加密貝兒ღ 0xGummyBear

【Bail Market Notes】

🍇This week is a big data week, with a series of announcements including non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, CPI, and PCE data; the Bank of Japan will also announce its interest rate decision this week. The subsequent interest rate cut expectations in the United States and the Bank of Japan's decisions will bring significant volatility to risk assets.
🍇The price of $BTC remains in the $92,000 range, but both bulls and bears are gradually increasing their bets on the future trend.
🍇The upper resistance for $BTC is still at $97,000 and $102,000, while the lower support range is between $80,000 and $85,000.
🍇The Fear and Greed Index has rebounded but is still in the fear zone. Funds for the BTC ETF are also seeing slight inflows.
🍇The volatility of options continues to decline, with ∆25 Skew data recovering from bearish sentiment.

🍇Crypto Circle Notes:
-StandX_Official has launched its official website, where trading, holding $DUSD, and providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
-MetaMask's new wallet points activity has started, with the first season lasting 90 days (until 2026/01/23), and a total of $30 million in $LINEA tokens can be shared.
-The Katana ID campaign has been extended to 12/31, and those participating in the Katana activities can evaluate whether to apply for an ID badge.
- Binance:
🟣Binance Wallet BNB DEFI Carnival event: Deposit $BTCB and $USDT to enjoy extra rewards, event runs until 2026/01/30.
🟣Binance Wallet USDD special event: Deposit $USDT to enjoy extra rewards, event runs until 2026/01/10.
🟣@TreehouseFi Booster Phase 5 event has begun, using wstETH for subscription can earn $TREE rewards, event runs until 2026/02/04 07:59.

Yesterday I received the $PIEVERSE Booster reward, and today I'm heading straight to the restaurant for a good meal. Indeed, good food is the correct way to kick off the weekend 🤤

In the past couple of days, many have been discussing whether Binance Alpha is going to shut down!? Of course, there are also many KOLs coming out to debunk the rumors, saying it's impossible. Personally, I also hope it doesn't stop, after all, Alpha has helped many newcomers make their first pot of gold... I wonder what everyone thinks?

Students who participated in the $PIEVERSE Booster mission
The second batch of rewards ▶️▶️ will be distributed tonight at 19:00~~~
Currently, the overall calculation shows a profit between 30~50U
Please adjust and top up your wallet recently😇

【Beier Market Notes】

🍇Next week marks the beginning of a significant data week, with consecutive releases of non-farm payrolls, unemployment rates, CPI, PCE, and other data; additionally, the rate meeting in Japan on the 19th is highly likely to result in an interest rate hike. However, after more than ten days of digestion, the market has already priced in this information in advance.
🍇The price of $BTC remains within the $92,000 range, but both bulls and bears are gradually increasing their bets on the subsequent trend.
🍇The upper pressure for $BTC remains at $97,000 and $102,000, while the lower support area is between $80,000 and $85,000.
🍇BTC ETF funding has stopped its net inflow for two consecutive days, turning to outflows, but the amount is not large, estimated to be for hedging purposes.
🍇The options volatility continues to trend downwards, with the ∆25 Skew data continuously recovering from bearish sentiment.

🍇Crypto Circle Sticky Notes:
-StandX_Official has launched its official website, where trading, holding $DUSD, and providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
-MetaMask has started a new wallet points activity, with the first quarter event lasting 90 days (～2026/01/23), with a total of 30 million U of $LINEA tokens available to be shared.
- Binance:
🟣Binance Wallet BNB DEFI Carnival Event: Deposit $BTCB, $USDT to enjoy additional rewards, event runs until 2026/01/30.
🟣@TreehouseFi Booster Phase 5 event has started, using wstETH for subscriptions can earn $TREE rewards, event duration until 2026/02/04 07:59.

【Binance Alpha Airdrop Roll Call】

Today's featured project RaveDAO ($RAVE) is a DAO product focused on music and SocialFi. However, market sentiment is currently low, and expected returns are average.

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【Project Introduction】

🍇about RaveDAO🍇
RaveDAO is a group composed of music lovers, early cryptocurrency adopters, and technology professionals, now all die-hard rave enthusiasts. RaveDAO redefines entertainment through flagship events, community-created chapters, and an integrated sandbox environment, making it a source of connection, creativity, and influence.

【Bell Market Notes】

🍇The interest rate meeting has finally concluded, with a cut of one basis point in line with market expectations. The projected GDP, PEC, and unemployment rate for 2026 also align with a soft landing trajectory. Next, we will focus on the economic data starting in mid-month and the direction of the Bank of Japan.
🍇The price of $BTC first broke upwards to liquidate shorts after the announcement, then turned downwards to liquidate longs, with those chasing the news also being cleared out.
🍇The upper pressure for $BTC remains at $97,000 and $102,000, while the support zone below is between $80,000 and $85,000.
🍇Market sentiment has improved somewhat, and the inflow of ETF funds continues to see slight increases.
🍇Option volatility has begun to decrease following the meeting, with the ∆25 Skew data still slightly bearish, but without an expanding trend.

🍇Crypto Circle News:
- StandX_Official has launched its official website, where trading, holding $DUSD, and providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
- A new wallet points activity from MetaMask has started, with the first quarter activity lasting 90 days (～2026/01/23), for a total of 30 million U of $LINEA tokens to be shared.
- Binance:
🟣 Binance Wallet BNB DEFI Carnival: Deposit $BTCB and $USDT to enjoy additional rewards, activity runs until 2026/01/30.
🟣 The fifth phase of TreehouseFi Booster has begun, using wstETH for subscription can earn $TREE rewards, activity time is until 2026/02/04 07:59.

The interest rate meeting early this morning and Chairman Powell's speech from the Federal Reserve, as always, presented dovish data paired with hawkish statements, stabilizing market sentiment.

GDP ▶️ The current expectations have improved compared to September, with GDP showing steady growth.
Unemployment Rate ▶️ There is not much deviation from the September expectations; the overall unemployment rate is slowly declining, but the actual impact of AI on the labor force/redundancies is still under close observation.
PCE ▶️ The inflation target remains at 2%, but overall policy will still focus on balancing economic development, the labor market, and inflation data.
Federal Funds Rate ▶️ Although the official report maintains the expectation of a 25 basis point cut in 2026, the dot plot is leaning towards accelerating rate cuts compared to September, and expectations on FedWatch indicate rate cuts in April and September of next year.

Additionally, there is an extra point regarding RMP (Reserve Management Purchases), which plans to purchase $40 billion of U.S. Treasuries each month to maintain overall liquidity. Compared to active QE, this is considered a more neutral policy, not rapidly stimulating market sentiment while also easing market liquidity.

In summary, although there is not much immediate impact on cryptocurrency prices in the short term, in the medium to long term, steady financial development combined with a low interest rate monetary policy remains a potential positive for risk assets, making it a nice piece of positive news as the year comes to a close.

【Binance Alpha Airdrop Roll Call】

Alpha has two new projects today! Exciting~ The first, Talus Network ($US), raised a total of 9M led by Polychain and Animoca, focusing on a next-generation L1 blockchain based on the MOVE language + AI.

Cysic ($CYS) was also led by Polychain and HashKey, raising a total of 18M, aimed at transforming GPU, ASIC, and other computing power into liquid and revenue-generating assets to meet the increasing demand for AI computing power.

Both projects have been pre-heated on Kaito and are backed by top VC Polychain. Similar projects launching in October and November include APRO Oracle($AT ) and Aria Protocol ($ARIAIP ), which performed reasonably well at the start, although the overall Alpha is still influenced by the broader market, and returns may not be as high. However, these two projects are still highly recommended for everyone to participate in.

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【Project Introduction】

🍇about Talus Network🍇
Talus Network is a blockchain platform focused on decentralized artificial intelligence. It leverages the powerful capabilities of Move, emphasizing security, speed, and a better developer experience. By building a diverse ecosystem of intelligent agents, Talus Network is dedicated to creating a future where technology empowers users in a fair and accessible way. For example, in the DeFi space, monetizable intelligent agent programs can optimize liquidity provision strategies across various protocols and chains; in the gaming sector, autonomous agents deployed by players or guilds collect resources on their behalf.

🍇about Cysic🍇
Cysic is an end-to-end computing network designed to transform GPU, ASIC, and computing resources into highly liquid and profitable assets. Its products include the ZK proof layer Cysic network, Cysic hardware (GPU, ZK Air, and ZK Pro), and Cysic AI.

【Beir Market Notes】

🍇The most important interest rate meeting results this week will be announced tomorrow (12/11) at 03:00, along with the dot plot and remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
🍇A rate cut of 0.25 is currently expected by the market; if the 2026 dot plot shows accelerated rate cuts or if Jerome Powell makes dovish comments, it will give the market greater confidence.
🍇$BTC The price is currently still maintaining in the $92,000 range; the upper pressure levels are $97,000 and $102,000, while the lower support levels are between $80,000 and $85,000.
🍇ETF fund inflows have slightly increased, and the options open interest (OI) has also risen, with the ∆25 Skew data still slightly bearish.
🍇The main options betting points for this Friday are $90,000, $98,000, and the end of the month at $85,000 and $100,000.

🍇Crypto Circle Sticky Notes:
-StandX_Official has launched its official website; trading, holding $DUSD, and providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
-MetaMask's new wallet points activity has started; the first season lasts for 90 days (until 2026/01/23), with a total of $30 million LINEA tokens available to share.
- Binance:
🟣Binance wallet has launched the BNB DEFI Carnival event; depositing $BTCB and $USDT will enjoy additional rewards, with the event running until 2026/01/30.
🟣The fifth phase of TreehouseFi Booster has started; subscribing with wstETH can earn $TREE rewards, with the event running from 12/06 to 2026/02/04 07:59.

【Bail Market Notes】

🍇 Market expectations for interest rate cuts have risen again to 90%. Pay attention to changes in the 2026 dot plot.
🍇 The 20-year Japanese government bond yield has risen to a historical high, raising some concerns for risk assets.
🍇 The price of $BTC remains in the $92,000 range; resistance above at $97,000 and $102,000, with support levels below at $80,000 to $85,000.
🍇 ETF fund inflows are stable/slowing down, with green leaf long leverage remaining flat.
🍇 Option IV continues to decline slowly, with ∆25 Skew data still slightly bearish.
🍇 Crypto Sticky Notes:
- StandX_Official has officially launched its website, where trading and holding $DUSD as well as providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
- A new wallet points activity has started on MetaMask, with the first season lasting 90 days (until 2026/01/23), with a total of $30 million in $LINEA tokens to be shared.
- Binance:
🟣 The Binance wallet has launched the BNB DEFI Carnival event, where deposits of $BTCB and $USDT enjoy additional rewards, active until 2026/01/30.
🟣 The fifth phase of the @TreehouseFi Booster event has begun, where subscribing with wstETH can earn $TREE rewards, active from 12/06 to 2026/02/04 07:59.

【Binance Alpha Airdrop Roll Call】

After several days of anticipation, the preheated Alpha is finally back! Both are relatively larger projects recently, and many partners probably hold tokens, so there’s no need to say much—let's go for it!

Midnight ($NIGHT) is being launched simultaneously on multiple exchanges and is an L1 built on ZK technology, emphasizing that both performance and regulatory requirements can be met. Marketing director Jason Schober comes from the Circle ecosystem, suggesting he has connections in North America, so we can look forward to the potential listings in North America and South Korea.

Humidifi ($WET) is a next-generation liquidity protocol on Solana, conducting a public fundraising on Jupiter, with a fundraising price of 0.069 U (FDV of 69m).

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【Project Introduction】
🍇about Midnight🍇
Midnight Network is a data-protecting blockchain where developers and enterprises can build decentralized applications that protect sensitive data without sacrificing performance or satisfying regulatory requirements. Developers can use a new user-friendly programming model based on TypeScript and zero-knowledge proofs (ZK) to develop on Midnight.

🍇about Humidifi 🍇
HumidiFi is an AMM DEX based on Solana. The vision of HumidiFi is to make Solana the most efficient, fastest, and most transparent market in the world—a true online capital market. The protocol redefines decentralized trading by combining on-chain execution with institutional-grade market-making logic, creating a system that maintains active liquidity, is highly adaptive, and is performance-optimized.

【Bella Market Notes】

🍇This week's two main points are whether Japan will raise interest rates and the rate meeting on Thursday, with the current probability of a rate cut at 88.4%.
🍇$BTC The price is currently still maintained in the $92,000 range; resistance above is at $97,000 and $102,000, while support below is in the $80,000 to $85,000 range.
🍇ETF funds are slightly flowing in, and the green leaf long leverage remains stable.
🍇The options IV has slightly increased, and the ∆25 Skew data still shows a slight bearish trend.

🍇Crypto circle sticky notes:
- StandX_Official has officially launched its website, and trading, holding $DUSD, and providing liquidity can earn points, with the TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
- A new wallet points event has started for MetaMask, with the first quarter event lasting 90 days (until 2026/01/23), and a total of $30 million in $LINEA tokens can be shared.
- Binance:
🟣 The Binance wallet has launched the BNB DEFI Carnival event, depositing $BTCB and $USDT to enjoy additional rewards, with the event period from 11/27 to 2026/01/30.
🟣 The @TreehouseFi Booster Phase 5 event has begun, and using wstETH for subscription will earn $TREE rewards, with the event time from 12/06 to 2026/2/04 07:59.

Recently, $BTC this market... a standard of rising and falling

Only those who can rely on contracts to keep making money are experts 😬

【Binance Alpha Airdrop Roll Call】

Don't say that there are still no announced projects today; even yesterday there were no surprise old coins,

Working for Alpha is getting harder and harder...💔

Students who are still grinding for points, please pay attention:

⚠️The 4x bonus for $TIMI is also coming to an end!⚠️

Be sure to pay attention to price fluctuations; don't let your capital get lost again.

Important PCE Year-on-Year Growth Rate Before Rate Cut:
Expected ▶️2.9% / Actual Announcement ▶️2.8%,
This is considered a green light for a rate cut in December.

Next, the focus will be on:
🟣 Whether the Bank of Japan really raises interest rates next week
🟣 Whether the FOMC meeting will cut rates as scheduled and if there are any changes in the 2026 dot plot
➡️ If the yen can stabilize, the pace of rate cuts will accelerate, which will be positive for risk assets✨️

Although last night the price of $BTC fell below $90,000 again, I slightly returned the contract of $BTC that was originally hanging at @StandX_Official.
Hope this time it goes well 🚗

【Bell Market Notes】

🍇The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and PCE data will be released tonight at 11 PM, watch for price fluctuations.
🍇Multiple media outlets report that Japan will officially raise interest rates next week, which is a major negative for risk assets.
🍇The price of $BTC is currently holding in the $92,000 range; resistance levels are $97,000 and $102,000, while support levels are between $80,000 and $85,000.
🍇Green Leaf's long leverage remains stable, with no significant profit-taking observed.
🍇Option IV remains stable, and ∆25 data has shown a slight recovery but still appears mildly bearish.

🍇Crypto Circle Sticky Notes:

-StandX_Official has officially launched its website, where trading, holding $DUSD, and providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
-MetaMask's new wallet points program has begun, with the first quarter activity lasting 90 days (until 2026/01/23), with a total of 30 million U of $LINEA tokens available for distribution.

- Binance:
🟣Binance Wallet has launched the BNB DEFI Carnival event, where depositing $BTCB and $USDT will earn additional rewards, running from 11/27 to 2026/01/30.
🟣The third phase of the TreehouseFi Booster event has started, and participating using wstETH will earn $TREE rewards, running from 10/22 to 12/06 07:59.

【Binance Alpha Airdrop Roll Call】

Today we finally have a project that was announced in advance for warming up! Power Protocol ($POWER) does not disclose the amount of funding, but the official website promotes its partners and investors including Ronin and Animoca Brands, focusing on games, IP applications, studio incubation, etc. Although the estimated returns are average, given the current Alpha pace, it is still recommended that everyone take what they can.

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【Project Introduction】

🍇about Power Protocol🍇

Power Protocol is an infrastructure layer for building a unified ecosystem for blockchain entertainment. It supports everything from popular games like 'Fable' to emerging studios, global IPs, and AI-native products.

【Bail Market Notes】

🍇Market sentiment begins to lean towards interest rate cuts and easing expectations, but at the same time, Japanese government bond yields continue to rise, bringing some concerns.
🍇$BTC price is currently stable in the $92,000 range, with signs of continuing upward movement; the upper pressure levels are $97,000 and $102,000, while the lower support range is $80,000 to $85,000.
🍇Although green leaf longs have not seen a significant increase, they have also not taken profits and still maintain their positions.
🍇Options expiring at the end of December have a large number of CALLs in the $100,000 to $118,000 range.

🍇Crypto Circle Sticky Notes:

-JupiterExchange's first public sale of @humidifi ($WET) will start tonight at 23:00.
-StandX_Official has officially launched its website, and trading, holding $DUSD, and providing liquidity can earn points, with TGE expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2026.
-MetaMask's new wallet points activity has begun, with the first quarter event lasting 90 days (until 2026/01/23), with a total of $30 million in $LINEA tokens to be shared.

- Binance:
🟣Binance Wallet has launched the BNB DEFI Carnival event, where deposits of $BTCB and $USDT enjoy additional rewards, with the event period from 11/27 to 2026/01/30.
🟣TreehouseFi Booster Phase 3 event has started, and using wstETH for subscriptions will earn $TREE rewards, with the event time from 10/22 to 12/06 07:59.