Gladiator14

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💥 $BTC It's a 10% explosive pull in one day, this script seems familiar?

🔥 Come on, let's review!

1. This is not an isolated case. It basically happens every month — first a rebound to a new high, then a crash. History does not repeat itself, but it always rhymes.

2. What's next? Based on multiple experiences of being hit: first a second bottom, the second bottom higher than the first, then a rebound to test the major resistance at 74,000. False breakout, drop back, bloodbath, breaking below 60,000. All in one go.

3. This thing has a technical name called "continuation of decline" or "descending flag". In plain English: drop for a while, rebound and consolidate, then drop again. Common as a pancake stall on the roadside.

4. So, I said a couple of days ago, don’t short at 63,000. If it’s a continuation, the rebound could make you question your life choices. Now that the rebound has actually come, my plan is: to gradually lay out low-multiplier long-term short positions at 71,000 and 74,000. If there’s no interest rate cut in March, the odds of another drop are not low.

5. How to view the short term? I was watching the market until midnight last night, just betting that Nvidia's earnings report would drop after the good news was fully digested. BTC dropped from 70,000 to 67,000, a 4% drop, shorted a little, it’s okay. But I don’t think it’s done dropping, there might be another shake when the US stock market opens tonight.

6. So should we chase high positions now? Forget it, let others make the money. My strategy is simple: wait for 71,000 and 74,000, if it dares to come, I dare to short. The advantage is on my side.

In a bear market, being in cash can outperform 90% of people. Play with a small position, and when there's an opportunity, strike hard again!

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On Thursday morning Beijing time, Nvidia is about to announce its Q4 financial report for the fiscal year 2025. Currently, there are four major highlights worth paying attention to regarding this report and the subsequent ones, and Wall Street is highly anticipating it. Is an excellent report card just around the corner? As the hottest 'AI darling' in the U.S. stock market over the past two years, Nvidia's earnings reports have always exceeded Wall Street's expectations, and three months ago was no exception: Nvidia's Q3 revenue exceeded analyst expectations, reaching $57.01 billion, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%. At that time, Nvidia projected its Q4 revenue to be $65 billion, with a fluctuation of 2%; the GAAP gross margin was expected to be 74.8%, with a fluctuation of 0.5%. Currently, according to TradingView statistics, Wall Street expects Nvidia's Q4 revenue to continue to grow rapidly to $63.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 68.3%—though this growth rate is lower than last year's 77.9% increase. Over the past 30 days, analysts tracking Nvidia's performance have generally reaffirmed their expectations that Nvidia will continue to maintain strong business growth momentum. Looking at Nvidia's competitors, some companies have already announced their Q4 performance, giving us a glimpse into future trends: Qorvo's Q4 revenue grew by 8.4% year-on-year, in line with analyst expectations; AMD's revenue grew by 34.1% year-on-year, exceeding expectations by 6%. However, the market's reaction has been quite lukewarm: after the earnings announcement, Qorvo's stock price fell by 6.8%, while AMD's stock price has cumulatively dropped by 17.3%. This has raised concerns among many investors that a similar situation might occur with Nvidia—especially considering that Nvidia's earnings reports always tend to bring 'surprises,' the market impact of this 'surprise' may already be experiencing diminishing marginal effects. Matt Weller, Global Research Director at GAIN Capital, wrote in a report that if Nvidia's earnings report merely 'meets' profit expectations, it is unlikely to be sufficient to drive the stock price higher, especially if the earnings guidance is relatively conservative, which could exacerbate some traders' concerns about a potential slowdown in AI capital expenditure demand.
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Core Bias: Oversold rebound, strong sideways momentum, range-bound trading, buy low sell high, no chasing.

Key Levels

- Strong Support: 65500, 65000, 64800
- Strong Resistance: 66800, 67200, 68000

Spot Strategy

- Long: Enter on support at 65300–65600
- Take Profit: Partial take profit at 66800, full take profit at 67200
- Risk: Stop loss below 64800

Futures / Contract Strategy

- Long: Enter near 65500, TP 66800, SL 64800
- Short: Enter at resistance 67200–67600, TP 65500, SL 68200
- Discipline: Light position, quick in & out, no holding losing positions

Technical Outlook

- 4H: Oversold rebound, RSI recovering, long momentum repairing
- Sideways bias below 67200
- Bullish above 67200 with volume; bearish below 64800

Fund & News

- ETF outflows persist, institutional buying weak
- Macro supportive but limited upside for rebound

Risk Rules

- Single-direction position ≤ 30%
- Always use stop loss
- Follow trend, do not average down
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BTC actually spiked to 62, caught it, so cool right?
ETH1725 didn't catch it but no regrets🧧

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The AI short video I made for the organization was liked by cz, haha, so excited @CZ . Special thanks to @Square-Creator-487844605 for providing the amazing copy, a perfect combination, very nice.

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The eighth day of the Lunar New Year, ready to start working

The short position that was laid out yesterday also benefited, friends who want to join the internal small group 🧑‍🤝‍🧑

Brothers who have opened short positions, if the position is not very good, it is better to close the position and take the profit first, as subsequent fluctuations may take you out. Those who shorted ETH1920 today can exit completely and find a good position to provide a strategy to everyone.