See this and you'll understand why you always lose on contracts?
Currently, the actual stable winning rate of virtual currency perpetual contracts is extremely low, with 90%-98% of traders losing money within a year, and only 2%-10% achieving short-term or periodic profits. This phenomenon of 'most people losing' is not an isolated case, but rather a result of the interplay between market mechanisms, trader behavior, and external environments. The following analysis will be conducted from multiple angles, including core data, reasons for losses, and survivor bias, to help you understand the underlying logic:
1. Core Data: The Brutal Truth About Winning Rates
According to the latest market research and platform data from 2025, the winning rates of virtual currency perpetual contracts show extreme polarization:
Bear Markets are Cash Cash Machines: 6 Strategies to Help You Earn 10x Against the Trend
On November 1, 2025, I published an article on my WeChat public account, 3 O'Clock Blockchain, titled "When Will the Once-in-Four-Year Bitcoin Bull Market End?", and concluded with a bold statement: "This is the end of the crypto market's euphoria, and altcoins only have a few days left."
This is no joke; the underlying logic of making money in a bear market is kicking in. Too many people treat bear markets as a "disaster," forgetting the ironclad rule of the crypto world: bull markets are wealth bubbles, while bear markets are value filters and, more importantly, a "cash cow" for contrarian investors. Drawing on my 12 years of practical experience in crypto investing, and the core logic behind my precise market top timing, I've broken down bear market strategies for different risk levels into this guide—whether you're a newcomer or a seasoned investor with millions, you can find your own survival strategy. After all, in the crypto market, making money during a bear market is the true skill for navigating cycles. Welcome to listen to our podcast 🔽
Many altcoins are controlled by people behind the scenes; they are both the house and the players. We ordinary players are like open cards playing with them, and with today's advanced technology, they are likely using AI to target precisely. I have a strong feeling about this; it's best to avoid altcoins.
熊市攒币
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How Fund Managers Manipulate Spot Contract Prices to Ultimately Harvest Retail Investors; After reading, you'll understand how MYX's malicious fund has been harvesting retail investors recently.
The article reposts a piece from Wu that claims last year's article is not original. The content revealed in the article is identical to that of MYX's malicious fund that harvested 67,000 U a couple of days ago. The article gives examples of harvesting every 8 hours, but in reality, MYX harvests funding fees every hour. The article concludes by stating that being a fund manager is not charity; the coins bought are neither gold nor BTC. Ultimately, profits must come from selling, but the final sell-off is not something retail investors can detect. It may suddenly drop by -80% in the middle of the night while you’re sleeping, leaving those who want to follow the trend with no time to react. Currently, the malicious fund harvests funding fees every hour, comfortably waiting for shorts to hand over money. When everyone follows the trend and eats the funding fees with the fund manager, they suddenly sell off, harvesting the longs. The best operation for retail investors is to avoid these manipulated coins by malicious funds. Both longs and shorts will ultimately be harvested. Treasure your capital and stay away from malicious funds!#MYX
At the end of each bull market, some old coins collectively explode. Go check the data yourself; it's not worth this price. If you don't believe it, go buy more 😂
五郎
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#ZECUSDT The major decline trend has formed a bottom. If not short now, when will it be?
$ZEC This coin doesn't have a dog farm controlling the market; I really don't believe it. I've been cut three times back and forth. Big fluctuations, I admit you're tough.