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Gold is not weak overall today; instead, it is consolidating at high levels to build momentum. Price is still trading above 4300, indicating that the long (bullish) structure has not been broken. However, the area around 4350–4352 has been suppressed multiple times, so in the short term, a breakout needs to be confirmed.
On the fundamentals side, this week the market focus is on upcoming U.S. inflation data. Kiplinger’s economic calendar for this week notes that the market will focus on U.S. CPI on Wednesday, August 12, and U.S. PPI on Thursday, August 13. Today is Monday with no particularly major U.S. data, so tonight’s gold is most likely to be driven by technical levels, the U.S. Dollar Index, Treasury yields, and risk-off/safe-haven sentiment.
Tonight’s main strategy Core idea: Don’t chase. Buy on pullbacks; only follow once the breakout is confirmed. If gold pulls back and stabilizes in the 4325–4315 area, you can consider a short-term long. Initial targets: 4345–4352. If it breaks out and holds above 4355, then look for 4375–4400. For the defense level, watch below 4310. Because 4313 is near today’s low; if it breaks, it means the intraday bulls’ defense has failed.
Breakout strategy If gold breaks 4352 with volume, and the 15-minute or 30-minute candles hold above 4355, you can look for continuation. Upside targets: 4375 4400 4420 But note: if it only spikes through 4352 and quickly falls back below 4335, that’s a false breakout—be careful of a high-and-return pullback.
Risk of pullback If gold rallies into 4350–4355 but can’t hold—showing a long upper wick or repeated failed attempts to push higher—you can look for a short-term pullback. Pullback targets: 4335 4325 4315 If it breaks below 4310, then watch for 4295–4280.
BTC is holding steady, and ETH is stealing the spotlight: who should you really be watching in this market move?
Lately, the market looks quite interesting.
BTC has returned to around $64,000, while ETH has been repeatedly fighting around $1,900. On the surface, there isn’t a dramatic, eye-catching bullish candle—but precisely in moments like this, I think it’s even more worth paying close attention. The latest publicly available market data shows BTC is around the $64,000 line, while ETH is around $1,900.
Let’s talk about BTC first.
Right now, BTC’s biggest feature can be summed up in two words:
resilience.
After a round of emotional shocks across the market, BTC still managed to reclaim the $64,000 area, which suggests that the demand/support at this level isn’t weak.
But the problem is also obvious—
there’s still substantial pressure overhead.
In the near term, I personally will focus on the following:
If BTC can effectively break through 65,000–66,000, market sentiment is likely to noticeably improve;
conversely, if it falls back below the 62,000–63,000 range again, you’ll need to be on alert for a renewed search for support lower down.
So at this current position, I don’t really like chasing spikes.
What truly interests me is ETH.
ETH is currently around the $1,900 mark, and ETH/BTC has also shown some signs of relative strength recently. Coinbase ETH/BTC
What does that mean?
If BTC is responsible for stabilizing the broader market, once ETH starts catching up and making up the lag, the market’s “money-making effect” may finally truly kick in.
Next, I’ll focus on two key ETH levels:
$2,000 — the sentiment threshold
Above $2,100 — the critical zone that opens up further upside space
As long as BTC doesn’t experience a large-scale drop, if ETH is the first to break above $2,000, I think market attention could shift from “Can BTC still rally?” to:
“When will ETH’s catch-up rally start?”
So my thinking is actually quite simple:
BTC looks at direction; ETH looks at upside momentum. If BTC doesn’t break down, ETH has a story. Once BTC breaks through, ETH may be the one that’s more worth watching.
The most torturous phase in crypto markets is often not the time of explosive rallies or crashes.
It’s when—
everyone feels there’s no action, yet the market is quietly choosing its direction.
Do you think the next phase will be BTC breaking 66,000 first, or ETH getting above 2,000 first?
7.27 Gold Market Analysis|After a Gap Up, It Pulls Back; 4090 Becomes the Key
Today, gold opened with a gap up, but then prices pulled back and are currently hovering around 4090. This suggests that the early-day safe-haven buying did not sustain with follow-through, and the bulls have started to enter a consolidation-and-digestion phase.
Why did the market gap up?
There are three main reasons:
1. Weekend risk-off sentiment was priced in early
As weekend news developed, funds tended to allocate to gold in advance during Monday’s Asia session, leading to concentrated buying at the open.
2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar provided support
The market still expects potential changes in Fed policy. When the dollar faces pressure, gold typically receives support.
3. Technical rebound momentum
Gold had rebounded from around 4000 earlier, and the short-term trend remains relatively strong. Therefore, buying at the open continued to follow the rebound momentum.
But:
A gap up does not necessarily mean prices will rise.
The pullback after the open indicates there is profit-taking pressure overhead. Watch how prices retrace and whether buyers can absorb the selling.
⸻
Key levels to watch next:
Resistance overhead:
4100-4110
This is the first resistance zone. If price can regain and hold above it, there is a chance for the short term to test higher again:
4130-4150
Only after breaking through would there be an opportunity to challenge the prior high area again.
⸻
Support below:
4080
First short-term support.
If it holds, that would suggest this is just a normal pullback after the gap up.
4050
Major support.
If this level breaks, the short-term structure weakens.
4000
The medium-term boundary between bulls and bears.
⸻
My view:
Right now, gold looks more like:
Gap up → pullback to confirm → wait for directional selection
In the short term, don’t chase long positions blindly.
My opinion:
If price stabilizes above 4090: look for a rebound toward 4100-4130 If it breaks below 4080: look for 4050 If it fails below 4050: it may retest 4000
In one sentence:
Today’s gold is not a one-way rally—it is digesting the gap. 4090 is the current battleground. Hold it for a rebound; break it for an adjustment.$XAU
Today gold has clearly strengthened. In spot trading, gold briefly reached a peak of around $4,139, setting a new high in nearly two weeks. The core of the current market action still comes down to two lines of focus: safe-haven demand driven by the situation in the Middle East, and market debate over the Federal Reserve’s future rate path.
Judging by the price action, the prior support around 4,000 has been validated. Funds have moved back in, pushing gold to break above 4,100, and in the short term the bulls have regained control.
My view is: as long as 4100 is not broken down decisively, gold remains tilted to the upside in the short term.
If it holds above 4140–4160, the next step could be another attempt to test 4200. Conversely, if it falls back below 4100, investors should be on guard for profit-taking after the rally. From a technical perspective, the market is also watching for further resistance around 4200. $PAXG
You can't even go heavy on a solid coin How can you think about getting hitched? Out of thousands of coins, you can't pick one that's in the green And you still dream of finding someone who loves you among 1.4 billion people $BNB $ASTER
Recently, the market basically follows political factors. Everyone must remember to set stop losses when opening positions 🤣, especially since Trump, who loves to stir things up, is known for his unexpected moves.
Three major benefits for the cryptocurrency market at the end of the year: Bitcoin aiming for $140,000 in 2026?
On December 20, 2025, Bitcoin's price fluctuated in the range of $87-88k. The year-end market welcomes three significant events that may ignite a new bull market in 2026.
1. Citibank raises target price In its latest report, Citibank has set a 12-month target price for Bitcoin at $143,000 (up 62%), potentially reaching $189,000 in a bull market scenario. The core drivers: ETF fund inflows (expected net inflow of $15 billion in 2026) and the Trump administration's crypto-friendly policies. The report believes that the current price has returned to reasonable valuation, and institutional demand is recovering.
2. $2.3 billion options expiration Next week, there will be a huge settlement of Bitcoin options contracts, with a nominal value exceeding $23 billion. Historical experience shows that large expiration dates are often accompanied by significant volatility. The current biggest pain point is around $88k, and there might be a short-term 'gamma squeeze', which could trigger liquidations or breakouts. Short-term players need to be cautious, and long positions should monitor changes in funding rates.
3. U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill Congress is actively promoting bills such as the "BITCOIN Act", which aims to centralize government-held Bitcoin as a national strategic reserve and allows citizens to pay taxes with BTC while being exempt from capital gains tax. If passed, this would give Bitcoin the status of 'digital gold', greatly enhancing its legitimacy and institutional accumulation willingness.
With three major benefits overlapping: short-term volatility intensifies, and medium to long-term narratives are strong. If it breaks through $90k, it may reignite the upward trend; if it falls below $85k, a correction to $70k should be anticipated.
At the moment, it feels like Ethereum will continue to drop. Many people's habitual thinking is that after a decline, they can hope for a rebound. However, this risk is too great; you have no idea where the take-profit level is. With just a slight lack of attention, you can face liquidation, and most people do not have an astronomical margin. Therefore, the safest advice is to wait until the market stabilizes and to go long only when favorable conditions arise. At this time, for those of us with smaller capital, it is still advisable to be cautious when going long. #ETH #BTC
I heard that a ceasefire is coming, gold has plummeted, liquidity is returning to the cryptocurrency market, and with the interest rate cut at the end of the month, will this wave break new highs? Let's wait and see #加密市场回调
Buy when no one cares, sell when the crowd is bustling. After starting with Binance contracts, it feels like the last good news. After the big liquidation on October 11, the liquidity in the circle itself is relatively weak. With so much capital flowing out into meme projects, there won't be significant funds coming in to drive prices up in the short term. Bearish, bearish #中文Meme币热潮 $币安人生 $BNB
Yes, you have 10 million in your account, catch a wave of market movement, earning 20% is 2 million, you can wait for the next wave of market movement with peace of mind, but my account only has 200u, so I can only earn 40u, which can't fill the gap in my life, so I desperately trade frequently, looking for opportunities every day, and in the end, I keep losing more and more, what really destroys me is not the market, but the pressure of life and the fear of the market.
Kang Liangxi's single trading is like Happy Beans, with a peak close to 20 million. In one day, from 1 million to 20 million. If the long positions are not closed, it could have made over 100 million today. Currently, the account has around 3 million left. Compared to some who dare not trade in the real market, I have to say Liangzi is really impressive $ETH #美国加征关税