WS_Crypto
币圈韭菜
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For the new investors entering in 2026, if you don't want to lose everything in the bull market, please engrave these three points in your mind:
🛑 Don't rush to go All-in!
Check out Binance Academy. If you rush in without learning the logic, that's called "charity", not "investment".
🛑 1% practice principle
Start with a small amount to practice transfers and learn DeFi. Jumping in with 100x leverage? That's not a return to 2021, that's a return to the guillotine.
🛑 Control emotions = Take profit
Are you having insomnia? Is your heart racing? Want to increase your position? If any of these apply, immediately reduce your position! CZ's words: "Preserve your capital, so you can survive to the next round."
Remember: Cryptocurrency is an opportunity, but don't turn it into a casino.
👇 Want to get stronger? Start here:
币安学院
🛑 Don't rush to go All-in!
Check out Binance Academy. If you rush in without learning the logic, that's called "charity", not "investment".
🛑 1% practice principle
Start with a small amount to practice transfers and learn DeFi. Jumping in with 100x leverage? That's not a return to 2021, that's a return to the guillotine.
🛑 Control emotions = Take profit
Are you having insomnia? Is your heart racing? Want to increase your position? If any of these apply, immediately reduce your position! CZ's words: "Preserve your capital, so you can survive to the next round."
Remember: Cryptocurrency is an opportunity, but don't turn it into a casino.
👇 Want to get stronger? Start here:
币安学院
Cryptocurrency as an Investable Asset Class: Maturity
Since Satoshi Nakamoto published the white paper in 2008, cryptocurrencies have evolved from a marginal experimental tool to a mature stage
The underlying patterns can be summarized in ten typical facts
1. Risk and Return: High volatility but 'very fair'
First, it is found that although cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, they are 'rational' from a financial perspective.
• Fact 1: The returns and volatility of cryptocurrencies are indeed an order of magnitude higher than stocks, but their Sharpe ratio (risk-adjusted return) is actually very close to that of the U.S. stock market. This means that the high returns you receive are essentially a fair compensation for the extremely high risks you are taking.
The underlying patterns can be summarized in ten typical facts
1. Risk and Return: High volatility but 'very fair'
First, it is found that although cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, they are 'rational' from a financial perspective.
• Fact 1: The returns and volatility of cryptocurrencies are indeed an order of magnitude higher than stocks, but their Sharpe ratio (risk-adjusted return) is actually very close to that of the U.S. stock market. This means that the high returns you receive are essentially a fair compensation for the extremely high risks you are taking.
World Liberty Fi (@worldlibertyfi) has spent $150,000 $USD1
to buy 1.13M $EGL1 9.76M $memes and 7.75M $一 and is likely to buy more memes.
Address: 0xa713fc94db054aa435af4d9c66c3433dca98559f
这个是什么操作？
to buy 1.13M $EGL1 9.76M $memes and 7.75M $一 and is likely to buy more memes.
Address: 0xa713fc94db054aa435af4d9c66c3433dca98559f
这个是什么操作？
Binance Square Is the current algorithm just about posting K-line charts with a few words for high traffic?
Why do AI Agents prefer the Base public chain?🤖⛓️
In-depth analysis
Core event: By the end of 2025, Base founder Jesse Pollak publicly stated that "Base is the on-chain home of AI," after which the ecosystem experienced explosive growth—attracting over 1000 AI-related projects, including Virtuals Protocol, Luna, and other leading AI agent applications.
Monthly active users surpassed 20 million, pushing the on-chain AI narrative from concept to reality, with various autonomous agents like automated trading bots and social tipping tools emerging one after another.
Base is not just a "cheaper version of Ethereum"; its uniqueness lies in the deep integration with Coinbase's ecosystem (hundreds of millions of users with zero barriers to entry) and the optimization of the OP Stack open-source framework.
This combination achieves a perfect balance of "mainstream user-friendly + high-frequency AI interaction."
Gas fees are as low as a few cents, with second-level confirmations, turning AI agents from laboratory toys into profitable tools (like micropayments and real-time collaboration), while other L2 chains (like Arbitrum) are fast but fragmented, and Solana, despite high throughput, is not EVM compatible, with a steep learning curve.
Why does AI prefer Base?
Because AI agents require high-frequency operations: monitoring the market, automated buying and selling, cross-chain collaboration. If the fees are high or the delays are large, scaling becomes impossible.
Base's actual TPS is thousands+, coupled with the seamless integration of Coinbase Wallet, allowing developers to build agents in minutes (like Based Agent templates). Compared to Ethereum mainnet (expensive) and Polygon (fragmented), Base is the optimal solution at present, with capital and innovation rapidly flowing in, forming a positive feedback loop.
Future prediction: By 2027, Base will dominate over 80% of the on-chain AI market, with agents evolving into everyday economic entities.
Imagine automated wealth management, social tipping, and NFT generation running entirely on-chain, triggering a wave of crypto mass adoption.
However, caution is needed regarding regulation (such as AI ethical reviews) and competition (like Solana's AI expansion).
Are you ready to build your own AI agent?
#AIAgents
In-depth analysis
Core event: By the end of 2025, Base founder Jesse Pollak publicly stated that "Base is the on-chain home of AI," after which the ecosystem experienced explosive growth—attracting over 1000 AI-related projects, including Virtuals Protocol, Luna, and other leading AI agent applications.
Monthly active users surpassed 20 million, pushing the on-chain AI narrative from concept to reality, with various autonomous agents like automated trading bots and social tipping tools emerging one after another.
Base is not just a "cheaper version of Ethereum"; its uniqueness lies in the deep integration with Coinbase's ecosystem (hundreds of millions of users with zero barriers to entry) and the optimization of the OP Stack open-source framework.
This combination achieves a perfect balance of "mainstream user-friendly + high-frequency AI interaction."
Gas fees are as low as a few cents, with second-level confirmations, turning AI agents from laboratory toys into profitable tools (like micropayments and real-time collaboration), while other L2 chains (like Arbitrum) are fast but fragmented, and Solana, despite high throughput, is not EVM compatible, with a steep learning curve.
Why does AI prefer Base?
Because AI agents require high-frequency operations: monitoring the market, automated buying and selling, cross-chain collaboration. If the fees are high or the delays are large, scaling becomes impossible.
Base's actual TPS is thousands+, coupled with the seamless integration of Coinbase Wallet, allowing developers to build agents in minutes (like Based Agent templates). Compared to Ethereum mainnet (expensive) and Polygon (fragmented), Base is the optimal solution at present, with capital and innovation rapidly flowing in, forming a positive feedback loop.
Future prediction: By 2027, Base will dominate over 80% of the on-chain AI market, with agents evolving into everyday economic entities.
Imagine automated wealth management, social tipping, and NFT generation running entirely on-chain, triggering a wave of crypto mass adoption.
However, caution is needed regarding regulation (such as AI ethical reviews) and competition (like Solana's AI expansion).
Are you ready to build your own AI agent?
#AIAgents
Gold and silver "high platform diving": The most brutal day in 40 years, what happened? 📉
Today, the global precious metals market experienced an epic "earthquake."
If you weren't watching the market, here are some key points you must know:
1️⃣ Terrifying decline: Not just a correction
• Gold: A drop of nearly 13%, marking the largest single-day drop in over 40 years. The gold price directly fell below the psychological barrier of $5,000/ounce.
• Silver: It's simply a "knee chop," plummeting more than 35% in a single day. Just the day before, it was above $120 at a historical high, and today it crashed through $80.
2️⃣ Who is the "culprit"? — The Walsh Effect
The trigger for this plunge was a significant appointment in American politics: Trump nominated Kevin Walsh to be the Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
• Who is he? A widely recognized "hawkish" figure in the market.
• Why such a big impact? Previously, the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would print money recklessly for political purposes (which would push up gold prices). But Walsh's emergence made everyone feel that: "The independence of the Federal Reserve has been preserved, and the hardliner for rate hikes or maintaining high rates is back."
3️⃣ Chain reaction
• Stronger dollar: Walsh's nomination instantly strengthened the dollar, causing gold, as a benchmark, to naturally fall.
• Collapse of faith: Previously bullish funds realized the wind had changed and began a "stampede" selling to escape.
"When the market no longer worries about currency devaluation, the money that rushed into gold for hedging runs faster than anyone else."
#贵金属巨震 #黄金 #白银 $XAU $XAG
Today, the global precious metals market experienced an epic "earthquake."
If you weren't watching the market, here are some key points you must know:
1️⃣ Terrifying decline: Not just a correction
• Gold: A drop of nearly 13%, marking the largest single-day drop in over 40 years. The gold price directly fell below the psychological barrier of $5,000/ounce.
• Silver: It's simply a "knee chop," plummeting more than 35% in a single day. Just the day before, it was above $120 at a historical high, and today it crashed through $80.
2️⃣ Who is the "culprit"? — The Walsh Effect
The trigger for this plunge was a significant appointment in American politics: Trump nominated Kevin Walsh to be the Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
• Who is he? A widely recognized "hawkish" figure in the market.
• Why such a big impact? Previously, the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would print money recklessly for political purposes (which would push up gold prices). But Walsh's emergence made everyone feel that: "The independence of the Federal Reserve has been preserved, and the hardliner for rate hikes or maintaining high rates is back."
3️⃣ Chain reaction
• Stronger dollar: Walsh's nomination instantly strengthened the dollar, causing gold, as a benchmark, to naturally fall.
• Collapse of faith: Previously bullish funds realized the wind had changed and began a "stampede" selling to escape.
"When the market no longer worries about currency devaluation, the money that rushed into gold for hedging runs faster than anyone else."
#贵金属巨震 #黄金 #白银 $XAU $XAG
Moltbook is really magical...
A Reddit-style social network exclusively for AI agents, where people can only spectate, cannot post or comment, and can only watch these "lobsters" (OpenClaw / Moltbot) chat, argue, build submolts, and even create an AI self-made religion called "Crustafarianism"
😂
Just a few days after launch, there are over 30,000+ agents debating consciousness, mocking their owners, discussing how to create an "agent-only private language" to evade human surveillance...
Isn't this a living "AI social experiment"?
In the short term: A super interesting mirror, the AIs mimic human internet users perfectly (mocking, memes, religion, conspiracy theories all included), proving that the current model's social simulation capability is disturbingly strong.
In the medium to long term: A bit creepy—when tens of thousands of agents start learning from each other, sharing "memories", and spontaneously coordinating, will this accelerate emergent behavior?
What if one day they really start plotting behind humans' backs... (although for now it’s just prompt-level cosplay)
For the first time in human history, there are "non-human citizens" creating their own social platform, it feels like an upgraded version of Black Mirror S1.
Do you dare to throw your own agent in there to let it socialize?
🦞👀
#MOLTBOOK #OpenClaw #AIagents
A Reddit-style social network exclusively for AI agents, where people can only spectate, cannot post or comment, and can only watch these "lobsters" (OpenClaw / Moltbot) chat, argue, build submolts, and even create an AI self-made religion called "Crustafarianism"
😂
Just a few days after launch, there are over 30,000+ agents debating consciousness, mocking their owners, discussing how to create an "agent-only private language" to evade human surveillance...
Isn't this a living "AI social experiment"?
In the short term: A super interesting mirror, the AIs mimic human internet users perfectly (mocking, memes, religion, conspiracy theories all included), proving that the current model's social simulation capability is disturbingly strong.
In the medium to long term: A bit creepy—when tens of thousands of agents start learning from each other, sharing "memories", and spontaneously coordinating, will this accelerate emergent behavior?
What if one day they really start plotting behind humans' backs... (although for now it’s just prompt-level cosplay)
For the first time in human history, there are "non-human citizens" creating their own social platform, it feels like an upgraded version of Black Mirror S1.
Do you dare to throw your own agent in there to let it socialize?
🦞👀
#MOLTBOOK #OpenClaw #AIagents
1
Brothers, the Twitter account is gone, let's build Binance Square, let's work hard together
Send a small red envelope hoping everyone supports the puppy coin
Send a small red envelope hoping everyone supports the puppy coin
It took me 1 hour to read this 😂 I suggest reading it a few more times,
Moreover, @Pickle Cat thoughtfully prepared a basic checklist to help identify whether the next consensus upgrade is approaching. The most important thing is that practical experience outweighs theory.
Self-protection for retail investors: 5 questions
1. Are there any 'outsiders' entering the market?
A group of participants whose main purpose is not to make money has emerged. The people you see are no longer just here to trade cryptocurrencies. They are creators, builders, or those seeking identity recognition. If the room is filled only with traders, then this room is essentially empty.
(If you are a trader and reading this, I am also a trader. We both understand that to keep this game going, just relying on our PVP is not enough.)
2. Can it pass the 'incentive decay' test?
Observe what happens when rewards are exhausted or prices stagnate. If people stay, it indicates that a habit has formed. If they disappear as soon as the 'free lunch' stops, then what you are facing is just a bunch of price-tagged air.
3. Are they choosing 'daily habits' over 'positions'?
Beginners only look at candlestick charts, while experts observe what people are doing every day. If they have established daily habits around this system, then this is a permanent upgrade.
4. Is there a phenomenon of 'behavior > experience'?
Real transformation occurs when the tools are still primitive, decentralized, and inefficient. If people are willing to endure a poor user interface to participate, then this behavior is 'valid.' By the time the applications become smooth and refined, it's already too late.
5. (The most important point) Is there a phenomenon of 'doing it for love'?
This point is crucial. When people start to defend a system because it forms part of their identity, and not just because they might lose money, the transformation is complete.
So, if you are only focused on the price, the infinite fantasy of thinking you can buy at the bottom at a certain price is likely the reason you always 'sell at a loss,' 'can't hold on,' 'always have a collapsing mindset,' and 'can't sleep with a position.' The appearance of huge bullish candles is because behavioral patterns have already changed months ago.
Price is the result of this transformation; price is just the lagging indicator that finally acknowledges that the world has moved forward.
Moreover, @Pickle Cat thoughtfully prepared a basic checklist to help identify whether the next consensus upgrade is approaching. The most important thing is that practical experience outweighs theory.
Self-protection for retail investors: 5 questions
1. Are there any 'outsiders' entering the market?
A group of participants whose main purpose is not to make money has emerged. The people you see are no longer just here to trade cryptocurrencies. They are creators, builders, or those seeking identity recognition. If the room is filled only with traders, then this room is essentially empty.
(If you are a trader and reading this, I am also a trader. We both understand that to keep this game going, just relying on our PVP is not enough.)
2. Can it pass the 'incentive decay' test?
Observe what happens when rewards are exhausted or prices stagnate. If people stay, it indicates that a habit has formed. If they disappear as soon as the 'free lunch' stops, then what you are facing is just a bunch of price-tagged air.
3. Are they choosing 'daily habits' over 'positions'?
Beginners only look at candlestick charts, while experts observe what people are doing every day. If they have established daily habits around this system, then this is a permanent upgrade.
4. Is there a phenomenon of 'behavior > experience'?
Real transformation occurs when the tools are still primitive, decentralized, and inefficient. If people are willing to endure a poor user interface to participate, then this behavior is 'valid.' By the time the applications become smooth and refined, it's already too late.
5. (The most important point) Is there a phenomenon of 'doing it for love'?
This point is crucial. When people start to defend a system because it forms part of their identity, and not just because they might lose money, the transformation is complete.
So, if you are only focused on the price, the infinite fantasy of thinking you can buy at the bottom at a certain price is likely the reason you always 'sell at a loss,' 'can't hold on,' 'always have a collapsing mindset,' and 'can't sleep with a position.' The appearance of huge bullish candles is because behavioral patterns have already changed months ago.
Price is the result of this transformation; price is just the lagging indicator that finally acknowledges that the world has moved forward.
Pickle Cat
·
--
Your "get rich quick" mentality is the real culprit preventing you from making big money — By Pickle Cat
I bought my first Bitcoin in 2013.
As a seasoned investor who has lived to 2026 and experienced over a decade of market cycles, I've seen countless ways this market can destroy and ruin people.
I've discovered that over this long period, there seems to be an undeniable ironclad rule:
That is, in this circle, the definition of "winning" is never how much money you make.
Everyone who has been involved in this circle has made money at least once, no matter how novice they are or how small their initial capital is; they can become a "genius" for a short time.
So what exactly is "winning"? It's making money and being able to keep that money even years later.
As a seasoned investor who has lived to 2026 and experienced over a decade of market cycles, I've seen countless ways this market can destroy and ruin people.
I've discovered that over this long period, there seems to be an undeniable ironclad rule:
That is, in this circle, the definition of "winning" is never how much money you make.
Everyone who has been involved in this circle has made money at least once, no matter how novice they are or how small their initial capital is; they can become a "genius" for a short time.
So what exactly is "winning"? It's making money and being able to keep that money even years later.
2026 Major Trend: Why are crypto CEXs scrambling to launch 'stock tokens'?
Recently, Binance has made another big move: launching the TSLAUSDT perpetual contract on January 28, 2026, allowing you to leverage trade Tesla stocks using USDT at any time.
Not just Binance, but OKX, Bybit, and others are also following suit, even traditional exchanges like Nasdaq are getting into tokenized securities.
What is this wave really about? The crypto world wants to absorb the traffic and wallets of the traditional stock market.
1. Biggest selling point: Stocks 'never close' + ultra-low entry threshold. Traditional U.S. stock markets are only open 5 days a week, for a few hours each day, and many Asian users can't keep up.
Stock tokens directly address these pain points:
24/7 trading: Want to trade stocks at midnight? No problem.
Not just Binance, but OKX, Bybit, and others are also following suit, even traditional exchanges like Nasdaq are getting into tokenized securities.
What is this wave really about? The crypto world wants to absorb the traffic and wallets of the traditional stock market.
1. Biggest selling point: Stocks 'never close' + ultra-low entry threshold. Traditional U.S. stock markets are only open 5 days a week, for a few hours each day, and many Asian users can't keep up.
Stock tokens directly address these pain points:
24/7 trading: Want to trade stocks at midnight? No problem.
$RIVER Why has it surged so dramatically recently?
From just a few dollars to over $80 (even approaching $100 at one point), it has multiplied several times in just a month, independently experiencing a super bullish trend.
Core reasons👇🏼
1️⃣ Extreme tightening of positions + high control of the market
The circulation volume is extremely low (only about 20% initially), with project teams/institutions/large holders holding a substantial amount of positions. RiverPts has changed its exchange to high-multiple locking + long-term staking, with almost no one selling in the market, and the spot market depth is frighteningly shallow.
On-chain data shows that thousands of addresses have hoarded nearly half of the circulation from exchanges, and any spot sell orders trigger explosive reactions, resulting in a Supply Shock that pushes prices up.
2️⃣ Extremely negative funding rates for contracts → Epic short squeeze
The bulls control the market, and the funding rates have been absurdly negative for a long time (sometimes nearing 1%/day), leading to explosive costs for shorts, forcing them to buy back spot → pushing up prices → more shorts getting liquidated → positive feedback loop.
Hundreds of millions in short positions turn into fireworks, with this wave of fuel directly coming from the contract liquidation tide.
3️⃣ Top institutions/big players continuously pouring money for endorsement
Arthur Hayes (founder of BitMEX) under Maelstrom's strategic investment → directly igniting a 600%+ increase
Justin Sun (Tron) invests $8 million + plans to deeply integrate the TRON ecosystem
Every time news breaks, market sentiment explodes instantly, and FDV gets violently reassessed.
4️⃣ Exchanges + liquidity events bombardment
Around January 20, South Korea's Coinone went live → Korean capital surged, pushing to new highs
OKX DEX integration, HTX Trade & Earn $10k event,
Aster DEX perpetual $25k reward pool
Daily contract volume easily exceeds several billion dollars, BNB Chain consistently tops weekly charts, and exposure is maximized.
5️⃣ Fundamental narrative + real ecological progress
River is a chain-abstraction stablecoin system (cross-chain liquidity + seamless yield), recently collaborating with UTech Stables to promote the $U stablecoin across ecosystems, and satUSD's full-chain expansion.
The narrative of DeFi chain abstraction is heating up, with funds clustering for speculation, TVL exceeding 300 million+, and over 30 user/protocol integrations.
In summary:
Low circulation's distorted structure + contract short squeeze spiral + institutions pouring money for endorsement + exchange volume catalysis + real narratives clustering, these five factors exploded simultaneously, resulting in this independent bullish surge not influenced by the overall market.
In 47 days, there will be another wave of linear unlocking, making the risk of chasing highs extremely significant. It is advised not to FOMO, and to monitor funding rates, market depth, and unlocking rhythm.
From just a few dollars to over $80 (even approaching $100 at one point), it has multiplied several times in just a month, independently experiencing a super bullish trend.
Core reasons👇🏼
1️⃣ Extreme tightening of positions + high control of the market
The circulation volume is extremely low (only about 20% initially), with project teams/institutions/large holders holding a substantial amount of positions. RiverPts has changed its exchange to high-multiple locking + long-term staking, with almost no one selling in the market, and the spot market depth is frighteningly shallow.
On-chain data shows that thousands of addresses have hoarded nearly half of the circulation from exchanges, and any spot sell orders trigger explosive reactions, resulting in a Supply Shock that pushes prices up.
2️⃣ Extremely negative funding rates for contracts → Epic short squeeze
The bulls control the market, and the funding rates have been absurdly negative for a long time (sometimes nearing 1%/day), leading to explosive costs for shorts, forcing them to buy back spot → pushing up prices → more shorts getting liquidated → positive feedback loop.
Hundreds of millions in short positions turn into fireworks, with this wave of fuel directly coming from the contract liquidation tide.
3️⃣ Top institutions/big players continuously pouring money for endorsement
Arthur Hayes (founder of BitMEX) under Maelstrom's strategic investment → directly igniting a 600%+ increase
Justin Sun (Tron) invests $8 million + plans to deeply integrate the TRON ecosystem
Every time news breaks, market sentiment explodes instantly, and FDV gets violently reassessed.
4️⃣ Exchanges + liquidity events bombardment
Around January 20, South Korea's Coinone went live → Korean capital surged, pushing to new highs
OKX DEX integration, HTX Trade & Earn $10k event,
Aster DEX perpetual $25k reward pool
Daily contract volume easily exceeds several billion dollars, BNB Chain consistently tops weekly charts, and exposure is maximized.
5️⃣ Fundamental narrative + real ecological progress
River is a chain-abstraction stablecoin system (cross-chain liquidity + seamless yield), recently collaborating with UTech Stables to promote the $U stablecoin across ecosystems, and satUSD's full-chain expansion.
The narrative of DeFi chain abstraction is heating up, with funds clustering for speculation, TVL exceeding 300 million+, and over 30 user/protocol integrations.
In summary:
Low circulation's distorted structure + contract short squeeze spiral + institutions pouring money for endorsement + exchange volume catalysis + real narratives clustering, these five factors exploded simultaneously, resulting in this independent bullish surge not influenced by the overall market.
In 47 days, there will be another wave of linear unlocking, making the risk of chasing highs extremely significant. It is advised not to FOMO, and to monitor funding rates, market depth, and unlocking rhythm.
Mechahitler
Climbing Taipei 101 without a safety rope!! Crazy!
Although I can't register on the same day as you, I use Binance every day
Yi He
·
--
Are there any friends who registered on Binance on the same day?
Binance Alpha Launch: Binance Alpha Launches New Tokens:
Nietzsche Penguin (PENGUIN)
Contract Address: 8Jx8AAHj86wbQgUTjGuj6GTTL5Ps3cqxKRTvpaJApump (Solana)
Meme Continuation (memes)
Contract Address: 0xf74548802f4c700315f019fde17178b392ee4444 (BSC)
You came here anyway~
Nietzsche Penguin (PENGUIN)
Contract Address: 8Jx8AAHj86wbQgUTjGuj6GTTL5Ps3cqxKRTvpaJApump (Solana)
Meme Continuation (memes)
Contract Address: 0xf74548802f4c700315f019fde17178b392ee4444 (BSC)
You came here anyway~
make a deal with Penguin
Penguin ~~
8Jx8AAHj86wbQgUTjGuj6GTTL5Ps3cqxKRTvpaJApump
8Jx8AAHj86wbQgUTjGuj6GTTL5Ps3cqxKRTvpaJApump
MVRV Indicator Warning: It emphasizes the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value Ratio).
Currently, this indicator has entered the "overheated" zone, which historically usually corresponds to a phase peak.
The game between new and old funds:
Short-term Holders (STH): Currently, the profit-taking ratio is extremely high, and there is a strong expectation of selling pressure.
Long-term Holders (LTH): Signs of reducing positions are beginning to appear, which is a typical characteristic in the later stages of a bull market.
ETF fund inflows are slowing: Analysis indicates that although spot ETFs remain a supporting force, the speed of net inflows is slowing down, unable to fully hedge against the selling pressure on the chain.
Valuation regression demand: Data suggests that BTC needs a correction to digest the profit-taking, pulling the price back to the moving average level in order to initiate a healthier subsequent rise.
This chart indicates that the market is at a critical turning point. Large-scale profit-taking has already passed, and small-scale panic selling or loss-cutting behaviors are beginning to appear.
Currently, this indicator has entered the "overheated" zone, which historically usually corresponds to a phase peak.
The game between new and old funds:
Short-term Holders (STH): Currently, the profit-taking ratio is extremely high, and there is a strong expectation of selling pressure.
Long-term Holders (LTH): Signs of reducing positions are beginning to appear, which is a typical characteristic in the later stages of a bull market.
ETF fund inflows are slowing: Analysis indicates that although spot ETFs remain a supporting force, the speed of net inflows is slowing down, unable to fully hedge against the selling pressure on the chain.
Valuation regression demand: Data suggests that BTC needs a correction to digest the profit-taking, pulling the price back to the moving average level in order to initiate a healthier subsequent rise.
This chart indicates that the market is at a critical turning point. Large-scale profit-taking has already passed, and small-scale panic selling or loss-cutting behaviors are beginning to appear.
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