WEB3 薯条

最近狗狗币（DOGE）一直在 0.15 美元附近横盘，但不少技术指标和链上数据都在释放一个信号：现在的市场结构比上一轮熊市健康得多，不少分析师因此开始重新看涨狗狗币。

狗狗币目标价：1.30 美元？
交易员 Cryptollica 给出了一张长期走势图，结合 Mayer 倍数指标（判断币价是否过热的工具），得出的观点是：
👉 狗狗币的长期目标可能超过 1.30 美元。
原因是现在的狗狗币热度（从指标上看）远低于 2017 和 2021 两轮大牛市的极端状态，也就是说：
市场还没进入“泡沫区”，上涨空间理论上仍然很大。
他还分享了一张“狗狗币处于亏损的天数”图，显示很多长期在亏的持币者已经开始减少，这通常意味着市场正在完成“底部重置”，为下一轮上涨做准备。

狗狗币链上表现正在加强
短期数据方面，链上活动明显变强了：

1）活跃地址暴增
分析师 Ali Martinez 指出，狗狗币活跃地址突然升到 71,589 个（近三个月新高）。
这代表：
👉 不只是价格波动，是真有人在重新参与狗狗币网络。

2）巨鲸两天买入 4.8 亿枚 DOGE
Santiment 数据显示，大户（持有 100 万–1 亿枚 DOGE 的地址）在 48 小时内猛买了 4.8 亿枚。
历史经验告诉我们：
👉 巨鲸增持 = 通常意味着他们提前看到了机会。

接下来最关键的价位：0.20 美元
链上数据显示，有 117 亿枚 DOGE 的成本价在 0.20 美元附近。
这意味着：
👉 0.20 美元是非常强的阻力，突破后行情可能会更顺畅。

Bitcoin is currently in a rebound phase within a downtrend, with some upside potential in the short term. If the price pulls back to the mid-line of the daily chart, it would be a good buying point. This is because a common rebound structure is 'first rally to the upper line → pull back to the mid-line → then break through', forming a double confirmation signal.

Currently, the first rebound target is at $95,400, and a slight pullback may occur upon first reach, which can help decide whether to continue holding based on the pullback amplitude. If the price rises to this level in the short term, it is also possible to take a light short position or reduce long positions. Entering at lower levels can be held until next week, as the structure indicates that Bitcoin may continue to rally until the interest rate decision is announced.

The support zone is around $86,000–$88,000, and if it pulls back to here, there is still an opportunity to go long. If the rebound continues and reaches $96,000–$98,000, once a short signal appears, one can try a long-term short position, targeting around $70,000.

Summary: Buying lightly around or slightly below $90,000, with a bullish target of $95,400–$98,000; if encountering resistance or strong signals, consider reducing positions or shorting. Overall, the rebound is not yet over, and one can buy low and sell high, focusing on key resistance and support levels.

Pepe prices have recently shown a strong rebound signal, and the market may be entering a new round of increases. An indicator that has been long ignored has reversed, providing preliminary confirmation for a bullish pattern. The Bollinger Bands indicate that PEPE has successfully broken through after lingering below for two months, suggesting that the downtrend has ended and the market may be bottoming out.

Tightening volatility and narrowing ranges also imply that a price bottom is forming. Trading data shows that since the second rebound, the open interest has increased by 26%, surpassing $55 million, indicating that more traders are re-entering to go long. The long-short ratio is 1.03, which also suggests that the majority are bullish.

On the technical side, PEPE has formed a double bottom reversal pattern, with the second rebound accelerating around $0.000004, currently testing the neckline at $0.0000049; if this level holds, it will confirm a bullish pattern. Indicators such as MACD and RSI also show buyer dominance, with the market having potential to continue rising.

If the pattern holds, PEPE prices are expected to rise by about 50% in the short term, returning to the November high of $0.0000075; if market conditions are favorable, such as the U.S. easing interest rates to stimulate risk assets, PEPE could even challenge the May high of $0.0000165, with an increase of up to 240%. In summary, PEPE is currently in a critical rebound phase, with bullish momentum clearly strengthening.

Recently, Dogecoin (DOGE) has entered a critical phase, with prices falling back to the core range that long-term investors often focus on. Although still far below historical highs, this deep pullback provides long-term buyers with an opportunity to accumulate at lower levels.

Currently, the price of DOGE is about $0.1494, with a trading volume exceeding $1.25 billion in the last 24 hours. Analysts point out that the $0.13-$0.09 range is a major bullish zone, while $0.08-$0.05 is a historically strong support area that has attracted long-term funds multiple times in the past. On-chain data shows that over 500 million DOGE have recently been purchased by whales, indicating that large investors are still quietly positioning themselves.

On the technical side, the weekly chart may be forming a rounded bottom pattern. If the price can stabilize above the key range mentioned, it could gradually test previous resistance levels in the short term. In the long run, analysts have set targets of $0.50, $1, and even $2, provided that DOGE holds the core support and breaks through critical technical levels.

Overall, Dogecoin is currently in a consolidation phase, with the market observing whether prices can form support in the key range. Whale purchases, historical support, and technical structure collectively support the possibility of future upward movement. As long as the key area is broken, bulls will have the opportunity to dominate the next round of market activity.

Dogecoin has recently shown strong performance, with a clear upward trend in the short term. Whales have accumulated 480 million DOGE in the past two days, and with the number of active addresses on-chain reaching a new high since September, market enthusiasm and confidence have clearly rebounded. The current key support level is at $0.145, and the price is steadily above the descending wedge, with the pullback support further consolidating buying strength.

Currently, DOGE is priced at approximately $0.147, and bulls are still firmly in control of the market, with a short-term upward trend forming higher lows. If it successfully breaks through the resistance at $0.155, the price is expected to challenge $0.181, and may even further attempt to reach $0.20, with a potential increase of about 37%.

Technical indicators also show enhanced bullish confidence: the MACD green bars continue to expand, and the line remains above the signal line, indicating that market momentum is sufficient for further price increases. The whales' accumulation and the on-chain activity are increasing simultaneously, providing strong support for the upward trend.

Overall, Dogecoin maintains a strong position in the short term. As long as it can break through $0.155, bulls will continue to push the price upwards, with targets sequentially at $0.181 and $0.20. The current market environment is very favorable for Dogecoin, and the short-term upward opportunities are worth paying attention to.

最近，XRP价格曾站上 2.120 美元以上并尝试稳步上涨，但短期内出现回调，显示上涨动力可能不足。价格下行过程中，XRP 一度测试 2.080 美元附近的支撑，这也是多头短期防线。

目前，价格低于 2.120 美元以及 100 小时简单移动平均线，显示短期趋势偏弱。小时图上可以看到一条明显的下降趋势线，阻力位在 2.110 美元，多头在短期内想要反攻需要突破这一压力位。

从技术角度来看，如果 XRP 能有效突破 2.150 美元，则有可能开启新一轮上涨行情，短线多头将获得更强的动力。否则，价格可能继续在 2.080–2.120 美元区间震荡盘整，回调压力依然存在。

成交量和动量指标显示，目前市场情绪尚未完全转强，投资者需关注关键支撑和阻力位的变化。短线来看，2.080 美元支撑和 2.110–2.120 美元阻力是判断行情方向的关键节点。

一句话总结：XRP短期回调明显，多头需突破 2.110–2.150 美元区间才能重新占据主动，否则仍可能在低位震荡，短线上涨不稳。

最近，XRP 在大部分交易时间内一直试图守住 2.07 美元支撑，但价格却持续下滑，显示买家对市场控制力减弱。每次价格尝试反弹到 2.11–2.13 美元附近时，成交量都会增加，说明卖方在上方压力位占据优势，多头反击乏力。

决定性的转折发生在交易的最后阶段：价格突破 2.07 美元支撑，成交量大幅上升，短时间内跌到 2.00 美元附近。这确认了下跌行情已经开始，而非短暂的波动。技术指标也显示明显偏空：RSI 从中段下行，MACD 进入负值区，动量指标支持空头趋势。此时 2.07 美元已经转为阻力位，若多头想恢复短期上涨，需要重新突破这一关键点。

价格走势概览：
XRP 从 2.20 美元大幅下跌至 2.10 美元，24小时跌幅 约 5.7%，波动幅度 0.13 美元。
在下跌加速之前，价格尝试反弹至 2.11 美元均失败，成交量减少显示多头无力。
UTC 时间 19:00，成交量飙升至 9400 万枚，确认了 2.13 美元阻力有效，卖方优势明显。
随后价格继续下行，测试 2.09 美元附近，短暂逼近 2.00 美元关口，成交量在一分钟内再次突破 100 万枚，显示卖方强势。
当前价格在 2.10–2.12 美元区间震荡，但仍低于主要阻力位，下行压力仍在，短期行情偏空。

一句话总结：XRP 短期卖方占优，价格突破 2.07 美元支撑后仍未反弹，多头需要重新站上这一水平才能改变看跌格局，否则下行风险依然存在。

最近，狗狗币价格从 0.1522 美元回落至 0.1477 美元，跌幅约 3%，这波下跌非常干脆利落，很明显是由机构或算法交易推动的，而非散户恐慌。

之前，DOGE 三次尝试突破 0.1522 美元阻力位都失败，每次上涨伴随着成交量下降，这显示买方信心不足，是提前预警信号。最终，价格跌破关键支撑 0.1487 美元，交易量随之急剧上升，连续三个小时成交量超过 4 亿枚，说明大户在集中抛售。

价格走势形成了 下降三角形：更低的高点不断压向平坦支撑，结构暗示只要多头无法重新站上 0.1487～0.1510 美元区域，价格下跌趋势将持续。尽管活跃地址数量增加，但动量指标和成交量信号并未显示价格即将反转，RSI 指标仍在下降，多头力量偏弱。

短线来看，狗狗币在 下跌区域下轨附近震荡，目前反弹尝试到 0.1483 美元就被抛压打回，说明卖方仍占优势。总体而言，在价格未重回 0.1487 美元以上之前，市场仍以空头为主，短线难以出现明显上涨。

一句话总结：
狗狗币短线被大户控制，下跌趋势明显，价格要想扭转，需要先稳住 0.1487 美元以上，否则空头仍将主导市场。

Solana has recently failed to hold above $144, and the previous upward momentum has retreated. Currently, the SOL price has fallen below $140, with a weak short-term trend, but it is still above $135 and the 100-hour moving average, indicating that there is still some buying support at this level.

On the chart, the SOL/USD hourly chart shows that the price has broken below the rising trend line that was originally around $144, which means that the short-term upward momentum has weakened. If the price cannot reclaim above $140, bullish pressure will significantly increase, and the market may continue to pull back.

From the support level perspective, $135 is currently the most important short-term defense line. If SOL breaks below this area, the downside space may expand, and the price may further decline, so investors need to pay close attention.

To summarize the current situation:
Short-term weak: Price has fallen below $140, and the upward trend is under test.
Key support: $135 is the short-term defense line; holding it can stabilize the market.
Technical signal: Breaking below the rising trend line at $144 indicates that the upward momentum has temporarily weakened.
Risk warning: If $135 is lost, the decline may accelerate, and investors should operate with caution.

Overall, Solana is currently in a consolidation and pullback stage, with a weak short-term trend. However, as long as the $135 support holds, there is still an opportunity to wait for new upward chances. If the bulls want to return to an upward trend, they need to stabilize the price above $140 as soon as possible and rebuild upward momentum.

In the past two months, the price of XRP has dropped by about 31%, and market sentiment has become very pessimistic, marking the most negative period since October. Social data shows that there are far more bearish comments on XRP than bullish comments, a situation referred to as the "fear zone."

Data from Santiment indicates that when market sentiment is extremely pessimistic, the price of XRP often rebounds. For example, on November 21, after a similar panic sentiment, XRP rapidly increased by 22% over the next three days. Although the upward trend stopped afterwards, this suggests that extreme pessimism in the market may also hint at a rebound opportunity in the short term.

Currently, the situation with XRP is somewhat similar to that time, which may be a positive signal for investors.

The ETF craze has cooled down, and XRP's performance has fallen short of market expectations based on ETF speculation. Since mid-November, several institutions, including Canary Capital, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and 21Shares, have launched multiple spot XRP ETFs, but the price has not seen a significant increase, indicating that market enthusiasm for ETF speculation is not as strong as previously anticipated.

However, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse stated that capital inflow remains strong, exceeding $700 million. This means that although the price has not risen significantly, there is still substantial buying demand from institutional investors and those who wish to hold XRP but do not want to manage custody themselves. This also indicates the potential support in the XRP market, and if sentiment improves in the future, the price may rebound.

In summary, although XRP has experienced a significant decline recently and market sentiment is low, extreme panic could represent an opportunity for a short-term rebound, while ETF capital inflow shows potential support, making it worth monitoring.

After Ethereum successfully broke above 3200 USD, it has begun a new round of upward momentum. Currently, the overall trend of ETH is relatively strong, with prices firmly maintained above 3120 USD and the 100-hour moving average, indicating that bulls are firmly in control of the rhythm.

After breaking through key levels of 3050 USD and 3120 USD, buying pressure has continued to increase, leading to this upward rebound. Now, from the chart, it can be seen that ETH is forming a small 'contracting triangle,' with support around 3130 USD. This pattern usually indicates that the market is 'building up energy,' waiting for a directional choice, and once it breaks out, a rapid surge is likely to occur.

In the short term, the most critical resistance area is near 3240–3250 USD. If ETH can truly establish and stabilize in this area, the bulls may gain new momentum, and there is a chance for the market to continue pushing higher. After breaking through, short-term targets may see prices at 3300 USD or even higher.

Conversely, if ETH fails to hold the support at 3130 USD, the pace of short-term upward movement may slow down, but as long as the price remains stable above 3120 USD and key moving averages, the overall direction remains healthy.

To summarize the current situation:
Prices have stabilized above 3200 USD
Overall trend is strong
Indicators and structures are improving
The market is waiting for a breakthrough at the key range of 3240–3250 USD
As long as Ethereum successfully breaks above 3240 USD and stabilizes, this upward trend is likely to continue. The short-term focus will be on whether this level can be taken by the bulls.

Bitcoin has recently gained momentum again, successfully standing above $92,500, and has initiated a new upward trend from this point. The price is currently still above $92,000 and has stabilized above the 100-hour moving average, indicating that the short-term trend remains strong.

Currently, BTC is consolidating between $92,500 and $93,000, as if it is "resting and gathering strength." As long as it can regain and hold above $93,000, Bitcoin will have the opportunity to continue pushing towards $93,500 or even higher.

Although on the hourly chart, the price briefly fell below the ascending trend line near $93,000, as long as it can stabilize in this range afterwards, it will not affect the overall structure. Simply put: this wave of increase is relatively healthy, and it just needs to confirm a "successful pullback."

There are two key observation points moving forward:

① Can the support at $93,000 hold?
This is the "threshold" for the short term. Holding it = likely to continue rising; failing to hold = will return to the $92,000 to $92,200 range for consolidation.

② Can $93,500 be突破?
If it breaks through, the market may rise rapidly, as the resistance above this level is not dense, making it easy for buying pressure to push prices higher.

Overall, Bitcoin's current trend leans towards bullish; as long as the $93,000 level holds, the next target will be to challenge $93,500. If the breakthrough is successful, the market may welcome further short-term strengthening opportunities. The key now is whether BTC can maintain upward momentum after the fluctuations.

In the past two days, Dogecoin has been crazily bought by large holders—within just 48 hours, they increased their holdings by 480 million DOGE, directly igniting market enthusiasm. Such a level of buying usually indicates that the market is strengthening.

Currently, DOGE is stable around $0.147 and has successfully stood above the previous "descending wedge" breakout level, which means that the bulls not only broke through but also maintained key support. The $0.145 level has been confirmed multiple times, indicating that the buying pressure is very solid.

From the price movement, Dogecoin has already shown higher lows, which is typically a classic signal of trend reversal. The most important resistance ahead is $0.155; once it breaks through, the upper space will quickly open up, targeting:
$0.155: Short-term key resistance level
$0.181: Liquidity concentration area
$0.20: Strong target for this round of rebound
From the support level, this segment has a maximum upward potential of about 37%.

Technical indicators are also strengthening simultaneously: the MACD has continuously released green momentum bars, indicating that the bullish strength is increasing, with funds continuously flowing in, and the market is accumulating breakout power. Several indicators strengthening at the same time usually mean that the bottom is relatively stable, making it easier to see a trend-driven rise.

Why are whales buying heavily at this time? The reason is simple: large holders do not buy in weak markets; they usually sense trend changes earlier than retail investors. Whale accumulation indicates that they see opportunities for short- to medium-term price increases, and their buying will further raise the market bottom, attracting more participants.

On-chain data also provides strong bullish signals: in the past day, the number of active DOGE addresses skyrocketed to 71,589, setting a new high since September. This represents more users returning, increased liquidity, and a price breakout will accelerate upward more easily.

Bitcoin has recently rebounded to around $93,000, and it seems like the market is about to strengthen, but the story told by the charts is not so optimistic. This rebound is mainly due to the price having dropped too sharply before, with short sellers covering their positions causing a short-term bounce, rather than a true reversal of the trend. Bitcoin is still pressed below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, and these averages continue to trend downward, indicating that the overall major trend remains weak.

Currently, the biggest test is around the $93,000 level, which is also a key resistance area that Bitcoin is facing. If BTC cannot hold this position on the daily chart, the market may slide again, returning to previous support areas.

The most dangerous point remains $86,000. If Bitcoin falls below $86,000 again, the structure will deteriorate further, and the price may even drop to just above $80,000. The reason is simple: the declines over the past few months have shattered many support levels, making it not only difficult to climb back up but also requiring a significant amount of buying pressure to collaborate.

Of course, Bitcoin is not completely without opportunities. If it can hold $93,000 and smoothly continue to push up to $95,000–97,000, there is a chance for a true reversal in sentiment. At that time, short sellers will be forced to close their positions, combined with new buying pressure entering, the upward momentum may further strengthen.

However, currently, there is no clear evidence on the charts to support such an optimistic scenario: the moving averages are still pressing down on the price, the trading volume is unstable, and although the RSI has rebounded, it remains in a downward trend. Therefore, bulls must show stronger performance to prove that this rebound is not a "false move."

In summary:
$93,000 is a key point in the short term.
$86,000 is the most vulnerable support, and once breached, the probability of further decline increases significantly.
To truly reverse the downward trend, Bitcoin needs to strongly stand above $95,000–97,000 to be considered a true "turnaround."

Recently, many people have been discussing the appearance of a 'death cross' in Ethereum. It sounds scary, but you don't need to be too nervous. The so-called death cross occurs when the short-term moving average (like the 50-day) falls below the long-term moving average (200-day). In traditional technical analysis, this is usually considered a signal that prices will continue to fall. However, this time, Ethereum's price did not follow the 'script'.

Why? Because sometimes the market can turn around early, momentum can change first, and by the time the moving averages react, the trend has already changed. Many traders see a death cross and short the market early, but if the price does not fall and instead rises, these shorts may end up getting 'squeezed'. Historically, Ethereum has also risen after several death crosses, simply because market sentiment was triggered, leading to an imbalance in positions.

The current crypto market is also different from before. With more algorithmic trading and insufficient liquidity, the predictive power of indicators like 'death cross' and 'golden cross' has decreased. They now play more of a role in influencing sentiment and short-term capital flows rather than indicating that prices will definitely rise or fall in the future.

Currently, Ethereum is testing its 50-day moving average position, and the RSI indicator has returned to the middle range, indicating that the market is regaining strength and there are signs of increasing buying pressure. If ETH can break through and stabilize around $3350 to $3500, the trend may officially strengthen. In this case, the short-term moving average will bend upward again, and the impact of the death cross will be completely offset. Some people who shorted the market early may be forced to buy back, which would further push up the price.

Recently, Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB) experienced a sudden and astonishing surge: the daily trading volume skyrocketed by about 150%, appearing to be a 'lifeline' in a declining market. Many newcomers seeing this trend might think that large funds have started to secretly position themselves. But if you continue to observe the price performance, you'll find that things are not that simple.

First, SHIB's price is still below several very important moving averages (50-day, 100-day, 200-day). For cryptocurrency prices, these moving averages act like a 'ceiling'; for the price to truly reverse and rise, it must break through these levels. However, this rebound was blocked by the 50-day moving average, resulting in a long upper shadow, indicating insufficient upward momentum; bulls attempted to break through but were pushed back by sellers.

In the case of a strong reversal, you would typically see bears being forced to buy back positions, allowing the price to stabilize above the resistance level. However, this time, SHIB's rebound momentum quickly dissipated, and buying pressure did not follow through, showing that the market has not truly 'turned strong.'

Looking at the RSI indicator, it is currently around 40. This represents a very awkward range—neither up nor down. It has neither the momentum for a strong rise nor has it fallen into 'oversold' territory, making it difficult to form a reliable reversal signal based on technical patterns. In simple terms, market confidence is relatively weak right now.

Of course, there are still rebound opportunities. If SHIB's trading volume continues to expand significantly today, and the K-line can close with a distinct green daily line, the price must at least stabilize back above the range of 0.00000930 to 0.00001000 USD, which would suggest that yesterday's high volume might not have been a 'fake move.' If it can break through this range, there is still a chance to continue rebounding towards the 100-day moving average.

However, if there is no continuation of the rise today and the trading volume retracts, then yesterday's 150% surge might just have been 'smart money' attracting retail attention during volatility, and then quietly distributing. In other words, what appears to be a strong surge might just be a brief spike rather than a true trend reversal.

Recently, the price of Solana (SOL) has been fluctuating quite dramatically, mainly oscillating between $135 and $138. Sometimes it will suddenly surge, but not long after, it gets pulled back down. This type of "rollercoaster" movement is usually related to short-term trading, market news, or changes in sentiment, and is a common short-term fluctuation in the crypto market.

However, if you take a longer view, you'll find that things aren't as "exciting" as they seem. Looking at the long-term trend in the charts, especially after 2023, the overall price of Solana hasn't experienced a runaway drop, nor has there been a significant long-term downtrend. In other words, while the daily prices fluctuate, the overall trend remains within a relatively healthy and upward range.

For novice investors, you can understand Solana's movement like this:
Short-term: the price fluctuates like an electrocardiogram, easily influenced by news and market sentiment; these fluctuations do not affect the long-term direction.
Long-term: the price structure has stabilized, hasn't deteriorated, and still remains in an upward range, indicating that the project's fundamental value hasn't been shaken.
This "short-term chaos, long-term stability" trend shows that while Solana is significantly affected by the market, it still maintains solid support. If you are a short-term trader, this volatility means there are many opportunities; but if you care more about long-term holding, its overall trend reflects a certain stability, alleviating concerns about sudden crashes.

In simple terms: Solana's daily fluctuations are indeed large, but from a long-term perspective, it still appears to be steadily rising.

The recent Shiba Inu coin (SHIB) has started to feel a bit 'awakened' again. Although it had previously dropped quite severely, the trend over the past week has been relatively strong, rising more than 5% since Monday, rebounding along with the market. On Thursday, it peaked at $0.00000952, up 26% from the low point in mid-November. However, the price has slightly retreated to around $0.00000882.

Although the price is still fluctuating, analyst Marks remains steadfast in his view: a major rebound for SHIB is just a matter of time. What he focuses on is a technical signal called 'bullish divergence'.

What is bullish divergence? Simply put, it means that while the price is falling, the RSI (a momentum indicator) is climbing. Generally, this indicates:
👉 Bearish strength is not as strong as before
👉 The speed of the decline is slowing down
👉 The market may reverse at any time
Specifically for SHIB, since July 2024, the price has been continuously setting lower lows, but the RSI has been rising. In other words, although SHIB appears to be 'lying flat' on the surface, the internal market is actually quietly strengthening.

Noticing this, analyst Marks is quite optimistic, believing SHIB has a chance to rise back to $0.000032, which means an increase of about 234% to 260% from the current price. He mentioned a similar viewpoint back in October and still holds it now.

It's not just him; other analysts are also bullish on SHIB:
GehavianGoal: believes SHIB 'will soar soon', targeting $0.0000335
MMBTrader: also believes the target is around $0.000033

Overall, everyone's target price is concentrated above $0.00003.

However, it is important to note that whether these bullish expectations can be realized depends on two key factors:
Whether the entire crypto market continues to warm up
Whether the ecological development and popularity of SHIB can continue to improve

In summary:
👉 SHIB's technical indicators are showing signs of strengthening, and the probability of a rebound is increasing, but whether it can truly skyrocket depends on whether the market can continue to hold strong.
If you're a beginner, think of it as —
Shiba Inu coin is 'gathering strength', just waiting for a good piece of news or a big market surge, and it might see a nice increase.

The recent Dogecoin (DOGE) seems to be squeezed into an increasingly narrow triangle: pressure from above and support from below, with the price oscillating back and forth within. Generally, the appearance of such a 'symmetric triangle' indicates that the market is holding back for a significant move, which will eventually break out in one direction.

The current DOGE trend is clearly tightening. High points are getting lower, low points are getting higher, and the fluctuations are much smaller than before. Furthermore, both trading volume and futures activity are declining, which does not mean that no one is paying attention, but rather that both sides are waiting for a definitive signal.

From a price perspective, DOGE is currently fluctuating slightly around $0.1507, up 0.5% in 24 hours, but overall down about 11% over the month.

The news front is quite lively. Various institutions are promoting ETFs related to Dogecoin:
21Shares launched a 2x leveraged DOGE ETF
Grayscale's spot DOGE ETF has already been launched
Bitwise is waiting for approval in early 2026
Recently, 21Shares updated its application documents, revealing details about the fees for the spot DOGE ETF.
Additionally, after Vanguard opened up crypto ETF purchases, market sentiment briefly warmed up, indicating that funds are slowly returning.

There are also several updates on-chain and in the ecosystem, such as Buenos Aires passing the 'Dog Tax', DogeOS supporting zero-knowledge proofs, and proposals wanting to reduce miner rewards from 10,000 DOGE to 1,000 DOGE. These are all viewed by the market as long-term positives.

Regarding technical indicators:
RSI is in the 40-50 range, indicating a balance between bulls and bears
MACD bearish strength is weakening
The triangle is getting narrower, and a direction choice could happen at any time.

What's the next move? It depends on two lines:
🔼 If it breaks the upper boundary of the triangle with increased volume → there’s a chance to surge to $0.18-$0.20
🔽 If it breaks below the lower boundary → it might first look at $0.135, or even retest $0.12.

In summary:
Dogecoin is currently in a 'quiet period before the explosion'. Once the direction is confirmed, it won’t just be small fluctuations.