Midnight provided short-selling ideas, Bitcoin reached 2400 points, peaking at 93200, and then dropped to around 90800, beautiful. Shi Pan K household dropped 4000 oil $BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #RWA总规模持续增长
11.5 Early Review, the upward movement did not continue, high short operations
After the bullish bottom divergence increased and moved upward, it cannot be confirmed that the increase has ended, the medium-term target looks towards around 97900. The current daily line shows signs of a bearish pullback at the neckline, do not blindly go long today, wait for a clear pattern before acting.
The 4-hour chart is still below the 200 moving average, and the short-term is slightly weak; only above the 200 moving average will it be considered a trend reversal. Last night, the KDJ increase led to a decline, and the drop did not meet expectations; a further decline may continue.
Big Cake suggestion: Short around 92600-93800, target around 91200, 90200
Second Cake suggestion: Short around 3170-3200, target around 3120, 3080
Don't panic about the position! Four tips to help you get out, even beginners can understand
1. Decisively cut losses: If you bought at a high point and the market suddenly collapses, don't hesitate! Quickly “sacrifice the car to save the commander” and cut your losses. As long as there are still bullets, there will be opportunities to recover later.
2. Reverse hedging: Too deep in the position to cut? Then open a position in the opposite direction. Wait for the market to drop lower (or rise higher), and when the right news or timing comes, close the profitable position and slowly wait to get out (suitable for volatile markets, not for trending markets).
3. Intraday T+0: Play it this way during fluctuations! Keep an eye on your assets, sell when it's high and buy when it's low, using short-term profits to average down your costs. But this strategy requires time to monitor the market and some basic skills, so beginners should not blindly try.
4. Add to positions at low levels: In a one-way market nearing its end, you can use this strategy when prices are fluctuating or consolidating. How much to add depends on your own strength. The key is: you must confirm that the bottom is stable before adding. Don't rush to make up for losses, or you'll end up getting stuck deeper, turning it into an “adding oil strategy”!
Day trading second contract copy homework idea fall to 11782 oil, midnight second contract, strong resistance above the big contract, it is recommended to reverse direction, arrange short positions at highs
For the big contract, it is recommended to short near 92500-93000, with a target around 91800-90600
For the second contract, it is recommended to short near 3180-3220, with a target around 3130-3100
Negative news attacks the market, and the U.S. stock market is expected to show a 'rise followed by a fall' trend at the opening - short-term long-short battles may push the index to test resistance levels, and subsequent negative sentiment is likely to trigger profit-taking exits, overall presenting a pattern of rising first and then falling.
DOGE sudden signal! Is 0.166 a trap or a profit? This trend is quite exciting——MACD golden cross, looking like it's about to take off? Next, I will break it down for everyone
News: Institutions haven't moved, retail investors are holding strong
DOGE spot ETF's net inflow in a single day is only $177,000, this amount of funds is far behind mainstream coins! This indicates that large funds are still observing, and the current rise is driven by retail and short-term funds, the market comes quickly and goes quickly, chasing highs easily leads to standing at the peak.
Technical analysis: Bulls have signals, but the volume is weak
Good signals: MA moving averages are spreading upwards, MACD golden cross standing above the 0 axis, short-term trend shifting from bearish to bullish;
Resistance levels: 0.166, 0.187! If the volume doesn’t keep up, 0.166 will likely encounter resistance and pull back, currently 0.187 is just a “pie in the sky”, breaking through is difficult;
Support levels: 0.12, 0.1! Rising without volume is not real, once it drops below 0.12, the sentiment will collapse, and it will quickly drop to 0.1 to find support.
Personal opinion: The news determines direction, unemployment insurance data is key
Tonight's focus is on unemployment insurance data:
If favorable, DOGE may surge to 0.15, and after stabilizing, first look at the 0.158 resistance; breaking through these two points is necessary to hope to touch 0.166; If unfavorable, there will be fluctuations and declines, first look at 0.14, 0.136 support, near 0.136 can try to go long with a small position.
Retail investor operation guide
Already holding: Reduce positions in batches in the 0.158-0.16 range! Settle down for safety, don’t wait until it drops to regret; Empty position: Don’t chase the highs! Wait for a pullback to support before building positions in batches, the crypto world lacks opportunities, but lacks patience.
Fluctuations are small, large pancake 3755 oil, second pancake 4782 oil, first to fall down, not afraid of the long road, just afraid of a lazy heart, hard work will eventually pay off.
The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. hit a seven-month low in July as the Fed's December rate cut speculation heats up
On November 26, 2025, the U.S. Department of Labor released key data ahead of schedule: for the week ending November 22, initial jobless claims unexpectedly fell to 216,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure, not only lower than the market expectation of 225,000 but also setting a new seven-month low since mid-April of this year. This better-than-expected performance overturned the forecast of a cooling job market, adding uncertainty to the policy direction of the Federal Reserve's December meeting.
As a "high-frequency barometer" of the labor market, initial jobless claims directly reflect corporate layoff dynamics and employment resilience. Data shows that this indicator has remained stable below 230,000 for several weeks, even though companies like Verizon and Amazon have had some local layoffs, the overall job market has not shown significant job cuts. Continued jobless claims rose slightly to 1,960,000, but the increase was limited, indicating that the reemployment channels for the unemployed are smooth, and the fundamentals of labor demand are solid, highlighting that the trend of "employers being cautious in layoffs and hiring" underscores the strong employment support for the U.S. economy.
After the data was released, global financial markets quickly adjusted expectations. The short-term U.S. dollar index rose by 0.2%, and gold prices fell by 0.3%, aligning with the traditional logic of "strong employment → delayed rate cuts." However, market sentiment quickly diverged, coupled with conflicting signals from the Fed's Beige Book showing stable economic activity but declining consumer spending. The CME's "FedWatch" tool indicated that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December not only did not decrease but instead rose, reaching as high as 85% at one point.
The core of this game is the Fed's trade-off between "employment resilience" and "economic risks." Strong employment has alleviated the urgency of a "rescue-the-economy-style rate cut," and with core inflation not reaching the 2% target, policymakers have more room for observation; however, the consumer confidence index saw its largest decline in July, and the private sector unexpectedly cut 32,000 jobs in November, exposing the still fragile foundation of the economic recovery.
Bitcoin and Ethereum once again closed in the green, stabilizing at the mid-track; KDJ and MACD golden crosses upwards, the trend is biased towards bullish. With the increasing probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December, buy on dips during the day, with a focus on Friday's Non-Farm Payroll data!
For Bitcoin, it is recommended to buy near 91000-91500, target: 92500-94000-96000
For Ethereum, it is recommended to buy near 3130-3160, target: 3200-3250; if it breaks, look towards 3400
Daily line pullback concludes, short-term low confirmed, bullish rebound pattern is healthy. Bitcoin stands firm at the daily middle track with two consecutive bullish candles, the doji candle is only a temporary correction;
Ethereum returns to the middle track with consecutive bullish candles, short-term bias is strong after a breakout, but it hasn't entered a very strong one-sided trend. After the sharp drop, a V-shaped reversal has formed, breaking through the previous resistance at 95000 during the day, and the bulls will officially continue their strength.
Bitcoin Strategy: Buy around 92300-92800, target 94500-95000 Ethereum Strategy: Buy around 3130-3150, target 3250-3300