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#BTC何时反弹？
The long-term bearish outlook hasn't changed, the timing for bottom-fishing hasn't arrived. This year's bear market is different from previous years; liquidity has significantly decreased. The crypto market this year may feel like wearing old clothes, and perhaps after this, we won't wear them again. Long-term shorting shouldn't be a big issue.
The long-term bearish outlook hasn't changed, the timing for bottom-fishing hasn't arrived. This year's bear market is different from previous years; liquidity has significantly decreased. The crypto market this year may feel like wearing old clothes, and perhaps after this, we won't wear them again. Long-term shorting shouldn't be a big issue.
#全球科技股抛售冲击风险资产
According to a report by Jinshi Data, Goldman Sachs' trading division stated that after a rebound in the US stock market last Friday, it will face selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds this week. The S&P 500 index has broken short-term trigger points, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs anticipates that regardless of market direction, these systematic strategies will maintain net selling in the coming week.
Goldman Sachs pointed out that if the stock market declines again, it could trigger about $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 index falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systematic selling over the next month. Under stable market conditions, CTAs are expected to sell about $15.4 billion in US stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell about $8.7 billion.
According to a report by Jinshi Data, Goldman Sachs' trading division stated that after a rebound in the US stock market last Friday, it will face selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds this week. The S&P 500 index has broken short-term trigger points, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs anticipates that regardless of market direction, these systematic strategies will maintain net selling in the coming week.
Goldman Sachs pointed out that if the stock market declines again, it could trigger about $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 index falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systematic selling over the next month. Under stable market conditions, CTAs are expected to sell about $15.4 billion in US stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell about $8.7 billion.
#加密市场反弹
There was no decline on Friday, and funds have entered the market. Has the market reversed?
In my view, there will be a short-term easing period, with slight upward adjustments, and around the end of February, we can expect another significant drop. This time we can make a short-term buy, but long-term I still hold a bearish view. Finally, as we approach the end of the month, we should look for the best high point to continue shorting. We are neither bears nor bulls; we are the movers of both, acting in accordance with the trend and not against it, making short-term buys and focusing on long-term shorts. The market changes rapidly, and as it changes, we change too.
There was no decline on Friday, and funds have entered the market. Has the market reversed?
In my view, there will be a short-term easing period, with slight upward adjustments, and around the end of February, we can expect another significant drop. This time we can make a short-term buy, but long-term I still hold a bearish view. Finally, as we approach the end of the month, we should look for the best high point to continue shorting. We are neither bears nor bulls; we are the movers of both, acting in accordance with the trend and not against it, making short-term buys and focusing on long-term shorts. The market changes rapidly, and as it changes, we change too.
#加密市场回调
When to buy the dip?
That depends on where you set the starting line for buying the dip. For example, if you're buying SOL in batches from 70, with a downward target of 10, then you should consider how to stagger your purchases in a way that allows you to hold long-term. Both spot and currency-based purchases are fine. If the starting line is very high, then enter with a smaller initial amount; if the starting line is very low, then go in with a larger initial amount. This strategy generally works well for mainstream coins with lower unit prices like ETH, BNB, and SOL. The price of BTC is too high for beginners to handle well, but experienced traders have already started positioning themselves. This recent crash has provided many with an opportunity to turn their fortunes around by buying the dip!
When to buy the dip?
That depends on where you set the starting line for buying the dip. For example, if you're buying SOL in batches from 70, with a downward target of 10, then you should consider how to stagger your purchases in a way that allows you to hold long-term. Both spot and currency-based purchases are fine. If the starting line is very high, then enter with a smaller initial amount; if the starting line is very low, then go in with a larger initial amount. This strategy generally works well for mainstream coins with lower unit prices like ETH, BNB, and SOL. The price of BTC is too high for beginners to handle well, but experienced traders have already started positioning themselves. This recent crash has provided many with an opportunity to turn their fortunes around by buying the dip!
#BTC何时反弹？
The market has crashed, and the sky has fallen; it's also a rare opportunity. Wait for a good time to consolidate long-term, and then buy the dip. It can't drop so sharply and then immediately rebound; it's hard to pull up, and no one is taking the bait.
It's also a rare chance to prepare for financial freedom. Buy the spot in batches, ultimately leveraging low on the coin basis for BTC/SOL. Choose these two.
The market has crashed, and the sky has fallen; it's also a rare opportunity. Wait for a good time to consolidate long-term, and then buy the dip. It can't drop so sharply and then immediately rebound; it's hard to pull up, and no one is taking the bait.
It's also a rare chance to prepare for financial freedom. Buy the spot in batches, ultimately leveraging low on the coin basis for BTC/SOL. Choose these two.
#美国伊朗对峙
If the negotiations break down, BTC/ETH will strengthen with gold. If the negotiations ease, funds will flow back, and declines will be hindered. What is being discussed are things that the other party cannot accept, and force is also something neither side wants to use. In reality, the little yellow-haired person's intention is not in the drink; let's look forward to the results tomorrow.
If the negotiations break down, BTC/ETH will strengthen with gold. If the negotiations ease, funds will flow back, and declines will be hindered. What is being discussed are things that the other party cannot accept, and force is also something neither side wants to use. In reality, the little yellow-haired person's intention is not in the drink; let's look forward to the results tomorrow.
#特朗普称坚定支持加密货币
Does this topic give a lot of confidence to the bulls? Every time the bulls try to bottom out, they lose. If they don't feel the pain, they won't know to turn back. Follow the trend, don't go against it. If you can't beat them, join them. What's the point of bottom fishing? Cost performance? Are you stubborn? Everything has collapsed, and funds are flowing out in billions. Are you going to be a bag holder?
February 2026, if someone asks you to bottom fish, remember to get in a tank, directly fire, and blow off the roof of their house. What is the basis for bottom fishing? Are there any messages? Or does the data show anything? Is there? If not, what is the significance of your bottom fishing? Proving that the person is foolish and has too much money!
Does this topic give a lot of confidence to the bulls? Every time the bulls try to bottom out, they lose. If they don't feel the pain, they won't know to turn back. Follow the trend, don't go against it. If you can't beat them, join them. What's the point of bottom fishing? Cost performance? Are you stubborn? Everything has collapsed, and funds are flowing out in billions. Are you going to be a bag holder?
February 2026, if someone asks you to bottom fish, remember to get in a tank, directly fire, and blow off the roof of their house. What is the basis for bottom fishing? Are there any messages? Or does the data show anything? Is there? If not, what is the significance of your bottom fishing? Proving that the person is foolish and has too much money!
#美国伊朗对峙
At this moment, February 4th, 17:33
The signs of a cryptocurrency crash have appeared again, with retail investors continuously pouring in funds, while the main players are continuously withdrawing their funds. Manage your positions well, Amen～
It is also possible that after the US stock market opens, it won't be quick, but it's coming soon.
At this moment, February 4th, 17:33
The signs of a cryptocurrency crash have appeared again, with retail investors continuously pouring in funds, while the main players are continuously withdrawing their funds. Manage your positions well, Amen～
It is also possible that after the US stock market opens, it won't be quick, but it's coming soon.
#美国政府部分停摆结束
On the other hand, I analyze my small account.
On the other hand, I analyze my small account.
#美国政府部分停摆结束
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Although the partial suspension has ended, which is quite positive, we have recently noticed that it's like being slapped first and then given a sweet date. Each time we prepare to short or go long for the long term, we end up giving back profits, or even getting stuck. In such cases, we need to analyze what the given news is trying to do; it's not just simple news, but rather a conspiracy of financial traps, making both shorting and going long uncomfortable, and it's hard to hold onto positions. In this situation, it’s better to engage in intraday trading. If one insists on long-term positions, they won't find the bottom or the top, and they won’t know what the next piece of news will be. If there’s a drop, it won't be a quick fall to the bottom, as capital needs to make arbitrage. If there’s a rise, it won't be quick either, because there hasn't been enough accumulation. This means the best market condition is sideways consolidation, where one can accumulate low and go long when prices dip. It's not suitable for holding long-term; if it’s spot trading, one can buy in batches to average the price.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Although the partial suspension has ended, which is quite positive, we have recently noticed that it's like being slapped first and then given a sweet date. Each time we prepare to short or go long for the long term, we end up giving back profits, or even getting stuck. In such cases, we need to analyze what the given news is trying to do; it's not just simple news, but rather a conspiracy of financial traps, making both shorting and going long uncomfortable, and it's hard to hold onto positions. In this situation, it’s better to engage in intraday trading. If one insists on long-term positions, they won't find the bottom or the top, and they won’t know what the next piece of news will be. If there’s a drop, it won't be a quick fall to the bottom, as capital needs to make arbitrage. If there’s a rise, it won't be quick either, because there hasn't been enough accumulation. This means the best market condition is sideways consolidation, where one can accumulate low and go long when prices dip. It's not suitable for holding long-term; if it’s spot trading, one can buy in batches to average the price.
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