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$ZEC $BOB $PIPPIN #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #美国ADP数据超预期 #美国加征关税

In the 4-hour cycle, the bullish consolidation characteristics of Bitcoin are becoming increasingly clear. Although the short-term market is showing fluctuations, there are occasional pullbacks after price highs encounter resistance, but the trend of rising lower pullback points highlights the strong resilience of the key support area below. The bears have not been able to achieve effective breakdown, and the market's acceptance strength can be seen.

The current price is steadily above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the converging upward pattern of the Bollinger Bands is signaling a shift in the oscillation pattern towards the bulls, with the bulls expected to enter a concentrated effort phase.

Bitcoin: near 88300-87800, target 89300, 91300
​Altcoin: near 2960-3000, target 3050, 3150

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Morning layout for long positions to cash out, Bitcoin space of 2800 points, second Bitcoin space of 111 points

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Gold forecast accurately fulfilled! Target of 4420 perfectly hit

Professional analysis has never been misleading! Last week clearly outlined the core logic of gold: with 4374.52 as the key support, after a period of consolidation, an upward trend will begin, aiming directly at the 4400-4420 range after breaking through. Today's market conditions have confirmed this expectation, with gold prices strongly rising to the 4420 round number, accurately hitting the upper limit of the forecast!

Subsequent operations are clearly guided: in the short term, focus on the effectiveness of the 4400 support; if it stabilizes after a pullback, the bullish trend can continue; if it effectively breaks through 4420, the upward space will further open.

Accurate forecasting stems from solid market interpretation and fundamental analysis. By following clear logic and keeping pace, investment opportunities will naturally arise, and the next round of layouts can continue to follow up!

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Gold price breaks through new high of 4390, trend strength crushes short-term predictions

Morning strategy focuses on 'rising pressure, short-term short selling layout', unexpectedly, the bullish momentum of gold far exceeds expectations, directly breaking through the key resistance level of 4374, ending with a strong close at a new daily high of 4390.99 USD, ultimately standing firmly at a high of 4388.91 USD, completely dismantling the previously emerging technical expectation of a 'double top' reversal.

Looking back at the morning assessment, the short-term technicals indeed released pressure signals, and bullish momentum seemed to be coming to an end, yet it underestimated the strong resilience of gold's large-scale uptrend. The market trend completely deviated from the short-term prediction framework: the gold price not only did not fall back to the target range, but rather strongly broke through the strong pressure zone of 4374 and the stop-loss level of 4390, with an intraday high reaching 4390.99 USD, performing a market trend that 'crushes short-term signals'.

From the 1-hour candlestick chart, the Bollinger Bands show a strong expansion upward pattern, with the gold price consistently running along the upper track, and the moving average system forming a perfect bullish arrangement, with the previous low of 4338 USD having turned into solid support. The core logic behind this counter-trend rise lies in the dominance of the medium to long-term bullish trend of gold, completely covering the short-term technical pullback signals, once again confirming the iron rule of the trading market — 'trend is king, follow the trend', when short-term technical signals diverge from long-term trends, the trend is always the priority choice.

This market also brings profound trading insights: even if short-term technicals show signs of correction, as long as the medium to long-term bullish trend remains unchanged, one must treat short positions with caution, and stop-loss settings must be meticulous to avoid significant losses caused by trend continuation. Currently, gold price has successfully broken through the key level of 4390 USD, with the next target pointing directly at the integer level of 4400 USD, while the range of 4380-4385 USD has become an important short-term support zone. From an operational perspective, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips, and avoid blindly predicting tops and going short against the trend.
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The 4-hour cycle shows a high-level oscillation pattern, with both long and short forces temporarily stuck in a stalemate. The K-line has not yet established a clear one-sided trend amid alternating bullish and bearish closes. However, the price has consistently remained above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and after the KDJ indicator completed a golden cross, it continues to diverge upwards, indicating that bullish momentum is quietly accumulating, and the medium to long-term upward foundation remains intact.

Switching to the 1-hour cycle for observation, although the price briefly broke through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, the appearance of long upper shadows visually reflects that the selling pressure from above has not been fully released. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are gradually widening, and bullish energy continues to accumulate amid oscillations, but the short-term upward momentum still needs further release, and adjusting to lay out bullish positions remains the optimal strategy.

Big Cake: Buy near 88300-88800, target 89800, 91800
​Second Cake: Buy near 2960-3010, target 3060, 3160

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Gold Investor 12.22 Morning Review: Precisely Captured 62 Points! Gold Hits Resistance on the Upside, Short-term Bearish Opportunities Have Arrived

Volatility is the norm of the market, just like the changing seasons and the ebb and flow of tides. Accepting its imperfections allows us to gather strength in the valleys and remain clear-headed at the peaks.

Last Friday, a precise layout for gold long positions at the 4310 level saw gold prices rise strongly, peaking at 4372, easily locking in a substantial profit of 62 points! However, the market's wind direction has changed, and the short-term shorting window has officially opened.

Unexpected recovery in U.S. economic data has injected rebound momentum into the dollar index, while technical corrections at low levels have increased the attractiveness of dollar assets, diverting funds from the gold market. With the Christmas holiday approaching, institutional trading enthusiasm has cooled, and market trading activity has decreased. Long positions are eager to secure profits, and the momentum for chasing higher prices continues to shrink, creating an excellent market environment for bearish trends.

From a technical perspective, the 1-hour chart shows clear bearish signals: after a rapid rise, gold prices quickly fell back, displaying significant characteristics of a peak. The upper Bollinger Band at 4361 was briefly broken but quickly lost support, with bullish momentum exhausted at high levels. The previous 4374 peak formed strong resistance, which has not been effectively broken despite multiple tests, and a "double top" suppression pattern is gradually taking shape. The 1-hour candlestick has formed a long upper shadow, clearly indicating heavy selling pressure above. Currently, gold prices have retreated to within the Bollinger Band, with upper band resistance becoming evident, and the middle band at 4336 is a key support level; a break below this will further open up downward space.

Short-term Trading Recommendations for Gold

- Entry Range: Initially short at the 4370-4375 level, add short positions in the 4380-4385 range
- Target Range: First target at 4335-4340, looking down to 4320-4325 after breaking support

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Nine consecutive victories within a day, and no transaction fees mean real profits.

Market fluctuations are a norm; steadfast positions are the true wealth cultivation. Gold is by no means a short-term speculative target; it is indeed a wealth stabilizer that transcends cycles.

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From the daily perspective, although the Bitcoin has shown sporadic signs of recovery, the upward momentum has clearly weakened. Multiple attempts to break through key resistance levels have ended in failure, leaving dense upper shadows on the candlestick chart, visually reflecting the heavy selling pressure above. The market's buying strength continues to weaken, liquidity is gradually tightening, and bears still hold an absolute dominant position.

Switching to the 4-hour cycle, the price encountered strong pressure after reaching the upper Bollinger Band and immediately began a rapid downward trend. The market has continuously broken through and, accompanied by increased trading volume, has breached the lower support. The previous key support area has clearly been lost. Short to medium-term moving averages exhibit a synchronized downward divergence, and the standard bearish arrangement further solidifies the downward trend.

Bitcoin: 85700-86200 short, target 84700, 83300

Altcoin: 2830-2880 short, target 2780, 2620

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12.19 Gold Morning Review: The fluctuation of gold does not break the "up three back two" rhythm! After CPI, 4310 support becomes key, laying out long positions like this is more reliable

The K-line has never had a smooth slope; fluctuations are sedimentation, and pullbacks are energy accumulation. Real profits do not come from chasing the market but from adhering to discipline and enduring loneliness—allowing time to smooth out volatility, letting compound interest realize persistence, slower and steadier is the most solid wealth curve.

After the release of yesterday's CPI data, gold did not experience the expected significant fluctuations; the rise in the latter half of yesterday seemed more like a rational release after technical consolidation rather than an emotionally driven unilateral market. The previous rounds of fluctuations and consolidations have fully digested market selling pressure, and the chip structure is stabilizing, with the market waiting for a clear breakthrough opportunity.

From the 1-hour cycle, the gold price showed a dual characteristic of "high surge and return + narrow fluctuations" throughout the day: the moving average system is in a state of tight entanglement, with short-term MA5/MA10/MA20 interwoven, and prices are slightly sawing around the moving averages, with both support and resistance roles significantly weakened, and no clear trend direction in the short term. On the K-line level, the long upper shadow left by yesterday's surge highlights the pressure near 4370; after the price fell to 4308, it quickly rebounded, confirming that 4310 has formed effective support. Currently, the gold price is still trapped in the wide fluctuation range of 4310-4370, and a breakthrough signal has not yet appeared.

It is worth noting that although the gold price briefly refreshed the intraday high in the early morning, it failed to form a sustained upward momentum, and the subsequent pullback perfectly fits the typical rhythm of the fluctuation market "high surge test - pullback confirmation", which is commonly referred to as the "up three back two" structure. The key is that this breakout occurred during the early morning period with lower liquidity, and the chip exchange is not sufficient. Whether the European market can hold the key position of 4320 and whether the American market can continue the momentum will be the core variables for trend confirmation.

Operational suggestion: If the gold price stabilizes in the 4310-4320 range and closes with a stabilizing bullish line, a light position can be laid out for long positions, targeting the short-term pressure level of 4350 first, and after breaking through, it can extend to the upper edge of the 4370 range; stop loss should be strictly set below 4305 to avoid the risk of breaking down the range.

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Although the 4-hour cycle triggered a technical rebound near the lower track, the bearish dominant pattern remains unchanged. The upper middle track and the MA30 moving average resonate to form a core resistance zone, limiting the rebound space.

In terms of technical indicators, the MACD red bars are gently expanding, and the DIF and DEA death cross pattern is showing a converging trend; the KDJ three lines are running near the edge of the oversold area, and the RSI indicator is approaching the 25 level with weak upward momentum. The short-term bearish momentum still prevails, and the timing for entering long positions is not yet clear.

From the daily chart perspective, the MACD red bars continue to expand, the RSI indicator has turned downward, and the KDJ shows a bearish divergence pattern. The K-line has effectively broken below the lower track support level, further strengthening the bearish trend. The operational strategy still focuses on laying out short positions at high points.

Large Bitcoin: Short near 86500-87000, target 85500, 84000.

Second Bitcoin: Short near 2850-2900, target 2800, 2650.
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On the eve of the CPI data release, gold remains in a wide fluctuation channel, with the key resistance level at 4350 significantly suppressing it—three attempts to break through have encountered resistance and retracement, and effective breakthrough momentum has yet to form. Tonight's release of the U.S. CPI data will become the core variable to break the current stalemate, directly determining whether gold can break free from the fluctuations and enter a trending market.

From the technical perspective of the 1-hour cycle, although gold maintains a high-level consolidation, the characteristics of range fluctuations are prominent, and the long-position strategy should adhere to the principle of 'buying on dips.' The support strength in the 4280 area needs to be closely monitored, and one can look for opportunities to buy low within this range; if it fails to stabilize above the 4350 resistance level, the price will still face retracement pressure.

- Long positions: Buy near 4296-4305, target 4345, 4350

- Short positions: Sell near 4345-4350, target 4280, 4260

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Large pancake 1900 point space, second pancake 91 point space, everyone can take the initiative, the evening spike is too fast, manage the risk of making orders

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The highest price alert has reached everyone, making a profit of 22 dollars in just a few minutes. Congratulations to everyone

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From the four-hour cycle perspective, after a rebound following three consecutive bullish candles, the price encounters strong resistance at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. Although there has been a slight recovery during the pullback phase, considering the previous downward trend and the technical shape of the Bollinger Bands opening downwards, bullish momentum remains continuously lacking. The resistance at the middle band is unlikely to be broken in the short term, and the overall trend in the future will still be dominated by bearish forces.

On the hourly chart, the price briefly broke above the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, quickly falling back into consolidation; the bullish volume of the MACD indicator has shifted from expanding to contracting, and the KDJ and RSI indicators have both turned downwards, clearly signaling a short-term adjustment. Overall, it is recommended to focus on shorting during rebounds as the core strategy.

BTC: short near 87800-88300, add at 88800, target 86800, 85200

ETH: short near 2970-3020, add at 3050, target 2920, 2800

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From the daily perspective, after the price hit the 90,000 mark and encountered strong resistance, it has retreated. This is a technical correction during the upward trend and represents a healthy adjustment of the market itself. The stability of the medium-term core support level is directly related to the integrity of the upward channel. As long as this support level is not effectively broken, the overall bullish pattern will continue. The core function of this round of adjustment is to digest the previous overbought risks and clear short-term speculative long positions, in order to accumulate more upward momentum for the subsequent market.

Large pancake: Buy around 85,300-85,800, target 86,800, 88,300

Second pancake: Buy around 2,900-2,940, target 3,000, 3,120

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Morning layout of large pancake and small pancake confirmed, the large pancake has nearly four thousand points of space, and the small pancake also has two hundred points of space, the answer is given to everyone again!

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From the daily perspective, the price of the second pancake touched the lower Bollinger Band and recorded a Doji candlestick. Although there are signs of short-term adjustment, the downward trend dominated by bears remains unchanged, and the overall weak pressure pattern continues. On the four-hour cycle, after briefly gaining support from the middle Bollinger Band, the price showed weak rebound and failed to form an effective recovery, immediately resulting in a four consecutive bearish candles accelerating the decline. The current price is running weakly close to the lower Bollinger Band. From the indicators, the main moving averages show a clear bearish arrangement, and the overall technical performance is weak, with the market still facing further downside risks.

Around 3100-3130 short, targets 3050, 2960, 2880
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After the weekend's震荡整理, the price of Bitcoin broke through the 90,000 integer level, and the downward trend has become clearer. On the 4-hour cycle, the price briefly stabilized at the middle track of the Bollinger Bands but failed to achieve effective recovery, subsequently moving out of a four consecutive bearish candles and strongly probing downward. The current price is closely aligned with the lower track of the Bollinger Bands, and various moving average indicators are showing a synchronized downward divergence, indicating there is still room for a pullback below.

Short near 88,500-89,000, target 87,000, 86,000

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