大户笔记

How to make steady profits without losing money in the currency circle

I have been working hard in the currency circle for almost 5 years, during which I have made profits and losses. I have done everything from ico to Dogecoin and mining, and have gone through three rounds of bulls and bears. Summarizing my countless operations, in the end, there is only one way to make money steadily. That is simple and crude:
Buy in the bear market, sell in the bull market, and make sure you make a profit without losing money.

Bull markets generally last for 6 months to 1 year, and bear markets generally last for 1 to 2 years. A bull-bear cycle lasts for 3 to 4 years. Seize the opportunity and earn at least 50%+ returns in every bull market, which is enough to outperform the returns of all types of financial management, stocks, and funds. Because this 50%+ income can definitely be earned, there is no suspense.

1. Only deploy in bear markets
You must be patient and try your best to buy at the bottom of a bear market (although it is impossible to buy at the bottom of a real bear market). The conditions for judging the bottom of a bear market are simply that no one pays attention to Bitcoin anymore. When the currency circle is lifeless, you can buy multiple times intermittently. , this period may last for 1 year or even longer.

2. Mainstream coins
BTC and ETH will always be the kings of the currency circle, and buying in a bear market is absolutely correct. Although it cannot rise exponentially, if you buy in the bear market and hold until you sell in the bull market, an increase of more than 50% will definitely occur. The first choice for big funds.
Exchange platform currency: such as BNB
Relatively strong basic chains: such as SOL, AVAX
Good infrastructure coins: such as MATIC
Strong consensus coins: such as doge, SHIB RATS PEPE

You can only be heavily stocked in mainstream currencies, and never be heavily stocked in altcoins. The logic of altcoins is to cut leeks, and many types of altcoins will be born in every bull market. The altcoins that are soaring in this bull market may become completely silent in the next bull market. Overshadowed by the high shine of new altcoins. Without inside channels and information, it is almost impossible to bet on an altcoin and buy it before it explodes. Usually, you only learn about the existence of a certain altcoin after seeing its skyrocketing price. At this time, it is already too late to follow up. Maybe if you are lucky, the currency will continue to rise, but there is a high probability that it will fluctuate and fall. Altcoins fluctuate too much, and ordinary people cannot hold on to them regardless of whether they rise or fall. It is often a small profit and a big loss. In the end, it's all a loss.

3. Sell in the middle of the bull market and do no more operations later.
In the early stages of the bull market, BTC will slowly rise, outperforming others, and drive ETH to rise.At this time, some good mainstream coins followed suit, other coins rose slowly, a few altcoins surged wildly, and most altcoins had no movement.
In the middle of the bull market, BTC and ETH fluctuated and rose, mainstream currencies began to rise, and altcoins began to take off.
In the late bull market, BTC fluctuated and fell, ETH may continue to rise, mainstream currencies have surged one after another, and the high-profile altcoins of the second round of bull market have surged several times, even dozens or hundreds of times.
At the end of the bull market, BTC fell by thousands or even tens of thousands of points, and then recovered slightly. The first plunge recovered quickly, giving people the illusion that it was just an adjustment. After two or three such declines, the bull market is over. If you are caught at this time, please stop having any illusions and stop your losses in time. Otherwise, the principal will be dragged into the bottomless abyss.

4. Don’t bet on luck in a bull market
There are many opportunities in the bull market, especially in the middle and late stages of the bull market. Altcoins are flying around, and many altcoins have skyrocketed many times, which makes people jealous. People can impatiently follow up or choose some promising altcoins that have not exploded yet, and they can confidently wait for their surge. It's best not to have this kind of mentality. It's just gambling on luck. It's no different from gambling and has nothing to do with investing.
In every bull market, many altcoins are born. These altcoins have great gimmicks, their backgrounds look strong, and their rise is very strong. Please resist the temptation, you will only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out. When BTC plummets and the bear market comes, these altcoins will be cut in half, cut off, or even close to zero.
If you really can't resist the temptation, you can only follow up and play with a very small amount of money. Even if you make a small profit, you must not go into heavy positions when your head is hot. Never, never, never. This is gambling, and you can't always be lucky in gambling. I am not afraid that you will make a hundred times, but I am afraid that if you lose only once, you will lose all your capital. Don't fantasize about investing heavily in an altcoin and getting rich suddenly. This is just like buying lottery tickets and fantasizing about winning the jackpot. It is a super-low probability event. It’s okay to treat a small amount of money as entertainment, but it’s totally wrong to treat it as an investment.

5. Be more patient and less impulsive.
After buying in the bear market, you need to wait patiently until you sell in the bull market. Do not operate on the rise or fall during the period. You need to be patient during the waiting period.
After selling in a bull market, wait patiently for the bull market to collapse into a bear market.This may take a year or two. Don't be impulsive and buy the bottom at the mountainside. Be patient and wait for the moment when you hit the bottom.
After making money by selling in the bull market, don’t be tempted to play altcoins impulsively. If you really want to take a gamble, you can only use up to 10% of your funds.

6. Principal is always the most important
If you accidentally get caught by random operations, the most important thing is to protect your principal as much as possible. When the currency market collapses, you are willing to cut your losses and stop losses in time to save most of your principal and the basic market. There is still hope for a comeback. Wait patiently for the currency market to fall into the abyss, and use the remaining principal to buy the bottom. Don't be trapped and die with the collapse of the currency circle. Many times you buy the trapped currency and sell it before the currency circle collapses, losing up to 50% of your principal. If you ignore it, let it fall, and hold on to the end. When the currency falls to the bottom along with the currency circle, there is almost no possibility of starting over with the remaining principal.

$BTC $BNB $NEAR #热门话题

I am a freshman and have 6000RMB in my hand. I want to join the cryptocurrency industry. Do you have any suggestions?

The pie is almost 60,000 US dollars again

From the time I entered the market to now, there have been at least tens of thousands of encrypted digital currencies. Especially in 2018-19, new projects came out every day. Basically, they broke the market immediately, and the primary market suffered losses, let alone the secondary market. Projects Fang basically ran away in a few months. The people who were originally called the next Bitcoin have long since disappeared. Instead, Bitcoin and Ethereum have been leading the younger brother forward.

The retail investors who really make money in the currency circle still rely on cycles to make money. Let’s not talk about discovering contract loopholes and quantitative arbitrage. They are too far away from ordinary people and the operating threshold is too high. For us small retail investors, the safest thing is to wait for Bitcoin and When Ethereum fell by more than 70%, they started to place fixed investments to earn the next wave of dividends. Other stud dogs and those who played with them were just giving away money to most retail investors.

Wealth = new story + new gameplay + new concept

As mentioned in May last year, we focused on the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Bitcoin second layer + Bitcoin NFT + brc-20 + halving cycle = Bitcoin’s new narrative. Regardless of whether brc-20 has use value and investment value, this will add a new narrative to the pie, regardless of the future of this story. Whether it can really be done, but it will actually introduce a lot of new traffic to the pie

Those who participated in the last round of brc20 started with at least 10 times the head count. The projects include: Ordi, Sats, Trac, Pipe, Ethi, Big Goose, BRC420 Blue Box, Bitmap and several others.

It’s all about the Bitcoin ecosystem.

The copycats have plummeted recently, and $ordi $sats has been trading strongly sideways. The next wave of gains may still be led by the big pie ecology. Next:

①The largest Web3 wallet in the world supports the implementation of the big pie ecosystem;
② Product delivery and beneficial implementation of BRC20 and improved protocols
③Layer 2 of Big Pie has been launched; the main narrative of Big Pie’s ecology has shifted from asset issuance to the explosion of second-tier applications.

BRC420 ecology explodes, tokenization begins in February, and the market value of the bull market is likely to exceed 5 billion

Pay attention to the coins that will make you rich a hundred times this year

.@predictdotfun The witch has gotten stricter, especially when using an API

Before: If trades close at 0, this week’s points are reset to zero; if there are few trades, points get discounted

Now: Even if there are trades, and the volume isn’t small, all points may be reset to zero

Note: all! All! All!

Hanging on by keeping costs low to survive

Your backpack, let me walk so slowly $BP

For 13 years, cryptocurrency exchanges have been repeatedly hacked, with losses exceeding $4 billion.

2014: Mt. Gox: about $470 million
2015: Bitstamp: about $5.1 million
2016: Bitfinex: $72 million
2017: NiceHash: about $64 million
2018: Coincheck: $534 million
2018: BitGrail: $170 million
2019: Binance: $40 million
2020: KuCoin: $281 million
2021: BitMart: $196 million
2022: FTX: $415 million
2023: Poloniex: about $126 million
2023: CoinEx: about $54 million
2024: DMM Bitcoin: about $305 million
2024: WazirX: $235 million
2025: Phemex: about $73 million–$85 million
2025: Bybit: $1.46 billion
2025: Upbit: about $30 million–$38.5 million
2025: BtcTurk: about $48 million
2026: Coldcard: about $116 million
2026: Bitget: about $352 million

Who will it be next??

The market makers are really panicking this time, brothers

BR has withdrawn another $6 million from the Gate exchange in the last 3 hours. Plus the amount withdrawn over the past two days, it’s already nearly $37 million

These days it’s basically all withdrawals from Gate. Bitget hasn’t opened withdrawals. Once Bitget opens withdrawals, the withdrawal amounts won’t be less than Gate’s

If Bitget can’t withdraw, the ones who are most panicked aren’t retail investors—it’s the market makers. Most of the funds inside the exchanges are held by market makers.

Refunding international airfare 1 month in advance for 15,000 yuan is only refundable for 738 yuan

Is nobody going to do anything about Ctrip being this shady?

The next token I’m preparing to take a heavy position in—just a few buys around 2wu just now; I’ll keep adding later. I think its significance to the crypto world is greater than many of the purposes those launchpads exist for.

I’ve tied the crypto world together with celebrities and organizations. I’m going to go all in on this token and post it on FOMO.

At the very least, buy 10–20wu…

Bought too much BTC

Reason: The first batch of funds from BG is used for withdrawing BTC
So there will be a large buy wall buying BTC
At least, I bought. And I will withdraw it immediately.

If it doesn’t rise after a few hours, just retreat.

When you’ve made it through the time when nobody cared

only then do you realize

$0.07 is already very far away.

Wallet balance suddenly +$700

I thought it was some project that was doing an airdrop, and I spent half the day figuring it out before I realized it was actually $HUMA getting liquidated. In the past, the uncle would definitely have taken profits— but this time, I choose to keep staking.

This time, I’m going to win.

The results are in. The foundation will carry out the decision based on the voting results, and after it is completed, it will be announced on X.

Funding allocation:

50% GSTOCK / 50% GENIUS

I still believe that airdrops are one of the strongest catalysts for reactivating on-chain activity.

In the last cycle, trading terminals captured a huge share of the trading volume, and many users who still haven’t been rewarded to this day.

When competition among traders becomes fiercer, rewarding early users will be a powerful way to build loyalty and maintain liquidity.

We’ve already seen how much activity a well-timed airdrop can unleash, and I expect this strategy to emerge again.

I don’t think this Bitget hack will have much impact on the entire crypto space; instead, the market is actually up sharply.

BTC breaks through $85,000, ETH breaks through $2,700, BNB breaks through $780, and SOL breaks through $120.

I remember last time Bybit was hacked, the market still reacted.

Update: This round, after the 58,000 bottom came up, I firmly believed in BTC reaching 100,000 quite early on. Since we failed to top in between, I ended up missing a large portion of the profits. Currently, the long positions were built around 78,000 on average.
Update on the next operations: now BTC is at 84,000.
1. If it drops back below 79,000 again, I will start gradually closing the long positions.
2. If it quickly surges all the way to 100,000 in a short time, I will consider placing some defensive short positions in the 98,000–105,000 range to hedge the risk of a weekly-level pullback. If the daily chart holds above 108,000, the shorts will be invalid.
3. If it doesn’t go straight up, but instead trades within the 80,000–100,000 range and there is enough room for back-and-forth, then I will consider placing defensive orders in the 115,000–125,000 range.

The US has raised rates to 4% now.
But Binance—
and even 1U—still is only at 6.65 RMB 😂

Where’s the promised rate-hike benefit for the US dollar?
I don’t care about anything else.
I just want to know when it can get back to 7.3?

Lately trading has been pretty lackluster. Maybe it’s better to buy spot on the dip—~

Send a picture so you understand what it means

#Bull coming

Is Manager Kong really that poor?

Send a $BWA,

and he even does it as a RUG 😂

$zec's market maker will teach the short sellers how to act 🤣🤣🤣

How did the waterfall happen?

$BTC