小鳄鱼-LF

62675 long
61035 stop loss
64299, 65350 take profit

Continue to look at the decline during the day, just execute the short order, the price breaks through the resistance near 64800 and a 1-hour double top + td9 signal appears, which then fails. It is currently a 4-hour double top + td9. The price falls back to the 64800 area again, sow appears, and the day is bearish.

The support below is the 4-hour Vegas, the daily Bollinger middle track, and the 4-hour ma99 multiple resonance support. After the short order takes profit, you can do a band long order. The first position of the band long is around 64000.

The interest rate cut has arrived. It is understandable that everyone wants to see the bull market. It is very unpleasant to be bearish, but how long can this round last?
Think carefully, what is the biggest positive in this round? Halving, ETF, interest rate cuts, all have been implemented, what else? The interest rate cut will only gradually weaken as each round of news is implemented.

Floki did not create a new high, but a double top. This wave of callback is close to the key neckline of 0.16. It looks a bit weak. If it can't hold up, it will go down to around 0.15. For example, it will be comfortable to reach 0.152, and we can get chips at a lower price.

The same is true for Pepe, but it is stronger and created a new high of 0.12. It stopped falling perfectly near 0.105, which was called yesterday, and continued to rise to nearly 0.12, an increase of 15%.
Those who haven't got on the train yet can still place a buy order at 0.105, but the perfect entry price in my mind is still around 0.1.

Because I said that the room for its 0.12 to make up for the previous high of 0.17 is only 40%, and the room for Sol150 to make up for the previous high of 210 is also 40%. So the cost-effectiveness of altcoins is very low now, and a deeper callback is needed to impress me again, otherwise I will definitely choose the more stable 2x XSol, right.

Of course, the current market is still on an upward trend, and my view remains unchanged. After the correction and consolidation of various currencies in the past two weeks, the currency prices will continue to rise in October.

$PEPE $FLOKI

Yesterday, the upper resistance level broke through, and many people began to look at the pursuit of long positions after the breakthrough.

My personal opinion: It is still in the distribution area, because the institutional delivery process has four stages:
The first stage is the cessation of the upward trend
The second stage is to set up the distribution area and lure the public to continue buying
The third stage is to test whether the demand is exhausted. This stage is the most important. Last night's high was a test
The fourth stage is the appearance of a downward signal, and the market begins a downward trend
The first stage of the upward trend stops, including the initial supply, the rush to buy climax, the natural decline and the second test in the figure
The second, third and fourth stages are the confirmation stage of distribution. This process is the turning point of the entire trend. In this test stage, it includes the initial appearance of the bear market (sow) and the upward rush and fall (UT). Last night's behavior was UT. The price broke through the top shock zone, tested the demand and swept the short stop loss, and then the price returned to the shock zone again. [At present, just wait for the price to return to the shock zone again], and then sow (weakness appears) The basic short trend is stable

The upward rush and fall will not appear in every wave, and the amplitude is different each time, so it is difficult to set the stop loss. It was hit yesterday and returned to today's cost. It's a pity, but the whole idea remains unchanged.

I have a small method to confirm whether it is a true or false breakthrough here. First refer to the historical trend chart. It is currently around January 10, 24. The price continued to consolidate, and then the price broke through and formed a 4-hour M top. Then the price fell back to the shock zone and fell all the way. This is a successful case of upward rush and fall. BTC in 4 hours should have appeared two or three times, because I have done it and I have a better impression.

So the method is: after the breakthrough, see if there is a 1-hour or 4-hour M top.

$BTC

At present, the trend of Bitcoin is a relay + oscillating trend. 64800~65100 is still the biggest upward pressure, and it has not broken through.

If Bitcoin is equal to or lower than 62900 again, I will consider entering the market again to make a low long.

If you want to short, you must at least wait until the absolute pressure level before entering the market, because the trend needs further observation.

Extension: I found that the long order of 62700 that I posted on Monday, every time BTC reaches this point, it will rise by at least 1,000 US dollars. Pick up money?

$BTC

The full video is on YouTube, including the on-chain gold mining part $BTC $SOL $TAO
BTC
1. Yesterday's volume was large and the price was relatively poor. The volume and the increase were relatively poor. The volume increased but the price was small. We need to be vigilant against high-level stagflation
2. In the channel trend, the upper rail (67500) is nearly 2500 from the recent high. Even if it breaks through 65000 in the short term, it will still face the pressure of the upper rail. From the perspective of the band space, the cost-effectiveness of the upper short position is higher
3. In the previous rebound, the 20-day change rule was basically maintained. Now it is approaching this cycle. We need to be vigilant against short-term corrections if history repeats itself
4. The continuous blunting of the KD indicator has a large demand for technical repair. It is forbidden to chase the increase in the short term
5. The 4H chart is currently in the 5th wave. It is necessary to observe the strength of the price rebound. If it is weak, pay attention to the A-wave correction generated by the arc top
In summary: the short-term long gains may be limited. Even if it rebounds, the cost-effectiveness of the band short position is higher
Trading strategy:
Short order: 64500-65500-66000 in batches, stop loss 67000, take profit 62000-60000-58000 (band short order)

1) Market trend:
BTC fell and failed to break through the previous high. The copycats generally rose, and meme was the main line of the market. The gas fee on the ETH chain rose sharply, and thousands of times the golden dog appeared frequently.
US stocks fluctuated, and technology stocks rose.
2) Market hot spots:
1. Neiro, a meme, rose sharply. Neiro is the market leader, BN is a strong dealer + strong community.
2. Tao, Arkm, AR, NEAR, AIT and other AI sectors rose. Presidential candidate Harris announced that she would vigorously develop AI.
3. Modular TIA forced a short surge. TIA Foundation's $100 million half-price OTC. Next month's big unlock, pull the market before unlocking. TIA's short-selling rate is as high as -160%.
4. Terminus, a local dog on the chain, rose sharply. It is Musk's Mars City meme, which rose 2,000 times in a week. Big brother Li Ping stood on the platform, and many ground-pushing communities spread it. Meme is the excess liquidity in the market. Under the background of market fluctuations, active speculative funds are mainly on the chain.
5. The market leader Polymaket plans to airdrop. The re-pledged eigenlayer of the previous airdrop will start trading on September 30.

$BTC $ETH $SOL $