cryptonewss

By mid-February 2026, Bitcoin [BTC] has entered a highly unstable phase, with sharp swings in price and mixed signals from the market.
Although Bitcoin has recovered to about $70,318, gaining 2.23% in one day, it is still down by 26% in the past month, showing how severe the recent drop has been.
This fall has pushed the Crypto Fear and Greed Index to 13, a level called “Extreme Fear,” which reflects strong panic among investors.
Despite this fear, Bitcoin is still dominating the crypto market, holding nearly 59% of the total market value.
Mixed Bitcoin dynamics
At the same time, large investors are slowly returning.
After big money flowed out earlier in the week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $15.1 million in new inflows on 13th February, suggesting that institutions may be buying again.
On the technical side, Bitcoin’s network is also changing. For the first time in years, both mining difficulty and hashrate are falling.

This means some miners are shutting down because rising costs and lower prices are making it hard to stay profitable. This phase is often called miner capitulation.
Overall, the market is caught between fear from small investors and quiet buying from big players.
While short-term charts still show uncertainty, major Wall Street banks are now focusing on long-term buying rather than short-term price moves.
J.P. Morgan’s long-term bet
Seeing the current market dynamics, J.P. Morgan has lowered Bitcoin’s estimated “price floor” (the cost to produce one Bitcoin) from $90,000 to $77,000.
This change happened mainly because mining difficulty fell by about 15%, many high-cost mining operations shut down, and severe winter storms in the U.S., especially in Texas, disrupted mining activity.
Yet, despite these challenges and adjustments, J.P. Morgan expects Bitcoin to reach $266,000 in 2026.
This confidence is based on hopes that the CLARITY Act will pass, making it easier for large institutions to invest in crypto.
This followed the bank’s building its own crypto systems. Through its Kinexys unit, it is expanding its digital dollar token and preparing to offer crypto custody services for Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Additionally, Goldman Sachs, which once criticized Bitcoin, has now also added major digital assets to its portfolio. 
What does this mean for investors?
All this is because the banks believe new regulations will make crypto safer and more attractive for large investors.
Interestingly, the Donald Trump administration is strongly supporting the CLARITY Act.
Patrick Witt, who works with the White House on digital assets, said the goal is to pass the law before the November 2026 midterm elections.
However, the bill is moving slowly in the Senate. 
Now, whether the CLARITY Act passes soon or later in 2026, crypto in the U.S. is moving away from a wild west phase and toward a more regulated, bank-supported system.
Final Summary
Bitcoin is going through a major test phase, with high volatility and strong fear among small investors.Falling mining difficulty and hashrate point to miner capitulation, which often happens during major market resets.
#cryptooinsigts #JPMorgan #CryptoNewss

Prediction markets should shift to hedging, says Vitalik Buterin
Prediction markets are skewed toward short-term bets rather than real risk transfer. vitalik buterin argues their design should prioritize hedging household and business exposures over speculation.
A review of public commentary and coverage indicates his concerns focus on structural incentives. Without mechanisms to preserve yield on posted collateral, hedgers face a persistent cost-of-capital penalty that traders may ignore.
Why it matters: prediction markets hedging needs interest-bearing collateral
The missing feature is interest-bearing collateral that preserves yield while positions are open. According to the Block, Buterin views current designs as unattractive because participants forgo steady yields, around low single-digit APY on dollar assets, to take event exposure.
“Prediction markets are very unappealing for hedging because they fail to offer interest on collateral,” said Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum co-founder.
Treating these markets as risk-transfer infrastructure implies collateral should earn while locked, with transparent accrual and clear segregation of risk. Yale School of Management commentary has also warned that thin liquidity and manipulation risks can distort signals, which matter more when users are hedging rather than gambling.
BingX: a trusted exchange delivering real advantages for traders at every level.
Immediate impact: U.S. CFTC regulation and platform choices
U.S. event contracts face active scrutiny, which shapes what can list and how retail users participate. Stocktwits’ coverage notes rising U.S. regulatory attention, reinforcing the need for products framed as hedges for real-world exposures rather than wagers.
Business Insider has reported growing investor interest in event-risk markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket, reflecting demand to hedge discrete outcomes within different U.S. regulatory pathways. The practical takeaway is that market design and compliance positioning will likely determine which platforms facilitate bona fide risk transfer.
At the time of writing, Gnosis (GNO) traded near $134.17 with 8.99% realized volatility, an RSI of 57.49, and 16 green days in the past 30. The 50- and 200-day simple moving averages stood around 132.24 and 129.14, respectively.
Blueprint: AI baskets and fiat-independent settlement for risk-transfer
Buterin’s proposed direction reframes prediction venues as tools for stabilizing everyday costs and balance sheets. Blockonomi reported he outlined AI-driven baskets and fiat-independent mechanisms so end users can transfer risk without being captive to bank rails or local currency frictions.
Interest-bearing collateral and yield preservation
A hedging-first design embeds interest-bearing collateral so users don’t surrender baseline yield to obtain coverage. Net cost then reflects only the event premium and basis risk, not the foregone return on cash-like assets.
Yield preservation requires auditable accrual and bankruptcy-remote segregation, so collateral income and event PnL are distinct. This structure improves capital efficiency and lowers the hurdle rate for households and firms to hedge.
AI-personalized baskets for expense hedging
AI can map a user’s expense profile to a diversified set of event contracts representing key risks: inflation, energy, policy, and regulatory outcomes. Blockonomi notes the aim is fiat-independent settlement and automated construction, so consumers receive tailored, composable protection.
Investing.com has highlighted that portfolios struggle with story-driven, discrete event risk, which these baskets directly target. Careful market selection, liquidity checks, and outcome definitions remain essential to avoid fragmented or illiquid exposures.
FAQ about prediction markets hedging
How would interest-bearing collateral make prediction markets more attractive for hedging real-world risks?
It preserves yield on posted collateral, turning the total cost into just the event premium instead of premium plus foregone interest.
Which platforms currently support event-risk hedging and how do they fit within U.S. CFTC regulation?
Business Insider notes investors use venues like Kalshi and Polymarket; each aligns differently with U.S. CFTC oversight and permissible event contracts.
#cpi #CryptoNewss #ETH #Binance

في عالم العملات المشفرة، حيث تتغير الثروات بلمح البصر، نشهد حالياً ظاهرة مثيرة للاهتمام قد تكون إيذاناً بـ موسم العملات البديلة (Altseason) المنتظر. فبينما تراجع سعر البيتكوين (BTC) بنسبة 42% من ذروته الأخيرة، أظهرت العملات البديلة (Altcoins) مرونة وقوة لافتة، مستعيدة مستويات الانهيار التي شهدتها في 10 أكتوبر الماضي. فهل نحن على أعتاب تحول كبير في تدفقات السيولة؟

الرسم البياني يتحدث: OTHERS/BTC في أعلى مستوياته منذ 4 أشهر! 📈

الرسم البياني لزوج OTHERS/BTC (الذي يقيس أداء العملات البديلة باستثناء العشرة الأوائل مقابل البيتكوين) يروي قصة واضحة. بعد الانهيار الحاد في 10 أكتوبر، والذي أثر بشكل كبير على السوق، تمكنت العملات البديلة من التعافي بقوة، لتصل إلى أعلى مستوياتها في أربعة أشهر. هذا التعافي لا يشير فقط إلى استعادة الخسائر، بل يؤكد أن السيولة بدأت تتدفق بعيداً عن البيتكوين نحو العملات البديلة.

المؤشر أداء البيتكوين (BTC) أداء العملات البديلة (OTHERS/BTC)

الانخفاض من الذروة 42% أقل تأثراً، ثم تعافٍ قوي
مستوى التعافي لم يستعد بعد استعاد مستويات ما قبل 10 أكتوبر
دلالة تراجع الهيمنة زيادة القوة النسبية

دوران رؤوس الأموال: اللعبة الكبرى في سوق الكريبتو 🔄

دوران رؤوس الأموال (Capital Rotation) هو ظاهرة متكررة في أسواق العملات المشفرة، حيث تنتقل السيولة بين فئات الأصول المختلفة. عادة ما تبدأ الدورة بالبيتكوين، ثم تنتقل إلى العملات الكبيرة (مثل إيثيريوم وسولانا)، وأخيراً إلى العملات البديلة الأصغر. ما نشهده الآن هو مؤشر قوي على أن هذه الدورة قد بدأت بالفعل:

تراجع هيمنة البيتكوين: مع استقرار البيتكوين أو تراجعه، تبدأ هيمنته السوقية (Bitcoin Dominance) في الانخفاض، مما يفتح المجال أمام العملات البديلة للنمو

البحث عن عوائد أعلى: بعد تحقيق أرباح في البيتكوين، يبحث المستثمرون عن فرص جديدة بعوائد محتملة أعلى في العملات البديلة، خاصة تلك التي لم ترتفع بعد بشكل كبير.

السيولة المؤسسية: على الرغم من خروج بعض السيولة من صناديق البيتكوين المتداولة (ETFs)، هناك مؤشرات على أن المستثمرين المؤسسيين بدأوا ينظرون إلى العملات البديلة ذات المشاريع القوية كفرص استثمارية

هل موسم العملات البديلة أقرب مما نتوقع؟ 🌸

العديد من المؤشرات الفنية والأساسية تشير إلى أن موسم العملات البديلة (Altseason) قد يكون وشيكاً:

1. استعادة المستويات الحرجة: تجاوز زوج OTHERS/BTC لمستويات المقاومة الرئيسية التي تشكلت بعد انهيار أكتوبر هو إشارة فنية قوية على تحول الزخم

2. صمود العملات البديلة: حقيقة أن العملات البديلة لم تنهار بنفس حدة البيتكوين تشير إلى أن "الأيدي الضعيفة" قد خرجت من السوق، وأن المستثمرين الحاليين لديهم قناعة أقوى بمشاريعهم

3. تطورات المشاريع: العديد من مشاريع العملات البديلة تشهد تطورات تقنية وشراكات جديدة، مما يزيد من جاذبيتها الاستثمارية.

الخلاصة: عين على البيتكوين، وأخرى على البدائل 👁️‍🗨️

إن دوران رؤوس الأموال هو عملية حيوية في سوق العملات المشفرة، والبيانات الحالية تشير بقوة إلى أن العملات البديلة تستعد لمرحلة نمو قوية. ومع ذلك، يجب على المستثمرين توخي الحذر وإجراء أبحاثهم الخاصة، فالسوق لا يزال متقلباً. ولكن، إذا استمرت هيمنة البيتكوين في التراجع واستقرت الأسواق، فقد نشهد قريباً انفجاراً في أسعار العملات البديلة يتجاوز توقعات الكثيرين. هل أنت مستعد للرحلة؟ 🎢
#bitcoin #others #crypto #CryptoNewss
$BTC

🤖 AI Bomb Incoming
Elon Musk revealed that Grok 4.2 from xAI is launching next week — and insiders say it’s a major leap over 4.1.
Because Musk’s AI projects often connect with tech platforms and exchanges, markets are watching closely for ripple effects.
⚠️ Bitcoin Faces a Future Threat
Investor Nic Carter warned:
If quantum-resistant security isn’t implemented soon, institutions like BlackRock could pressure control over Bitcoin development.
Translation: The battle for Bitcoin’s future may move from developers → corporations.
💳 AI Will Soon Shop For You
PayPal bought Cymbio for $150-200M to enter Agentic Commerce — where AI agents purchase products automatically.
Competition is now forming between Stripe and OpenAI protocols to control the future of online transactions.
📊 Market Shift — Ethereum Whales Moving
Ethereum reclaimed $2,000 but momentum is uncertain:
🐋 One whale turned a $3.5M loss into $2.48M profit while holding a massive long
🐋 An early holder moved 14,183 ETH ($42M) to Coinbase after buying at $12 years ago
🐋 Another whale bought 8,000 ETH from Binance and supplied it to Aave
📉 Mixed signals = volatility ahead.
#CryptoNewss #AIRevolution #ElonMusk #GrokAI #xAI #bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoMarket #Whales #Altcoins #Blockchain #Web3 #DeFi #PayPal #AICommerce #Fintech #CryptoTrading #BullRun #CryptoUpdate #TechNews $BTC
$ETH

$XRP is back in the spotlight. After weeks of choppy consolidation and fading momentum, the token has staged a sharp rebound, catching many traders off guard. As the broader crypto market flashes green and capital rotates back into large-cap assets, XRP’s strong move higher has sparked a key question across trading desks and social feeds: is this simply a short squeeze, or the early stage of a more sustainable trend reversal?
The recent surge did not happen in isolation. Bitcoin and Ethereum have both shown renewed strength, helping to improve overall market sentiment. When majors stabilize and push higher, capital often flows into high-liquidity altcoins, and XRP tends to be one of the first beneficiaries. Its deep liquidity, strong community base, and historical volatility make it attractive for both spot traders and derivatives participants.
Was It Just a Short Squeeze?
There is no denying that short liquidations played a role. Funding rates had tilted negative during the prior downtrend, signaling that many traders were positioned for further downside. As price began to grind upward, those short positions were forced to close, adding fuel to the move. Liquidations can accelerate price action dramatically, creating rapid vertical candles that look explosive on lower time frames.
However, short squeezes alone rarely sustain multi-day momentum. They create bursts, not trends. What makes the current XRP move interesting is the follow-through. Instead of immediately retracing after the liquidation spike, price has shown signs of consolidation above key breakout zones. That behavior often signals real spot demand stepping in, rather than purely leveraged unwinding.
Market Structure Shift
Technically, XRP’s structure has improved. The token broke above a descending resistance trendline that had capped price action for weeks. Volume expanded during the breakout, which adds credibility. In #CryptoMarkets , breakouts without volume tend to fail. This one was supported by noticeable participation.
On higher time frames, XRP is attempting to reclaim previous support levels that had turned into resistance during the correction phase. A successful reclaim and hold above those zones could mark a shift from lower highs and lower lows to a more constructive pattern of higher lows.
Momentum indicators have also flipped positive on several time frames. While indicators should never be used in isolation, their alignment with structural improvement strengthens the bullish case.
Broader Market Tailwinds
The macro backdrop matters. Crypto markets are highly correlated, especially during recovery phases. If Bitcoin maintains strength and volatility remains controlled, altcoins typically gain confidence. Liquidity returning to the system benefits assets like XRP that already have strong exchange integration and deep order books.
Additionally, regulatory clarity narratives continue to influence XRP sentiment. Even subtle shifts in legal or policy tone can impact trader psychology. While price action should always be the primary focus, sentiment catalysts often amplify technical setups.
Spot Demand vs. Leverage
One of the most important factors to monitor now is the balance between spot buying and leveraged speculation. If open interest continues rising sharply alongside price, it may indicate the rally is becoming crowded again, increasing the risk of volatility spikes. On the other hand, steady price appreciation with moderate derivatives growth suggests healthier accumulation.
Exchange inflow and outflow data also offer clues. Sustained outflows can signal accumulation behavior, while large inflows may indicate preparation to sell. Watching these metrics over the coming sessions could clarify whether institutional or large-wallet participation is increasing.
Psychological Levels in Play
Every major move in crypto faces psychological barriers. Round numbers often act as magnets for liquidity and trigger zones for profit-taking. If $XRP approaches these levels with declining momentum, a pullback becomes likely. If it approaches them with accelerating volume and strong bid support, continuation becomes the higher probability scenario.
Traders should also consider the possibility of a retest. Healthy breakouts frequently return to test former resistance as support before continuing upward. A successful retest that holds would reinforce the bullish thesis and potentially attract sidelined capital.
Risk Factors to Watch
Despite the strength, risks remain. Crypto rallies can reverse quickly if Bitcoin stalls or macro headlines shift risk appetite. A failure to hold above the recent breakout zone would weaken the current narrative and potentially trap late buyers.
Additionally, if funding rates flip aggressively positive and sentiment becomes euphoric too quickly, the market may become vulnerable to a long squeeze, mirroring what recently happened to shorts.
So, What Is It Really?
Calling this move “just a short squeeze” may be overly simplistic. While liquidations contributed to the initial acceleration, the sustained price behavior suggests something more constructive may be unfolding. Market structure improvement, rising volume, and broader market alignment all point toward the possibility of an early trend shift rather than a temporary spike.
Still, confirmation takes time. Strong trends prove themselves through higher lows, successful retests, and consistent participation. The next few sessions will be critical in determining whether #xrp transitions into a broader recovery phase or fades back into range-bound consolidation.
For now, XRP has reclaimed attention, momentum, and narrative strength. Whether that evolves into a lasting rally depends not only on technical follow-through, but also on how the broader crypto ecosystem behaves from here.
The bounce is real. The question is whether it becomes a breakout story.

#XRPRally #bitcoin #CryptoNewss

Many people are saying:
“$BTC is back to 2021 levels.”
But here’s the truth.
In 2021, Bitcoin reached around $69,000.
Yes, today price is moving near that zone again.
But what most beginners forget is this:
After 2021,
Bitcoin crashed.
Recovered.
And later made NEW all-time highs above that level.
So price returning to an old level
does NOT mean the market is weak.
It means we are revisiting a historical zone.
🧠 Important Lesson for Beginners:
Markets move in cycles.
Old resistance can become new support.
Old highs can become consolidation zones.
Don’t trade based on headlines.
Trade based on structure.
Now ask yourself:
Is $BTC weak —
or just building before the next move?
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
#bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNewss #MarketCycles #Trading