大聪明FOMO版本

$RAVE

$RAVE
A little fierce

BlockBeats news, on March 17, Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated, "Recently focused on preparing a new fund and platform, haven't been tweeting much. Firstly, short-term market analysis and trading are not suitable for frequent sharing. Secondly, this time I'm fully invested looking for a rebound, and I haven't seen a reversal or made any short positions. After a significant decline, a considerable rebound is certain. A rebound of BTC to $85,000 and $90,000 is reasonable. After ten years in the crypto industry, I have failed multiple times in collaborations, investments, and trading, but I have always maintained effort, a good mindset, and integrity. Self-improvement leads to great strength."

It must rebound to this position for shorting.

Can I leave work as soon as I arrive?

5 Core Truths of Trading,

First: High profits come from controlling drawdowns, not from win rates. A single large loss can wipe out the gains from the previous ten trades.

Second: Experts do not predict the market; they manage it. They do not guess tops or bottoms; they simply execute rules.

Third: Consistent profits come from a simple system combined with extreme discipline and long-term repetitive execution. The more complex it is, the more you lose; the simpler it is, the longer it lasts.

Fifth: Mindset is not developed through practice; it is managed through position sizing. An appropriate position size combined with stop-losses will naturally stabilize your mindset.

"Buy when the blood flows like a river, even if it is your own blood"
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

BTC strictly adheres to the four-year halving bull market rule, with the bottom generally appearing about one and a half years after the peak of the bull market. This round of bear market is estimated to reach around 38000 in March next year, starting bottom fluctuations. (There will be at least two major institutional crashes in between)
In the entire year of 2027, complete a fluctuation range of 35000 to 47000, about 34.29%, and begin to rise. After the fifth BTC halving around April 20, 2028, there will be another one and a half years of bull market. Live well until March next year (the first level starts to warm up after reaching the bottom).

BTC 60000 – 65000
ETH 1800 – 2000
SOL 50 – 75

This is the analysis price given by Tom Lee's analysts to internal clients when the market is at a high point in December, and it will drop by 10 - 20% from there.

Although Tom Lee is betting on Bitcoin and Ethereum reaching new highs in January, his own fund Fundstrat, in its latest 2026 cryptocurrency strategy advice to internal clients.

Indicates that in the first half of the year, cryptocurrencies will experience a deeper correction, with target prices of:

BTC 60000 – 65000
ETH 1800 – 2000
SOL 50 – 75

He believes that when this price range appears in the first half of the year, it will be the best entry point, as it will provide highly attractive layout opportunities for the second half of the year.

And Ethereum will perform relatively strongly.

$BTC
The market probably won't reverse that quickly. You might think it's because a large holder is going to sell or because everyone wants to sell coins for the New Year, but it's actually just the external liquidity of the dollar being sluggish. Don't think too highly of yourself; the U.S. economy and employment data do not support aggressive rate cuts. The remaining term of old Powell is just garbage time, so be patient and hang in there...
$ETH

$ETH

Such a plummeting price
is simply a great opportunity to buy the dip

$ETH
What else can I say about this?

Today let's talk about AI.
AI progresses in three steps: ANI, AGI, ASI. They represent specialized AI, general AI, and super AI respectively.
Currently, our stage of AI development is ANI. That is, AI can only solve problems in a specific domain, such as search, medical testing, coding, and so on.
AGI is general intelligence, capable of solving various complex problems like a human.
How difficult is AGI? To give a simple example, intelligent driving is only a two-dimensional problem, and it only solves the issue of avoiding collisions. Nevertheless, intelligent driving has taken over 10 years to barely get on the road. AGI needs to solve problems in three-dimensional space; it must interact with the real physical world, making judgments, reasoning, thinking, and performing very precise physical operations in various complex environments. This is absolutely not comparable to a remote-controlled robot like Yushu. Fei-Fei Li once said that AGI will take at least 10 to 20 years. The founder of Google also recently mentioned that AGI will take decades to achieve.
ASI is super artificial intelligence, which surpasses humanity in all aspects. Therefore, this stage could be a disaster for humanity, and it is very distant; we won't discuss it today.
AI at the ANI stage can significantly improve productivity. But the current market pricing for AI is aimed at AGI, like Tesla's Optimus, which is definitely not a general robot. It can only be ANI. So when ANI cannot deliver the enormous productivity of AGI, the bubble will burst.
When Tesla's Optimus robot fails to meet people's expectations and sales are far below Musk's hype, the market will return to rationality.

Let us assume history repeats itself: Chart 1 (January 2022): This is a textbook bearish flag continuation pattern. Previously, $BTC experienced a sharp decline (flagpole pattern), followed by a rebound within a narrowing volume in an ascending channel (flag pattern). At that point in 2022, this pattern ultimately ended in a breakout, leading to the subsequent deep bear market drop. Chart 2 (from November 2025 to present): The current structure is very similar to 2022. Likewise, after a sharp decline, the price entered a slowly ascending parallel channel or wedge structure. In both charts, the price is clearly suppressed by the upper moving average (MA). These moving averages are diverging downward, forming dynamic resistance levels. As long as the price cannot effectively regain and hold above the key moving averages, the trend will still be dominated by bears.

Mouth Licking Player, seems pretty fun to watch

SKY, this position is empty, just like last night's CHZ in terms of cost performance.