BTC. Everything is going exactly according to the scenario we talked about back in October.
At the beginning of October, starting from the 3rd, I published posts when Bitcoin was around 120,000-126,000, I mentioned that the market was waiting for a significant drop. At that time, it seemed like a joke — euphoria, growth, belief only in the continuation of the rise.
On October 9th, more as a joke, I went to place an order to buy BTC at $100. And the exchange wrote that the minimum purchase was 24,700. I didn't think it could be like that😅. A day or two passed — and the market began to crash.
Back then, I said that it would be beneficial for the market to completely wipe out interest in crypto, so that weak hands sold everything and simply exited the market. Essentially, this is exactly what is happening now.
Yes, we saw a drop to 60,000 and a bounce back to 70,000, but it feels like this is not the final act yet. Personally, I would be interested to see Bitcoin at least in the zone of 45–50 thousand. I think that's where major players will start accumulating positions.
For now — no rush. We wait and observe. The market will sort everything out. If anyone remembers what I said, share with me🙂
GOLD, SILVER, AND BITCOIN KILLED TOGETHER — WHO IS BEHIND THIS SLAUGHTER?
Today's synchronous crash is a classic risk-off + chain reaction of margin calls. Here’s what really happened and why three assets collapsed simultaneously.
The main trigger is the nomination of Kevin Warsh as head of the Fed Markets were waiting for Trump to appoint a loyal 'soft' candidate who would pressure the Fed for ultra-low rates → weak dollar → inflation → rise in gold/silver/BTC as a hedge.
BTC has always been a cyclical beast — and that doesn't change! 👀🐂
Historical bear markets after cycle peaks:
2013–2015: from ~$1,150 to ~$150 → -87–93% (the harshest dump)
2017–2018: from ~$20,000 to ~$3,200 → -84–87%
2021–2022: from ~$69,000 to ~$15,500 → -76–78%
Each time the drop became a little softer (the market matures, institutions enter), but still 75–90% from ATH — is the norm for crypto.
And in 2025–2026? Peak high ~$126,000 in October 2025, current price ~$81,000–$82,500 (as of January 31, 2026) → drawdown already ~35–36% from the peak. This is still a mid-cycle correction, not a full bear market (like in previous cycles at 80%+). Many see a small bounce and immediately say "TO THE MOON 🚀", while then calling the cautious "fools".
But history teaches: real bullish momentum often starts after deep drawdowns and capitulation. While Fear & Greed is in Extreme Fear — this might be a signal for the patient.
Look at the chart drawdown from ATH — you can see how the current correction is still small compared to past cycles (red zones 75–90%, and now only ~36%):
(Here are historical cycles with % drops — classic for understanding where we are now.)
DUSK or ETH — what do you think, are we waiting for even lower or is this the bottom? DYOR, don't FOMO and don't panic! 🚨 $BTC $DUSK $ETH
🚨🚨 I’m Selling ALL My Crypto in October – Here’s Why You’ll Regret Ignoring This! 💥
MOST OF MY FOLLOWERS ASKING WHATS Will HAPPEN AFTER FED RATE CUT I will SELL ALL MY LATE CRYPTO in OCTOBER Many think I’m an idiot BUT THEY’RE WRONG I see a setup that once could’ve made me millions Here’s my full OCTOBER playbook and why I’m RIGHT👇
In October I will sell my entire crypto portfolio and this is no joke Some will say - "coward" but this made me a winner in 2017 and 2021 Back then everything looked great until the market reversed within days Today we’re seeing the same signs again and I won’t ignore them
Let's start with the fact that the Fed just cut rates by 25 bps This money won’t stay in bonds - it’s looking for faster upside The first impulse always goes into BTC and that’s exactly what we’re seeing now But this impulse is just the beginning of the end - a grand finale
After $BTC the baton passes to $ETH When money flows into Ethereum the mood turns “risk-on” and liquidity heats up That’s the signal that the next step is an altcoin explosion And that’s what gives the final but most dangerous upside
2021 it lasted just over a month in 2025 it will be even shorter BTC peaked $ETH went even higher and alts skyrocketed behind them But within a few weeks most coins dropped 60-80% Those who waited for “a bit more” were left empty-handed Moreover October has always been the launch month before the finish - September sets the trap - October moves the market up - November is the final blow-off The cycle repeats down to the details learn from past mistakes
But this time the scale is even bigger Institutions are already in the game ETFs are draining liquidity from the market $BTC on exchanges is at a 5-year low and that creates scarcity Everything looks extremely bullish - but that’s exactly the trap
Metrics are also screaming overheating: - NUPL is nearing the “massive profit” zone - MVRV is above healthy levels - SOPR is about to break trend In 2017 and 2021 these indicators precisely marked the peaks
You’ll ask: "So how should we act?" My playbook for this cycle is simple I exit in parts: 1. First the riskiest assets - alts 2. Then large-mid caps in the spotlight 3. Finally $ETH and BTC Into stables and yield strategies Why this order? Because after reversal alts drop 20-30% a day and never come back to their highs When liquidity escapes projects die teams vanish charts collapse Exiting “later” means exiting in panic and FOMO And October 2025 is exactly when emotions override logic Everyone screams about new ATHs media writes about crypto volumes hit records But that’s when the big money is already leaving the market I’ll be among them too
So when you see I’ve sold - it’s not fear It’s the experience of 2017 and 2021 that taught me the cycle always ends the same October gives the last chance to lock in profit don’t get greedy #FedRateCutExpectations #BNBBreaksATH #BinanceHODLerAVNT #GoldHitsRecordHigh