交易员Rocky
穿越牛熊，预判顶底，短线波段，主流以太，高倍中短线合约（100-200倍），超高胜率90%，快速翻仓。公众号（行业分析Rocky）
10 Following
1.9K+ Followers
2.4K+ Liked
273 Shared
Posts
All
Quotes
Videos
PINNED
To maintain stable profits in trading, the most important point is the timing of entry. Do not think about adding to your position immediately after a drop or rally. When stuck in a position, the first consideration should be risk, followed by where to add to your position to exit. How to hedge and exit while minimizing losses is also crucial.
The timing of entry is a key factor in winning rates. It is necessary to combine volume and candlestick patterns to find suitable opportunities for entry. If the candlestick weakens, it is time to take profits and exit, even if there is still profit potential afterward. Whether the price goes up or down is irrelevant to you. Therefore, after completing a trade, if there are no suitable opportunities, it’s best to remain on the sidelines and focus on long-term consistency and compounding.
Next is position management. Never forget not to go all-in. Under high leverage operations, you need to learn to divide your positions. The so-called building a position + adding to the position + stop-loss levels allows for a maximum of two additions. If losses occur, do not touch the market again. You should immediately take a break and review later. Summary: $BTC , , $ETH ,
The timing of entry is a key factor in winning rates. It is necessary to combine volume and candlestick patterns to find suitable opportunities for entry. If the candlestick weakens, it is time to take profits and exit, even if there is still profit potential afterward. Whether the price goes up or down is irrelevant to you. Therefore, after completing a trade, if there are no suitable opportunities, it’s best to remain on the sidelines and focus on long-term consistency and compounding.
Next is position management. Never forget not to go all-in. Under high leverage operations, you need to learn to divide your positions. The so-called building a position + adding to the position + stop-loss levels allows for a maximum of two additions. If losses occur, do not touch the market again. You should immediately take a break and review later. Summary: $BTC , , $ETH ,
The entity K-line has not effectively broken through 2135
Short position established
Currently reached the first take profit position
Short position established
Currently reached the first take profit position
Every day there is a chance for Erbing, and what you need to do every day is to learn to wait and strike at the right moment.
Every day there is a chance for Erbing, and what you need to do every day is to learn to wait and strike at the right moment.
BTC: In-depth Interpretation of Whether the Major Bull Wave of Bitcoin's Bear Market Has Arrived?
1. Overall Market Situation: Top confirmed, bear market trend clear
Report Core Judgment: The peak in October has completed the top of this halving cycle. The decline starting from this peak shows impulsive characteristics, indicating that the trend in higher time frames has shifted to a bear market. Any rebound should be seen as a correction within the bear market, and this bear market trend is likely to persist until the second half of 2026.
Historical Pattern Verification: In every previous halving cycle, the drawdown exceeded 70%, providing historical reference for the current deep adjustment.
2. Weekly and Daily Composite Perspectives: Bears dominate, limited corrective rebound
Report Core Judgment: The peak in October has completed the top of this halving cycle. The decline starting from this peak shows impulsive characteristics, indicating that the trend in higher time frames has shifted to a bear market. Any rebound should be seen as a correction within the bear market, and this bear market trend is likely to persist until the second half of 2026.
Historical Pattern Verification: In every previous halving cycle, the drawdown exceeded 70%, providing historical reference for the current deep adjustment.
2. Weekly and Daily Composite Perspectives: Bears dominate, limited corrective rebound
1750 has also successfully reached and rebounded $ETH
1820 successfully arrived, accurate forecast. $ETH
The trend is king
This kind of one-sided market has directly invalidated the support and resistance $ETH
This kind of one-sided market has directly invalidated the support and resistance $ETH
First drop below $70,000 since November 6, 2024.
The current small-level two-pie is at the end of a consolidation phase, with an unclear direction. The safest strategy is to wait for a clear breakout before taking action, avoiding frequent trading within the convergence range.
1. Downward center: A 5-minute level downward center formed in the range of 2,106.68-2,192.09 USDC in the previous period.
2. Divergence confirmation: After the price breaks below the center, it enters the departure phase (sub-wave 5), showing a decrease in volume + RSI bottom divergence, confirming the divergence and initiating the B wave rebound.
3. Current node: It is in the central oscillation stage after the rebound, with no clear top or bottom formation yet, and the bullish and bearish forces are temporarily balanced.
1. Downward center: A 5-minute level downward center formed in the range of 2,106.68-2,192.09 USDC in the previous period.
2. Divergence confirmation: After the price breaks below the center, it enters the departure phase (sub-wave 5), showing a decrease in volume + RSI bottom divergence, confirming the divergence and initiating the B wave rebound.
3. Current node: It is in the central oscillation stage after the rebound, with no clear top or bottom formation yet, and the bullish and bearish forces are temporarily balanced.
Interval 1750-1820
ETH Two-tier Size Level Multi-cycle Technical Analysis
1. 15-minute level
- Naked K and Waves: The price fell from a high of 2,436.40, experiencing a 5-wave decline to a low of 2,105.55, and then rebounded, currently in a corrective wave after the decline. The latest candlestick pattern shows a weak consolidation, with no clear reversal signal yet.
- Chan Theory: A clear pen structure formed during the decline, with the low of 2,105.55 constituting a small-level buy, but the subsequent rebound strength was weak and failed to break through the key resistance above, indicating that bullish strength is temporarily insufficient.
- Volume: During the rebound phase, the trading volume did not effectively increase, while there was a slight increase in volume during recent declines, indicating that current market sentiment is bearish and bearish forces are still dominant.
- Naked K and Waves: The price fell from a high of 2,436.40, experiencing a 5-wave decline to a low of 2,105.55, and then rebounded, currently in a corrective wave after the decline. The latest candlestick pattern shows a weak consolidation, with no clear reversal signal yet.
- Chan Theory: A clear pen structure formed during the decline, with the low of 2,105.55 constituting a small-level buy, but the subsequent rebound strength was weak and failed to break through the key resistance above, indicating that bullish strength is temporarily insufficient.
- Volume: During the rebound phase, the trading volume did not effectively increase, while there was a slight increase in volume during recent declines, indicating that current market sentiment is bearish and bearish forces are still dominant.
The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill to end the partial government shutdown
On February 4, Jinshi Data reported that the U.S. House of Representatives passed a massive funding bill on Tuesday to end the partial government shutdown that began on Saturday. The bill is now set to be sent to President Trump for signing into law. The voting result was 217 votes in favor and 214 votes against. Trump has stated that he will sign the document 'immediately.' The bill will provide funding for multiple federal departments until September 30, which is the end of the current fiscal year, but the Department of Homeland Security is an exception. The Department of Homeland Security has recently faced controversy and protests due to immigration enforcement actions, and it will only be provided with two weeks of funding to allow for negotiations on improving the department's operations. The deadline for the Homeland Security funding will be February 13.
On February 4, Jinshi Data reported that the U.S. House of Representatives passed a massive funding bill on Tuesday to end the partial government shutdown that began on Saturday. The bill is now set to be sent to President Trump for signing into law. The voting result was 217 votes in favor and 214 votes against. Trump has stated that he will sign the document 'immediately.' The bill will provide funding for multiple federal departments until September 30, which is the end of the current fiscal year, but the Department of Homeland Security is an exception. The Department of Homeland Security has recently faced controversy and protests due to immigration enforcement actions, and it will only be provided with two weeks of funding to allow for negotiations on improving the department's operations. The deadline for the Homeland Security funding will be February 13.
ETHUSDC Perpetual Contract (15-minute Cycle) Naked K + Wave + Ichimoku Three-Dimensional Analysis
1. Naked K perspective: A technical pause after an extreme decline
- Trend structure: The price quickly plunged from a high of 2,394.82 USDC, with consecutive large bearish candles leading to a drop, with a 24-hour decline of 9.37%, as bearish forces concentrated and released.
- Key support: 2,105.55 USDC (today's lowest point) is the current core support and an important psychological level in this round of decline.
- Key resistance: 2,218.37 USDC (recent small platform low) is a strong pressure level in the short term, which needs to be closely monitored during rebounds.
- K-line pattern: A small bullish candle with reduced volume appeared after reaching 2,105.55 USDC, indicating a technical pause after a sharp decline, but no clear reversal patterns like 'bullish engulfing' or 'morning star' have emerged, with bullish momentum extremely weak.
- Trend structure: The price quickly plunged from a high of 2,394.82 USDC, with consecutive large bearish candles leading to a drop, with a 24-hour decline of 9.37%, as bearish forces concentrated and released.
- Key support: 2,105.55 USDC (today's lowest point) is the current core support and an important psychological level in this round of decline.
- Key resistance: 2,218.37 USDC (recent small platform low) is a strong pressure level in the short term, which needs to be closely monitored during rebounds.
- K-line pattern: A small bullish candle with reduced volume appeared after reaching 2,105.55 USDC, indicating a technical pause after a sharp decline, but no clear reversal patterns like 'bullish engulfing' or 'morning star' have emerged, with bullish momentum extremely weak.
Login to explore more contents