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牛虾虾
17 Posts

牛虾虾

一直在交易
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26 Followers
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This time, Trump’s rise and “harvesting” more seems more like preparing to drum up liquidity for tokens he plans to issue himself 🤔 Is that possible? #trump $TRUMP
This time, Trump’s rise and “harvesting” more seems more like preparing to drum up liquidity for tokens he plans to issue himself 🤔
Is that possible?
#trump $TRUMP
The most powerful thing about the “Dumb King” isn’t predicting the market—it’s getting the market to trade ahead of him. One Truth Social post can simultaneously affect stocks, bonds, oil, and Bitcoin. Now even Trump’s media has monetized this influence directly: launching the Truth API, pushing important posts to Wall Street institutions at millisecond speeds. Retail traders are still reading the headlines, while trading machines may have already run a full round. The cleverness of this game is that it blends policy, news, and market expectations into one. It builds suspense first, then releases the message—everyone has to watch what he says next. The more concentrated the attention, the more valuable his words become. But our experience is very direct: We think we’re trading the news—when in fact we’re trading the price after someone else gets the news early. What the “Dumb King” sells isn’t just an opinion. He sells volatility itself.#特朗普敦促国会通过Clarity法案 #BTC突破7万大关
The most powerful thing about the “Dumb King” isn’t predicting the market—it’s getting the market to trade ahead of him.
One Truth Social post can simultaneously affect stocks, bonds, oil, and Bitcoin. Now even Trump’s media has monetized this influence directly: launching the Truth API, pushing important posts to Wall Street institutions at millisecond speeds.
Retail traders are still reading the headlines, while trading machines may have already run a full round.
The cleverness of this game is that it blends policy, news, and market expectations into one. It builds suspense first, then releases the message—everyone has to watch what he says next. The more concentrated the attention, the more valuable his words become.
But our experience is very direct:
We think we’re trading the news—when in fact we’re trading the price after someone else gets the news early.
What the “Dumb King” sells isn’t just an opinion.
He sells volatility itself.#特朗普敦促国会通过Clarity法案 #BTC突破7万大关
Yushu Technology went public today. While robots haven’t yet entered every household, the stock price ran ahead first like a sprint champion. The issue price was 150.80 yuan, the intraday high jumped 629%, and it ultimately closed at 845 yuan—up 460%. #宇树科技上市首日涨629%
Yushu Technology went public today. While robots haven’t yet entered every household, the stock price ran ahead first like a sprint champion.
The issue price was 150.80 yuan, the intraday high jumped 629%, and it ultimately closed at 845 yuan—up 460%. #宇树科技上市首日涨629%
It’s on, it’s on—ready to ship!
It’s on, it’s on—ready to ship!
牛虾虾
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Can Niu Lai go up to alpha?

#牛来 $Niu Lai
SNDK these days is genuinely hard to describe—so disgusting.🤮 The most torturous part about this kind of trend is: On the first day, it feels like it went up too much—so you wait for a pullback. On the second day, you discover it’s still rising, and you start doubting yourself. On the third day, it keeps accelerating. In your head, it’s no longer “whether it’s worth buying,” but “if I don’t get on the train now, will I completely miss my chance?” To be honest, I’m really not sure I dare to jump in. Not because the company is bad—exactly the opposite, because its story is getting smoother and smoother. Storage demand driven by AI, NAND prices rising, earnings exploding, plus the long-term growth framework investors receive day after day— the market is re-packaging SNDK from a traditional cyclical stock into an “AI storage core asset.” The problem is right here. When both fundamentals and the stock price accelerate at the same time, it’s easy to confuse “the company is great” with “it’s also great to buy right now.” SNDK’s forward P/E currently looks like it’s only around 8x, and at first glance it even seems cheap. But what storage stocks most need to be careful about is using peak-cycle profits to compute valuation. If in the future NAND prices, profit margins, and AI demand all come true according to optimistic expectations, then today’s price may still have support. But as soon as just one link comes in below expectations, the market will reprice—not only the stock price, but also that earnings denominator that looks so cheap. That’s where I’m most torn right now. If I don’t buy, I’m afraid it will keep surging toward $2000; If I chase now, I’m afraid I’ll end up buying not fundamentals, but the urgency manufactured by consecutive gains. Later I thought it through and decided to算了—still, I’ll pass. Missing a wave of upside is only something you’ll feel uncomfortable about for a few days; but if you jump in just because you’re afraid of missing out, and it drops a little, I won’t even be able to explain to myself why I hold it in the first place. At low levels, it tests your judgment. At high levels, it tests your self-control. SNDK isn’t something I don’t understand, and it’s not that I don’t like its outlook. It’s just that after it has risen to this point, I still haven’t found a reason that even if it suddenly pulls back, I can remain comfortable holding it. Some trains aren’t impossible to board. It’s just that when everyone is urging you to get on quickly, you’d better confirm first—are you buying a ticket, or are you buying emotion? #闪迪股价涨幅扩大至11% $SNDK
SNDK these days is genuinely hard to describe—so disgusting.🤮
The most torturous part about this kind of trend is:
On the first day, it feels like it went up too much—so you wait for a pullback.
On the second day, you discover it’s still rising, and you start doubting yourself.
On the third day, it keeps accelerating. In your head, it’s no longer “whether it’s worth buying,” but “if I don’t get on the train now, will I completely miss my chance?”
To be honest, I’m really not sure I dare to jump in.
Not because the company is bad—exactly the opposite, because its story is getting smoother and smoother.
Storage demand driven by AI, NAND prices rising, earnings exploding, plus the long-term growth framework investors receive day after day— the market is re-packaging SNDK from a traditional cyclical stock into an “AI storage core asset.”
The problem is right here.
When both fundamentals and the stock price accelerate at the same time, it’s easy to confuse “the company is great” with “it’s also great to buy right now.”
SNDK’s forward P/E currently looks like it’s only around 8x, and at first glance it even seems cheap.
But what storage stocks most need to be careful about is using peak-cycle profits to compute valuation.
If in the future NAND prices, profit margins, and AI demand all come true according to optimistic expectations, then today’s price may still have support.
But as soon as just one link comes in below expectations, the market will reprice—not only the stock price, but also that earnings denominator that looks so cheap.
That’s where I’m most torn right now.
If I don’t buy, I’m afraid it will keep surging toward $2000;
If I chase now, I’m afraid I’ll end up buying not fundamentals, but the urgency manufactured by consecutive gains.
Later I thought it through and decided to算了—still, I’ll pass.
Missing a wave of upside is only something you’ll feel uncomfortable about for a few days;
but if you jump in just because you’re afraid of missing out, and it drops a little, I won’t even be able to explain to myself why I hold it in the first place.
At low levels, it tests your judgment.
At high levels, it tests your self-control.
SNDK isn’t something I don’t understand, and it’s not that I don’t like its outlook.
It’s just that after it has risen to this point, I still haven’t found a reason that even if it suddenly pulls back, I can remain comfortable holding it.
Some trains aren’t impossible to board.
It’s just that when everyone is urging you to get on quickly, you’d better confirm first—are you buying a ticket, or are you buying emotion? #闪迪股价涨幅扩大至11% $SNDK
Can Niu Lai go up to alpha? #牛来 $Niu Lai
Can Niu Lai go up to alpha?

#牛来 $Niu Lai
After the disclosure of SPCX’s shareholding structure, my first reaction wasn’t, “Big guys bought too—so this is solid now.”Instead, it’s this: this company doesn’t look like a typical publicly listed company—it’s almost like half the tech world is sitting at the same table, collectively betting on space, satellites, and AI. First look at the most core figure: Musk. The latest disclosures show that Musk holds about 642 million shares of SPCX, with an economic ownership stake of roughly 48.4%. The IPO documents also indicate that because SpaceX uses a dual-class share structure—Class A shares carry 1 vote per share and Class B shares carry 10 votes per share—Musk’s total voting power after the IPO completion reaches as high as 84.4%. In other words, what we buy in the market are SpaceX’s economic interests, but where the company truly flies—the wheel is still firmly in Musk’s hands.

After the disclosure of SPCX’s shareholding structure, my first reaction wasn’t, “Big guys bought too—so this is solid now.”

Instead, it’s this: this company doesn’t look like a typical publicly listed company—it’s almost like half the tech world is sitting at the same table, collectively betting on space, satellites, and AI.
First look at the most core figure: Musk.
The latest disclosures show that Musk holds about 642 million shares of SPCX, with an economic ownership stake of roughly 48.4%. The IPO documents also indicate that because SpaceX uses a dual-class share structure—Class A shares carry 1 vote per share and Class B shares carry 10 votes per share—Musk’s total voting power after the IPO completion reaches as high as 84.4%.
In other words, what we buy in the market are SpaceX’s economic interests, but where the company truly flies—the wheel is still firmly in Musk’s hands.
SNDK’s recent trend is really not giving people much room to breathe. At the end of July, it even dipped to around $1,007. The latest close has already rebounded to $1,641, and after-hours it touched $1,658. Thursday it rose 13.7%, and Friday it rose another 7.39%—nearly 22% over two days. Even onlookers find it exciting, and anyone holding the stock probably changes their mind three times a day. When it was falling, the market said NAND prices were rising too fast and profits had already peaked; when it was rising, it started saying AI storage had just entered a breakout phase. The most realistic picture may be somewhere in between: SanDisk’s fundamentals are indeed strengthening, but market sentiment is also moving very fast. In the latest quarter, SanDisk revenue was $8.965 billion, up 372% year over year, with non-GAAP earnings per share of $39.25. In the next quarter, the company expects revenue of $10.3–$10.8 billion and EPS of $44–$46. This kind of growth is no longer just a story about “AI needing more storage”—it’s when AI demand is genuinely starting to flow into orders and financial statements. What truly reignited investor excitement was Investor Day. Management expects revenue for fiscal years 2028–2030 to maintain high-single- to double-digit growth, non-GAAP gross margin around 80%, and an adjusted free cash flow rate of about 50%. After completing business investments, it also plans to return all remaining cash to shareholders. At the same time, long-term business agreements already cover about 50% of fiscal year 2027 shipment volume, as well as about two-thirds of fiscal year 2028 shipments. This is essentially addressing the market’s biggest concern: Can SanDisk transform from a NAND cycle stock with big swings in profits into an AI storage company with more predictable orders and cash flow? But at this point, there’s no longer any comfortable entry position. From $1,007 to $1,641, it’s risen more than 60% in a short time. Fundamentals are getting prettier, and expectations embedded in the stock price are rising too. Going forward, the market isn’t just looking at whether there’s growth—it’s whether the 80% gross margin can be sustained, whether long-term agreements can be delivered on, and how long AI storage demand can truly last. Right now, the biggest feeling I have about SNDK is: When it falls, it makes you wonder if something is wrong with the company; once it rallies, it makes you wonder whether you missed the whole era. It’s not that you can’t understand it—it's that every time you finally figure it out, the price has already moved to a different level.#闪迪涨7%因营收增长展望 $SNDK #闪迪单日跌12.63%
SNDK’s recent trend is really not giving people much room to breathe.
At the end of July, it even dipped to around $1,007. The latest close has already rebounded to $1,641, and after-hours it touched $1,658. Thursday it rose 13.7%, and Friday it rose another 7.39%—nearly 22% over two days.
Even onlookers find it exciting, and anyone holding the stock probably changes their mind three times a day.
When it was falling, the market said NAND prices were rising too fast and profits had already peaked; when it was rising, it started saying AI storage had just entered a breakout phase.
The most realistic picture may be somewhere in between:
SanDisk’s fundamentals are indeed strengthening, but market sentiment is also moving very fast.
In the latest quarter, SanDisk revenue was $8.965 billion, up 372% year over year, with non-GAAP earnings per share of $39.25. In the next quarter, the company expects revenue of $10.3–$10.8 billion and EPS of $44–$46.
This kind of growth is no longer just a story about “AI needing more storage”—it’s when AI demand is genuinely starting to flow into orders and financial statements.
What truly reignited investor excitement was Investor Day.
Management expects revenue for fiscal years 2028–2030 to maintain high-single- to double-digit growth, non-GAAP gross margin around 80%, and an adjusted free cash flow rate of about 50%. After completing business investments, it also plans to return all remaining cash to shareholders.
At the same time, long-term business agreements already cover about 50% of fiscal year 2027 shipment volume, as well as about two-thirds of fiscal year 2028 shipments.
This is essentially addressing the market’s biggest concern:
Can SanDisk transform from a NAND cycle stock with big swings in profits into an AI storage company with more predictable orders and cash flow?
But at this point, there’s no longer any comfortable entry position.
From $1,007 to $1,641, it’s risen more than 60% in a short time. Fundamentals are getting prettier, and expectations embedded in the stock price are rising too. Going forward, the market isn’t just looking at whether there’s growth—it’s whether the 80% gross margin can be sustained, whether long-term agreements can be delivered on, and how long AI storage demand can truly last.
Right now, the biggest feeling I have about SNDK is:
When it falls, it makes you wonder if something is wrong with the company; once it rallies, it makes you wonder whether you missed the whole era.
It’s not that you can’t understand it—it's that every time you finally figure it out, the price has already moved to a different level.#闪迪涨7%因营收增长展望 $SNDK #闪迪单日跌12.63%
BNB’s recent market action is a bit like that classmate who rarely talks but always keeps near the top of the rankings. Right now the price is around $605, and over the past week it’s mostly been hovering between $597 and $620. The rises aren’t very exciting, and the dips aren’t satisfying either—after watching long enough, you might even wonder: has it forgotten that crypto markets are supposed to be volatile? But things aren’t actually idle on-chain. In the first half of the year, on BNB Chain the block interval was shortened to 450 milliseconds, finality was reduced to 650 milliseconds, and testing throughput increased to about 5,200 TPS; in the second half, it also plans to keep speeding things up. So BNB is kind of in an awkward position: ecosystem activity is moving forward, but the price isn’t rushing to keep up. It’s not like MEME coins that can soar on a single wave of sentiment; it’s not just an exchange token either. It simultaneously plays roles related to exchange privileges, on-chain Gas, staking, and ecosystem assets. That’s what I really feel about BNB—it doesn’t lack a solid base; what it lacks is a brand-new story that makes the market instantly excited. Saying it’s weak doesn’t feel quite right; saying it’s about to explode also doesn’t have enough momentum. It’s more like quietly crouching near $600. While others are responsible for generating the hype, BNB is responsible for waiting for the hype to come back. $BNB
BNB’s recent market action is a bit like that classmate who rarely talks but always keeps near the top of the rankings.
Right now the price is around $605, and over the past week it’s mostly been hovering between $597 and $620. The rises aren’t very exciting, and the dips aren’t satisfying either—after watching long enough, you might even wonder: has it forgotten that crypto markets are supposed to be volatile?
But things aren’t actually idle on-chain.
In the first half of the year, on BNB Chain the block interval was shortened to 450 milliseconds, finality was reduced to 650 milliseconds, and testing throughput increased to about 5,200 TPS; in the second half, it also plans to keep speeding things up.
So BNB is kind of in an awkward position:
ecosystem activity is moving forward, but the price isn’t rushing to keep up.
It’s not like MEME coins that can soar on a single wave of sentiment; it’s not just an exchange token either. It simultaneously plays roles related to exchange privileges, on-chain Gas, staking, and ecosystem assets.
That’s what I really feel about BNB—it doesn’t lack a solid base; what it lacks is a brand-new story that makes the market instantly excited.
Saying it’s weak doesn’t feel quite right; saying it’s about to explode also doesn’t have enough momentum.
It’s more like quietly crouching near $600.
While others are responsible for generating the hype, BNB is responsible for waiting for the hype to come back. $BNB
The quality of the boys and girls at the Binance Square is really good—unlike what’s shown in ads or just for fun. Everyone is fairly serious, and it’s actually possible to find a relationship.
The quality of the boys and girls at the Binance Square is really good—unlike what’s shown in ads or just for fun. Everyone is fairly serious, and it’s actually possible to find a relationship.
Bull has ignited BSC's enthusiasm!
Bull has ignited BSC's enthusiasm!
Article
BTC is once again ‘playing dead’ near $63,000The hardest part of watching the chart these past couple of days isn’t actually the crash. It’s that it keeps grinding sideways. If it goes up a little, you’re afraid to chase it and get trapped; It dips a bit, but it won’t go down decisively and painlessly. As of today, BTC is roughly around $63,000. It barely moved over the past 24 hours, but it’s down about 3% over the last week. The intraday trading range is only around 1%, and volume is still shrinking. Translated into plain human language, it means: Buyers aren’t in a hurry, and sellers haven’t fully surrendered yet. Around $62,500 there are temporarily some people stepping in, but once you get above $63,000 to $65,000, you can clearly feel the selling pressure. Talking about a reversal is a bit too early; going outright short seems to be missing the final push, too.

BTC is once again ‘playing dead’ near $63,000

The hardest part of watching the chart these past couple of days isn’t actually the crash.
It’s that it keeps grinding sideways.
If it goes up a little, you’re afraid to chase it and get trapped;
It dips a bit, but it won’t go down decisively and painlessly.
As of today, BTC is roughly around $63,000. It barely moved over the past 24 hours, but it’s down about 3% over the last week. The intraday trading range is only around 1%, and volume is still shrinking.
Translated into plain human language, it means:
Buyers aren’t in a hurry, and sellers haven’t fully surrendered yet.
Around $62,500 there are temporarily some people stepping in, but once you get above $63,000 to $65,000, you can clearly feel the selling pressure. Talking about a reversal is a bit too early; going outright short seems to be missing the final push, too.
Article
SPCX is back at $139—this time I actually don’t want to rush to call it a breakoutJust looking at SPCX again today—the price is back around $139. In the past 24 hours it once touched above $144, then fell back; over the past week it’s still up by about 8%. If you stretch the timeline a bit more: it dropped to a low of $105 on August 3, and has since bounced back by roughly 30% from the low. This chart looks really thrilling. Two months ago it hit a peak of $225, then kept getting smashed down to $105; when everyone thought it would keep falling, it suddenly pulled back to around $140. So seeing people start shouting “back to 200” now doesn’t surprise me at all.

SPCX is back at $139—this time I actually don’t want to rush to call it a breakout

Just looking at SPCX again today—the price is back around $139.
In the past 24 hours it once touched above $144, then fell back; over the past week it’s still up by about 8%. If you stretch the timeline a bit more: it dropped to a low of $105 on August 3, and has since bounced back by roughly 30% from the low.
This chart looks really thrilling.
Two months ago it hit a peak of $225, then kept getting smashed down to $105; when everyone thought it would keep falling, it suddenly pulled back to around $140.
So seeing people start shouting “back to 200” now doesn’t surprise me at all.
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