阿尔法蛋无敌

Brothers, look here👀

Let's share our experiences. Personally, I entered the crypto world in 2017 and bought the dip around $XRP 0.3 in 2022, ultimately escaping at a precise peak of 3.2 at the beginning of this year, achieving a 9.5 times return.

Over these years, in addition to spot trading, I have also been improving my skills in $ETH contracts. From initially starting with 3,000 USDT in 2021 to reaching a high of 270,000 USDT, and then going through several lows, countless nights of watching charts, to finally achieving great enlightenment.

As someone who has been through it, I understand very well that many people, as ordinary individuals, want to create a myth of getting rich through the crypto world, but often things go awry and they end up getting hurt by the market. If you are currently feeling lost like I was back then, then follow in my footsteps now and I will guide you to safety!

Will the interest rate cut in December lead to a crash?

The current probability of an interest rate cut is 89%. Looking back a month, $BTC dropped from 126,000 to 80,000. Why does such a favorable interest rate cut trigger a crash?

The market has been speculating on the December interest rate cut since November, with BTC briefly rebounding by 13%. However, during the same period, institutional funds continued to flow out of ETFs; if the cut is just 25 basis points and coupled with hawkish comments from Powell, those leveraged bulls who positioned early may collectively face a sell-off!

BTC's rise this year has relied entirely on policy benefits, and now with Huang Mao's approval rating at 38%, the policy narrative cannot support the bubble. If the White House fails to deliver on promised benefits, breaking below 80,000 is merely a matter of time.

Gold and US stocks have recently corrected in sync with BTC, which is a signal of liquidity exhaustion. If the market still lacks money after the interest rate cut, BTC will become an ATM!

However, if the cut exceeds expectations by 50 basis points or if Hahm becomes the new chairman, liquidity will surge, and BTC will soar! Right now, we need to keep an eye on tomorrow's PCE data and the Fed's decision on the 10th.

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#BTC #美联储利率决议

The direction of ETH is about to become clear, what points should we pay attention to?

Currently, ETH's performance at $3000 is quite strong, with every dip being strongly pulled back.

The Fusaka upgrade is the most anticipated in the near future:
Yesterday, $71 million in spot funds net inflow was recorded with the random number $ETH , and open interest also increased by 7.7%, indicating that smart money is starting to position itself. This contrasts with the continuous outflow situation in November.

Personally, I feel that as long as it doesn't break below $3000, the market can rebound. The key resistance is around $3470; if it breaks, we will see $3560.

Moreover, many institutions are already taking action:
The Royal Government of Bhutan has pledged nearly $1 million in ETH, and VanEck's ETHETN is also significantly increasing its positions.
Now, will we see a breakout for the year-end market, or will it break support and continue to dip? The next few days will be crucial.

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#ETH #币安区块链周

Which do you value more, technical analysis or news?

In the crypto world, apart from $BTC , most currencies are speculative, and let's not deceive ourselves by talking about value investing.

Livermore said: the most frightening thing is to confuse speculation with investment. So I only do arbitrage trading, not looking at how much the asset should be worth, but how money flows in the market and how people move.

The news is too lagging! For example, by the time the CPI data is released, the market has already reacted. But technical analysis directly studies emotions and human nature, only tracking the mistakes people repeatedly make.

And let’s not talk about those lagging indicators that are hyped up, like MACD, KDJ, etc., which are mythologized by course sellers; the truth is, they are useless. The core of technical analysis is the market behavior itself; as long as people keep making mistakes, it will always be useful.

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#币安区块链周 #交易心理

Bitcoin's deep V, now is the key!

This wave $BTC is quite impressive! From 84,000 to 93,000, there is big capital taking over.

I believe 80,000 is the bottom, this position is not easy to break.

Now the 4-hour chart has already impacted the pressure zone, and there are two ways to go:
Either a strong double bottom breaks the neck line, seeing 98,000 USD;
Or it makes a converging triangle at the current position, as long as it doesn't break 88,000, the overall structure still looks bullish.
Right now, I don't recommend chasing long positions, wait for 98,000 to short.

This rebound is genuinely bought out, as long as 88,000 doesn't break, it will be stable! For specific point operations, you can click → 扫码进聊天室, I'll tell you quietly.

#BTC #币安区块链周

Exciting! Just now GAIX surged by 120%. Want to know which alpha meme coin will be next?

Binance Alpha has been continuously booming, and GAIX has doubled. Did you catch this wave of market trends?

As an AI creative asset project based on the BSC chain, why is GAIX able to soar against the market trend? What market logic is hidden behind it?

The GAIX token serves as a native governance and utility token with four core functions: governance voting, platform transaction payments, staking rewards, and ecological incentives. The total supply is 1 billion tokens, of which 45% is allocated for community incentives, the team holds 16%, and the token economic model is notably community-friendly.

The primary reason for the surge is the Binance Alpha platform, which has become a cradle for meme coins, with an average historical token listing price increase of 74.6%, and the average maximum increase reaching 190%!
Additionally, the heat of the AI + Web3 track continues to rise.
Finally, GAIX completed its airdrop distribution before its listing, reducing short-term selling pressure.

Where is the potential target for the next Alpha sector?
The surge of GAIX once again proves the wealth creation effect of the Alpha sector!
MYX once created a 123-fold return.
ASTER surged by 282% in five days.
These all indicate that projects that are native to the BSC chain, have low market capitalization, and possess product innovation are the most likely to explode.

Currently, I have my eye on another meme coin in the Alpha sector, also based on the BSC chain, with an extremely low market cap that has yet to be fully explored. A 10-fold profit could happen in the blink of an eye! For those who want to join in, 扫码进聊天室, the next meme coin could be yours~

#币圈暴富 #ALPHA

Bad news is out, is the bull coming back?

Today $BTC strongly pulled back to 9.3, BCH reached a recent high, and WLFI also stabilized after a big rise.
Although $ETH and the market did indeed underperform the stock market recently, the bad news is being exhausted, and good news is piling up...

Is the bear market coming to an end? First, the reasons: The new SEC chairman and the 'new Federal Reserve chairman' are both openly crypto-friendly. Especially this Federal Reserve chairman, who not only hinted at interest rate cuts but also explicitly supports the development of private stablecoins.
The liquidity crisis triggered on October 11, interest rate hikes in Japan, government shutdown... these black swan events have been swallowed by the market in the past. Now, on-chain chips are concentrated, and what remains are high-quality faith players!
Expectations for interest rate cuts are rising, macro liquidity is on the way. Meanwhile, the inflow of funds into ETH ETFs continues to accelerate, and institutions are still accumulating.

This round of adjustment has wiped out too much leverage and speculative positions, but don't FOMO just because it rises! Previously, someone sold ETH and then bought back at a high price, losing 1.5 million dollars.

My advice is still to focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum, with small positions in staking and potential Layer 2 coins.
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#币安区块链周 #ETH走势分析 #比特币波动性

How much longer will ZEC drop? Will the peak moment never return?

Recently, this drop method of $ZEC is really... this wave can't hold, the next step is probably a bloodbath.

ZEC has dropped from the recent high of nearly 700 dollars all the way down, with no rebound at all. It has now broken the 350 dense trading zone, which is dangerous~
At the same time, the upward trend line has been completely broken, and the entire structure has clearly weakened. If the larger environment does not cooperate, an even bigger drop is still ahead.

Where is the next observation point?
The next price is likely to slide to 290 to 310, which is the 61.8% retracement level; if it can't hold this... I dare not think about it.

Some big players have also flipped:
On-chain explosion, a large holder went long with over 20,000 ZEC at around 575 with 10x leverage, now facing a floating loss of over 4.4 million dollars!
To avoid forced liquidation, he added 1.5 million USDT as margin. The liquidation point is approximately at 142.

Why is it said that it is dangerous now?​
The current ZEC has formed a series of lower highs, with bears in control.
The current chart structure is similar to BNB's crash pattern after the parabolic rise in 2021, and it may face a deeper correction of 60%!

In addition, the EU's AMLR is expected to take effect in 2027, which may directly restrict the trading of privacy coins like ZEC.

But there are also big players cheering for it: if it drops to 300, they will add to their positions and are bullish long-term to 10,000 dollars!

So now if you ask me what to do?
I advocate patiently waiting for clear signals, whether it is breaking down to confirm a downtrend, or a strong rebound on high volume... Do you think ZEC is being reborn in this wave of washing, or is the trend already over?

#zec #隐私叙事回归

Still waiting to buy the dip? Have you considered switching positions?

The current market is in a bear state, making it difficult to make money through short-term trading! Prices are fluctuating sideways, emotions are cooling down, and there’s no rush to buy the dip! This wave of decline is not a technical adjustment at all; it’s a pit created by ETF fund withdrawals!

Switching positions is a good idea: If you have air coins, switch them all for mainstream ones. $BTC $ETH as a base, DeFi blue chips like $UNI , have become opportunities as they drop!

Don’t mention 'altcoins have potential' right now; most altcoins are worthless, while assets like UNI with fundamentals have a chance to turn around if held long-term!

Capital only seeks assets with a broad audience; gold rises, then silver rises, who will be next? Who knows!
If you don’t switch now, will you wait until your coins go to zero?

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#加密市场回调 #山寨币热点

Clearly, the interest rate cut in December is being heavily discussed, so why are retail investors still rushing in?

Do not just follow the news randomly; after the interest rate cut in December, there will be a pause window until February next year, during which the overall market trend will mostly be bearish.

How long can the Federal Reserve's sugar last?
Market expectations have surged to over 85%, but in the end, we can only trust the market's real response.
In September and October, rates were cut twice, and with a further cut of 25 basis points in December, it's clear to anyone with eyes: the U.S. economy is struggling a bit.
Recently, the U.S. government was shut down for 43 days. Right now, inflation is not the number one issue; stabilizing employment is the urgent priority. But does this mean interest rate cuts can save the market?

The black swan of Japan's interest rate hike is on the way.
What truly ignites the global market is the Bank of Japan; yesterday, the Bank of Japan's governor strongly hinted at a possible interest rate hike, hoping to raise rates to 0.75%. As soon as this statement came out, the global market reacted strongly:
Japanese government bond yields surged by 34%, the highest since 2008.
U.S. stock futures fell in response, with Bitcoin plummeting 5.5% on the same day.
Global risk assets were collectively sold off...
If Japan really raises interest rates, the market from the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December until January will be very challenging.

Where is the bottom for Bitcoin? I know you're concerned about this:
BTC weekly support is at 74,000, which will be tested repeatedly. The daily chart is essentially in a consolidation phase. If I were the main player, I wouldn’t accumulate in the 80,000 to 90,000 range because retail investors here are not desperate enough.

My short-term plans:
BTC: Watch 80,000, break below look for 75,000
ETH: Attempt a short-term long around 2720

In the current market, if you haven’t opened a short position at a high, it’s best to wait for a break below key support before going short. After all, with an interest rate cut in December, the market could rebound at any time and explode the shorts.

The market is counter-intuitive; big opportunities arise when no one is paying attention, not when there is a lot of noise; when good news comes out and the market has no reaction, that's when we should take action.

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#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

13 departments join forces! Is the strictest regulatory era in the cryptocurrency world coming?

This afternoon, the central bank held a meeting with the Ministry of Public Security, the Supreme Court, the Supreme Procuratorate, and 10 other core departments, specifically targeting virtual currency trading speculation! The scale of this meeting is unprecedented in history, and the signal could not be clearer: the regulatory iron fist is getting serious!

Why is this meeting different?
The participating departments have expanded from traditional financial regulatory agencies to include public security, judiciary, and other powerful departments. This indicates that the crackdown is no longer limited to the financial sector but has escalated to a multi-dimensional level, including criminal investigation.
The meeting clearly stated for the first time that stablecoins are a type of virtual currency and pointed out the associated risks.
The crackdown will focus on the flow of information and funds: this means that even promotional activities will face stricter monitoring and cleaning.

What impact does this have on ordinary retail investors?
Although ordinary holders do not currently constitute a crime, their space for survival will be sharply compressed.
Depositing and withdrawing funds will be more difficult, and obtaining information will become harder, while also needing to strengthen.

To be honest, the determination and strength shown in this meeting make me feel that the era of cryptocurrency in the domestic market is coming to an end. This is not just a short-term negative outlook, but the beginning of long-term high-pressure regulation.

Do not fantasize about compliance: the possibility of opening the door to virtual currency domestically in the short term is zero! In such an environment, risk control is a hundred times more important than pursuing returns.

In summary: the road ahead will be more difficult, requiring more caution and professionalism to face a market environment that is completely different from the past!

#虚拟币 #币圈现状

Brothers, Binance has issued another yellow card warning today!

CHESS, $DENT , DF, $GHST , $SXP have officially been tagged for observation. This is basically the last warning before delisting!

But looking at it from another angle, the current market is lifeless, big funds are afraid to touch the mainstream, and instead might focus on these coins to play.

Do you remember the llama from back in the day? After being announced for delisting by Binance, the price not only didn't crash, but instead surged 50 times under the manipulation of the whales, and the shorts were repeatedly squeezed.
Also, coins like BAKE and HIFI had their moments before being delisted...

Why?
Because coins with exhausted liquidity are easier to control! A small amount of capital can create exaggerated price increases, attracting gamblers to follow suit, and ultimately leading to a harvest.

If you have ideas, which ones to focus on?​
CHESS is a pure BSC ecosystem coin, and projects on the BSC chain have always had a speculative atmosphere, with a wide retail investor base, which can easily lead to coordinated speculation;
CHESS has dropped 99% from its peak, with chips highly concentrated, making it very easy to pump with minimal resistance, suitable for a capital ambush.

But also be clear:
The rise of such coins completely depends on the mood of the whales; it could double in an instant, or it could go to zero directly! Here you can refer to the squid coin's 2300 times rise to zero; never go heavy!

In this kind of market, just make some pocket money, don't think about getting rich off these coins! If you want to take advantage of such opportunities but are unsure of specific strategies, you can call 扫码进聊天室, and we will guide you step by step to take off!

#山寨币热点 #币圈暴富

Who has withstood this big drop?

Brothers, today's market is truly chilling!

The Bank of Japan suddenly turned hawkish, hinting at raising interest rates, reigniting concerns about global capital flowing back to Japan;
Trump said Powell should resign, and the market is worried about the independence of the Federal Reserve, leading to another wave of panic;
The People's Bank of China has once again made a strong statement, resolutely cracking down on virtual currency trading, and stablecoins have also been clearly defined as targets for the crackdown, with regulatory measures becoming increasingly stringent;
The DeFi sector is also not at ease, as the Yearn Finance yETH pool was hacked, resulting in a loss of nearly $3 million in assets, and security vulnerabilities have once again undermined market confidence...

Is it hopeless now?
$BTC Ahr999 The investment indicator has already reached 0.57, not far from the bottom line of 0.45. Now, investing in spot BTC every day has already become very cost-effective. But we must also guard against the possibility of a pullback to 80,000.

In a high-interest-rate environment, market liquidity has not yet recovered; this process may take 1-2 months, until most people exit the market... As for the weekly level bottom, I think we may have to wait until the end of next year to potentially see $45,000-$55,000.

This week, everyone should pay close attention to Powell's speech and the U.S. PCE price index, as they will be short-term indicators!

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#大盘走势 #BTC

Get rich overnight in the crypto world? The truth is heart-wrenching!

Have you seen someone getting rich overnight in crypto and felt a strong urge to join? The truth is: the number of people who actually make money may be less than 10%!​

I have seen too many people excitedly enter the market, only to end up doubting their life due to losses.
Data doesn’t lie: in 2023, statistics show that only 12% of people are in profit, over 60% are suffering serious losses; even the early investors, the so-called 'old leeks', have a profit rate of less than 5%.

Why is it so hard to make money?
The essence of the market is a zero-sum game: what you earn is what others lose. Institutions and whales take advantage of information and financial leverage to reap profits, while retail investors become the ones left holding the bag.
Human weaknesses are magnified: chasing highs, panic selling, stubbornly holding onto losses, blindly following trends... leading many to be wiped out.
Survivorship bias is severe: the real profits showcased on social media are always by a minority, while those losing money leave silently, making you think there’s gold everywhere.

The crypto world is a battlefield of cognition; you must learn to take profits and cut losses, be neither greedy nor lucky! If you are feeling lost and anxious at this stage, feel free to reach out at 扫码进聊天室. I can help you avoid pitfalls and find a strategy that suits you. Only by surviving the bear market will you qualify to laugh in the bull market!​

#加密市场反弹 #特朗普加密新政

The cycle of leverage, no one can escape!

Do you remember the grayscale of 2021? It was hailed as a myth of earning premium with no risk, and GBTC was the market's barometer, consuming 346,000 coins $BTC in a crazy year, accounting for 76% of the annual output. Now that the halo has faded, it has to explain to the market how it can still make money.

Currently, the story of MicroStrategy is similar. It is now known as the Bitcoin treasury, constantly increasing its BTC holdings through bond issuance and stock issuance, with stock prices deeply tied to BTC, becoming a banner in the bull market.

Its mNAV premium has fallen about 54.9% from its peak, and executives are also reducing their stock holdings, leading the market to question its financing capability and the sustainability of its business model. Doesn't this resemble the eve of the premium turning point for Grayscale back in the day?

Essentially, this is all a cycle of leverage. Grayscale relied on a trust structure that only allows inflow to boost its premium, while MicroStrategy relies on borrowing money to hoard coins and amplify returns.

In a bull market, leverage is wings, but once the market turns, the knife of deleveraging is faster than anyone else; excess returns come from leverage, and excess losses are also realized by leverage.
So don't deify any institution; if MicroStrategy encounters a bear market, deleveraging will only be more painful, and cycles do not recognize individuals!

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#杠杆操作 #加密市场反弹

With the expectation of interest rate cuts, is BTC rebounding or reversing?

$BTC rebounded to around $91,000 during Thanksgiving, but the trading volume was pitifully low, as Americans were busy celebrating, leading to poor market liquidity. Therefore, I personally believe that before the Federal Reserve truly begins rapid interest rate cuts, all rises are just dead cat bounces and are hard to sustain.

Although the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has soared to 85%, Goldman Sachs predicts there may only be two rate cuts next year.

The key lies in next week's Federal Reserve meeting: if Powell speaks hawkishly or if the dot plot shows fewer rate cuts in 2026, the market will immediately change its tune.

There is a bit of hope on-chain: large addresses are accumulating, and ETF funds are also flowing back. But don't forget, many of the rebounds are just short covering, not real buying.

Therefore, I suggest: in the short term, watch old Powell's expressions, and in the medium to long term, focus on the dot plot and the 2-year Treasury yield. Precisely grasp the market conditions, share strategies in real-time, publish internal points, and for those who want to witness strength, 扫码进聊天室!

#加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐

Wow~ The Alpha sector's NB coin surged 145% today! Have you kept up with this wave of meme coins?

$NB What exactly is this?
It is a physical perception oracle layer, based on the NFT ecosystem, serving AI, prediction markets, and RWA ecological tokens.
Its circulation is 70 trillion coins, with a circulation rate of 70%, and a maximum supply of 100 trillion coins, making it a typical highly volatile small-cap coin!

What is the logic behind today's 145% surge?
First, its 24-hour spot trading volume is 12.9 billion USD, which is supported by real demand;
Moreover, it has liquidity support from Binance, and the combined narrative of NFT-DeFi attracts institutional funds to enter;
Today, the community airdrop of 1.875% is unlocked, market selling pressure weakens, and with the Alpha sector's heat rebounding, the main force takes the opportunity to lift.

Additionally, at 20:00 tonight, 3.675% of chips will be released, a correction may occur!

Brothers, isn't this wave of Alpha sector's NFT+DeFi a clear sign?
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#ALPHA #币安HODLer空投AT

Making money in the cryptocurrency world, why is it so difficult?​

I believe everyone has this feeling: clearly the bull market has arrived, and $BTC has surged to 120,000, but the coins in hand have not risen and have even lost value. In fact, 90% of retail investors haven't made any money this year. Why?

First, giants like BlackRock have entered the market heavily through Bitcoin ETFs, with pension funds and sovereign funds joining in. While these big capital push up mainstream coins, they suck the blood out of altcoins. Many small investors chase highs and sell lows, becoming the bag holders.

Second, the play in the cryptocurrency world has changed. Before, holding onto altcoins could lead to a big surge, but now once capital enters, it can't be caught. Moreover, the rotation of hot topics is too fast: last week it was AI coins, this week it's Trump-themed coins, just as you get on board, they have already withdrawn the ladder.

Finally, the information gap is growing larger. Insiders and KOLs profit through early positioning and pump-and-dump strategies, while retail investors rush in at high prices after the news spreads. Not to mention those scam projects, which crash immediately upon launch, specifically targeting greedy individuals.

So now: instead of complaining about the market, it's better to change strategies. Please abandon the fantasy of getting rich overnight, learn to dollar-cost average and set stop losses, and make money that you understand;
Also, new coins can be played, but you must research the project background.

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#币圈现状 #山寨

Is it too late to get into the circle now? I'm banging the table and calling you to get on board!

In 2025, the crypto world is standing at a new windfall - Ethereum's locked assets have exceeded 40 billion, and the daily active users of the AI + blockchain project TAO have skyrocketed. Now is the perfect time to enter!

Don't let the anxiety of being late bind you! Surveys show that 85% of Americans have bought $BTC , and even holders over 55 years old have 9 million.
The market is not a casino; DeFi lending, NFT art, decentralized social networking - which of these isn't a new opportunity?

But don't be a rookie! Beginners should first use legitimate exchanges, trade spot with USDT, and avoid contracts and high leverage. Holding coins is more stable than short-term trading, and building positions in batches is safer than going all in. I once missed a hundredfold coin because of hesitation, and now I'm telling you, it's really not too late to enter now!

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#币圈 #加密市场反弹

Altcoins are quietly rising! Where is the real opportunity?

I don't know if you all have noticed, but recently altcoins have quietly rebounded! Like $ONDO , $AAVE , $CRV , they have been consistently gaining every day, stabilizing at a rise of within 10%, steady! So slow growth is really healthy, while explosive growth is just a trap!​

Why? Because now everyone is afraid of altcoins! There is no confidence, and everyone thinks they will eventually go to zero... so the market makers have no pressure to pump. As long as BTC can stabilize above 90,000, there is room for altcoins to rebound.

But that doesn't mean you should blindly rush into altcoins; currently, you can only play by entering and exiting quickly. When to run? When the gainers list shows a bunch of coins with a daily increase of over 30%, that's a precursor to the market makers dumping.

In this market, even dogs don’t look at altcoins, but I actually see it as an opportunity. If you also agree with my viewpoint, below is 扫码进聊天室, a premium quality altcoin tip for you, to let you experience the joy of doubling your investment!

#山寨币热点 #加密市场反弹