谷雨-精准波段

【Why should I trust you with my assets? Just based on this set of real trades】

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All positions come with stop losses, full position risk control, absolutely no bare trading!

I'm not an analyst, I'm a practical trader.
Every trade comes with logic, every stop loss is clear and transparent.
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· 7 years of real trading experience, navigating bull and bear markets
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Yesterday, Ethereum hit 10 points, and the first small meat was sold
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Bollinger Bands breakout failure and pullback! BTC’s short-term key line for bulls and bears is clear

Technical analysis of the BTC market on July 13:
After two consecutive days of consolidation in a high-level box range and building up strength, the market saw a rapid drop in the short term. Price broke below the Bollinger middle band, but the long- and medium-term uptrend structure has not been completely destroyed.

From a cycle perspective, the 62,300–62,400 zone forms the first major near-term resistance pressure area. The strength of any subsequent rebound will entirely depend on the capital’s ability to step in and absorb. The 60,600 line is the core mid-term support in this current trend, and a crucial defensive level for the bullish side.

The 62,300–62,400 range is the current key watershed between bulls and bears:
If the rebound can effectively hold above and stay within this range, the bullish tempo will repair, and price will once again test prior-high resistance;
If the rebound continues to face pressure and fails to break through, the market’s center of gravity will move further downward, and the probability of revisiting the 60,600 key support will increase significantly.

Get ready to start doing BTC short-term wave trades.
You can arrange it anytime if you have a plan.
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Repeated testing has not broken the support—how to gauge BTC’s rebound potential

Revisiting yesterday’s market outlook: The former 61,700 support range was validated multiple times. The price probed down to this level twice, and both times rebounded, confirming the strength of bottom-side support.
Today, repeated attempts to test the 61,700 threshold failed to break it effectively. In the short term, a technical repair rebound is a normal pattern. Next, the key focus is the strength or weakness of volume during the rebound phase.

In the short term, the market is likely to continue trading in a small range, with:
On the hourly cycle, the main resistance zone is 63,700–63,800. Near-term key support is 62,000. Price action is expected to oscillate back and forth within this range.

Plan two scenario response strategies in advance:
1. Bearish downward scenario: If price breaks below the 61,700 support level decisively, then for the next phase the medium-term support to watch shifts to the 60,600 range;
2. Bullish breakout scenario: If it breaks out with volume and holds above the 63,800 resistance level, you can follow the move to stay with the long side. The upper swing target would be around 65,500.

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Same market conditions—why do others consistently profit, while you keep getting stuck in losses?

It’s not that the market isn’t profitable; it’s that your trading style has been losing you money.

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Why do you always lose when you manually trade, while others can compound steadily?

Actually, in the crypto world, most losses are never because you can’t read the market—it’s because human nature can’t beat the market.

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【Custody threshold】Starting from 5000u
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The market is here, but I don’t dare to enter. When the trend is already over, I chase the high. In a choppy range, I get swept and stopped out back and forth. In a one-way market, I can’t hold the profits.

Thinking things through on my own a thousand times isn’t as good as following a mature system and executing once.

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Say goodbye to pointless stop-losses, and refuse ineffective positions!

The next round of account “turnaround” challenge is officially underway—focus on mainstream coin trend market conditions, seize opportunities with clear certainty, and give up ambiguous sideways trading.

Don’t gamble on one-way moves, and don’t hold on to deep drawdowns. Rely on professional technical judgment + strict risk control to steadily grow account gains.

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Requirements: 3000 USDT and above
All steps synchronized: strategy, entry/exit points, position sizing, take-profit and stop-loss
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Answer given by the periodic signal! BTC evening main direction is already determined

Judging from the moving-average channel of the large cycle, 60,500 to 60,800 is the key defensive zone for the bulls in this round. If the pullback stabilizes, you can look to place long positions accordingly. The scope for the medium-term rebound is expected to target 65,500. Make sure to manage your stop-loss and risk control properly in your trading.

The layout is well-planned, and the exit is with moderation—what are you hesitating for with a win rate like this

BTC long trade: 700-point profit in hand. Brothers, our real trades are all cashing in
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Thank you all for your recognition. Our market analysis relies on objective inference from the chart structure—never on subjective guessing of direction. Going forward, we will continue to strictly control the ranges and risk management, steadily realize opportunities, and do our best to help everyone consistently achieve stable returns.

Currently, a small number of spots are still available. If you want to keep up with the daily precise chart analysis and receive synchronized real-time entry planning, you can come directly. Before entry, we will give a unified briefing on the complete trading and risk-management approach. We only accept partners who are willing to execute diligently and trade with a light position size and steady discipline.
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BZ short-term long structure is complete. A pullback to support can be used to smoothly set up long positions.

The whole day closed up 3.15%. The trend remains bullish; the short-term overbought condition is only undergoing a slight correction. Support is 74, resistance is 74.25. Going along with the trend, bias is mainly for longs.

Trading plan

• Bullish idea: If 74.00 holds after a pullback, lightly enter longs. The defense level is 73.38. Target is a breakout above the previous high at 74.25, with extended resistance around 74.5.

• Risk control logic: If there is a confirmed breakdown below the 73.38 moving-average support, the short-term long structure is damaged. Pause the long setup, and wait for confirmation in the new range.

• Core idea: As long as the trend has not reversed, focus only on buying on pullbacks at lower levels. Do not go against the trend to short and bet on a correction.

TLM four-hour box structure breakdown. Break through and then act more safely

Market outlook

The overall uptrend on the 4-hour cycle has fully run its course. At this stage, price is entering a high-range box consolidation and ranging setup. The key boundaries are clear at a glance:
The top edge of the box is a strong resistance at 0.00377, and the bottom edge is the core support at 0.0032. In the short term, whether price rises or falls entirely depends on which side of the box breaks out first with an effective move. During the consolidation phase, it’s not suitable to blindly guess direction.

Two market-response plans

Plan 1: Bull continuation (bullish)

If price pulls back to the 0.0032 support level and holds firmly without breaking down, then later breaks through the 0.0038 pressure zone with increased volume, it confirms that this round of the uptrend has restarted. Then use a right-side, trend-following approach to go long, aiming to capture the next upward swing.

Plan 2: Deep retracement (bearish)

Once the real body effectively breaks below the 0.0032 bottom edge of the box, and at the same time the support from the rising 20-period moving average fails, the upward structure is directly damaged. The outlook then points to a significant pullback. The key supports below are expected to be at two zones: 0.0025 and 0.0016.

Practical core idea

Do not subjectively predict the rise or fall. Refuse to preemptively catch the bottom or guess the top. Wait patiently for the market to provide clear breakdown/breakout signals. Then position with a right-side, trend-following strategy—this has a higher trade tolerance and keeps risk under control.

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Provide the complete entry, take-profit, and stop-loss price levels in advance every day. Throughout the entire process, strictly control risk management—no holding positions, no gambling on the market.
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Sign up for managed custody? Here’s the answer to today’s real trades

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BTC uptrend momentum exhausted at the top! A short opportunity is emerging on the 4-hour timeframe
The 4-hour candle surged to resistance and then pulled back. Bullish momentum is fading, indicators are weakening in sync, and the market is shifting into high-range consolidation. The overall trend is bearish.

BTC layout reference

Entry: Short at 63,000–63,500
Stop loss: Above 64,000
Take profit 1: 62,000 Take profit 2: 61,000

Trading idea

Range-bound trading—both long and short—are workable, but prioritize selling short on rallies. Don’t chase longs before the price firmly holds above the moving average to avoid pullback risk.

Summarize the core key events that will affect the market next week. The entire market main storyline will revolve around rate expectations.

1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes (top priority)

Focus on two points: whether the committee discussed rate cuts internally, and whether their stance on inflation in the economy has become more relaxed.
A dovish tilt is supportive for risk assets, while a hawkish tilt will cool market sentiment and put pressure on the price action.

2. Key U.S. economic data

Watch the services PMI, initial jobless claims, and crude oil inventory data.
Currently, the market rebound is supported by easing-rate expectations. Whether the data is good or bad will directly reshape subsequent rate expectations, which will determine the strength of the trading tape.

3. Speeches by Federal Reserve officials

After the minutes are released, officials typically speak in concentrated fashion. This often further confirms the policy stance and is a major source of near-term market volatility.

4. ECB meeting minutes

Although the impact is generally weaker, if it releases signals of easing, it could drive a global liquidity rebound and benefit risk markets.

5. Preheating for the U.S. stock earnings season

Several leading companies will report earnings.
Earnings that beat expectations boost market confidence, while disappointing results will suppress overall long sentiment.

Summary

The core of next week’s market: persistent back-and-forth over rate-cut expectations. All data and news will reshape the direction of the market.