向北 炼气5层

$XPL Long-wallet orders are all placed around 0.08 in the xpl layout. Even though they didn’t exit when class was at 1.2, and it later dropped to 0.09, they still didn’t move. There should be a story behind it. Right now, it looks like they’re pumping for a day and then dumping for a week.
Even though there were huge token unlocks in these past three months, the lows over the past year have stayed around 0.06 and haven’t broken further down.
The background of xpl is that it’s the platform token of the Plasma chain. It’s comparable to Tron’s TRX—an established stablecoin public chain developed in cooperation with Tether. Based on the monthly chart, it looks like accumulation is underway at the current area. If you have a long-term mindset, you can manage risk well and consider adding at the current price and around 0.08. Hold on to the breakout period.
Earlier, when it opened, the price at 1.1 was already down 90%. But this chain is actively operating. Public-chain revenues for the past half year were: 2.76k - 547 - 3.72k - 8.88k - 9.86k - 18.7k.
You can see that from July onward, public-chain revenue has increased by multiples. That might be why the big wallets started positioning.

$PUMP look for doubling

$ETH ETH The big trend is moving in sync with the US stock market; at this point you can open a short position for now, and then add a doubled position at 2690 (or simply wait for 2690).

$NEAR 4.3 After taking profit at the pressure level, it was pulled back up again. However, observing the previous pull-up tactics, this time it likely won’t be able to break through the next pressure level of 5.7 again; most likely it will pull back to 3.25 and then stabilize.
$UNI As for Uni, it has its own course—washing the market and causing a shakeout (a single wick drops about 10%), then it goes back in for a long.

$BTC $TSLA bullish momentum will continue until September 23. Even if the previous long positions were closed recently, it’s still best not to open a short position. Staying in cash might be the best choice. Observe the 24th node—if there is a bearish trend, then consider chasing a short position. If price still holds steady around 82,000, then gradually add to long positions. If U.S. stocks open like a waterfall over the next two days, then going long would be more suitable. For example, TSLA, SPCX

The 76,000+ long position planned two days ago has already been closed at 80,500. The second bet (Er Bing) has also been closed at 2,580. The exit levels weren’t particularly ideal. But not eating the last piece of meat in the market is safer. Originally, I wanted to place stop orders at 81,500 for a pin insertion and at 2,643 for a short. But seeing the price action move steadily, I cancelled the orders. I suggest staying in cash and observing; I don’t really believe this move will break through directly. It’s likely a fake breakout, and you could short around 82,800.
On the weekend, the “shanzhai” (clone) will take off. DASH and STRK have already entered longs. Chase ZEC’s recent rebound over the past few days.
At the same time, UNI has gone from being ignored to now the market is seeing more and more posts shouting to buy the dips. In terms of data: among large players and retail traders alike, the long-to-short ratio is 2.5 to 1. However, among the big players, the giant whales have already fallen to 1.5 to 1, which means the whales are already arbitraging and leaving. Once UNI’s “business” pulls up to 10, it will come down—there should be a relatively deep pullback. Chasing longs needs to be cautious.
$DASH $STRK $UNI

$BTC
Yesterday’s interest-rate meeting went ahead with the rate hike, but Wors refused to provide forward-looking guidance. In other words, whether we will enter a period of continued rate hikes is unknown, and there’s no indication of how many more hikes there might be this year. So last night’s market volatility was relatively small.
Crypto needs to weed out those who can’t hold. Of course, there may be some shakeout—72000 will come, but not yet. It needs a trigger.
So the previous short positions can be taken profit on and closed, and then start gradually building long positions, continuing into the choppy period in autumn.
Build positions at 76000~75000—two price points to enter.

$ETH Ethereum broke through 2600 twice; it has basically already established its relative position in the ETH/BTC pair. The strategy of shorting Ethereum on the big cycle is likely already invalid.
As for BTC, it’s still ranging between 76500~80500, a 4000-point range.
There are currently two scenarios:
1. First push up to 93k, then a big pullback to around 76k.
2. Pull back directly to around 62.5k, then trade sideways for two or three days; then the second wave pushes up to 93k.
I chose the second approach. I went long on the next wave?—actually I went short at 80500, and also placed a short at 79500.
My take-profit was set at 74k.
Then I started adding long positions in batches between 72k~74k.

The factory chief’s little piglets:
The factory chief has just one Bollinger Band indicator, and he can shout out buy/sell calls. And every day when he goes live, he says, “At the current price +10 points, go short.” The stop loss is still 100 points. If the stop loss is 100 points, even then—he makes people use 30% of the position to go maximum leverage. With 30% position at full leverage, how many points until liquidation? Wouldn’t it be no more than 50 points?
1. Why does the factory chief love getting everyone to place orders? Because placing orders earns him transaction fees. And he won’t admit it; he’ll argue that only profit is what matters—but it’s still a win every time: he profits whether you open or close.
2. Why make people go max leverage with a 30% position? Because the bigger the position, the higher the transaction fees; and the more fan commissions he gets.
3. Why a 100-point stop loss? Because he’s afraid of getting yelled at. But even with a 100-point stop loss, it still ends up hitting losses every day.

What kind of “technical knowledge” does the factory chief teach you during his livestream? Does he predict Fed rate hikes? CPI data? Does he analyze on-chain data, order book order placements, and the order-book depth? Does he analyze index price movements—left-side trading or right-side trading? Does he analyze volume and price?
When he goes live, it’s just “short at +10 points.” After a whole night of grinding, he gives everyone mental massage so you don’t lose, saying it can go down. If you ask, he always answers “it’ll go down.” It won’t go up. He gets people who originally wanted to cut their losses to end up losing even more.

Factory chief’s third-floor fans: if you’ve been tied to commission/rebates, or if you’ve been funneled to third-party platforms like Yubit (Binance), collect the evidence and report them with a few clicks. Call out the fact that they’re randomly shouting trades and causing countless people to get liquidated, ruined financially, even losing their families.
Every time you open a trade, the factory makes 50% of your transaction fees. He wants you to open a few trades every day. If you make money, great. And if you lose money, he still takes those transaction fees and goes partying at the nightclub.

I haven’t followed the factory chief’s trades—I just want to complain. (I used to be in the same company as the factory chief, and I understand all their tactics clearly. If you want revenge, shouting in the group is useless; they just block you. Collect evidence that their managers funnel people to other platforms, and report with a few clicks.)

I have an idea: since a hundred-times coin is released only once a month. Other coins just stay sideways and then get dumped. So if I, for each top gainer list, open a small short position for every one that doubles. With 50U, even if I encounter a hundred-times coin, it would only risk up to 500U. But as long as there are a few people dumping immediately every day, that should be enough for me to hold until the hundred-times coin falls. Wouldn't that mean guaranteed profit forever?

$ACE started positioning from 0.13. It dropped to 0.09 and I didn’t run either. I firmly believed this coin would have a pump, though at the time I only thought this wave would first move up to 0.16. Then I kept watching as it pumped—didn’t expect it to just launch directly. After it hit 0.16, it was still doing the same old “climbing the stairs” move, so I jumped back in again.
Do you think this coin could be like AKE—basically a game coin that goes up 100x? But in AKE, it also got cut in half five times in the middle. If you don’t have that kind of conviction, you definitely can’t hold on.

$KGEN Let me explain my logic for buying KGEN. First of all, this coin hasn’t had a pump-and-dump rally. Secondly, it has staking. The staking has an unlock period starting from 30 days. Thirdly, this coin has a 10% supply burn deflation mechanism (it doesn’t mean that once it becomes deflationary it will automatically become valuable, but it gives users a sense of what I’m trying to do—i.e., to pump). Also, it has been oscillating in the 0.15–0.2 range for 6 months. So I believe that once the staking reaches a certain amount, this coin will achieve a pump of around 10x. If you believe it, you can buy some and hold it, then take out 30% and do swing trading in the 0.15–0.2 range.

$BTC
Developed a strategy; it’s been running for three days. Basically one trade per day so far, with a current win rate of 100%. You can enter the live stream to get the strategy address, then follow the strategy to increase the profit-loss ratio.

$KGEN has a chance to make a big move and set up some positions discreetly. Right now it's trading in a range of 0.17–0.22, and sooner or later it will break upward

$TAKE Which of these three orders is not profitable

$BLESS 嘿嘿，just went live and instantly filled to the highest point on an increase rankings chart

$BTC No wonder it won’t go up—selling coins every day. MicroStrategy

$BTC Another big short is starting to short BTC—one hundred million in contract open interest. According to the script, the capital is about to kill the great whale