CRYPTOCURRENCIES AND THE 2026 ELECTION: WHAT FLÁVIO BOLSONARO’S PLAN PROPOSES?
In the debate about the future of cryptoassets in Brazil, one of the points of attention is the economic and regulatory environment each administration intends to build.
Flávio Bolsonaro’s government plan proposes reducing bureaucracy, revising regulations, lowering the tax burden, administrative reform, resuming privatizations, and increasing the participation of private investment in the economy. It also includes proposals to digitize public services, encourage artificial intelligence, startups, and technology companies.
For the cryptoasset market, these guidelines could primarily influence five areas:
1. Regulatory environment A de-bureaucratization policy could change the cost and ease for financial technology companies, exchanges, and startups to operate in the country.
2. Taxation The proposal to review the tax structure could affect the cost of financial operations and investments, although the plan does not set out a specific policy for Bitcoin or other cryptoassets.
3. Technology and innovation The program calls for a national artificial intelligence strategy, support for startups, and expansion of digital infrastructure. This environment could be relevant for blockchain, tokenization, fintechs, and other segments of the digital economy.
4. Fiscal policy The plan proposes changes to fiscal rules, aims for primary surpluses, and reduces the debt/GDP ratio. If implemented, these measures could change expectations regarding interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, and the risk of Brazilian assets.
5. Private investment The proposal to expand privatizations and private participation in infrastructure could also create new markets for financial technology and digital assets.
In summary: the possible impact of a Flávio Bolsonaro administration on crypto would be more directly tied to the fiscal, tax, regulatory, and innovation environment than to a specific policy aimed at increasing the value of cryptocurrencies.
💡 How to Deal with Frustrations in the Crypto World
The cryptocurrency market is volatile and emotionally challenging. To face frustrations:
• Review your expectations: losses are part of the game. Think long term. • Always study: knowledge reduces impulsive decisions. • Detach from assets: don't fall in love with coins — analyze coldly. • Have a plan: set goals, limits, and stick to your strategy. • Take care of your life outside the market: well-being does not depend on the chart. • Talk to other investors: sharing helps relieve pressure.
Frustration is a sign of involvement — but it doesn't have to paralyze you. Breathe, learn, and move on. The game is long.
The projections for the price of Bitcoin in 2025 are broadly optimistic, reflecting a combination of technical, economic, and institutional factors. Most analysts believe that the digital asset could reach values between $120,000 and $190,000, with some more conservative scenarios pointing to a range between $80,000 and $150,000.
Among experts, CoinShares estimates that Bitcoin could reach between $80,000 and $150,000, especially if it continues to be compared to gold as a store of value. Matrixport projects a price of $160,000, driven by the growing demand for ETFs and increased global liquidity. Galaxy Digital, in turn, believes that Bitcoin could reach $185,000, based on adoption by companies and governments.
Economist Henrik Zeberg suggests that Bitcoin could reach as much as $190,000 before a possible broader correction in the markets. Traders Union, with a more technical and conservative approach, projects $123,500 as the average value for the year. The portal BeInCrypto points to $150,000 in an optimistic scenario, considering technical breakouts and low selling pressure.
These forecasts are supported by factors such as:
• The 2024 halving, which reduces miner rewards and, therefore, the supply of new bitcoins. • The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States and other countries, which facilitates institutional access to the asset. • The growing global adoption, with companies like Tesla and MicroStrategy accumulating large amounts of BTC, and countries like El Salvador using it as official currency. • The expectation of more favorable regulations, especially after the 2024 presidential elections in the U.S.
In summary, the outlook for 2025 is one of strong appreciation, with Bitcoin increasingly establishing itself as a strategic asset in the global financial system.
Last week was historic for the world of cryptocurrencies! Bitcoin (#BTC) hit a new all-time high, surpassing $118,000, fueled by expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and a surge in capital flowing into spot ETFs. The movement reflects growing institutional appetite and confidence in BTC as a store of value.
📈 Weekly Highlights: - Ethereum (#ETH) rose nearly 19%, riding the Bitcoin rally. - #XRP skyrocketed over 23%, amid rumors of new regulatory deals in the U.S. - Solana (#SOL) also stood out, gaining 10% with fresh DeFi projects picking up momentum.
🧠 Key Drivers Behind the Surge: - Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut this July. - Progress on U.S. legislative proposals during the so-called Crypto Week, which could reshape the regulatory landscape. - Net inflow of $1.18 billion into Bitcoin ETFs in a single day.
🌍 Global Impact: Despite rising trade tensions and tariffs imposed by Donald Trump, the crypto market remained resilient. The demand for decentralized assets as a hedge against aggressive monetary policies continues to grow.
📅 What to Watch: Between July 14 and 18, the U.S. Congress will vote on bills that may transform the crypto sector. The outcomes could have a direct impact on prices and institutional adoption.