永乐的征程

Ethereum’s one-hour chart has formed a large bearish candle on increased volume, with the price breaking below platform support. Funds are flowing out heavily, and the bulls’ defenses have been quickly breached, officially shifting the market into a weak trend. The middle band has turned from support into strong resistance. In terms of indicators, MACD remains in a death cross, with DIF staying below DEA and the volume bars maintaining bearish momentum; the main bearish structure remains intact. KDJ briefly touched oversold territory but has not formed an effective golden cross—this is merely a slight pause during the decline, insufficient to reverse the downtrend. The downward cycle is not over yet. Market highs continue to fall, and rebounds are getting weaker, forming a textbook bearish continuation pattern. Each rebound has failed to break the previous high, with bears maintaining control of the market. Consider following the trend and opening short positions intraday.
Reference: Short at 2393, target 2343, stop-loss buffer 30 points $ETH

On the 1-hour ETH chart, the price is consolidating just above the lower Bollinger Band after a pullback. There is no sign of a high-volume breakdown or sharp selloff, suggesting a base-building phase following the correction. The price found support near 2,400, while the KDJ indicator also fell into a low range. The J value is at 9.12, nearing oversold territory, so a bullish crossover and rebound could occur at any time. A short-term rebound is expected.
Reference: Long at 2,411, target 2,441, stop-loss 21 points. #eth

On the one-hour Ethereum chart, the price has pulled back and is fluctuating near the Bollinger middle band. There is currently no bearish signal of heavy-volume selling. As for the indicators, MACD maintains a golden cross, and bullish volume is beginning to expand. KDJ has retreated from overbought levels for a short-term correction and consolidation, without entering deep bearish territory. Structurally, since bottoming at 2313, the lows have continued to rise, forming a base-building consolidation pattern. The short-term rebound is not over; expect weekend consolidation and remain bullish in the short term.
Reference: Long at 2425, target 2455, stop 2400. $ETH

Selling pressure was on full display as Ethereum plunged again in the early hours. I shared a short at 2466 this evening and took profits—congrats to everyone who followed! $ETH

On Ethereum’s one-hour chart, the price surged rapidly to a resistance zone and then pulled back. In terms of indicators, KDJ has turned downward after flattening at high levels, and bullish momentum is starting to fade. The MACD red bars have contracted slightly, showing that upward momentum is weaker than during the rally. A corrective pullback could occur at any time. Structurally, 2472–2493 is a double resistance zone, with resistance concentrated around the previous high. As the price rebounds into this key resistance zone, profit-taking by bulls could create selling pressure.
Reference: Short at 2463, target 2423, stop-loss 30 points
$ETH

On the one-hour chart, Ethereum came under pressure and pulled back after climbing steadily in the early hours. This rebound began at the low of 2313, but funds continued to flow out throughout, with no fresh capital entering. Essentially, this is a recovery rally following a sharp drop, not a trend reversal.

In terms of indicators, KDJ has turned down from elevated levels, easing the earlier overbought conditions. TD has started a downside count, suggesting the rebound is likely nearing its end. Although MACD remains in a golden cross, bullish momentum has clearly weakened. Price has met resistance and stalled above 2460, so the intraday bias remains primarily bearish.

Reference: Short at 2443, target 2393, with a 40-point stop. $ETH

Ethereum continued to probe lower this evening, dipping to around 2333. The short at 2375 from earlier today was once again closed for a profit.$ETH

On the 1-hour Ethereum chart, after a sharp drop, the price is now moving sideways slightly above its lows as it consolidates. It is hugging the lower Bollinger Band, and the broader bearish structure remains unchanged, with selling pressure still strong. MACD remains in a death cross, with DIF staying below DEA and bearish volume bars continuing to expand. KDJ has turned slightly upward from oversold levels, indicating a short-term technical recovery after the sharp decline—not a bullish reversal signal. The previous rebound was a classic bear-flag continuation pattern: after the weak bounce, bears regained momentum and drove the price to a new low. The slight stabilization near the current lows is merely a brief pause in the main downtrend. This weak short-term rebound is an indicator-driven correction, so maintain a bearish bias intraday.
Stay short at 2375, target 2335, stop 30 points away $ETH

Ethereum plunged again intraday, hitting a low of 2313. The short position shared this morning at 2420 banked $ETH .

On the Ethereum one-hour chart, selling pressure surged again overnight, driving prices sharply lower and to a recent low, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, signaling a renewed strengthening of the bearish trend. Selling pressure has been released in a concentrated wave. The MACD’s DIF remains below the DEA, while the bearish histogram is expanding with strong momentum. Although the KDJ has entered oversold territory, indicators can remain oversold during a major downtrend, so this does not mean an immediate reversal is imminent. The previous rebound was a corrective bounce within the downtrend; bulls failed to hold resistance, and bears have taken control of the market again. There is brief support at 2400 below. If this level is decisively broken, there will be further room for the price to fall.
Reference: Short on a rebound to 2420, target 2380, stop-loss buffer 30 points. $ETH

Short sellers surged again overnight; Ethereum profits taken $ETH

On the one-hour Ethereum chart, after meeting resistance during the rebound, the price once again fell sharply on increased volume, breaking straight below the lower Bollinger Band. Funds shifted to large net outflows, with concentrated selling pressure from bears quickly overwhelming short-term bulls. KDJ fell rapidly into deeply oversold territory, with the J value nearing 0. The bullish MACD histogram disappeared, bearish momentum reemerged, and DIF crossed below DEA, forming a death cross and confirming a short-term bearish signal. This move is still a corrective rebound following a sharp decline. The rebound lacked strength and failed to break through overhead resistance, leaving bulls unable to sustain their advance and allowing bears to regain control. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward.
Although KDJ is deeply oversold, a small, weak short-term rebound is possible. However, its upside is limited and it is most likely to be only a brief pause in the decline, after which the price will continue downward to test lower support.
Reference: Short at 2473 on a rebound, target 2433, stop 30 points away $ETH

On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum staged a corrective rebound from the bottom after establishing a low at 2405. The earlier deep decline fully released bearish pressure, while buying interest emerged at the bottom. The trend is now holding steadily above 2500 and is approaching the Bollinger Band middle line. The MACD histogram remains bullish, with the DIF continuing to rise, and bullish momentum has persisted since the bottoming golden cross. The lower Bollinger Band has turned upward, the downtrend channel has been repaired, and a bottom structure is gradually taking shape. Although trading volume during this rebound is lower than during the high-volume decline, it reflects a modest return of funds after prices stabilized. There is a slight net inflow of funds, and buying continues to provide support. Price is currently testing the key resistance at the Bollinger Band middle line. If a 4-hour candlestick closes firmly above the middle line on increased volume, the rebound could extend further and challenge the upper Bollinger Band.
Reference: Long at 2503, target 2543, stop 30$ETH

On Ethereum’s one-hour chart, after a sharp decline, the price has staged a corrective rebound, recovering from its low. The MACD has formed a low-level golden cross, and funds have briefly flowed back in. However, this move is essentially a technical rebound following a decline, not a trend reversal. The current price is approaching the Bollinger middle band, a strong resistance zone. After the earlier sharp drop, a large number of trapped positions have accumulated overhead, so selling pressure is likely to emerge near the middle band. The KDJ indicator is recovering upward and has gradually approached the neutral zone, while bullish rebound momentum is being depleted. The broader downtrend structure remains intact. This rebound is mainly a correction after the sharp drop, forming a continuation pattern within the downtrend. If the price encounters resistance and stalls at the Bollinger middle band, bears will regain strength and the market will resume its decline.
Reference: Short at 2498, target 2458, stop-loss distance: 30 points.
$ETH

Bearish momentum is waning, and Ethereum is seeing an intraday rebound from the bottom. Bulls are enjoying a small rally in $ETH.

Ethereum has continued to decline on high volume on the one-hour chart, hitting a new low and falling below the lower Bollinger Band. The KDJ indicator is in deeply oversold territory. After consecutive sharp sell-offs, a large number of stop-loss orders and panic-driven positions have been released, rapidly depleting short-term bearish momentum. A short-term long entry may be worth considering.
Reference: Go long at 2426, target 2466, stop-loss 30 points $ETH

On the 1-hour chart, after peaking following an earlier sharp rise, Ethereum turned lower. The MACD formed a death cross, and the green bars continued to lengthen, showing that bears are in control. The price fell straight through the lower Bollinger Band, which turned downward, while successive highs moved lower, completely breaking the short-term bullish structure. Large net outflows have continued, with bullish capital retreating. The decline has been accompanied by rising volume, as selling pressure continues to be released. The KDJ is now in oversold territory, so a modest technical rebound is possible. However, this would merely be a recovery during the decline—a bull trap—and is unlikely to reverse the broader bearish trend.
The first major resistance on a rebound is the Bollinger midline. If the price stalls after rebounding into this resistance zone, it may offer a second opportunity to enter short. Place the stop above the previous high. If the price decisively reclaims the resistance level, the bearish thesis for this move is invalidated. Continue to watch the support levels below.
Reference: Short at 2492 on a rebound; target 2452; stop 30 points above. $ETH

On the four-hour Bitcoin chart, the earlier bottoming process has been completed and the base is recovering, while bearish momentum is gradually fading. The Bollinger Bands are turning upward, and the price is rebounding steadily, currently tracking close to the upper band. This rebound is backed by real capital. The KDJ is also moving upward and has not entered the extremely overbought zone, leaving room for further upside. Since rebounding from its low, the market has been making progressively higher lows, with a steady recovery rhythm—typical bullish corrective action following a bottom reversal. Even if the price moves sideways slightly near the upper Bollinger Band in the short term, this is unlikely to undermine the bullish structure.

The one-hour candlestick chart also shows the Bollinger Bands opening upward. The MACD remains in a golden cross, and the price is tracking close to the upper band. Although the one-hour KDJ is now at a high level, indicating some short-term overheating, as long as the bullish structure on the larger four-hour timeframe remains intact, this short-term indicator overbought condition is more likely to result in brief consolidation during the uptrend than a deep pullback. The short- and long-term timeframes are aligned bullishly: the larger timeframe provides support, while short-term momentum points to continued gains. Don't blindly short just because short-term indicators are overbought; following the prevailing trend should be the priority. If the price breaks above the recent high on strong volume, further upside potential will open up.

Reference: Long at 83800, target 85800, stop 1000 points $BTC

On the four-hour Ethereum chart, the market is showing a bottom reversal. After the earlier sharp decline, it formed a base at a low level. The MACD formed a bullish crossover at low levels, and the bullish volume bars continue to expand as the price rises steadily and breaks decisively above the upper Bollinger Band, with the bands opening upward. The larger-scale rebound structure is now established. For now, net inflows are continuing, with a steady stream of buyers entering the market and driving the price higher. This reflects genuine capital inflows rather than short-term speculative buying. The one-hour chart is also holding firm, with the price tracking close to the upper Bollinger Band and the bullish momentum intact. Further upward movement is likely.
Reference: Long at 2563, target 2603, stop 30 points $ETH

Looking at Ethereum’s one-hour chart, bullish momentum has clearly weakened after this rally, and the risk of a pullback is gradually building. Price came under pressure and retreated after reaching the upper Bollinger Band, and has now fallen below it. Although price is still above the middle band for now, trading volume during the rise has contracted sharply compared with the earlier rally, indicating limited willingness among buyers to chase prices higher. This rally was driven by short-term capital and lacks sustained buying support. The consolidation at these highs is a typical pause after an advance, rather than a buildup for another leg up. The bullish MACD histogram bars continue to shrink, showing that momentum is shifting rapidly between bulls and bears as bullish momentum is steadily depleted. The KDJ indicator appears to be turning down from overbought territory, signaling waning upside momentum and emerging short-term pressure. The previous high near 2553 is a strong resistance level, and repeated tests around 2540 have failed to produce a decisive breakout. With volume insufficient, breaking above the previous high will be very difficult. Repeated volatility at these elevated levels is more likely to attract short-term buyers and create a bull trap.
Reference: Short at 2535, target 2495, stop 30 points away
$ETH