#USIranDealOrNoDeal
Trump Says Talks Begin Monday. Iran Says Not So Fast.
President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday that the United States had a plan in place to launch what he called "the biggest attack since World War II" against Iran, but held off at the request of Gulf allies, opting instead to pursue negotiations he said would begin Monday afternoon. "They knew the extent of the attack because they saw it forming," Trump said, declining to disclose venue, participants, or a deadline for reaching an agreement.
The honest gap worth stating plainly is that Iran's own response has been considerably more cautious than this framing suggests. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei told reporters Monday there is no immediate plan for negotiations with the United States specifically, reiterating that Tehran's only active engagement remains with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Baghaei separately stated Iran would not "host a delegation or be guests of a country during these days."
This development sits within the full arc we have tracked since February, the initial strikes, the death of Iran's Supreme Leader, the declaration of full scale war, strikes on Kharg Island's export infrastructure, the Houthi attacks on Saudi tankers, and oil crossing 100 dollars a barrel before the recent pullback we described as a pause rather than a peace.
The honest assessment is that this represents another attempted de-escalation within a conflict that has produced several before, each with genuine uncertainty about whether both parties are describing the same reality. Whether Monday produces actual negotiations, as Trump stated, or continues the indirect, Oman-mediated track Iran describes, remains unresolved.
$BTC
Trump Says Talks Begin Monday. Iran Says Not So Fast.
President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday that the United States had a plan in place to launch what he called "the biggest attack since World War II" against Iran, but held off at the request of Gulf allies, opting instead to pursue negotiations he said would begin Monday afternoon. "They knew the extent of the attack because they saw it forming," Trump said, declining to disclose venue, participants, or a deadline for reaching an agreement.
The honest gap worth stating plainly is that Iran's own response has been considerably more cautious than this framing suggests. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei told reporters Monday there is no immediate plan for negotiations with the United States specifically, reiterating that Tehran's only active engagement remains with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Baghaei separately stated Iran would not "host a delegation or be guests of a country during these days."
This development sits within the full arc we have tracked since February, the initial strikes, the death of Iran's Supreme Leader, the declaration of full scale war, strikes on Kharg Island's export infrastructure, the Houthi attacks on Saudi tankers, and oil crossing 100 dollars a barrel before the recent pullback we described as a pause rather than a peace.
The honest assessment is that this represents another attempted de-escalation within a conflict that has produced several before, each with genuine uncertainty about whether both parties are describing the same reality. Whether Monday produces actual negotiations, as Trump stated, or continues the indirect, Oman-mediated track Iran describes, remains unresolved.
$BTC