马儿啊

2026-10-10/11 Saturday/Sunday
US and European markets are closed; mainland China has adjusted workdays.
The market probably won't fluctuate much.

ETH is back around 2,500
BTC surged to 83,000, then pulled back to 82,000
SOL has been fluctuating around 110

For now, range trading still suits me best. I still can't hold on to a one-way trend, especially with futures contracts.

Posted at 8:00 AM (UTC+8)

2026-10-9 Friday

#暴跌 At first, I thought this time BTC, ETH, and SOL were just a simple pullback, and the 4-hour box range would hold once more and not break down.
After all, last year’s Oct–Nov crash was so severe—this year shouldn’t see another crash at the same time.

But things went the other way: the box structure has already broken, and the decline hasn’t bottomed out yet. Chasing shorts feels too risky, while trying to bottom-catch is even more panicky.

#空仓 is a kind of wisdom

Don’t blindly trust experience—always believe in the candlesticks.

Article time: East 8 Zone 8:30

Bullish

2026-10-8 Thursday

In the past few days, the trend is still bullish, and the broken structure will slowly recover

BTC bullish
ETH bullish
SOL bullish

Article time: 8:00 (UTC+8)

2026-10-7 Wednesday

Tonight at 1:00 AM: U.S. 10-year Treasury auction ★★★★
Tonight at 2:00 AM: FOMC minutes ★★★★★

Why pay attention to these FOMC minutes? First, after the last rate hike, major cryptocurrencies such as BTC rose against the trend. We need to understand why. Second, the Fed has recently been battling Wall Street. Combined with the recent sideways trading in major cryptocurrencies such as BTC, we need to understand what big money is planning.

FOMC interest rate decision: The interest rate is decided on the spot, along with a statement, economic projections/dot plot (at some meetings), and a press conference by the Chair.
FOMC meeting minutes: A detailed record of the meeting that is released afterward.

Time of this article: 8:00 AM UTC+8

2026-10-6 Tuesday Binance Monthly Trading Summary
#交易总结 This trading pace isn’t quite right.
The downsides are short holding periods, high fees, and spending too much time watching the market. It’s suited to treating trading like a game.

Adjustment plan: Hold positions for longer, spread your attention across multiple cryptocurrencies, and spend less time watching the market.

BNB+0.15%

2026-10-4 Sunday Forecast
In the past month, the weekend data for mainstream coins has been pretty flat. Combined with BTC, ETH, and SOL being in a strong sideways range, it’s only suitable for small-position trading—just cover the trading fees.

$SOL is to continue up to 122 and 123; after reaching there, it will fall and break below 120.
$ETH is to push upward toward 2800, but it often starts dropping several points short of that. It won’t fall below 2600, and there is also support at 2400 underneath.

Release time: 9:00 (UTC+8)

ETH+0.34%

2026-10-2 Friday Prediction
1. BTC, SOL, and ETH all made slight pullbacks downward
2. Liquidity for the three major coins is clearly weak
3. The liquidation range has narrowed, making the long-vs-short battle even more intense
4. During China’s National Day holiday, the number of traders has decreased
5. Tonight at 20:30, the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data will be released, which may further ignite the long-short conflict.

We won’t place trades today. The Non-Farm Payrolls data can be predicted as favorable. But the market feels like it will first rise and then pull back.

Release time: 10:00 (UTC+8)

2026-09-27 - 2026-09-30 Prediction
A pullback market for BTC, SOL, and ETH.
Recently, I don't want to watch the market

Release time: 12:30 (UTC+8)

This cancellation and follow-up were put so close together. The intention was to cancel the resting order, but somehow they got executed one after another, all of them.

Binance—can you at least be a bit more reliable?

#巨鲸交易 #sol

This big shot is placing sell orders at the $125 price, tightly holding back SOL's rise

Bearish

2026-09-27 Prediction
On Sunday, BTC and SOL are once again starting their long-vs-short battle.
If you have to trade, it suits extremely tight-range operations.

Today is better for playing and relaxing.

Release time: 07:00 (UTC+8)

2026-09-26 Prediction
On Saturday, with the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday added on top, nothing unexpected—throughout the day the pattern still follows the usual recent playbook: mild fluctuations, a pullback, and a decline.

Release time: 01:30 (UTC+8)

2026-09-25 Prediction
After the meeting between the leaders of the U.S. and China ends, there has been no major market volatility.
BTC and SOL have returned to their earlier highs. We’ll observe the subsequent capital inflows and outflows.

Paste a look at the USD to RMB exchange rate trend over the past 10 years and interest rate conditions

2026-09-24 Forecast
Several messages that may affect funds
1. Today, the US and Chinese leaders will meet and discuss the economy
2. The Fed reiterates a rate hike to keep inflation stable
3. China once again declares it does not support stablecoins

Market overview:
1. Yesterday, BTC, ETH, and SOL all began to pull back. Although the pullback depth did not exceed 5%, the liquidation data shows that long leverage positions were cleared significantly. Long-position take-profits and long-position liquidations (take-profit on liquidation) were executed at the same time.
2. BTC and SOL did not even break below the bottom range of the 1-hour candlestick chart.

Get ready to trade.
Place a buy order at the bottom of the 1h candlestick chart.
Entry: Long
BTC 815000
SOL 110

Release time: 01:30 (Beijing time)

2026-09-23 Forecast: On Wednesday, keep the long-term uptrend judgment unchanged. Don’t change your position. If you can’t help trading, then do a small T trade appropriately.
But in the past few days, we will see a narrow-range consolidation; the market will likely move only after the meeting between the U.S. and the Chinese leaders on the 24th.

Trading range
BTC [85500, 86500]
SOL [116, 119]

ETH is run by the “dog-whale” crew—anything can happen.

Release time: 08:30 (UTC+8)

2026-09-22 prediction, Tuesday. The overall trend is basically confirmed: it’s going up.
Weekly-level resistance levels
BTC 82000 -> 97000
ETH 2500 -> 3400
SOL 100 -> 148

Look for positions to enter again during the pullback.

Release time: 08:30 (UTC+8)

2026-09-21 Prediction, since it’s Monday. Last week’s rise has already been completed. The weekend even did an early pullback. This week’s progress makes it even harder to make decisions on Monday.
$BTC $ETH $SOL At the current level, opening long and opening short are both awkward—don’t set up waiting/trap trades. This week, do trend trading.
Wait for the China-US talks.

Release time: 00:30 (UTC+8)

The price of hype has already multiplied several times this year (hyperliquid launched it). Are perps still the big trend?

The on-chain matching speed issue has already been solved, and the market-making team has been rolled out. After they also sort out the fiat currency to stablecoin conversion issue, the on-chain exchange will basically have its ecosystem in place, and the impact on centralized exchanges won’t be so gentle anymore.

$HYPE $BNB

BNB+0.15%

HYPE+1.19%

2026-09-20 Forecast, maintain yesterday’s assessment. In the short term, direction is unclear—so we won’t make a move.
Looking forward to a China-U.S. meeting; I feel it is likely a positive catalyst, but I’m also really afraid of a black swan.

Release time: 05:30, Eastern Time (UTC+8)