Gold: paper exposure in the West, physical accumulation in Asia. This chart highlights a striking divergence in how the world’s largest gold markets gained exposure to the metal in 2025. 🇺🇸 United States: 612 tonnes of demand, but only 29% in physical metal. The largest component — 437 tonnes — came through ETFs and other paper claims. 🇨🇳 China: 925 tonnes of demand, with approximately 86% in physical gold, primarily jewellery, bars and coins. 🇮🇳 India: 749 tonnes of demand, of which around 95% was physical metal. The distinction matters. Western investors often treat gold primarily as a financial asset — something that can be traded efficiently through ETFs and securities. In China and India, gold continues to be accumulated overwhelmingly as a tangible store of wealth. Investment conclusion For long-term investors, the key message is not simply that demand for gold remains strong, but where that demand is coming from and in what form. Persistent physical accumulation in Asia can provide an important structural foundation for the gold market, particularly at a time of geopolitical fragmentation, concerns over currency debasement and growing demand for assets outside the traditional financial system. The gold deserves to remain a strategic component of a diversified portfolio — not merely as a short-term trade, but as a long-term monetary and real-asset allocation.
A MAJOR COPPER SHORTAGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 15 YEARS. ➢ By 2040, the world could face a copper shortfall of around 10 million tonnes — equivalent to approximately 33% of current global demand. 🤍 Global copper demand could rise from 28 million tonnes in 2025 to 42 million tonnes by 2040. 🤍 Around 60% of the increase in demand will come from Asia, driven primarily by the expansion of electric vehicles and upgrades to power grids. 🤍 Another major factor is AI data centers. Their copper consumption could increase by 127%, reaching 2.5 million tonnes by 2040. 🤍 Meanwhile, copper production is expected to peak at around 34 million tonnes in 2030, before declining to 32 million tonnes by 2040. Electrification, grid modernization, EV adoption and the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure are creating long-term demand that may be increasingly difficult for new mine supply to match. Copper is emerging as the next strategically important commodity of global significance.
More than two-thirds of the electricity sought for the US artificial intelligence boom is unlikely to materialize due to a proliferation of “phantom” projects and long-shot pitches. •Wood Mackenzie expects utilities and grid operators to commit to just 28% of the 1,066 gigawatts requested for data centers — capacity equivalent to more than 1,000 traditional nuclear reactors. •The inflated forecasts complicate grid planning and risk raising utility bills as infrastructure costs are passed on to customers. •Developers are taking a shotgun approach to pitching projects as they seek ways get ahead in the AI build-out. But that raises the risk of overwhelming US grids and creating even more bottlenecks.
Gold’s history is not a straight line. It is a story of monetary regimes, inflation, crises, long periods of consolidation — and repeated reassessments of what constitutes a reliable store of value. From the end of Bretton Woods and the surge of the 1970s, through the long bear market that followed, the Global Financial Crisis, the pandemic and the latest cycle of record prices, each phase has had its own catalyst. Today, the Gold is receiving renewed attention amid persistent geopolitical uncertainty, changing monetary dynamics and continued demand from central banks.
China’s central bank added a net 20 tonnes of gold in July, as much gold as the combined monthly mine production of the world's 10 largest gold-producing countries. It is a largest monthly purchase since October 2023, following increases of 15 tonnes in June and 10 tonnes in May. This marked the 21st consecutive month of official gold-reserve accumulation. Year-to-date, China has raised its holdings by 60 tonnes to a record 2,366 tonnes.
The central bank is also reportedly relocating more of its gold reserves from London to Hong Kong, supporting the city’s ambition to become a major global gold-trading hub. The move coincides with Hong Kong’s launch of a new gold-clearing system designed to enhance its role in global gold trading and pricing. Chinese demand for gold remains robust, and gold, silver and other metals appear well positioned for a fresh advance after six months of consolidation.
Whether this reflects diversification away from the US dollar, preparations for a more fragmented global financial system, or a broader effort to strengthen strategic reserves, the scale of the purchases is impossible to ignore. The real question is: What is China preparing for?
BRICS Nations Developing Alternative Gold and Silver Markets 📷📷 In the latest Freedom Report, Rob Kientz dives into: 📷 The new BRICS alternative to Comex & the LBMA 📷 Hong Kong, Singapore & Moscow's expanding precious metals exchanges 📷 The BRICS gold-backed settlement network known as "the Unit" 📷 Why silver's recent selloff is a mid-cycle lull, not the end of the run 📷 What the West-to-East shift means for gold & silver holders 📷 Watch now https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTYIhtk2-Ck
Today, $XAUH reached another major milestone in its development. 🥇 4,000 $XAUH tokens have now been minted on the Ethereum blockchain, joining the existing 11,500 $XAUH across TON and TRON. 🌐 3 blockchains: Ethereum • TON • TRON 🪙 15,500 $XAUH in total 👥 Distributed across 1,060 wallets
Investors can instantly buy and sell $XAUH through: 🏦 CEX: Biconomy & BTSE ⚡ DEX: STON.fi 🔄 Direct swap: xauh.gold
One gold-backed token. Three blockchains. Multiple ways to access and trade. $XAUH continues to expand its multi-chain ecosystem, accessibility, and liquidity.
The ratio of the S&P 500 to the median price of a U.S. home tells less of a story about real estate than it does about the relative price of financial assets compared to real assets.
Following the Nixon Shock of 1971, this ratio experienced two major periods of contraction: 1972–1982, and then 2000–2009. In both cases, the correction was close to 65% over the course of about a decade.
Today, the ratio is returning to the upper end of its long-term channel. This obviously does not mean that history must mechanically follow the same path through the late 2030s. But the analogy is worth examining, particularly at a time when financial valuations are reaching extremes, while gold, commodities, energy, and physical infrastructure are gradually regaining their strategic value.
Today, SpaceX enters the first stage of its post-IPO share unlock. The free float is expected to increase from approximately 4.9% to 11.8%, marking the beginning of a phased release schedule that will continue through 2027. In total, up to 911.5 million shares—worth roughly $116 billion at current indicated valuations—will progressively become eligible for trading. Importantly, "eligible" does not mean "sold"; the unlock simply removes transfer restrictions. The past week's trading has already demonstrated how markets price these events. Despite strong operating performance, SpaceX shares came under pressure as investors focused on the prospect of significantly higher tradable supply. This is consistent with how equity markets function: prices are determined at the margin. Even if only a fraction of newly unlocked shares is ultimately sold, the expectation of additional supply is often enough to compress valuations before the actual transactions occur. In many IPOs, the anticipation of the unlock has a greater short-term impact than the unlock itself. The most significant event still lies ahead. The end of Elon Musk's lock-up is expected to increase the eligible free float from 50.8% to 96.9% in a single step, fundamentally changing the stock's liquidity profile. Whether this becomes a buying opportunity or a source of sustained downward pressure will depend on one question: How many shareholders actually choose to sell? The unlock schedule defines potential supply; the market will ultimately determine how much of that supply is absorbed—and at what price.
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has surpassed 5.2%, returning to levels last seen before the 2008 financial crisis. The implied 10-year-to-10-year Treasury yield has reached approximately 6.24%, its highest level since 2004.
A U.S. Treasury yield of 5% or higher has historically been viewed as a critically important psychological threshold—not only for the bond market, but also for risk assets such as equities and cryptocurrencies.
Markets are no longer pricing in return to the ultra-low-rate environment of the 2010s. They are gradually pricing in a structurally higher cost of capital, fueled by deficits, increased bond issuance, geopolitical fragmentation, and private demand for financing that has grown to enormous proportions.
A classic wealth transfer from retail investors to institutional and foreign capital has happened in South Korea. While domestic individuals bought more than $60 billion of Korean equities in an attempt to "buy the dip," foreign investors used that demand as exit liquidity, selling approximately $110 billion worth of shares.
The combination of aggressive retail dip-buying and persistent foreign selling is a warning sign. Retail investors often become increasingly confident as prices fall, and some amplify returns through margin financing. If the decline continues, leverage can quickly turn into forced selling, accelerating the market's downside. This dynamic has been observed repeatedly in previous retail-driven market bubbles.
The current KOSPI correction is not simply an equity market sell-off—it is a leveraged retail deleveraging event.
Korean retail investors accumulated record margin debt of approximately ₩36–39 trillion ($27–29 billion) before the market peaked, roughly double the level of a year earlier. Including stock-collateralized loans, total retail leverage is estimated at around ₩60 trillion ($43 billion).
A significant share of borrowed money was concentrated in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, making retail investors heavily exposed to a single AI and semiconductor investment theme rather than maintaining diversified portfolios.
For decades, Japan has combined near-zero interest rates, a weak currency, colossal public debt, and massive capital exports. This framework has helped finance U.S. bonds, international credit, global equity markets, and a multitude of carry trade strategies. That source is beginning to dry up. The yield on 10-year Japanese bonds now stands at around 2.8%, up from about 1% in 2024, after recently reaching 2.90%, its highest level in thirty years. Yields on 20-, 30-, and 40-year bonds have also surpassed or approached 4%. Why would a Japanese insurer or pension fund continue to hold such a large amount of U.S. duration when domestic bonds are once again offering nearly 3%? This is not a theoretical question. Japan remains the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, with approximately $1,210 billion as of April 2026. The country also holds trillions of dollars in stocks, bonds, and direct foreign investments. Even a partial reallocation of this capital toward the Japanese market could therefore produce three simultaneous effects: a further rise in U.S. yields; a reduction in global liquidity; and unwinding of yen-funded strategies (and thus a rise in the yen against the USD).
For fifteen years, investors have gauged China’s success by comparing the CSI 300 to the S&P 500. Since Wall Street was rising faster, they concluded that the American model had won and that China had failed. Meanwhile, China was building power grids, battery supply chains, robot factories, data centers, artificial intelligence models, memory industry leaders, and, now, its first immersion lithography machines. The Chinese market has not yet fully reflected China’s success. But that is precisely what makes it interesting. It has a different currency, a different credit cycle, a different monetary policy, a different savings base, a different energy trajectory, and an industrial architecture that is increasingly less dependent on Washington’s goodwill. China can therefore become a source of diversification even before it becomes a source of outperformance. And if Beijing manages to strike a better balance between corporate financing and investor returns, diversification could ultimately deliver precisely what Western investors claim to be seeking: performance.
Novo Nordisk sued Eli Lilly, accusing the rival weight-loss drug maker of misleading advertising. Novo said Lilly’s campaigns rely on outdated weight-loss comparisons with lower doses of Novo’s shot (Wegovy) than what’s currently available.
Though Lilly’s shot (Zepbound) beat Wegovy in a head-to-head trial last year, Novo subsequently got approval for a higher dose of its drug than that used in the study. The two companies are grappling for a bigger slice of a global obesity market, which is on track to reach $120 billion a year by 2030, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.
The lawsuit underscores that the battle is no longer just about developing the most effective obesity treatment—it is increasingly about controlling the narrative, physician prescribing behaviour, and market share. For investors, this highlights both the enormous commercial potential of the GLP-1 market and the intensifying competitive and legal risks as pharmaceutical giants compete for leadership in one of the fastest-growing therapeutic segments.
The Tehran-backed Yemeni Houthis said they would impose a maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia, putting at risk the flow of millions of barrels that the kingdom exports via the Red Sea. The move would add greater pressure on the US as it seeks to bomb Iran into submission over control of the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices rose during a fraught day of trading. Saudi Arabia diverted its oil supplies to the key Red Sea port of Yanbu following the Feb. 28 attacks by the US and Israel on Iran, and Iran’s effective closure of Hormuz. Those exports, which rose to a record 4.19 million barrels a day last month, have helped limit the disruption to global supplies, but the route remains dangerous. Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, where about a fifth of the world’s oil flowed before the war, remains near a standstill as Tehran and Washington stage tit-for-tat attacks.
A disruption to supplies through the Red Sea would exacerbate the war’s impact on global oil trade and push up prices.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield has climbed to its highest level since 1996, around 2.7%, up sharply from near-zero levels held for most of the 2015-2021 period.
Japan's rise in government bond yields marks a structural shift after years of ultra-loose monetary policy. As the world's largest creditor nation, higher domestic yields could encourage Japanese institutional investors to repatriate capital from overseas bond markets, potentially reducing demand for U.S. Treasuries and European sovereign debt while increasing global borrowing costs.
Investors should closely monitor Japan's normalisation cycle, as it could become a major driver of global capital flows. In this environment, maintaining shorter-duration fixed-income exposure, favouring high-quality financial institutions that benefit from higher interest rates, and holding strategic allocations to real assets such as gold can help mitigate the risks associated with rising global bond yields and increased market volatility.
China bought 480,000 ounces of gold in June, its 20th consecutive month of buying and its largest single purchase since October 2023. The post argues that in two decades of resource-deal financing, a bull market has never died while the largest, slowest institutional money on earth was accelerating its buying.
China's continued accumulation highlights that central bank demand remains structurally driven rather than price-sensitive. The fact that purchases accelerated despite gold trading near historic highs suggests reserve diversification, geopolitical risk management, and reduced reliance on the U.S. dollar continue to outweigh short-term valuation concerns. This reinforces the view that official-sector demand is providing a durable floor for the gold market.
For long-term investors, sustained central bank accumulation is a supportive macro backdrop for maintaining a strategic allocation to gold. Rather than attempting to time short-term price fluctuations, investors may consider using periods of market weakness to gradually build positions, as persistent official-sector demand has historically strengthened the long-term fundamental case for the precious metal.
BofA highlights what it calls "a generational transfer in free cash flow." Forward 12-month FCF for semiconductor companies (Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom, Applied Materials) is projected to surge past $400bn, overtaking hyperscalers (Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle), whose forward FCF has collapsed toward negative territory as AI infrastructure spending outpaces their cash generation.
The AI value chain is entering a new phase where the primary beneficiaries are shifting from AI users to AI infrastructure providers. As hyperscalers absorb unprecedented capital expenditures to build AI capacity, semiconductor companies are capturing a disproportionate share of the industry's cash generation. Investors may therefore consider increasing exposure to high-quality chip designers, memory manufacturers, semiconductor equipment suppliers, and critical AI infrastructure enablers, while remaining selective among hyperscalers until their massive AI investments begin translating into stronger free cash flow and higher returns on invested capital.
📉 Foreign Investors Are Dumping South Korean Equities at a Record Pace Global equity funds sold $8 billion worth of South Korean stocks in July, averaging approximately $1.6 billion in net outflows per trading day. This follows $30 billion in capital outflows recorded in June—the largest monthly sell-off on record. Since the beginning of the year, global funds have sold more than $100 billion worth of South Korean equities. Notably, more than half of the shares sold by foreign investors have been absorbed by domestic retail investors, highlighting a significant transfer of ownership from institutional to individual investors. Meanwhile, the KOSPI Index has officially entered bear market territory, falling 23% from its peak on June 19. Recent reports emphasize that the Korean rally had become extremely concentrated: Samsung and SK hynix represented more than half of the index. Retail participation, leverage, and AI enthusiasm reached unusually high levels. Many global managers simply chose to lock in gains after a 90–120% rally. The money is not disappearing from equities—it is primarily being reallocated. The main destinations are: Japan (largest beneficiary) and U.S. equities, particularly AI and technology
According to Citadel Securities, retail investors' risk appetite has reached a record high. Zero-day-to-expiration (0DTE) options now account for a record 48% of total retail options trading volume. Over the past five years, this share has more than tripled. Moreover, in May, 0DTE options represented a record 30% of all options trading volume in the U.S.
0DTE options are highly speculative and extremely volatile instruments that expire within 24 hours.
The explosive growth of 0DTE options reflects a shift in retail investor behavior toward short-term, high-conviction speculation. Low upfront premiums allow traders to control large notional exposure with limited capital, while the possibility of generating substantial returns within a single trading session creates a lottery-like payoff profile. Social media, commission-free trading platforms, and real-time market commentary have further accelerated this trend by making high-frequency speculation more accessible.
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