不甘平凡的喵

#TRUMP

Short sell😀

#ETH走势分析
Short 😀

08:22 This candlestick is a textbook “inverted hammer” with a long upper wick, and the closing price 2433.17 is exactly pressing against the MA60 😀

This is a textbook-level “pullback confirmation” — after the price breaks below the prior low, it rallies back to the neckline area (around 2435) and meets resistance, then pulls back again. A new bearish structure has formed.

Bull vs bear power: the bulls are exhausted, and the bears are building momentum 😁

#BOME
BOME is currently in an observation window of a “bullish continuation.” It’s consolidating sideways with reduced volume above the MA60, with no clear direction yet. A break above 0.001196 is bullish; a break below 0.001177 is bearish. Before direction becomes clear, testing a long position with a lighter allocation is safer than going all-in.😀

#BTC #BTC走势分析
At this position (77,035), shorting is not recommended. The risk is far greater than the potential reward.🙄
1. Why can’t you short?

· The moving averages are bullish and aligned upward: MA7 (69,982) > MA25 (65,599) > MA99 (66,041). This is a classic bullish trend. Shorting would be going against the trend, with a very low win rate.
· Just broke above the previous high—momentum is strong: BTC rose from the July 14 low of 57,800 all the way to 77,000, an increase of 33%. And it has only just reclaimed above 77,000, suggesting the uptrend may not be over yet.
· The 24-hour decline is only -0.01%: this looks more like consolidation/sideways digestion than a real drop, indicating there isn’t much selling pressure and the shorts haven’t really taken control.

The best time to short is when you get "a late-stage stall at a high level + a high-volume selloff." Right now, neither signal is present.😅

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2. If you absolutely want to short, what levels could work?

· First short entry: 79,000–79,500 (near the previous high). If price spikes into this zone and you see a long upper wick + reduced volume, you could try a small position short; place a stop loss above 80,500.
· Second short entry: if it breaks below 76,500 (today’s low). If it breaks down on high volume, it would suggest short-term bullish momentum is weakening, and you could consider shorting—but keep your position size small.

Right now, at the 77,000 level, it’s neither here nor there, and the risk/reward for a short is poor.😂

#SC

SC (Siacoin) Why is it up today?

Core reasons: oversold rebound + sector rotation, not a fundamental sudden change.😁
· Oversold: SC previously dropped more than 70% from its peak. Supply is highly dispersed; selling pressure is exhausted, so the cost to pull up is low.😅
· Sector rotation: capital moves out of large-cap coins, searching for “breakout with rising volume at the bottom + low market cap” targets, and SC happens to fit the bill.
· Follow-the-leader effect: storage sector tokens such as STORJ, AR, FIL showed unusual activity today; SC is a follower.😅
Resistance level: around 0.00080 is the prior dense trading area and also a psychological threshold; it likely won’t get through.
· Support level: if it pulls back, 0.00065 and 0.00058 are two key zones.😀
· Trading volume: if volume shrinks from here, it means there isn’t enough chasing capital, and a pullback could happen at any time.
The characteristic of coins like SC is: they pump fast, and they dump even faster. If you chase now, you’ll likely buy at a near-term high point, then watch it retrace 10%-20%. It’s very easy to lose your nerves.😂

#DOGE
DOGE is up +8.27% today; the trend is very strong

Try going long
0.08950～0.09000 (around the cost basis). Stop loss: 0.08850. Target: 0.09700. If it breaks below the MA60 (0.08976), you must exit immediately 😁

Before the close (before tonight 24:00), if DOGE is still compressing volume and trading sideways around 0.090, it’s recommended to proactively cut the position by half. After a low-volume sideways consolidation, it will most likely turn downward. 😅

Tonight at 20:30, the US stock market opens. If the broader market sells off, DOGE will likely break MA60 first. I suggest placing your stop-loss order at 20:25 in advance at 0.08850 to prevent a sudden plunge from breaking through. 🙄

#NEIRO
First Neiro on Ethereum (NEIRO) currency


Although it has risen 44.94% over the past 30 days, due to recent specific time events (such as a well-known Korean platform delisting this coin), today’s drop reached 19.04%.

Currently, the trading volume on the chart has expanded noticeably during the decline (1.49B), indicating that sell pressure is suppressing buy pressure. In the short term, there has not yet been a sign of a rebound/stop in the drop. The risk of continuing to test the low of 0.00008325 still exists. It is recommended to wait and see whether it will break below the support level near 0.00008325.

#TRUMP突破3.4美元创3月21日以来新高
This is a typical “message board” or “event-driven” surge-and-retrace pattern. The risk is extremely high. Tonight, it will most likely continue to swing violently and may even pull back deeply. It is absolutely not suitable to chase the price

Considering Bitcoin’s trend, tonight ETH’s trend is weaker than BTC: the rebound strength is insufficient. In the short term, the risk of a pullback—and even catching up to prior weakness (a possible lagging selloff)—is greater.
Although ETH has been tracking BTC higher recently, market details show its internal momentum is clearly lacking:
#ETFvsBTC

· Technical pressure is extremely high: ETH’s current price ($2,403) has fallen below MA7 ($2,421), MA25 ($2,445), and MA99 ($2,444), forming a bearish alignment. This “decapitation shears” pattern—price sitting below all moving averages—is more dangerous than BTC’s chart.
· Weak rebound, lower highs: After ETH retreated from the $2,546 peak, its rebound highs have gradually lowered, while its lows have approached $2,375. Unlike BTC, which is holding key support, this suggests market funds are selling ETH. The $2,450–$2,470 range above has turned into strong resistance.
· Support levels and the risk of further lagging losses: The first support is today’s low at $2,357. If a BTC pullback drags ETH below this level, the next strong support is the $2,300 psychological round number. Once BTC at $76,300 can’t hold, ETH’s downside may exceed BTC’s.

Tonight’s trading advice:

Overall, the main idea is to short on rebounds or stay on the sidelines. Don’t rush to “bottom fish.”

· Short on rebound: If price rebounds to $2,420–$2,450 and faces resistance, you may consider a small-position trial short. Set a stop-loss above $2,470. Initial target: $2,375; if it breaks down further, then look at $2,300.
· Conditions for bottom buying: Only if the price can regain $2,450 with strong volume and hold it should you consider any upside as real. Otherwise, all upward moves should be treated as potential bull traps. If it falls into the $2,300–$2,350 range and shows clear signs of stopping the decline, you may try a small position.
· Risk warning: ETH’s volatility tonight may be high—keep positions light and use strict stop-losses. If BTC suddenly pumps, ETH may be forced to follow higher, but when deciding between longs, it’s better to choose BTC over ETH.

Tonight’s BTC trend leans toward a high-range consolidation or a pullback; the momentum to push higher directly may be insufficient.

In the near term, BTC has just seen a sharp rally driven by short liquidations. From a technical and market sentiment perspective, there is pressure for a pullback.
· Key support and resistance: The first support level is around $76,300. If it breaks, price may test the $75,000 psychological level. Strong resistance lies in the $78,800–$79,520 area. Based on the candlestick structure, as long as there is no convincing breakdown of $76,300, the overall bullish structure remains intact—but breaking above the recent high is difficult.
· Cautious market sentiment: Although this week’s gains exceed 20%, Kalshi’s data from the U.S. prediction market shows traders are positioning for Bitcoin to be around $75,000 by year-end, which is below the current price. This suggests skepticism about further upside.
· Trading plan for tonight:
· Conservative: Consider staying on the sidelines and waiting for a retest into the $75,000–$76,300 support zone, then only consider entering after stabilization.
· Aggressive: Watch for potential short-selling opportunities near the $78,200–$78,800 resistance zone during the rebound, or wait for a breakdown below $76,300 and then follow the trend with a short trade, targeting around $75,000.
· Risk control: Volatility has been intense recently—set a stop-loss (e.g., if the key level breaks) and avoid over-allocating capital.#比特币创2023年3月来最佳周表现

#dusk $DUSK @Dusk Dusk: Built for Regulated Finance, a Privacy Layer-1

Recently, I delved into the @Dusk Foundation and found that it is addressing a core industry contradiction: how blockchain transparency can coexist with the privacy needs of finance.

Dusk is a Layer-1 public chain purpose-built for regulated financial institutions, and its core is “programmable privacy.” It uses zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) to keep transaction details private while still proving that transactions are valid. For example, financial institutions can complete compliance checks on-chain without exposing their holdings to competitors.

Its architecture is quite ingenious: the underlying DuskDS handles settlement and consensus, while the upper layer is compatible with the EVM execution environment, enabling developers to build applications using Solidity. This allows DeFi applications to meet regulatory requirements such as KYC/AML while achieving efficient asset issuance and settlement.

Dusk is working to build compliant infrastructure for tokenizing real-world assets (RWAs) such as bonds and funds. In a future financial landscape where privacy and compliance go hand in hand, $DUSK ’s efforts are worth keeping an eye on.

#dusk

Failure is not scary; what’s scary is giving up

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