币圈都知道

Let’s talk about Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Bitcoin has a supply cap of about 21 million coins; Ethereum has no hard supply cap, and its supply changes with new issuance and the burning of base fees.
Honestly, I hadn’t paid attention to this before either: you need to keep some ETH on hand to pay gas fees when using Ethereum; transaction fees on the Bitcoin network are paid in BTC.
$BTC and $ETH are the native coins of Bitcoin and Ethereum, respectively, but they serve different purposes.
It’s safer to take it slow with products you’re unfamiliar with and start by practicing with small amounts.

I spent ages discussing this with a friend: Arthur Hayes bought $888,000 worth of tokens through FalconX and Flowdesk.
It may not seem like much, but news like this is sometimes easy to underestimate.
I felt pretty calm after reading it—probably because I’ve seen too many similar things.
$AERO is currently at 0.8482, down 5.99% today.

#AERO

🛎️ Institutional moves: A certain exchange a certain exchange updates its October Merkle tree proof of reserves: reserve ratios for major assets remain above 100%
The situation remains to be seen; $BTC is added to the watchlist first.
A single message can hardly change the trend, but it may amplify volatility. What would you do?

#BTC

To be honest, what I care about most now isn't how much it goes up, but avoiding a big loss.
$RSR plunged 7.16% in 5 minutes and is now at 0.002033.
Gains and losses are both normal; limiting losses is more important than catching every wave.

$Q Intraday breakout signal
15-minute +3.16% to 0.05459, 4h +6.43%.
The daily timeframe has also turned positive (24h +11.92%), with larger and smaller timeframes aligned, which should make the move more sustainable.
If it reverses from here, how will you respond?

#Q

$TAO daily chart broke below MA50 (267.292).
Let's use this number to talk about moving averages.
There are several types of moving averages, including simple and exponential averages. MA usually refers to a simple moving average, where each candlestick is weighted equally; EMA gives more weight to recent prices.
In a sideways market, prices repeatedly cross the moving average, so signals that price has moved above or below it can easily be false. Moving averages are more useful in trending markets.
Sizing your position based on where you place your stop-loss is much more reliable than guessing.

A shared token vesting pool on UNCX Network was hacked, and about $86,000 was stolen.
I usually don't change my position based on a single news item unless the price also gives a signal. Slightly negative, but we'll see over the next few days whether everyone's reaction is overblown.
$ETH 2368.32

Just saw: $ZEREBRO daily RSI is 78.8, entering overbought territory, with the current price at 0.04056.
People keep asking how to read RSI, so here's my take.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) was developed by Welles Wilder. It’s calculated using the average gains and average losses over the most recent 14 candlesticks, with values ranging from 0 to 100.
Being oversold only means prices have fallen sharply and quickly during this period. They may rebound afterward, or they may continue to churn near the lows for a while before choosing a direction.
Learning to read indicators is easy. The hard part is sticking to your plan when the market gets extreme.

When macro conditions shift, watch the broader market first: $BTC is currently at 81544.84, down 2.18% over 24h.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell below 102, down 0.52% today. Policy changes are generally slower than the crypto market, but their effects often last longer.
When yields move, the crypto market is bound to feel the impact. The direction depends on whether yields are rising or falling.

#BTC

U.S. CPI surged, and Japan’s finance minister once again warned about the yen’s depreciation.
When there are policy changes, I tend to do less intraday trading and wait until sentiment becomes clearer.
A valid breakout needs volume to confirm it; breakouts without volume often fall back into the range.
$BTC is currently at 81805.32, down 1.85% over 24h.

#BTC

$ETH Intraday -3.31%. The news is in: Real Vision founder asks, “Why can’t most public blockchains escape extinction?”
Positive news is only convincing when accompanied by higher volume; a reaction on lower volume should be taken with a grain of salt. It’s safer to wait and see if the price pulls back near a key level than to chase it as soon as the news breaks.
How did you handle situations like this in the past?

In $ZEREBRO 5 minutes, it plunged 4.1%; 24h: +69.79%.
Sharing my usual approach: I don’t rush to chase a sharp rise or cut my losses during a sharp drop. I wait for the market to settle before deciding what to do.

“Linz 3–6 Liverpool,” linked to $CHZ (football).
I usually assess this kind of correlation as strong or weak: for sector-wide movement, you need to see whether the leading coin can drive the others; a single coin can hardly make a move on its own.
$CHZ is currently at 0.01416. Do you think this is the beginning or the end?

Q: What does a $BTW 24-hour drop in open interest of 16.04% alongside a 20.3% price increase mean?
A: The rally was likely driven mostly by short covering; so far, there’s no sign of new money entering the market. Short covering eventually runs its course, and whether the trend continues depends on whether additional capital comes in.

#BTW

Let the chart do the talking | Iowa and Michigan exports weighed down by tariffs
Short-term moves follow sentiment, while the bigger picture follows the trend. This news mainly affects the shorter time frame. Next, watch whether prices hold above the day's low after the news breaks.
The impact is limited, but if similar news keeps coming one after another, it's worth giving it some thought.
$BTC , 24h -1.69%.

#BTC

Q: Standard Chartered has pushed back its forecast for the $2 trillion stablecoin market to 2030. What impact will this have on the market?
A: It may seem insignificant, but changes like this are easy to overlook. Place your stop-loss outside the structure, and there’s no need to panic no matter how much buzz the news creates.
$BTC (24h -2.07%).

#BTC

$GTC 5 minutes -5.55%💣
Short-term selling pressure is heavy; watch to see if it can stabilize.
Current price: 0.2144. It’ll be easier to make a more measured judgment after trading volume declines. What would you do in this situation?

#GTC

Market structure｜$TRUTH
5 min +3.31%, 24h +37.95%
After such a sharp rise in a short time, early buyers could cash out at any moment. Before getting in, make sure you’ve planned your exit.
Do you think the current price is high or low?

#TRUTH

The probability of the Fed raising interest rates before the end of December is as high as 94.3%.
This reminds me of similar news from the past. Back then, prices didn’t move the way everyone expected. When there’s a somewhat negative development, I prefer to make fewer moves at first and wait for volatility to subside.
$BTC