来币圈随便玩玩

It's settled. Although the short term still looks bearish, the uncertainty is relatively high. I won't take a gamble trade—locking in profits is better. Since the rate-hike news has already been priced in, it’s possible that CPI data could end up being positive or negative and thus turn into “good news” after the fact. From the candlestick chart—especially for ETH, which is strong—I don’t rule out BTC pushing again to 8.2, then potentially dropping after reaching a maximum of 8.6. So the approach is: after going up, reduce positions; the redundancy is to short. If it drops, then add positions; the redundancy is to go long in coin-denominated terms.

Btc7.68 has cleared an 8-week BTC-coin-margined short; currently there are two remaining USDT-margined shorts—one BTC and one ETH—opened at 8.13 and 2530 respectively. The positions are relatively high and the exposure is large. As planned, we’ll close the short against the spot buy position at 72,000. The reason for using coin-margined shorts is that the PPI data triggered a small bearish move. It generated a 3,000-point profit to hit the first take-profit; second, there will be CPI data tomorrow which could cause significant volatility. If price moves up, we’ll have the coin-margined short as a backup, and we’ll also lock in the existing profit—so the cost-effectiveness is better. If price drops, we’ll continue to take profit on the short. The viewpoint remains unchanged: short in the short term, long in the medium/long term. One more principle: don’t guess whether it will go up or down—just make advance plans for how I should respond if either scenario happens.

Bearish in the short term. I will close my short positions at 7.4 and 7.2 respectively, and meanwhile add to my spot holdings. This time I will buy some of UNI, BNB, and BTC—BTC will be the main portion. If an extreme situation happens and it drops below 7, I will go long.