春天的花

Good morning ^_^
Today little z is still alive!!!
$ETH $SOL

The pressure cooker is about to explode! Japan's interest rate hike probability is at 98%, it's a sure thing, don't catch the falling knife anymore, brothers! 💣

Oh dear, this crash early Friday must have made everyone question their lives, right? Don't panic, this pressure cooker is about to blow!

The Bank of Japan is having a meeting on the 18th-19th, and the probability of an interest rate hike to 0.75% on Polymarket has skyrocketed to 98%—the highest rate in 30 years, basically a done deal!

The core killer move: the yen arbitrage is facing a mass exodus!

In the past, borrowing yen felt like picking up money, exchanging it for dollars and making a profit on the interest rate difference. Now that interest rates have gone up, borrowing money has become expensive, even leading to losses—big players are crying while selling coins to exchange for yen to pay off debts, and BTC drops as soon as it gets touched, everyone is rushing to escape, who dares to catch the falling knife?

This decline isn't due to a collapse of faith, but rather Japan's liquidity valve is about to tighten, with macroeconomic negatives unresolved in the short term!

A piece of advice: don't be envious and try to bottom-fish, 98% is no joke, that knife can cut you in half!

Keep your hands steady, preserving your principal is the most important. Wait until the panic has subsided and then enter the market to pick up bloody chips—buy low, laugh last, isn't that great? 😏

$ACE
{spot}(ACEUSDT)
Steady, brothers, survive first and then win! 🚀

$DGB
{spot}(DGBUSDT)

小『奶』🐶，『p●u●p●p●i●e●s』

This position is too large, too scary, 500 million ETH, 100 million BTC, brothers, did you close the short position too early $ETH

Profit didn't run, got caught, added half the margin!!!
Must short him!!!!!!!!!!

Time for the cryptocurrency market is running out... Powell is about to launch an attack!
Don't think that a rate cut means everything is fine; the more terrifying part will be Powell's speech. This rate cut can be said to have been forced; Powell previously stated he did not wish to cut rates, so after the rate cut at 3 AM on Thursday, Powell will deliver a speech at 3:30 AM, likely very hawkish, paving the way for not cutting rates next time, which will scare the market.
Because after next week's rate cut, the interest rate will reach the neutral rate of 3.5%, not much different from historically normal rates, and it no longer counts as a restrictive rate. In contrast, inflation is still rising, already at 3%, far above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, and the economy remains relatively strong, so the Federal Reserve actually has no reason to continue cutting rates, which has also been Powell's earlier viewpoint.
Therefore, I expect that after next week's rate cut, the market may start to plummet rapidly and undergo a correction for a while; everyone should be well-prepared. Personally, I am positioning myself with double long positions on high, and coupled with the bearish market environment, I believe the odds are greatly in my favor. If you prefer to be cautious, then do not trade; just wait to buy the dip after next year's crash, because the situation will start to improve in the second half of next year, and Trump will appoint a new chairperson to implement aggressive rate cuts, then the water will come, and the market will start to rise, potentially entering a major upward cycle lasting 3-5 years.
So the next six months can be said to be the darkness before dawn; the bull market is just tired, taking a half-year vacation, and in the second half of next year will return to work. Everyone stay alert, and let's work together with Benqin to navigate this market and rewrite our destiny!

The vote resulted in this, quite unexpected, thanks to the brothers who voted.
Also, thanks to Binance for covering the business class tickets and hotels to take everyone out to play, but I was on the plane, just finished my order, and when I tried to open it again, they told me I couldn't open it in the area I was in, damn it...
When I landed, I could open it again...
Binance's contract system is really stupid...
I have to communicate with customer service to be able to open an order...
I never want to communicate with Binance customer service in my life...
As long as there is communication, it must be my problem, and has nothing to do with Binance.
I admit defeat.
Willing to gamble and accept the outcome! Damn it...

These two dog houses have cost me 750u in funding fees...
Holding a short at 0.068 for four days now...
Who can be worse off than me...

$ETH ,$ASTER ,$BNB
💥【Late Night Bombshell】White House Officials Suddenly Reveal: Is the Federal Reserve About to Shift?!

想让以太坊，BNB，ASTER都再次伟大吗？一起来聊聊！

Brothers, I just saw a big news! The Director of the White House Economic Council, Hassett, directly revealed, predicting that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates at the next meeting. This is not an ordinary signal; typically, the White House avoids discussing monetary policy, but this time they are directly involved, and those who understand, understand.

Why release signals now? The pressure is too great!

1️⃣ The U.S. national debt has surpassed $30 trillion, and the annual interest alone exceeds $1.2 trillion, like being “stuck in quicksand.”

2️⃣ Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet shows that bank reserves dropped sharply by $38.3 billion in a week, and liquidity tightening is visibly apparent.

On one hand is astronomical debt pressure, and on the other is tightening market liquidity; cutting interest rates has almost become a “must-do” choice.

🤔 What does this mean for us?

Once the expectation of rate cuts materializes, the global liquidity floodgates might reopen. The traditional financial circle is already looking for solutions, and Michael Saylor has boldly claimed that Bitcoin's market cap could reach $200 trillion in 20 years, viewing it as a hedge against sovereign currency risks.

At the same time, the IMF has issued warnings, stating that the proliferation of stablecoins will weaken central banks' control. This precisely indicates that the digital currency race is vying for the core position in future finance.

😦 Last night, 77.86 million ASTER tokens were transferred to dead addresses for permanent destruction; this extreme deflationary action is also common in the meme coin sector. Whether it’s the macro liquidity expectations or the internal supply-demand mechanics of cryptocurrencies, liquidity narratives may once again become the market's main storyline.

⚠️ Note: The above is only a整理 of information and logical deductions and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is highly volatile; please make sure to DYOR and manage your positions well!

👉 Do you think this is a “real” signal of a shift, or just a “smoke screen” to soothe the market?

Will your holding strategy change as a result?

Let’s discuss in the comments!👇
#比特币VS代币化黄金, #美联储重启降息步伐

In early October, when the ETH price was still above 4500, I warned everyone that the signal of a bear market was coming, and the bull market was about to end.

Today, let's review the weekly chart of ETH from 2021 to 2025. From a larger perspective, ETH will drop below 1300, and then consolidate and accumulate in the range of 1300-600 dollars for at least over a year. I believe we are currently in the early stage of a bear market. For your reference.