Tiendientu

$BTC suy giảm tiếp tục như dự kiến, Thời điểm hiện tại, rất khó để dự đoán xu hướng dài hạn của đồng tiền số này. Chỉ số CPI được công bố hôm nay có thể tiếp tục đẩy $BTC này tiến sát về mức đáy 60000 thậm chí có thể giảm sâu hơn. Nhưng về mặt dài hạn, kỳ vọng tốt cho kinh tế Mỹ dần cho thấy BTC đã bước vào giai đoạn tích lũy, mức đáy sâu nhất có thể được thiết lập trong giai đoạn này

The short-term market is entering a wait-and-see mode for information from the US labor market to be announced today. It is forecasted that good employment data could support the USD to increase again. However, the actual data may only impact the market in the short term as the current Fed Chair is only in office for another 3 months; the market tends to wait for the perspective of the new Fed Chair more. Therefore, investors and traders may wait for the specific data to be published and see how the data reflects in prices before making trading decisions.

$BTC has dropped to a low of 60000 and a long bullish candle has appeared again, which may indicate that the price level of 60000 has a strong psychological support. However, it is still too early to conclude that $BTC has reversed to an uptrend. In the current context, when the guiding information is not clear, BTC may continue to fluctuate within the range of 60000 - 71000. In the short term, before the Nonfarm information today, BTC may decline towards the near bottom of 60000.

US stocks continue to extend their upward trend in the first session of the week; however, the increase has not really matched the wave of positive information. The technology stock group surged strongly again, led by the semiconductor group and Nvidia. This recovery momentum is also supported by recent earnings reports from AMZN, META, and GOOGL. In contrast, the Dow Jones performed poorly as the Essential Consumer and Healthcare groups declined.
Market optimism has put pressure on the USD, causing the greenback to drop sharply. The reason stems from the JPY's appreciation following the overwhelming victory of the LDP Party in Japan. In addition, Bloomberg reported that China is urging banks to limit risks when trading US treasury bonds in the context of a volatile market.

These two factors have revived the theme of "selling the whole of America," dragging the USD weaker. It is highly likely that the USD will continue to decline in the Asian and European sessions today. However, caution is needed when entering the US session, as the upward trend of stocks is not yet truly solid. If US stocks sharply reverse, a risk-off sentiment may emerge, supporting a USD recovery. Therefore, short USD strategies today should limit "chasing prices."

With $BTC , there are currently no sufficient signals to trigger trades. The short-term upward trend is lacking certainty as US stocks recover, but $BTC does not increase correspondingly. Prices are currently being capped around the resistance area of 72,000 and are at risk of reversing to test the old bottom. The day's strategy prioritizes selling or waiting to buy around the bottom of $61,880.

🔥Binance SAFU continues to accumulate an additional ~$300M $BTC

Thus, Binance's conversion plan has reached $734M compared to the initially projected $1B

🔥 Whale HyperLiquid Big Dumper wallet forced to liquidate to repay debt

In the past 4 days, this wallet had to sell at a loss to avoid liquidating a loan:

● 96,584 $ETH at $2,210
● 334,634 $SOL at $93

-> The wallet has accepted a total loss of $142M after 6 months

Last season, holding margin coins for a few months made one rich, this season applying old strategies leaves only nothing 🥶

🔥$BIRB surged x2 after the Upbit list announcement

The project has a total supply of 1B, with 25% circulating before the surge $BIRB only around $50M MKC

Low-cap altcoins are still being pushed well by Upbit 😂

🔥$BTC finds its way back to 75k

At this price, the Strategy officially "loses" on the report =))

Bitmine continues to stake 314,496 $ETH

Currently, they have staked a total of 2,831,392 $ETH worth 7.98 billion dollars

Absolute confidence in this fund's ETH, will it generate success like Strategy did with Bitcoin?

With the $BTC closing yesterday's trading day in the green, it has continued to reinforce the price signal for a continued recovery increase as the "false bottom" (86K) has been formed and the athlete model shows signs of being established.

Therefore, the trading strategies for $BTC today still prioritize Buying. The buying zone is identified around the threshold of $88.660 - the upper bound of the previous accumulation phase. STP $87.300

The shortest price target is aimed at around $90.000; if $BTC rises above this threshold, the athlete model will be established with the Neckline around $90.000. At that point, BTC will expand its upward momentum towards $93.130, but before that, a short adjustment phase may easily occur at $90.900.

Although the main price trend of $BTC is still Decreasing and the Daily on last Sunday was a
bearish engulfing candle - a sign that the downtrend continues. However, the
strong price increase currently indicates a sign of a false-break forming. Therefore, the Short strategies for $BTC today need to be very cautious.

In terms of price structure: Bitcoin is expected to decrease again around the $88,492 (upper supply zone), but the price is expected to only drop back around $86,960 before easily increasing again. At that point, the price could completely extend the uptrend to reach $91,800 before decreasing again.

This price movement is called: Weak Breakout and $BTC short-term recovery around the support zone 85K/86K

🔥 $PENGUIN continues to rise after the U.S. Technology Agency posted a photo
● Right after the U.S. Technology Agency uploaded the photo that the White House had previously posted
-> $PENGUIN surged x2
-> peaked at $174M FDV
-> has increased ~x87 after Trump announced signing an agreement with NATO regarding Greenland
Lately, U.S. government agencies seem to enjoy posting photos about memes, right? 😂

The messages surrounding the World Economic Forum overshadow the final GDP figures of the US as the USD continues to decline, gold reaches all-time highs, and the market continues to raise concerns about instability. This sentiment is likely to persist until there is breakthrough geopolitical information. During this period, economic information may not be valued highly by the market compared to geopolitical issues. Traders need to be cautious of unexpected information that may arise, ensuring account safety should be a top priority.

$BTC appears to have formed a Bullish Harami pattern when yesterday's candle is fully contained within the previous candle. This is a signal indicating the market's hesitation. In the context of geopolitical information that poses potential instability, $BTC may slightly rebound to around 94000 before establishing a new trend.

Concerns about geopolitical issues starting from the statements of President Trump continue to create unpredictable market fluctuations. Tensions surrounding tariffs, Greenland, and the conflict between the US and Europe have generated a new wave of risk aversion. President Trump's speech today may contain the message that the US will continue to pursue in the upcoming phase. The current market trend may pause before the speech takes place tonight.

$BTC declined sharply from the price level of 98000, now reaching the support level of 90000. In the context of the market awaiting strong news from geopolitics and President Trump, BTC may slightly increase back to the level of 95000 before establishing a new trend. Theoretically, the time frame, the sideways movement over the past 2 months reflects the market sentiment waiting for sufficiently large directional information to establish a new trend. It is possible that $BTC is waiting for information about the new Fed chairman to be appointed and his views. Therefore, in the short term, $BTC is unlikely to establish a long-term trend, and trades should adhere to the range rather than the trend.

The market moved within a narrow range on yesterday's trading day due to the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. U.S. stocks generally continued to decline after the morning price GAP, and the USD followed a similar pattern.

The market continues to shift into "risk-off America" mode as President Trump reiterated: 100% certainty that tariffs will be imposed on 08 European countries if an agreement on Greenland is not reached. It is expected that risk-averse sentiment will persist during the Asian and European sessions today, but caution is needed as the market enters the U.S. session - everything could see unexpected price fluctuations, but overall: the short-term trend of the USD and U.S. stocks is expected to remain negative.

A positive point noted yesterday was that the IMF raised its forecast for global GDP growth in 2026 to 3.3% (up from 3.1%) in its annual World Economic Outlook report. The U.S. is also projected to grow by 2.4% in 2026 (up from 2.1%), and China is expected to grow by 4.5% in 2026 (up from 4.2%).

This opens up a brighter economic outlook for 2026 following the risk-laden tariff environment in 2025. This factor could very well lead the market to move positively in the latter half of the U.S. session - provided that no new developments concerning the U.S.-Greenland variables are announced. Therefore, caution is needed regarding the market's pricing in the latter half of today's U.S. session.

An important week for the financial market as key indicators are released. GDP, PCE of the US, interest rates, and Japan's ability to intervene in the exchange rate. In addition, there are unpredictable situations arising from Iran and Greenland. All of this creates a wait-and-see mentality. Therefore, the market trend may continue in the current direction. The USD may continue to rise slightly until directional information appears.

$BTC has retested after breaking the price level of 95000. This shows that the flow of money buying BTC is strengthening, in the context of improving US economic indicators, but geopolitical instability remains. $BTC is an asset that may increase while waiting for new directional information. The reason is that GOLD and US stocks are both maintaining high levels, with growth slowing down, making $BTC a short-term safe haven for the flow of money while waiting for the most reasonable directional information. Expectations are that BTC may rise again with two target levels of 103000 and 108000 before establishing a new trend.

🔥GameFi dominates the Gainers Binance rankings today

● $AXS , $RONIN , $BIGTIME , $SAND recorded an average increase of 10-20%

It's been a while since we've seen the GameFi basket appear again 😁

The market is heating up with issues in Iran and Greenland; however, the risk concerns seem to be exaggerated by the media as they have not reflected in prices for the past few days. Gold continues to maintain a record high but does not create additional growth momentum. The USD index remains balanced around the 99.0 region. Oil prices have risen again, indicating that the market is gradually leaning towards expectations of a stable U.S. economy. This sentiment may continue until the Fed makes a decision on interest rates or the U.S. may announce a new Fed chairman in January.

$BTC has signaled a breakout to rise again, which is understandable given the current geopolitical tensions, as $BTC is the most reasonably priced asset for shelter. In the short term, $BTC could reach a price in the range of 103000-108000.

The market continues to be strongly influenced by geopolitical news from Iran, with concerns over potential U.S. and Israeli intervention in Iran raising fears of risks pushing Gold to a historical peak. Additionally, the ongoing criminal investigation into the Fed Chair has sparked concerns about underlying instability, alongside today's highly anticipated U.S. inflation data—CPI—which the market is closely watching. The market is quietly building up an undercurrent following the news release. Technical charts suggest the USD may currently be at a crucial balancing point, awaiting directional information to establish a new trend. The USD is expected to see a slight increase this week.

$BTC continues to fluctuate within a narrow range without a clear trend. This is understandable given that the global economy is at a historic turning point. The sharp rise in Gold supports de-dollarization, the U.S. liquidity system is under strain, and risk concerns are reaching their peak. $BTC has sharply declined from its peak above 120k. Recent reactions of $BTC indicate that this cryptocurrency is waiting for a strong signal to trigger a new trend. In the short term, BTC may gradually decline toward the support level of 80,000

4chan users continue predicting BTC will reach ATH $190K this year

Anonymous 4chan user once again predicts the 2026 peak:
● $BTC : ATH $190K
● $ETH : ATH $15K
● $SOL : ATH $1K
● FARTCOIN: $10
● Uselesss: $0.75
● BULLISH: $2.5

This user believes QE under a new name along with liquidity is returning

These predictions are lower than those made in the previous forecast on 12/20 last year 🤭

Despite escalating geopolitical tensions following the unexpected U.S. attack on Venezuela last weekend, the U.S. stock market still surged strongly. Most sectors advanced, with energy and oil stocks standing out. Contrary to expectations, the USD erased its gains for the day, losing its safe-haven status, even as President Trump continued making tough statements regarding Colombia, Cuba, and Mexico. The downward pressure on the USD came from positive market sentiment due to the strong stock rally, along with significantly weakening manufacturing PMI data.

Looking ahead, today's market lacks significant information. Although U.S. stocks have rebounded strongly, prices are now approaching a key structural zone. If tensions do not continue to escalate, the market may gradually stabilize. In that case, the USD could recover, putting downward pressure on stocks and G7 currencies.

For BTC, today is not suitable for chasing gains. Although the price has risen for five consecutive sessions, remains above the daily SMA20, and is within an accumulation structure—indicating the uptrend remains intact—price reactions near the resistance at $94,800, combined with short-term adjustment risks in U.S. stocks, make BTC prone to a correction.

A trend-following strategy should patiently wait for a pullback to the $90,300–$90,400 zone (retest of the neckline in the ascending triangle pattern). Place stop-loss at $88,880, with extension targets at $95,600 – $97,000 – $100,600.

A short-term selling strategy currently lacks clear signals; the key level to watch is $93,375 – if broken, BTC could reverse lower in the short term.