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The weekend is restless, the big pancake waterfall happened...$BTC #比特币两个月来首破7万美元

BTC and ETH weekly lines explode upward. The core is an epic-level short squeeze—so the signals for the next leg are absolutely crucial!

As for the U.S.-Iran situation: how will the market decide whether the broader market can pull back? And what about the Fed’s second-half rate hike “Black Friday” script—how will it actually play out?

The market is digesting this more aggressively: the U.S. Treasury extends the duration of debt-bill repo operations and expands the scale of bond issuance, causing U.S. Treasury yields to plunge. There’s also panic selling, which triggers a crisis of confidence in the dollar. The dollar drops sharply, and that boosts BTC’s safe-haven appeal, sending it straight up. Moreover, in the short term, there won’t be a strong pullback.

Whether shorts can still see a reversal in the near term is something everyone is watching. The cycle of sideways consolidation building up energy is well known. When the daily chart for BTC directly surges above 7.5K and Ethereum steps onto 2500, then no matter how perfect the trend playbook is, it doesn’t matter—sentiment is suppressing too aggressively.

This week’s script has been talking about the daily pullback—testing weekly resistance points—and based on the current intraday situation, it really is very intense. After smaller timeframes touched 7w, there’s no sign of a pullback. During the day, some friends asked about whether Ethereum will pull back later—right now, how much it pulls back isn’t the key. As long as the weekly rebound of BTC can’t close with volume, it will still keep rising. If it breaks the top pressure around 78,000 again, then the overall structure rebound is basically set, in the 80,000–82,000 zone. Then, can Ethereum’s pullback still be considered?

Intraday, treat the BTC–Ethereum play as bullish!

BTC: accumulate in batches around the 73,500 area. For the daily targets, watch 75,000–76,500. If it breaks below 73,000, add positions in batches on dips. Any mild pullback and repair after a smaller timeframe range move is completely normal—there’s no need to trade impulsively in the structure.

Ethereum: the 2280–2300 area is also viewed as bullish. For the upside, watch 2350–2430. Any real-time shift is best handled based on live execution.

Finally, I wish everyone smooth trading in the days ahead…#特朗普敦促国会通过Clarity法案 $BTC

Note this kind of daily-candle rebound—don’t miss it!

Even if you’re bearish from a high-range consolidation, you still need to leave some position/hold some exposure. Ethereum at 2300 is moving in sync with BTC at 72,000. If you say now that the daily structure is basically still bullish—there’s basically no clear intention to continue. The strong pressure of the box range has basically been broken. The bullish side is firm, but it hasn’t managed to hold on; within the lower timeframes, BTC will still stage a few-limit/positioning long orders. If you want to go short, you can only look at the 72,800–73,300 area. For shorts from lower levels, cut them when you should—don’t rely on luck; luck can ruin you...$BTC #FOMC会议纪要

Straight line explosive surge...

The teeter-totter is rising desperately—how many short sellers are still left at the bottom?

The weekly chart has broken through. The prior resistance has turned into support. Tonight, the market is definitely not going to be too calm...#FOMC会议纪要 $BTC

$SNDK plays the game and can also afford to lose—just be determined and don’t give up!

As the market swings back and forth, if 1638 can’t hold up, then we withdraw. For the U.S. stock market getting hit, we can only stand at attention... #美元跌至10周低点

$SNDK Packages!

Continuing from the previous post

$SNDK daily lines can still drop down?

A three-part rebound has risen 70%. Capturing the 20% pullback position hasn’t arrived yet. If it drops before the bell to 1750, I’ll take over the long position. It all depends on how strong the resistance at the prior high level of 1830 is. In the short term, I’ll take a long/short approach based on timing and circumstances...#全球股票基金净流入186.2亿美元 $BTC

$XAU daily chart 4400 isn’t that high; on smaller timeframes it’s hard to step out a low point—can shorting within a range really amount to anything?

Everyone is fixated on the fact that Bitcoin–Ethereum has no volatility, yet Sandisk–Micron keeps being pushed higher. In the trend, resistance at turning points has been repeatedly broken. After a round of selling stops and a rebound off the bottom, the market still remains full of confidence in bears for what comes next—along with plenty of wishful thinking.

There will be pullbacks in US stock sectors, but don’t plan on a deep squat. After all, on the bigger timeframe, once price has broken down below and fallen under the 1000 USD level, the long side above has basically been swept clean. For the near term, if Sandisk pulls back and breaks below 1600, the shorts won’t need more “lifesaving”—they should stop the bleeding in time...

Lastly, one more thing: don’t trust the light. Going against the trend will make you lose—pure and simple. As for the gold trend, there are still plenty of thoughts...$BTC #SpaceX股价涨至140美元

Btc and eth long trend remains unchanged. Regarding Shandi-Gold, overall consolidation and upward movement should be expected.

Jiu Ling has not disappeared; it’s just busy offline. As for recent market conditions, you can only say “where the wind blows, where you turn the page.” On the daily chart, Big Pancake is currently maintaining a high-range consolidation and repair. For now, the price is trading between 63k and 64k. In the short term, there is no particularly clear trend.

On the 4-hour timeframe, it has pulled back with a modest amount and the follow-through is not very large. The small timeframe moving averages still have their heads pointing upward and diverging, suggesting that in the short term the market still leans a bit stronger. In the short run, watch the 64,500 resistance zone. On the 1-hour timeframe, if price breaks above the short-term resistance zone, then in the near term look for whether there is a small pullback and repair followed by a second push higher. On the small-interval timeframe, after the continuous rally, watch for a short-term adjustment.

The longer the consolidation repair in the smaller cycle continues, the bigger the dynamics will be later. Back to intraday action: the key for the short-term trend is whether the triangular pattern can break out effectively, and whether the range continues to move back down. That’s the critical point. For the US market, Shandi-Micron has gone through a round of a sharp rebound, which has triggered extreme panic in the market. On the weekly level, the short-side “bullish struggle” at the bottom is more like a lucky flinch. While Shandi’s short-term rebound is strengthening, you should also pay attention to the selling pressure. In the larger structure, as long as the pullback cannot produce confirmatory momentum/volume, it will still trend upward!

Intraday: Big Pancake pullback around 61,800–62,300 to go long. For the rebound, watch 638–645. Resistance in the 650 area—turn short.

Ethereum: go long near 1,850. On the smaller timeframe, watch the upside around 1,930–1,900.

That’s it—I'll be back to stream…#美国拟迫各国在美中AI阵营选边 $BTC

Non-farm payrolls done—what are you waiting for?

Don’t let Black Friday wait for nothing, right? If the big BTC—65500—gives us a spot, then place an order and enter the position; simultaneously buy 150 ETH at the current price. If the daily volume doesn’t continue running up, we’ll add to the short. Don’t load the car too heavy...$BTC #美国初请失业金人数维持20万以下

Can Zhou K pull diarrhea still keep shouting about long and short?

It’s hard even for the daily structure to run short; for Ethereum, it can’t exceed 10 meters. Remember: don’t go join the commotion in US stocks right now. Before the Non-Farm Payrolls, the market was clearly consolidating and building momentum too obviously—patience is key; the knife is hanging above your head. Stay calm and wait for the location/position to switch!

For the turning point of the big trend structure, you still need to look at Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls. For smaller levels, there’s no need to chase or panic-sell. If Bitcoin–Ethereum has a position, take profits and drop it in time—don’t get trapped by those “experts” who shout that the market can move hundreds of points...$BTC

Grind the tofu...

The daily trend is undergoing a three-segment consolidation and repair. After ranging sideways in the middle of the box, there’s a small rebound. The key resistance is 65,000. For any intraday position, for now, wait patiently—consider switching tactics only if price dips back to the bottom of the box at 63,500–62,800. As for trades during the session, they can only be said to be hard to force...$BTC #SpaceX将公布Q2财报

US stocks rose and then fell—can SanDisk’s key resistance still be broken through?

Simply put, it’s not “fat” enough yet. After washing out a full round, the pace won’t be so fast. If Micron can’t get above 1k in the short term, it’s basically hard to make a historic breakout, but it’s not out of the question that the next leg may bring relatively strong bullish news...

In the three-wave weekly K setup, I’ve kept emphasizing the drop. SanDisk 2200 to Micron 1100 has been sold down the whole way—based on the script too: early on it moved lower, and when you asked me whether you could bottom-fish, what did I say?

The 65,000 daily “big pie” has become a window for a rebound in the cycle. On smaller timeframes, it’s still a range retracement zone: support at 62,300–62,800. If the pre-market structure can hold and not lose the dip, then we can look for longs around 62,500–62,700 again. For the rebound, watch 63,800–64,500.

Ethereum is also long around the 1,830 area. On the 4-hour timeframe, pay attention to a pullback/rebound toward 1,880–1,950; watch it during the session as it plays out—step by step.

I may not be able to stream live this week; there are a lot of offline matters. But it won’t affect my trading every day intraday. Each to their strengths, do what you can—I'll be back...#美伊谈判将启动 $BTC

The Fed’s rate-hike script is over; this week’s Non-Farm Payrolls will once again take center stage. Bitcoin–Ethereum has reached a key cycle transition…

The market won’t stay sideways and locked in forever. Stay patient—slow is fast. After a price gap, it’s difficult for the move to continue due to the influence of the downtrend. The trend is on the edge of restarting. At the same time, a crucial shift is emerging at the geopolitical level: Trump announced the cancellation of strikes against Iran. The overall market barely reacted, so the current U.S.–Iran situation is gradually fading as the in-session impetus

The hawkish aftershocks from the Fed’s July rate decision continue to ferment. The meeting kept rates unchanged with a 9:3 vote, but three commissioners clearly supported a 25-basis-point hike—the most since 2016. Market expectations for a September hike heated up, briefly reaching about 68%. As far as data implications go, the key is whether the upcoming intraday data can truly swing the market positive or negative!

Iran–U.S. negotiation expectations can only serve as a reference. Concerns about escalation in the Middle East have eased, alongside short-term weakness in the U.S. dollar index and a slight pullback in U.S. Treasury yields. “Big cake” (Bitcoin) has printed a modest rebound on the daily chart, but price still hasn’t managed to reclaim the prior key resistance at 64,300. For Ethereum to produce a valid corrective upswing, it still depends on Bitcoin. Structurally, the bullish key is whether wave C–D can print fresh highs. In the short term, if the technical setup still leans bearish, then this up-move channel is basically broken. Overall, the focus remains on whether Bitcoin can break out of its range.

Bitcoin’s 625–635 keeps tugging back and forth. On the daily chart, even the minor-level support and resistance haven’t been broken decisively. Ethereum is consolidating and repairing in the 1,860 area, with the low after the short-term turning downward being held. As for resistance, there’s no sign of a breakout at all—so there’s no need to consider chasing shorts intraday. In terms of today’s structure, the plan is to buy around the bottom of the range.

Go long Bitcoin 61,300–61,600. Targets: 63,500–64,300. If the rebound shows volume, look for 65,000–65,500. Defense (stop/guard): 60,800.

Ethereum aligns intraday at 1,820–1,830. For the rebound, look for 1,880–1,950…$BTC

Semiconductors surge wildly; SanDisk directly rockets up. Hynix–Samsung shares have risen more than 20%. After Bitcoin–Ethereum has finished gathering strength for now, will it surge higher or plunge?

The Fed’s inflation finally cools down in a real, measurable way: year-on-year inflation has fallen from 4.1% to 3.7%, and core inflation has also eased slightly. This is the key confidence that allows the Fed to withstand internal pressure for rate hikes this week and keep rates on hold.
      
As inflation cools, it directly undermines the Fed’s rationale for rate hikes, dispelling extreme hawkish expectations in the market. In simple terms, the negative pressure from high interest rates on crypto is easing, and the stabilizing support for Bitcoin’s (the “big pie”) range remains. In the short term, a reasonable pullback should be accepted. As long as price cannot effectively break below the key bottom support, and as long as Ethereum’s key level trendline is probed and then reclaimed—if the intraday/weekly timeframe’s candle doesn’t turn around (i.e., weekly candle does not “turn its head”)—then on a smaller time scale there should still be a rebound. Wait for the key catalyst to break the deadlock in the range.

The daily support-and-resistance “swap” range keeps narrowing, which is enough to show that the short-term consolidation has not been broken—only that the intraday bullish momentum is still there. On the four-hour timeframe, if price can step back above yesterday’s high at 64,800, then you can continue waiting to see whether upside resistance is broken. Ethereum’s 1,950–1,980 zone is also the key for an intraday rebound. If major daily-level resistance is not breached, find a good spot and switch positions in time…

For Bitcoin, go long around 63,300–63,600; look for a daily rebound toward 64,800–65,500. If price moves up and breaks with volume above 66,300, then gradually take profit and retreat in batches.

On Friday, Ethereum should align and also watch the 1,870 area for an upside move. The upside targets are 1,950–1,980. As for the exact real-time situation during the session…$BTC #美股高开科技股反弹

Is the market waiting for tonight’s Fed interest rate decision?

The whole chain of US stocks—SanDisk, Micron, and NVIDIA—can be said to be completely collapsing. Everyone is waiting for the Fed to “flip the script” tonight. This is also the second FOMC since the Fed chair Waller took office, and it’s the biggest disagreement since last September. In the short term, we must be able to understand the key turning point!

Let me lay out the recap conclusion properly: there isn’t really anything bullish for the current situation in US stocks that you should be looking to for a reversal. Before the World Cup, people were optimistic that SanDisk would break through the Ethereum price. After the BTC-ETH cycle completed a round of testing the lows, market sentiment capital was entirely redirected into US stocks.

From this quarter’s perspective, whether it’s livestreaming or static posts, the message has been direct: it will only drop to wash positions, not jump higher. Right now, the retail crowd has already been washed out of the trade by SanDisk—no amount of data can lie. The repeated action in the SanDisk 2200–2100 area clearly indicates a bearish longer-term trend. As for breaking below the 1000 level, there’s nothing surprising there. I mentioned at the beginning of the month that only you can’t imagine it—nothing is impossible in US stocks!

As long as the reversal at the key node doesn’t break out with volume and step onto the two-line high-pressure zone in the key box—1300–1400—it will still keep falling. For the broader market structure, watch the drop toward 850–880. Micron–NVIDIA: updates coming next...

The trading market is pinning its hopes for a “smooth one-way trend” on the interest rate decision to be released in the early hours. More precisely, they’re waiting to see how Fed Chair Waller’s post-meeting remarks sound—“hawkish” or “dovish.”
  
If the Fed releases a clear rate-cut signal, then real interest rates will continue to move downward. If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance or tone, then expectations for Fed rate hikes during the year are very likely essentially confirmed. In that case, Bitcoin’s daily support at 62600 also won’t have a safety lock. Ethereum is basically moving in sync...$BTC #SK海力士韩股重挫19%

US stocks SanDisk-Mu crash, Bitcoin-Ethereum daily chart plunges—can a break below in the short term turn into a reversal?

The US session has continued to weaken. The daily chart has jumped out of a pullback structure. During the Asia session, prices fall in a straight line; the European session stays in a narrow range, consolidating. The US session is basically choppy and repairing. On the surface, within the day, smaller timeframes closed with a small green candle. For now, before the Fed, the market seems to be waiting for an answer. As for whether the Fed is front-loading the market selloff caused by the hawkish shock—or whether the reversal trend takes over—is the key.

Before the rate decision is released, price action is expected to remain range-bound. Today, the Asia session leads the decline first; in the short term, it may probe lower again to find support. Ultimately, the weak move still filled the gap. In the short term, the US-Iran situation cannot be considered a tradable risk factor; the main focus should be on the trend and the shift in order flow between buyers and sellers. Second, the Fed’s rate decision needs to provide enough signaling for the broader market. For now, the priority is risk control!

From the intraday structure: the Big Pie moving average line starts to turn downward; short cycles have again formed a bearish alignment. The MACD’s two lines continue to diverge downward, while the histogram keeps expanding. Bearish momentum is still strengthening. Meanwhile, trading volume has been increasing continuously. The decline is not a low-volume pullback, but rather sell pressure taking the lead. In the near term, watch for confirmation signals on the retest.

As for trading, it’s never about taking high-risk bets against the trend. Being wrong isn’t an ugly thing—what’s foolish is not being able to accept risk control through taking the opposite side. “Trade with the trend” has become a cliché for retail traders. But will the end result really be like that?

Today, the Big Pie looks for long positions around 61,800–62,000. On a smaller timeframe, watch for a rebound targeting 63,500–64,700. This current daily-chart rebound must not break down; otherwise, the week-K 65,700 prior swing high resistance may turn bearish again. The key level for a potential reversal is currently the 66,000 area.

Ethereum’s 1,820 area aligns as well—focus on the real-time intraday signals…$BTC #以太坊逼近2000美元