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#链上指标分析 BTC: STD-ADJUSTED MVRV BANDS · 4Y ROLLING WINDOWS BTC: Standardized Adjusted MVRV Bands (4Y Rolling Window)
Latest indicator data: Standardized valuation status: Within the normal range Current MVRV is 1.501, Z score -0.44, between -1σ 1.226 and +1σ 2.211, valuation is within the normal range.
BTC reference price $79,771 7D / 30D average 1.484 / 1.366 From -1σ support +0.275 · -0.44σ On-chain date 2026-09-05
Four-year rolling standardization allows BTC cycles of different maturity to be compared on the same scale
This model calculates the mean and population standard deviation for MVRV using the most recent 1,460 daily observations. The Z score indicates how many standard deviations the current MVRV is away from its four-year average, thereby reducing cross-cycle bias caused by the structural decline of previous bull market peaks as market cap expands.
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Let you understand cycles like a professional analyst $BTC $BNB
"On-chain HYPE's largest long": 0x082e843a431aef031264dc232693dd710aedca88 Currently profit exceeds $66,046,681.49
HYPE largest long profit, HYPE largest long position, 💰 huge gains, passive holding position, 30-day active 🐉 super whale
Currently holding a 5x long position of $HYPE , Position value $119,420,611.54 Position size 1380042.65 HYPE Entry price $38.68, liquidation price $67.73
ZEC largest short position, ZEC largest short loss, BTC largest long position, 🐉 super whale, 💀 huge loss 7-day active, Garrett Bullish (the "1011 whale" who previously got liquidated for $230 million)
Currently holds 32,759.57 ZEC, worth about $38.18 million, in a 2x short position, with an entry price of $444 and a liquidation price of $2,566.
In addition, he also holds a long position of 1,331.88 BTC, with an unrealized profit of about $3.6 million.
$ZEC has risen to the 10th-largest token by market cap in the crypto market,
The largest ZEC short position on Hyperliquid is currently facing an unrealized loss of about $23.57 million.
Binance Alpha will list Canopy Network (CNPY) on September 7.
Eligible users can go to the Binance Alpha event page after trading opens and use Binance Alpha Points to claim the CNPY airdrop.
Canopy Network is a blockchain infrastructure project for developers that focuses on lowering the barrier to creating and deploying application chains through AI and shared security mechanisms. The project supports building blockchain applications with languages such as TypeScript, C#, and Python, and is committed to providing new chains with security, liquidity, and community distribution capabilities.
Canopy Network previously completed an $8.5 million seed round, with investors including Arrington Capital, Fenbushi Capital, Borderless Capital, and SNZ Holding
Binance takes you to see hot coins: ZEC heat is rising, up 0.48% in 24H
The popularity ranking shows that ZEC's hot attention decreased by 400,000 compared with yesterday, ranking first.
The popularity ranking is as follows: ① $ZEC ($1010.71, +0.48%) ② $DASH ($66.56, 25.85%) ③ $PONS ($0.8527, 24.59%) ④ $AKE ($0.01891, 38.64%) ⑤ $UNI ($6.31, -1.10%)
ZEC's main force selling pressure is weak, with a 24-hour net outflow of $51.7436 million and 24-hour trading volume of $5.61 billion, of which the main force net outflow was $28.3853 million.
#链上指标分析 $BTC BITCOIN: VALUE DAYS DESTROYED MULTIPLE Bitcoin: Value Days Destroyed Multiple The orange zone has appeared
Very low VDD indicates that old coins are barely moving, and the market is entering a phase of coin accumulation dominated by long-term holders.
VDD Multiple divides the daily value days destroyed by its 365-day average. More aged and higher-value coin movements generate greater value days destroyed, so this metric is used to observe whether long-term holders are accumulating while dormant, or spending and distributing in concentration.
-Current Data Long-term holder activity: low VDD zone · deep accumulation Current VDD: 0.6584, below the 0.75 accumulation threshold; 7-day average 0.75, 30-day average 0.75. Old coin spending intensity is relatively low, and long-term holders are showing dormancy and coin accumulation characteristics. BTC reference price: $79,563 7-day change: -0.1793 · pullback Historical peak: 4.46 · 2013-04-16 On-chain date: 2026-09-03
$ARMB Arm Holdings AGENT STUDIO · AI RESEARCH READING Stock Research — Portfolio Analysis Report
Rating ◆ Hold Target Price $286.44
1/ Executive Summary
The macro backdrop shows VIX at a complacent level of 14.1, Federal funds rate near a neutral level of 3.74%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.76%. ARM is assigned a Hold rating, with strong AI-driven royalty growth and an oversold technical setup, offset by an extreme 237x trailing P/E, a beta of 3.89, and a 39% three-month drawdown.
The primary portfolio action is to avoid opening new positions until valuation compresses toward the 200-day moving average near $201, or forward earnings visibility improves.
2/ Macro and Market Environment
Rating: ◆ Hold Target Price: $286.44 Implied Return: +18.1% Time Horizon: 12 months Risk: Extremely High ★★★★ ARM is a structural AI beneficiary, with a gross margin of 97.5%, revenue growth of 22.4%, but its 237x trailing P/E and 3.89 beta require near-perfect execution, while related risks have not been fully removed.
We assign a Hold rating because, after the recent selloff, the risk/reward is at best balanced, while the consensus target price of $286 offers only modest upside for such high volatility.
3/ Fundamental Overview
Current Price $242.59 52-Week Range $100.02 – $452.70 Market Cap 259B Trailing P/E 237.8x Forward P/E 79.3x PEG Ratio 1.9x Analyst Consensus Target Price $286.44 (+18.1%) Revenue Growth (YoY) +22.4% Gross Margin 97.5% Beta 3.89
More details https://www.welinkbtc-onchainmain.xyz/bstock-alpha/report/dh2LgA62mDljxth5cXfkdJfnwz__qKYq
#链上指标分析 Bitcoin: Active profit/loss supply ratio (excluding >7Y) It has already broken through 1.0 and is in the rising phase The next cycle has already begun
Compare active profit and loss supply volumes, exclude coins that have been dormant for more than 7 years, and identify the capitulation window using a 7-day moving average.
Active supply profit/loss status: Repair zone The current 7-day moving average ratio is 1.35, about 57.5% of active supply is in profit and 42.5% is in loss. The 7-day average is 1.43, the 30-day average is 0.94; the ratio remains above the 1.0 threshold by 0.35.
7-day trend: Downward · Increasing pressure Distance from 1.0: +0.35 Days below 1.0: 0 days On-chain date 2026-09-02
Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. AI Investment Research Report
1/ Summary
Subject BMNR Company Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. Rating Hold Target price $31.87 Reference price $25.725 Risk level Very High
2/ Key Takeaways
The macro backdrop suggests moderate volatility. VIX is 14.93. In a neutral interest-rate environment, the 10-year yield at 4.76% and the federal funds rate at 3.75% serve as anchors.
BMNR, i.e., Bitmine Immersion Technologies, has surged significantly due to its proactive accumulation of Ethereum reserves. However, extremely overbought readings and an implied volatility of 168% make the risk/reward profile for incremental capital at current levels unattractive.
Our primary action is Hold, and we will wait for a technical pullback before establishing or adding exposure.
3/ Macro and Market Environment
Vix: 14.93 Vix signal: Complacent (<15) Federal funds rate: 3.75% Federal funds rate signal: Neutral 10-year Treasury: 4.76% 10-year Treasury signal: Neutral YoY CPI: — Unemployment rate: — Macro stance: VIX below 15 indicates market complacency. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield of 4.76% and the federal funds rate of 3.75% reflect a neutral interest-rate environment, implying limited macro headwinds.
More detailed information https://www.welinkbtc-onchainmain.xyz/bstock-alpha/report/4AzTqkID-GxPatYWoBC8_cwnCoMLlWYz #雪花公司财报超预期股价涨24%
Jupiter Integrates MoonPay PayBox—Trading Entry Now Moved into the AI Chat Window
Jupiter has completed its integration with MoonPay’s generative AI payment platform, PayBox. Users can execute limit orders and DCA strategies through natural-language conversations directly in ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok, and can also call on Jupiter’s native routing and Earn products.
The weight of this message isn’t in the functionality—it’s in the channel.
Limit orders and DCA are capabilities Jupiter has had for a long time. What’s new is the customer-acquisition path: intercept trading demand inside the AI assistant users rely on every day, bypassing the hurdles of downloading a wallet, switching front-ends, and manually signing everything.
For aggregators, the order flow is the moat.
One more timeline update: PayBox launched in July this year, initially supporting payments, swaps, cross-chain, and Aave yield. In August, it connected to the Solana lending protocol Kamino. Now Jupiter has added what may be the most critical piece: aggregated trade routing. The picture of what AI agents can do on Solana is starting to take shape.
The market has already shown a reaction.
$JUP is currently quoted at $0.2340. Up 10.5% over the past 24 hours, up 3.1% over 7 days, and up 24.1% over 30 days. The circulating market cap is about $780 million, with an FDV of about $1.61 billion. About 19.84 million tokens changed hands in the last 24 hours.
But you still need to stay calm and look at three risks. First, services like this are still restricted in regions such as the United States, the UK, the EU, and Australia, so the actual addressable user base is questionable. Second, AI agents place orders on your behalf, which involves authorization scope, slippage control, and the risk of misoperations—responsibility boundaries are not yet clear. Third, the circulating market cap is only about 48% of the FDV, so supply-dilution pressure remains. Also, the link between aggregated transaction volume and the token-fee capture isn’t strong.
The direction is right—the scale still needs validation.