币圈那点事

Ever since I was little, I felt that you could do it

As it turned out, I was right

Enough money is there

This is a signal📶 Can you catch it right?

​#SHIB holder count keeps climbing

Now it’s already close to 1.69 million addresses. Over the past two weeks, it has continued to grow—pretty interesting data for meme coins.

Price can be pushed up by sentiment for a round, but the holder count keeps increasing, which suggests that at least some new money and new users are still entering this space.

For SHIB, I think the biggest takeaway isn’t just the “Shiba Inu” old IP anymore—it’s whether it can keep converting its massive community into a real ecosystem and capital flows.

1.69 million is just a number—the key question is where the next one million will come from.

If holders keep growing, the heat in the meme sector may not be truly over yet.
#柴犬幣 $SHIB

I’m bullish on $XRP
Not because of how much it has risen recently, but because I think XRP is increasingly looking like a “mature asset that institutional capital is willing to allocate.”
Why am I looking at it?
First, the regulatory logic is getting clearer. This year Ripple has already obtained full authorization as a Europe MiCA CASP, and RLUSD has also entered the Japanese market—compliance and institutional business are continuing to expand.
Second, XRPL isn’t just about stories. Data from the past week shows XRPL’s daily average transactions are close to 2.94 million, active accounts are over 310,000, and the on-chain AMM TVL has kept growing in a row.
Third, I value the RLUSD + XRP + XRPL combination even more.
Stablecoins handle capital flows, XRPL handles settlement and on-chain finance, and XRP itself plays the role of liquidity in the network.
If this ecosystem keeps expanding, the demand logic for XRP will naturally become stronger.
On top of that, ETF capital, institutional products, and the derivatives market are gradually improving. XRP is no longer the coin that relied only on community call-outs like before. Recent data shows that XRP-related ETFs had net inflows of $248 million over one week, and spot ETF options have also started trading.
So my thinking is very simple:
I don’t guess how much it will rise in a day.
I’m betting on whether, over the next few years, XRP can change from a “payments concept coin” into a real foundational asset that connects traditional finance, stablecoins, RWA, and on-chain liquidity.
If this logic plays out, today’s price may just be the starting point.
Of course, these are my personal views—this isn’t me telling everyone to buy blindly. If you really do buy, you have to be able to withstand volatility.
$XRP

In this CLARITY bill, what I think is truly worth paying attention to isn’t “yet another piece of regulatory legislation,” but the fact that the U.S. has finally begun to draw boundaries for Crypto.
The core change is still just two words: decentralization of authority.
For most eligible digital assets and spot markets, the regulatory focus shifts further toward the CFTC; the SEC will be responsible for assets with stronger “securities” characteristics. If this direction ultimately comes to fruition, it will be a major positive for the entire industry.
My view:
Mature assets like BTC and ETH will benefit most directly. Exchanges, compliant custody, stablecoins, and RWA will also enjoy the upside.
But I’m actually more focused on DeFi.
Because once real regulatory certainty is in place, institutional capital will finally dare to enter at scale. Before, people weren’t afraid that Crypto had no opportunity—it was that the rules weren’t set, so money wouldn’t come in.
So this time, I’ll be watching closely:
BTC / ETH
Compliant trading platforms
Stablecoins
RWA
DeFi
However, it’s not time to blindly go bullish yet. The Senate is expected to hold a key procedural vote on September 15—whether it can truly move forward is the next hurdle.
Regulation isn’t necessarily the end point for the market; it may actually be the starting point for the next wave of incremental capital.
#CLARITY法案 #Crypto #BTC #ETH #RWA

The “ghost chain” controversy around XRP this time is kind of interesting.
In August, among over 20 million XRPL payments, genuinely active accounts are highly concentrated.

Just 793 accounts contributed 93.2% of transactions, and 767 of them are classified as machine accounts, including bots and spam accounts.

Even more strikingly, DEX order bots accounted for 48.1% of transactions, and dust transactions made up 23%.

So some people have simply slapped the XRPL with the label “ghost chain.”
But Ripple’s former CTO David Schwartz’s response was also very direct: if the fees are low enough, it will attract both valuable usage and a large amount of meaningless activity.

So the real issue isn’t simply whether the transactions are being generated by bots.

What’s more worth paying attention to is whether XRPL can ultimately convert these low-cost, high-frequency trades into real demand for payments, DEX activity, RWA, and on-chain finance.

After all, more than 20 million transactions in a month are there for everyone to see—the data is real; the question is how much of those transactions actually has real value.
$XRP

Can XRP one day surpass BTC?
This topic has been brought up for discussion again recently.
Ripple’s former CTO David Schwartz is very direct in his view:
In the future, XRP is not without a chance to exceed Bitcoin in market value.
But there’s a key premise—
it’s not that BTC will just crash on its own, but that XRP needs to run faster.
In fact, this shifts the question from “Will BTC drop?” to a more important one:
Can XRP continuously expand its applications and demand for capital?
Schwartz believes that if the XRP Ledger can further increase its adoption—especially by leveraging high throughput, low cost, and expanding into payments and financial use cases—XRP’s growth potential could be opened up even more.
So I think instead of arguing every day about whether XRP can knock out BTC, we should look at three things:
Whether XRPL has more real-world use
Whether the ecosystem can continuously attract capital
Whether XRP’s value capture can keep pace with network growth
BTC represents a market of digital scarcity assets,
while what XRP is trying to challenge is the market space for payments and financial infrastructure.
Their logics have never been the same.
And when the day truly comes that XRP’s market cap exceeds BTC, it won’t be because of some $BTC collapse.
It will be because XRP itself has run ahead.
$XRP

$BTC Falls below $77,000; the short-term is back at a critical level.
For this pullback, I’m actually not in a hurry to label it as a trend reversal. What we’re seeing now looks more like a retest/confirmation after a failed breakout around the $80,000 area.
Next, focus on three key levels:
$77,000
This is the first line of defense. If it breaks, short-term sentiment can easily continue to weaken.
$75,000
A more important support zone. If there’s clear absorption here, there’s still a chance to see a second rebound.
$80,000
Only after price moves back above this level can we truly say the short-term weakness has been reversed.
What you must avoid right now is seeing a drop below $77,000 and immediately FOMO shorting.
Watch for absorption when support breaks, and look for a reclaim of the key level to confirm the trend.
At the moment, BTC is still waiting for a new macro catalyst, and the market is paying close attention to CPI and the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
My approach is still:
Don’t try to guess the bottom.
Don’t chase shorts.
First, see whether $75,000 can hold.
If it holds, it might be only a shakeout;
If $75,000 also breaks, then we need to reassess the structure of this up move.

Circle This update doesn’t look like much, but for people who frequently transfer USDC across chains, the experience is a lot smoother.

Before, when using CCTP, the fee was deducted directly from the USDC you eventually received. For example, if you transfer 1,000 USDC, the amount you finally receive might be a bit less—exactly how much less depends on the fees.

Now it’s changed to “pay the fee in advance.”

On the source chain, you can pay the fee first using native gas or USDC. The amount of USDC that arrives on the destination chain will no longer be reduced by destination-chain fees.

In plain terms:

No matter how much USDC you transfer, you’ll know exactly how much USDC you’ll ultimately receive.

Also, the costs for Fast Transfer and Forwarding can now be calculated all at once via the Quote API, so developers don’t have to manually break down and compute all the different fees themselves.

For everyday users, the biggest change is that cross-chain received amounts are more predictable. For teams building cross-chain products, the integration cost is also a bit lower.

At this time, CCTP USDC transfers are supported for all EVM chains. The only exception is that Solana can’t currently be used as the initiating chain, but transfers to Solana are still supported.

When it comes to cross-chain transfers, what truly affects the user experience is often not speed, but “how much you have to spend before you transfer, and how much you’ll receive at the end.”

This is what Circle is addressing with this update—the missing details.

$BTC is quietly changing its script
In the past, the market viewed Bitcoin
more like a high-volatility tech stock
When U.S. stocks rose
BTC would rise with them
When the Nasdaq fell
BTC would also often get hit
But recently, this logic has been changing
Data shows
BTC’s 90-day correlation with gold has risen to its highest level since 2020
while its correlation with the Nasdaq 100 has fallen to a near one-year low
At the same time, BTC still maintains a clear negative correlation with the U.S. dollar
What does this mean
BTC is slowly moving away from the pricing framework of a “tech risk asset”
It is starting to be seen by more capital as an asset
that hedges currency devaluation and fiscal risk
The rally in August was a classic example
Long-term bond yields surged
Fiscal pressure intensified
The market began to reprice the “currency devaluation” logic
As a result, gold rose
BTC even surged 22.4% in a single week
while stocks weakened instead
So what is truly worth paying attention to
is not whether BTC can keep rising alongside gold
but a bigger change:
when institutions start placing BTC next to gold
instead of next to the Nasdaq
BTC’s capital pool may no longer be limited to the crypto market
By then
Bitcoin would not be facing an ordinary bull market
but possibly a real revaluation of the asset class.

$ZEC is going crazy again 🔥
The privacy sector really managed to drive up the hype this time
ZEC strongly broke through $1000 in a short period of time
Peaking at around $1047
In just two days, it surged from around $800 to above $1000
This kind of move is no longer an ordinary rebound
It looks more like:
breakout → acceleration → FOMO → breakout again
But the more vertical the rally
the less you should only look at the gains
What really matters now is whether $1000 can hold
If $1000 turns from resistance into support
then the next stage can continue to watch $1100 → $1200 → $1300
On the other hand
if it pulls back after the surge and falls back below $1000
then you need to be careful that high-level positions may start to loosen
What’s craziest about ZEC right now is not how much it has risen
but that the market has started to reprice
the privacy narrative again.

$BTC We’re back above $80,000

This market move is kind of interesting:
Fed Waller signals a more dovish stance, Treasury yields pull back, risk assets rebound across the board—BTC briefly surged to around $82,000, and ETH also reclaimed the $2,500 level.

But I’m not going to rush to call that the bull market is back.
Because around $82,000 is exactly the previous key resistance level.

Next, we’ll watch two scenarios👇

🟢 A breakout with strong volume above $82,000 and holding there
→ the rebound turns into a trending move
→ targets at $85,000 and $90,000
→ once BTC holds, capital may then continue rotating into ETH, SOL, and altcoins

🔴 A failed push higher, followed by a drop back below $76,000
→ this looks more like a short-term repair
→ around $71,000 will become the next important line of defense

What you should most avoid right now is:
Seeing BTC break above $80,000 and immediately go all-in chasing.
When the market is truly comfortable, it’s usually not the very first big bullish candle after a breakout.
Instead, it’s:
Breakout → pullback → confirmation of support → then another push up.

So my strategy is simple right now:
I won’t blindly go bearish, and I won’t mindlessly FOMO.
First, focus on whether $82,000 can truly hold.

If it holds, keep looking for a long trend
If it doesn’t hold, be patient and wait for the pullback.
The market never lacks opportunities
what it lacks is whether you still have capital to wait for the next one.

Corporate funds have quietly started buying BTC again

Strategy buys 4,603 BTC at once, and Strive has also added 1,800 BTC

What’s interesting is that while the market’s short-term price action is still choppy, corporate funds have begun increasing their Bitcoin reserves again

This points to one issue:
Short-term prices can be influenced by sentiment, but when it comes to long-term capital, it often looks at much longer cycles

If more and more listed companies later bring BTC back into their asset allocation, the market’s buyer structure could change again

So what I care about now isn’t whether a single K-line goes up or down

It’s about who is still continuously buying
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Strategy $BTC

🚨 ETF fund flows are showing divergence; BTC is clearly more resilient than ETH.
Yesterday, U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw net inflows of about $101 million, and BlackRock’s IBIT alone attracted $115.4 million.
By contrast, ETH ETFs recorded total net outflows of about $48.2 million for the day, and ETHA alone saw daily outflows of more than $53 million.
This comparison is actually quite interesting:
Institutions aren’t completely refusing to buy Crypto now—they’re clearly favoring BTC.
BTC has funds being steadily absorbed, while ETH is seeing capital withdrawn, suggesting that market risk appetite remains relatively cautious.
So for near-term strength and weakness, I still prefer to first watch whether BTC’s ETF inflows can keep up.
If BTC continues to attract capital while ETH funds still can’t return, the two may continue to diverge in their price action.
Where the money goes is often more important than whatever story the market is selling.
#BTC #ETH #ETF

🚨 Tom Lee Still Hasn’t Given Up on the $150,000 Goal of $BTC

Short-term fluctuations and macro pressure are both there, but his core judgment hasn’t changed: this BTC rally isn’t over yet, and the $150,000 target still has a path forward.

That said, I think where the target is announced matters less.

Right now, $BTC is still hovering around $77,000—still one step away from the key psychological level of $80,000.

So don’t start fantasizing about $150,000 just yet:
First reclaim $80,000 → then look to $90,000 → and only then is it time for $150,000.
Big goals are fine, but the market still needs to move step by step.

BTC What you should be most wary of right now isn’t that someone is aggressively dumping—it’s that the number of buyers stepping in has started to shrink

In recent times, short-term holders are still taking profits, which suggests that the previous leg of the rally has pushed a lot of coins into the profit zone

More importantly, the “apparent demand” of $BTC has turned weak again, meaning that new buy orders have not temporarily caught up with the supply of coins released by the market

This kind of demand weakness was also detected by on-chain data before.
That’s also why, although BTC hasn’t shown an especially dramatic selloff recently, the price has started to look a bit sluggish

When it can’t rally, sometimes that is even more concerning than how fast it drops.
The next key thing to watch is one matter
When will the new buying demand come back?

If demand expands again, the current pullback may just be consolidation digestion

If demand keeps weakening, $BTC needs to guard against further downside in search of support

So right now, I won’t rush into FOMO, and I also won’t automatically go bearish just because of a short-term pullback

First watch the capital, then watch the price.

🚨 $BTC 9 starts in October—first check whether the capital is back.

In August, Bitcoin rose nearly **25%**, just posted a rare and strong August performance in many years. After September began, spot BTC ETF inflows have resumed; the latest single-day net inflow is about **$217 million**, indicating that institutional buying hasn’t fully stepped away.

But the problem right now is also very straightforward:

Can $77,000 hold? Can $80,000 still be reclaimed?

The $80,000 area is already a clear psychological level. Because the rally happened too fast, there’s definitely a lot of short-term profit-taking.

So I’m not going to FOMO.

**Hold at $77,000 to keep bullish momentum—
Reclaim and hold $80,000 to give the market a chance to keep opening up.**

In September, there are still variables like the Fed, interest rates, and macro data. Going forward, how BTC moves is worth watching—but capital flows are even more important than sentiment.

**Don’t get carried away when it’s pumping, and don’t panic when it drops.
A truly strong trend is one that can still hold after it rallies.**

#BTC #比特币 #Bitcoin #crypto market

This wave of $BTC has been pulled up to the higher levels—what’s really worth paying attention to may not be how much the price can still rise, but whether the **options market has kept up**.

Right now, spot has been rising fairly fast, but the reaction in short- to mid-term IV is clearly not as intense, and long-term volatility is also relatively steady.

In simple terms:

**The price is pushing higher, but the market isn’t getting particularly excited.**

This usually suggests that while capital is willing to go long, it’s not chasing the rally aggressively—more like rising while defending. Recent data also shows that the increase in BTC’s realized volatility is noticeably higher than the rise in implied volatility.

Another variable to watch is options expiry at the end of the month.

At present, options positioning around the $80,000–$90,000 area is relatively concentrated. If price keeps moving further into this zone, changes in Gamma could further amplify volatility on the screen.

So my view is pretty straightforward:

**The bulls haven’t exited, but there’s also no crazy FOMO.**

Next, if BTC continues upward, the key is whether it can truly hold above the ~$80,000 level.

If it can’t break through, the short-term move will very likely keep washing back and forth.

This setup feels more like:

**rising while testing—rather than blindly pumping higher all the way.**

In the past few days, the $BTC price action may not feel too comfortable.

As prices keep fluctuating back and forth, bearish voices in the market may grow louder. Some longs who chased the price earlier may, if their confidence isn’t strong enough, choose to exit amid the volatility.

At the moment, BTC is still trading within the larger range of $71,000–$82,000.

Around $71,000 can be seen as an important support level, while $82,000 is a key resistance level on the upside.

Even if it continues to pull back in the short term, it doesn’t necessarily mean the trend has completely weakened. As long as the lower end of the range isn’t effectively broken, there is still a chance for a breakout to the upside later.

As for when the breakout happens—whether it’s the first, second, or third attempt—it's actually not that important.

At least based on the current way of operating, they haven’t chosen to go short, and they haven’t reduced their position either. They’re still holding the spot position established around $62,000.

Put simply:

In the short term, prices can chop around—but don’t let your confidence get chaotic.