分析师 Young

$XAU $GOLD gold price chart analysis 8/17

Review of last Friday’s outlook; gold was closed over the weekend:

Last Friday, gold made a new high at 4449. At the time, I reminded that a divergence appeared within the following hour, so there was a risk of a pullback.

For short-term trading, I provided a long entry zone at 4320, with take-profit at 4359. For the long-term, there’s no need to worry about intraday fluctuations—just hold with confidence.

On Monday, the market fully played out the prediction. The price dipped to around 4310, giving a short-term long opportunity at 4320. Once you entered, you could capture the rebound profit.

On Monday’s Asia session, price first fell and then rose. After pushing up to 4416, it faced pressure and pulled back to 4393.

Technical signals: the 2-hour MACD shows signs of a slight rebound. After the 4-hour price retraced to around the zero line, it started the rebound.

Next, focus on the key support below: 4375.

If this support holds, the rebound trend can continue.

The larger uptrend structure for the long term remains intact, with a long-term target of 4700.

👉 Long-term positions: hold your shares; don’t let intraday volatility easily shake you out.
👉 Intraday short-term: strictly trade back and forth according to the support and resistance levels.

$ETH Order Book Analysis 8/17

Review of Yesterday’s View: The 3-hour timeframe is crucial. It directly affects the daily chart’s rebound.

Previously, there was a cycle contradiction on the board: the 12-hour trend was weakening, but the 3–4 hour timeframe had already shown counterattack signals. The market formed a triangular converging pattern, and we predicted a turning point would arrive next week.

On Monday’s Asian session, the expectation was fulfilled immediately: price broke upward out of the triangle convergence, with the high reaching 1909.

At present, the bottom on the 3-hour timeframe has been confirmed. The ideal scenario is that indicators repeatedly form non-divergent structures above the zero line, which could help digest the 12-hour weakening state, and then trigger the daily chart to begin a rebound.

The first resistance zone today is 1925–1943. Focus on the strength of the breakout here. If price can successfully hold and confirm the breakout, the earlier target at 2073 has a strong chance of being reached.

$ETH has been ranging around 1900 for a long time—down moves can’t seem to happen!!!

⚠️Therefore, be cautious about shorting; prioritize following the rebound structure.

$BTC order book analysis 8/17

Recap of yesterday’s key points: $BTC focus on the 2–4 hour resistance area 63344–63655

Today’s Asian session perfectly matched our expectations. Price rebounded to a high of 63459, entering precisely into the inside of the resistance zone!

Based on trading experience: the 63655 area of resistance is unlikely to flip quickly. Most likely, there will be repeated back-and-forth consolidation. Downside support to watch at the lowest is around 61700.

Remember what we judged at the beginning of the month: throughout August, the overall trend is a choppy downward movement, with no sustained effective upside extension.

At this stage, Bitcoin has been holding steady in a sideways range—this already counts as a relatively strong performance.

This week, our view remains a range-bound but slightly bearish trend; however, the downside potential is limited and the depth won’t be too much.

As long as the bottom of this month is not broken down effectively, September will most likely see a reversal行情

📅This week’s key event reminders

Three core items: the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, the Fed meeting minutes, and Europe/US PMI

Key times:
✅ Wednesday 02:00 Fed July meeting minutes
✅ Friday 21:45 US PMI preliminary

No explosive-level data, but geopolitics + policy expectations will still stir up the market

$ETH order book analysis 8/16

Review of yesterday’s view: The ETH 90-minute MACD briefly crossed below, but it did not expand the bearish downside; on the 3-hour timeframe, bearish momentum continues to weaken, and bulls clearly show willingness to test upward

Key logic:
The 3-hour trend is extremely important—it directly drives the rebound structure at the daily level

Once the daily chart fully starts its repair phase, then the three-day moving line will turn upward; Ethereum’s true bottom will be confirmed, and the next wave of upward momentum is about to begin

On the order book/market front, the 12-hour timeframe shows a mild weakening and a tendency to probe lower, but on the 3–4 hour timeframe there is also an intention for a bullish counterattack

Repeated tug-of-war between bulls and bears—no clear short-term direction; most likely there will be a turning point next week

Trading approach:
At this stage, price movement is extremely small, the market is grinding heavily, and contract trading offers very poor value for money

But for spot trading, this is exactly the perfect DCA (dollar-cost averaging) interval!

$BTC order book analysis 8/16

Recap of yesterday’s view: As long as it doesn’t break below 62,800 and holds the bottom, it will trigger a corrective rebound. The overhead target pressure is 63,800–64,000

After overnight consolidation, the price moved above 63,125. The 1-hour MACD has turned above the zero line, but the rebound strength is very weak and the volume can’t keep up

Now the key focus is the 2-hour and 4-hour resistance zone: 63,344–63,655

✅Only if it can effectively hold within this range will the rebound be able to continue

❌If it can’t move up there, the bearish outlook remains. First downside target: the previous low at 62,288

Right now, overall trading volume is extremely contracted. Compared with other assets, $BTC’s circulating market looks quiet and inactive

The less volume there is, the more you should be cautious: once capital steps in, it will either push sharply higher or sell off deeply. The big move is building up

Key watch tonight after 22:00: Bitcoin’s performance

US stocks | $SPCX pre-market analysis 8/14

Review of yesterday’s view: The key intraday defense support is around 134. As long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact. After a push higher, there is still a pullback risk. The longer-term target is 158.

Last night’s US session dipped to a low of 139.8. The support zone test proved effective, and the current pre-market price is 143.5.

The market has not printed a higher high yet, and the momentum for a strong upside push has weakened in the short term. There is a need for a pullback to digest profit-taking.

Today’s key focus: the pullback-reentry (support) zone 129–134.

The overall larger bullish structure has not been completely broken, but you should not blindly chase higher in the short term.

First, observe how strong the 129–134 zone’s follow-through/reentry demand is, then decide on the pace of subsequent actions.

US stocks | Micron Technology $MU pre-market analysis 8/14 The two-day moving average level uptrend rebound officially begins

Review yesterday’s outlook:
If it pulls back to the 880–885 support and stabilizes, it will launch an attack toward the 934–945 resistance range. Once it holds above that level, it will trigger a bottom reversal over the next 2–6 hours

The market fully delivered the prediction:
In the 2-hour MACD, momentum stays above the zero line and forms a high-level non-bearish divergence bullish pattern. The 6-hour structure has successfully broken out

The two-day moving average uptrend rebound is officially underway!

Current pre-market price: 979. The bullish long candle directly holds above the previous resistance zone—price action is very strong

What to watch tonight:
The key psychological level above: 1000
If it can break through in one push and build momentum here, the upside space for the bulls will open further

Short-term defensive support zone: 897–900
As long as it does not break down through this range effectively, the current uptrend from this main upswing remains intact and continues pressing higher

US Stocks | $SKHY Hynix Pre-market Analysis 8/14: Forecasts Paid Off; Bull Trend Continues to Build

Review of Yesterday’s View: If it pulls back into the 146–150 range, it will surge upward to challenge above 160. The bottom-attack momentum is strong, and the bigger trend has not weakened

Last night’s action fully delivered on the forecast: it closed at 165, and the current pre-market is at 169

The 10-minute MACD bottom signal that I repeatedly emphasized earlier has triggered a very strong, non-divergence surge

Tonight’s opening has two possible scenarios:
1) Consolidate and build momentum in the 165–169 range, digesting short-term profit-taking

2) Directly push upward to attack the resistance level at 177; after a high, a pullback will likely follow

After this aggressive rally, the key defensive zone is: 150–157

As long as this range holds firmly, this leg of the main uptrend expansion won’t be broken, and there is still room to continue pushing higher

Overall, the base is solid and the bullish momentum is sufficient; my judgment still leans toward testing new highs upward

US Stocks | SanDisk $SNDK Pre-market Analysis 8/14: The Trend Reverses Completely—Don’t Short Against the Trend!🔥

SanDisk perfectly replicates yesterday’s call!

Yesterday’s view: Hold above 1318 on the pullback and stabilize, then directly test the resistance zone at 1435–1446

Last night during the U.S. session, it surged violently—breaking through the pressure range with ease, and even spiking up to 1528!

After decisively breaking the key pressure level, updated in real time: Breakthrough means opening up new space—next stop looks like 1700

Current pre-market price is 1630+, already infinitely nearing the target level!

Technically, it’s completely turned strong:
On the three-hour timeframe, a bottom-reversal structure has fully formed
MACD is holding above the zero line; bullish momentum continues to release—the trend has been completely flipped

Today’s core idea is very clear:
✅ In the evening, it will likely challenge the 1700 resistance level
After touching 1700, a normal technical pullback will likely occur to build up energy

Healthy pullback support range: 1334–1429
As long as it retraces here and holds steadily, the next new advance wave will officially kick off—bottom trend is solidified for good!

Key reminder:
The three-hour bottom reversal is now in place, and the trend move is already here
Don’t start guessing the top just because it’s surged in the short term—going with the trend is the key!

$ETH Order Book Analysis 8/14

One-sentence summary of Ethereum’s recent行情: it’s been extremely frustrating to trade

It remains trapped in a small box range, oscillating back and forth. The upper bound is 1897 and the lower bound is 1861. Price keeps tugging both ways and still hasn’t managed to break out

The good news is that the key support below at 1850 has not been broken for now, and the market still holds an oscillation pattern

As the weekend approaches, trading volume will most likely shrink further, and volatility is expected to be even smaller

Simple way to think about it:
✅ Long-term spot: you can hold with confidence; don’t worry about short-term chop
⚠️ Short-term trading: the current situation is very indecisive, and opportunities aren’t very friendly

Indicator rhythm:
The 90-minute timeframe has already slipped into weakness
There is likely a need for a rebound and repair on the 3–4 hour timeframe. The main resistance above is 1890

If the rebound can’t break through 1890, the probability of another leg down remains relatively high. Watch the support at 1850 closely—if it’s lost, downside room will open up further

At this stage, the market lacks breakout strength. For short-term trades, lower your expectations and manage risk tightly

$BTC order book analysis 8/14

Trading volume remains sluggish, and the market continues to churn within a range

Yesterday, it twice tested the 64,000 level, but it never managed to hold

Around midnight, it suddenly sold off to the downside and made a new low, dipping to about 62,800. It briefly broke below the lower boundary of the box, then printed a long lower wick and quickly rebounded, returning to the vicinity of the lower edge of the box at around 63,300

Although it was a false breakdown and recovered, the short-term trend is still generally bearish

Personal view: I’m bearish in the short term, but I won’t short

With the weekend approaching, trading volume is likely to shrink further. Price action will become even more tedious; it’s unlikely that open positions will see any noticeable movement in the near term

Key levels to watch:
✅ Major support below: 62,300 (the prior triple-bottom area)
If the body breaks below, it will open up deeper downside space

If support holds, and price pulls back to around 62,800, there’s a chance to form a rebound from a temporary low

✅ Resistance above (4-hour): 64,000
Only if it regains and stands firm here will the weak short-term situation ease

At the four-hour level, there’s still a possibility of bottoming out—though the signal hasn’t yet materialized

$XAU $GOLD Gold market analysis 8/14

This pullback is completely within expectations! Yesterday at the new high around 4449, I warned an hour ahead about the risk of a divergence pullback

At present, the typical cycle contradiction in the market is:
The 2-hour down-move momentum still needs to be released; the 4-hour bullish trend remains unchanged. The bulls and bears are pulling against each other, causing repeated whipsaw oscillation

For intraday focus, keep an eye on the resistance around 4359

The market will most likely push higher but face pressure, then continue to range lower—suitable for short-term tactical trading. Intraday, you can look to go long around 4320. Take profit near the resistance around 4359

Long-term view remains the same:
There’s no need to overthink the intraday back-and-forth shakeouts. The bigger uptrend structure is intact—just hold with confidence

Trading core: Take the range/oscillation on the short term, take the trend on the long term. Understand the cycle—then you won’t lose the rhythm

SanDisk $SNDK isn’t taking Viagra anymore—everything is within expectations.

Break through the 1454 resistance zone; the next stop at 1700 is coming soon!

✅ Micron, Hynix, and SanDisk daily targets all delivered

To see the complete entry logic, key price levels, support and resistance, and the detailed pre-market thought process, move directly to the homepage for the original pre-market analysis!

US Stocks | $SPCX Pre-market Analysis 8/13

Recap of yesterday’s view:
The structure continues, pushing higher. First, look at the 145 level.

Last night’s session turned stronger. Intraday, the high reached 149, and the current pre-market price is 146.

Looking back at the earlier bottom call: around 104 was this round’s major bottom.

The stock rebounded from 104 and climbed all the way up. Now it has firmly regained the IPO issuance price.

After pulling back from the low to above the issuance price, it took less than a month—its recovery speed is extremely strong.

Right now, the next target at 158 is just one push away—there’s a remaining stretch of room to drive.

Today’s key intraday support is around 134.

Overall, the bullish rhythm hasn’t turned bad: the lows are gradually being raised, and the rebound trend remains in place.

What the hell! You’re crazy—suddenly you have to raise interest rates

$XAU $GOLD Gold price chart analysis 8/13

Review of yesterday’s key points: The big trend remains bullish. Keep a close eye on the 4340 support level, while also noting the risk of a pullback after a high.

But after last night’s CPI was released, the gold price performed better than expected.

After a brief retracement near 4380, it then rallied steadily and hit a new high at 4449.

Today’s chart shows: an hourly MACD divergence signal.

In a strong uptrend, divergence is just a warning that momentum may be slowing—it does not necessarily mean an immediate sharp drop.

The previous day already showed signs of weakening momentum, yet the market still held up against pressure and made another new high.

As the price keeps pushing higher, the support levels during pullbacks are also moving up.

The new key consolidation/support zone has shifted up to 4359.

The overall long structure remains unchanged. The strategy is still to buy on pullbacks and take long positions.

US Stocks | $SKHY Hynix pre-market analysis 8/13

Recap of yesterday’s view:
In the 10-minute MACD bottom area, a breakout formed. The upside target is 156.

Last night’s action directly played out as expected—during the session it surged up to 155, nearly precisely reaching the target range.

After this round of rally, there is a short-term pullback need, but the order book support on the chart remains relatively strong.

Current pre-market price: 152.

There’s a chance of a slightly lower open tonight with a pullback. Pay close attention to the 146–150 support zone.

✅ Ideal scenario:
Hold the 146–150 range during the pullback, then regain upward momentum and aim to test the 160 area.

The upside momentum from the bottom this time is strong, and the larger trend has not weakened.

US Stocks | Sandisk $SNDK Pre-market Analysis 8/13

Recap of yesterday’s view:
SanDisk’s bottom is steadily drawing closer; after breaking above the 1270 resistance, the next target resistance is 1435‑1446

Last night, affected by the CPI data, it surged to 1390 and then fell under pressure.
The current pre-market price is 1352

Today’s key support level: 1318

✅ Ideal scenario:
Pull back and hold above 1318 to stabilize, then launch another upward push to test the 1435‑1446 resistance zone

Only if the upper resistance level consolidates and digests sufficiently will there be a chance to see a three-hour-scale bottom reversal; only then will the market truly strengthen

One-sentence summary:
Hold steady and build up momentum for the rebound drama—if it breaks down, then it will continue to trade sideways and grind for time