老money

Dear friends, I want to seriously talk to everyone about the current situation. The price of Bitcoin has once again fallen below seventy thousand. This price may be your last opportunity to buy below seventy thousand in the next few years. Many people have already used up all their opportunities in their lifetime. Making money in life relies on cycles; don’t let fools influence your initial judgment. You also have, and only this time, an opportunity below seventy thousand.

Based on the current trend of Bitcoin, it is difficult to see a significant rise in the first half of the year; what lies ahead is a prolonged period of wide fluctuations.

How to dialectically view someone's analysis of the market, I hope everyone, when looking at a certain blogger's market analysis, must take their past analyses out for review. Furthermore, I hope everyone is clear on an important point: to avoid certain types of bloggers—those who only tell you what the resistance levels are, what the support levels are, what points to break through, and when to go long or short based on certain points. I tell you, such people are not only foolish themselves but also consider others to be fools.

Dear friends, if you have been complaining that Bitcoin has risen too high, but now the price is over 79,000, the cost-performance ratio for buying at this point is really high; this is truly a dream price. I rarely posted articles in the past two months because I also told everyone that there would be a significant pullback in the market, especially during the Spring Festival, where there would be a violent drop. Now I am back, and I tell everyone to buy without thinking, to sell whatever you have to buy. However, I still want to remind everyone that what you buy will not rise immediately. I believe that it will be difficult for Bitcoin to make any significant moves in the first half of the year, but as long as you remember today's price, and this period, it will be considered a relatively low point.

The bottom buying price I originally mentioned needs to be at 85000. Even after yesterday's crash, it is still not enough. Currently, it seems that I need to enter below 80000.

In the cryptocurrency world, it is often like this. Sometimes I see such obvious upward trends, why do some people short? But this is the reality; everyone has a different understanding of the market, and what each person sees is reflected differently in their minds. I say this, and I wonder if you all understand.

The whole network exploded with 2 billion USD, Bitcoin has significantly retraced, Ethereum has significantly retraced, and the entire altcoin market is in chaos, with many already dropping below the 2021 low. So many friends have a question: has the bull market already passed?

First, we need to clarify one point: the bull is still here. I have been thinking for months that the market is in a large fluctuation trend, and there will definitely be a significant drop during the Spring Festival. As for why I believe there will be a significant drop, I haven't provided my analysis. Here, I’ll give you an example. I don’t know how many friends watch NBA basketball, but the Los Angeles Lakers have a legendary player, Magic Johnson. After retiring, he briefly acted as the Lakers' coach for about 16 games, if I remember correctly, and his coaching record was quite dismal, with 5 wins and 11 losses. There’s a classic scene where, during one of those 16 games, he scolded their point guard for not passing the ball. After getting tired of scolding, he discussed with the assistant coach, asking why that kid didn’t pass the ball. The assistant coach replied, 'Because he can't see.' Magic was surprised and shouted, 'Why can't he see? Such a good opportunity, how could he not see it?' The assistant coach said, 'Because he’s not you, he’s not a superstar.' In fact, many superstars face this issue when they become coaches after retirement. Even the basketball god Michael Jordan has encountered this problem, looking at others from his own perspective. At this point, I don’t know if you can understand why I told this story, hahahaha, be a little arrogant, because you are not me, so you can’t see.

The sharp drop in NVIDIA stock has nothing to do with deep seek. The real reason is that the market anticipated that Trump would raise tariffs on Taiwan, which led to the plunge in NVIDIA and its related stocks. There is no need to be overly excited.
Also, the last dip before Bitcoin's rise hasn't come yet. I believe the market must drop below $90,000 to possibly start a bull market; otherwise, the market won't recover.
On the first day of the Lunar New Year, I wish everyone good health in the new year, all the best, great wealth, and good fortune.
#DeepSeek冲击全球算力
#BTC

The last drop of Bitcoin is coming soon, right during the Spring Festival. I hope everyone seizes this opportunity well.

The great cleansing of Bitcoin has arrived as expected, but it should not be in place yet; it is now infinitely close.

The peak of this wave of Bitcoin prices will be around 112,000

It's been a long time since I posted, and I don't know what everyone's current situation is. For me, things have been quite relaxed lately. I am currently preparing funds to operate in a big market wave. Of course, this requires the right timing, environment, and people. As of now, I believe that by January, there will be a significant retracement in the market. This retracement may shatter the confidence of most people. I've seen discussions in the square about this retracement, with some predicting a drop to 95,000, others saying 90,000, some mentioning 85,000, and yet others saying 80,000. However, if everyone has such expectations and waits to buy the dip at 80,000, that won’t be a shattering of most people's confidence. It's possible it could drop suddenly to 50,000. There will definitely be massive negative news in between, such as rumors about Satoshi's wallet being hacked, etc. Therefore, I want to reserve half of my funds to operate in such a big market wave. If it doesn't happen, I won't regret it; at least I will have half of my position secured.

Bitcoin has been experiencing a decline once a day, and it should have gone through 3 to 4 times by now. The wave of market movement the night before last was different from the other three times; the other three times saw a recovery above 98000 points after a significant drop. However, in the past two days, the Bitcoin market has not returned to above 98000, leading some friends to ask me during our chats whether a downward trend has begun, suggesting a view down to 80000, 70000, or even 60000. Some even say the bull market has ended.
Let me give you my analysis directly. First, I'll mention the larger structure; given the current market situation, it's possible that we will continue to see a large-scale decline, but this drop will not happen directly. There will definitely be a back-and-forth pull, spiraling downwards. I may not be clear on the exact price point, but it will certainly induce panic. You can see that the funding rates for those going long are very high, indicating that many are still trying to bottom out. According to a medium to long-term logic, everyone knows the bull market has just started and there is a long way to go, suggesting that it should rise to at least above 100000. So, there are actually two factions now: one is constantly trying to bottom out, and the other is hoping for a crash and actively shorting. Therefore, from the perspective of the main players, if you are the main player, which group do you want to make money? If I were in their position, I would not want either side to profit, so driving the price down is quite reasonable. It would be a spiral, a rebound downwards, and those shorting will panic, while those going long could explode.
Therefore, at least for the next half month, we will be grinding the bottom without inducing panic selling; there will be no rebound. When everyone is panicking, I will tell you, bottom fishing will be the way to go.

The market has fallen as expected, which gives us spot holders a very good opportunity to enter, but you must pay attention, those who say the bull market is over in the square are fools, block them, the bull market is still in the middle stage, how can it be over? If you are a spot holder, every major drop is your opportunity.

You must clearly remember that the reason we can make money is that there are too many fools in this market, so we can earn money, not because we are smart, but because there are too many idiots. No, it should be said that there are too many stupid people. You see, there are actually people in the square who openly say that Bitcoin will eventually crash, but then turn around and say that a certain altcoin can continue to thrive. These people truly embody all of humanity's stupidity and malice. It's one thing to be foolish yourself, but when you post something in the square that spreads negativity, it's your fault for being disgusting; it completely lacks any basic logic and is entirely thoughtless.
I currently have no positions. What do I think about the upcoming market? Right now, I believe that both long and short positions are relatively suitable for contract trading. I am hesitant to get involved easily. I continue to be bullish in the medium to long term; this logic is definitely correct. However, everyone knows that there is a gap at the Bitcoin futures level of 78,000 points. According to the previous gaps of 40,000 and 42,000, there is a tendency to fill gaps; therefore, we are currently still looking for opportunities. I don't dare to enter a short position either, and I'm afraid of a significant correction in a long position. So my current strategy is that if it can pull back to around 78,000, that's my opportunity to go all in.

Does anyone know about the gap in the futures price around 78,000?

Suck Everything, Bitcoin sucks all the money. I have said many times that this bull market is different from all the cycles in history. This round is a solo dance of Bitcoin. All the money will be sucked by Bitcoin. Don't do copycats. It is meaningless. In this cycle, as long as you keep an eye on Bitcoin, you can be financially free.

If you can understand this chart, you have already won. Bitcoin ETF is the fastest fund in history to reach a scale of 40 billion US dollars. It took only 211 days. Funds of other products of the same era reached 40 billion US dollars at the fastest. It took four years. So what are you looking at the data of long orders and short orders? What does it count for the crazy entry of Bitcoin funds? What is the main force? This is the main force! As for the last four-year bull market cycle, the price of $90,000 is just the beginning. You must stay away from stupid and bad people. They are afraid of heights in this market. These people don’t know why the price of bread is rising, and they don’t understand all the basic logic. The price has just reached the middle of the mountain, but they are complacently taking profits at highs, or even going against the trend. You must know that the growth of wealth lies in the trend, and the operation is not against the trend.

This is my first post, and I will follow through with my thoughts.

The cognition between people is really like the sea of ​​stars. I really don't understand why these people are going against the trend.
When the big trend is rising, it is definitely not achieved overnight. The market has a spiral rise. It is normal to have a callback during the rise. For the whole rising trend, the big trend may rise by 100,000 points, and there are five callbacks in the middle, each callback is 10,000 points. You can guess it right every time in these five times. That means the opportunity of 50,000 points, compared with a trend order, you get 100,000 points in one wave, but you still lose half. Why do you do this? Don't you have enough brain? And can you do it right every time in these five times?
Some people are still holding short orders of more than 50,000. I have said in a post that it is difficult for you to see a big pie below 70,000 in your lifetime. After the SEC approves the Bitcoin ETF at the end of 2023, the concept of cycle will be blurred. This will be the last Bitcoin surge cycle we see. In the future, Bitcoin will tend to stabilize in the logic of high-level shock upward. More than 90,000 has risen. How far will 100,000 to 150,000 US dollars be for Bitcoin? In the future, not only will you not see Bitcoin below 70,000, you will hardly see even 100,000. Hurry up and jump out of the stupid logic. Don't stay in the stupid logic and watch your account disappear little by little.

Dear friends, please block all the counter-trend operators you see in the square. These people are pure idiots. You must stay away from them. It is enough for idiots to harm themselves. They also come out to embarrass themselves and mislead newbies. Such people are both stupid and bad.