Bit玖零
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Bit玖零
公众号 ：btc玖零 👑推特jiu8880 7年牛熊实战-擅长裸k，趋势，道氏，江恩，谐波，缠论，波浪理论等分析，在浮躁的交易市场带来稳定力量，专注合约主攻BTC/ETH 波段-中长线
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Has the daily line topped out?
The script in the structure is still a second-stage rebound breaking to new highs, and a third-stage pullback for repair. For now, the short position has only been reduced...$ZEC #ZEC续刷历史新高
Has the daily line topped out?
The script in the structure is still a second-stage rebound breaking to new highs, and a third-stage pullback for repair. For now, the short position has only been reduced...$ZEC #ZEC续刷历史新高
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🎙️ Weekend zec is holding down the head, Bitcoin-Ethereum are still building momentum!
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01 h 40 m 11 s
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Black Friday saw Bitcoin and Ethereum dump, while ZEC broke out and surged on the weekend daily chart!
The market’s short-term direction can be said to be completely clear. After Sandisk and Micron strengthened, can there still be a reversal next week?
On the daily chart, Bitcoin broke above its previous high, then pulled back hard and fell below 79000. On the weekly chart, supported by softer yields, a weaker dollar, and reduced hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve, Sandisk and U.S. stocks staged a sharp rebound. But stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Friday reignited expectations of a rate hike in September, so the Fed’s tone will definitely be key next!
With nonfarm payrolls out on Friday, Bitcoin went through a wide-range whipsaw move of surging, probing a low, and rebounding. The weekly candle closed as a doji, showing intensified tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The jobs data only disturbed the short-term rhythm and did not produce a clear one-way trend. Next week, the key will be whether the market can consolidate in a range, accumulate momentum, and then turn. The CPI inflation data remains the main focus!
The weekly chart closed with a doji star, a typical signal of balanced bulls and bears. Ethereum failed to break below the 2430 structural support, and on the smaller timeframe it rebounded again to break above 2500. The current move is fully playing out according to expectations and the trend script. The weekend short-term rhythm is still there, but bears are relatively weak. For the later trend, whether it rises in a boring grind or pulls back, do not chase highs or panic sell lows. After the structure is repaired and adjusted, trade the pivots and follow the trend. As for ZEC, it still looks like it will make a high and then pull back in the short term, so keep positions light and short!
Back to daily chart trading: on Friday, Bitcoin was bought live at 79200, and overall it was still just a short-term rebound. Ethereum dipped during the day to test 2520, then closed back above after a rebound in volume. The logic has not changed and the trend is still intact. Within the range, bulls and bears are accumulating momentum and fighting it out, so in the short term focus on selling high and buying low around the structure and wait for the turning point!
Bitcoin long at 78700-79000, weekly close target focus at 80300-80800, and if 81000 holds, then look at 81500-82300
Ethereum long at 2450-2460, look for 2530-2570 on the upside, and after breaking through, treat it in sync with Bitcoin and look toward the 2600 area
ZEC short at 1208-1220, look for 1180-1150 on the pullback
That’s all for the weekend market. Wishing everyone happy trading…#BTC触及80000美元 $BTC
The market’s short-term direction can be said to be completely clear. After Sandisk and Micron strengthened, can there still be a reversal next week?
On the daily chart, Bitcoin broke above its previous high, then pulled back hard and fell below 79000. On the weekly chart, supported by softer yields, a weaker dollar, and reduced hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve, Sandisk and U.S. stocks staged a sharp rebound. But stronger-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls on Friday reignited expectations of a rate hike in September, so the Fed’s tone will definitely be key next!
With nonfarm payrolls out on Friday, Bitcoin went through a wide-range whipsaw move of surging, probing a low, and rebounding. The weekly candle closed as a doji, showing intensified tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The jobs data only disturbed the short-term rhythm and did not produce a clear one-way trend. Next week, the key will be whether the market can consolidate in a range, accumulate momentum, and then turn. The CPI inflation data remains the main focus!
The weekly chart closed with a doji star, a typical signal of balanced bulls and bears. Ethereum failed to break below the 2430 structural support, and on the smaller timeframe it rebounded again to break above 2500. The current move is fully playing out according to expectations and the trend script. The weekend short-term rhythm is still there, but bears are relatively weak. For the later trend, whether it rises in a boring grind or pulls back, do not chase highs or panic sell lows. After the structure is repaired and adjusted, trade the pivots and follow the trend. As for ZEC, it still looks like it will make a high and then pull back in the short term, so keep positions light and short!
Back to daily chart trading: on Friday, Bitcoin was bought live at 79200, and overall it was still just a short-term rebound. Ethereum dipped during the day to test 2520, then closed back above after a rebound in volume. The logic has not changed and the trend is still intact. Within the range, bulls and bears are accumulating momentum and fighting it out, so in the short term focus on selling high and buying low around the structure and wait for the turning point!
Bitcoin long at 78700-79000, weekly close target focus at 80300-80800, and if 81000 holds, then look at 81500-82300
Ethereum long at 2450-2460, look for 2530-2570 on the upside, and after breaking through, treat it in sync with Bitcoin and look toward the 2600 area
ZEC short at 1208-1220, look for 1180-1150 on the pullback
That’s all for the weekend market. Wishing everyone happy trading…#BTC触及80000美元 $BTC
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🎙️ A Brief Weekend Discussion on BTC-ETH Trends
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01 h 35 m 05 s
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8.30 Nonfarm night, $ZEC live-streamed last night 1020-1040—should you take the empty trend without holding out for more?
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🎙️ Nonfarm is coming—can the bulls no longer push higher?
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05 h 59 m 44 s
316
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Bitcoin–Ethereum reach new highs at the limit; U.S. stocks flash-sell—ZEC’s evening Non-Farm Payroll is the real highlight!
The ZEC daily chart momentum is strengthening. After the Big Cake (BTC) breaks down and invalidates the level, there’s been no sign of a pullback. For gold, the sharper rise followed by a short-term pullback will be the key turning point for the next trend—if the script is still playable, then you must watch patiently!
After Waller released a hawkish signal, the market is pricing the probability of a September rate hike at around 60%. Combined with crude oil pushing higher and rising U.S. Treasury yields, this Non-Farm Payroll data will test the resilience of employment. If rate-hike sentiment rises in September, you’ll need to reassess policy after the subsequent CPI and PPI. If new jobs come in close to zero or even negative, and the unemployment rate climbs above 4.2%, the Fed’s threshold for further rate hikes will increase significantly.
Back to the daily-chart scenario: the Big Cake goes from bullish to pushing higher. The short-term pullback within the structure can only be considered a corrective repair. Bottom short positions keep adding. Ethereum failed to push volume higher to maintain a breakout and is consolidating around 2500, building up energy. Within the range, support keeps lifting while resistance fades lower—after all, the triangular pattern’s rebound just needs time. The short-term trend doesn’t look very friendly for chasing longs; you can absolutely wait for the second-stage pullback to confirm the repair before entering longs. In the mid-range structure, the shorts are too tightly wound—once the bullish volume releases during the session, then it may be time to look for shorts again. Whether the weekly resistance at 82800 can effectively break is the question; the Ethereum 2580 pressure level remains to be tested!
Now let’s talk about market sentiment. Retail traders are questioning how this latest leg of the big rally could continue to extend higher—shorts at the bottom have been directly crushed. Everyone is waiting for liquidity to get swept and then expect a drop. But for this kind of rebound rhythm, it’s like trying to reach the sky. Whether Non-Farm is priced in early or whether the later-session action continues, the key for BTC–Ethereum is whether, after the weekly close, the chart can turn around. If it doesn’t break below the support of the smaller time-frame range, then the outlook is bullish going forward—treat it accordingly!
Non-Farm Payroll will directly affect U.S. stocks, the U.S. dollar, and gold. Strong data will lift Treasury yields and suppress high-multiple tech stocks while supporting the dollar. Weak data will cool rate-hike expectations—benefiting growth stocks and pressuring the dollar. Gold could break above 4533 and challenge 4650!
Intraday: go long BTC around 79400–79600, and look for a rebound between 81500–82300. After the key resistance at 82800 breaks, wait for the matching volume.
Ethereum: go long around the 2470 area in sync. For the upside, watch 2530–2570. On the daily chart, go long gold at 4430 with targets at 4480–4520.
散会…#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 $BTC
The ZEC daily chart momentum is strengthening. After the Big Cake (BTC) breaks down and invalidates the level, there’s been no sign of a pullback. For gold, the sharper rise followed by a short-term pullback will be the key turning point for the next trend—if the script is still playable, then you must watch patiently!
After Waller released a hawkish signal, the market is pricing the probability of a September rate hike at around 60%. Combined with crude oil pushing higher and rising U.S. Treasury yields, this Non-Farm Payroll data will test the resilience of employment. If rate-hike sentiment rises in September, you’ll need to reassess policy after the subsequent CPI and PPI. If new jobs come in close to zero or even negative, and the unemployment rate climbs above 4.2%, the Fed’s threshold for further rate hikes will increase significantly.
Back to the daily-chart scenario: the Big Cake goes from bullish to pushing higher. The short-term pullback within the structure can only be considered a corrective repair. Bottom short positions keep adding. Ethereum failed to push volume higher to maintain a breakout and is consolidating around 2500, building up energy. Within the range, support keeps lifting while resistance fades lower—after all, the triangular pattern’s rebound just needs time. The short-term trend doesn’t look very friendly for chasing longs; you can absolutely wait for the second-stage pullback to confirm the repair before entering longs. In the mid-range structure, the shorts are too tightly wound—once the bullish volume releases during the session, then it may be time to look for shorts again. Whether the weekly resistance at 82800 can effectively break is the question; the Ethereum 2580 pressure level remains to be tested!
Now let’s talk about market sentiment. Retail traders are questioning how this latest leg of the big rally could continue to extend higher—shorts at the bottom have been directly crushed. Everyone is waiting for liquidity to get swept and then expect a drop. But for this kind of rebound rhythm, it’s like trying to reach the sky. Whether Non-Farm is priced in early or whether the later-session action continues, the key for BTC–Ethereum is whether, after the weekly close, the chart can turn around. If it doesn’t break below the support of the smaller time-frame range, then the outlook is bullish going forward—treat it accordingly!
Non-Farm Payroll will directly affect U.S. stocks, the U.S. dollar, and gold. Strong data will lift Treasury yields and suppress high-multiple tech stocks while supporting the dollar. Weak data will cool rate-hike expectations—benefiting growth stocks and pressuring the dollar. Gold could break above 4533 and challenge 4650!
Intraday: go long BTC around 79400–79600, and look for a rebound between 81500–82300. After the key resistance at 82800 breaks, wait for the matching volume.
Ethereum: go long around the 2470 area in sync. For the upside, watch 2530–2570. On the daily chart, go long gold at 4430 with targets at 4480–4520.
散会…#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 $BTC
What to do about short sellers?
700 direct T-Account transfers and an escape—really no one got licked...$ETH
700 direct T-Account transfers and an escape—really no one got licked...$ETH
$ETH Boost!
Can Friday night’s Non-Farm Payrolls still be waited for?
The Fed keeps talking about more rate hikes, so it’s completely normal for the market sentiment to be bearish. Even if there’s a pullback, don’t get too comfortable or complacent. After a week with no updates to posts, the broad market has been accumulating energy; after the rebound, it was clearly obvious that the shorts were liquidated—cleanly and decisively. On the daily chart structure, no matter how much it pumps, it’s only a transition. If you’re bullish, don’t chase—wait for a pullback.
For ETH: short from the 2440 entry target, aiming for 2400–2410. If it pulls back to the key level within the range, then re-enter for a rebound!
As for BTC, follow the script from the evening livestream...#美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高 $BTC
Can Friday night’s Non-Farm Payrolls still be waited for?
The Fed keeps talking about more rate hikes, so it’s completely normal for the market sentiment to be bearish. Even if there’s a pullback, don’t get too comfortable or complacent. After a week with no updates to posts, the broad market has been accumulating energy; after the rebound, it was clearly obvious that the shorts were liquidated—cleanly and decisively. On the daily chart structure, no matter how much it pumps, it’s only a transition. If you’re bullish, don’t chase—wait for a pullback.
For ETH: short from the 2440 entry target, aiming for 2400–2410. If it pulls back to the key level within the range, then re-enter for a rebound!
As for BTC, follow the script from the evening livestream...#美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高 $BTC
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🎙️ So, tonight again, should we focus on killing blows?
End
01 h 53 m 31 s
92
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$BTC press your head and break below 760—don't rush. The afternoon live-stream script stays the same. Before the market opens, buy in batches at 75700; if it drops below 74500, increase your position! #美联储加息概率升至68%
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