidity and a well-established ecosystem. With v4 hooks rolling out, growing real-world asset activity on Robinhood Chain, and the market waiting for burn data, it's easy to see why UNI is back on many watchlists. If you're looking to follow the move or trade it, the UNI/USDT spot market is available on Bitget, with deep liquidity to help support execution during more active trading sessions. #Macro Insights# #Altcoin Season#

🔥 INSIGHT: Businesses were net buyers of 115K $BTC in Q2, while retail investors reduced holdings by 78K BTC, per River. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#

🚨 $SUI has officially launched the Hashi testnet, allowing builders and more than 25 ecosystem partners to begin testing $BTC -backed lending, borrowing, and credit markets ahead of the mainnet rollout. #BTC Price Analysis# #Altcoin Season#

📊 Another positive day for U.S. spot crypto ETFs on July 21, with net inflows recorded across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. BTC: +203.14M ETH: +37.47M $SOL : +5.83M $XRP : +5.66M #Solana #Ripple

🐋 INSIGHT: Bitcoin whales accumulated 66,700 $BTC over 60 days, while mid-sized holders sold 77,800 BTC, per CryptoQuant. #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#